reports
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Aedifica: Conference call highlights. Basic-Fit: Belgian VAT increase for culture, sports and takeaway meals postponed. BE Semiconductor Industries: 4Q25 Preview, incremental strength. Kendrion: Preview - Clean into 2026. Magnum Ice Cream Company: Acquisition of Kwality Wall's launched. Retail Estates: Re-letting progress highlights portfolio quality. Semi Equipment: AMAT readthrough strength. Universal Music Group: EU Commission approves UMG's Downtown acquisition, requires full Curve Ro...
- Marc Zwartsenburg
- CEFA
ING Benelux Favourites/Weekly performance and valuation update
We update the performance of our ING Benelux Favourites list as well as all valuation and ranking tables for our coverage universe. Performance on the front page is dated from the 28 January 2026, while historical performance is included on the second page. The methodology for our favourites selection is based on a bottom-up approach with a focus on absolute performance with clear near-term triggers. It is a rolling list, ie, stocks can enter/exit whenever we think opportune. The ING Benelux Fav...
- Tijs Hollestelle
Heijmans/EBITDA margin pushes past 9.0% target/BUY
We reiterate our BUY and raise our target price from €72.25 to €92.00. Heijmans' new 2026 revenue and underlying EBITDA margin guidance exceeded our expectations and in response we raise our FY26F EPS estimate by c.9% to €5.94. We expect Heijmans to raise its margin guidance range at the CMD in May. FY25 results were solid and all divisions again contributed to the strong operating performance. Heijmans ended 2025 with a net cash position of €57m and a solvency ratio of c.33%, underscoring its h...
- Hela Zarrouk
- Oliver Metzger
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
TFI TELEVISION FRANCAISE 1 SA
BLC BASTIDE LE CONFORT MEDICAL SA
RBT ROBERTET SA
LSS LECTRA SA
EOAN E.ON SE
RWE RWE AG
FIE FIELMANN AG
HEIJM HEIJMANS N.V. CERT
TIETO
DLG TIETOEVRY OYJ
AED DE'LONGHI S.P.A.
WAF AEDIFICA SA
XIL SILTRONIC AG
JEN XILAM ANIMATION SA
NLBR JENOPTIK AG
DSC1 NOVA LJUBLJANSKA BANKA DD LJUBLJANA
UN0 DUTCH STAR C SHAR
UNIPER SE
- Hela Zarrouk
- Oliver Metzger
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
TFI TELEVISION FRANCAISE 1 SA
BLC BASTIDE LE CONFORT MEDICAL SA
RBT ROBERTET SA
LSS LECTRA SA
EOAN E.ON SE
RWE RWE AG
FIE FIELMANN AG
HEIJM HEIJMANS N.V. CERT
TIETO
DLG TIETOEVRY OYJ
AED DE'LONGHI S.P.A.
WAF AEDIFICA SA
XIL SILTRONIC AG
JEN XILAM ANIMATION SA
DSC1 JENOPTIK AG
UN0 DUTCH STAR C SHAR
UNIPER SE
- Martijn Den Drijver
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Aedifica: Results slightly better, guidance for the combined entity to come in Sept. CM.com: 4Q25 results – no turning point yet. D'Ieteren: Allstate reports bumper 4Q25, touts premium cuts, consensus prudent. Heijmans: Construction cool cat. Proximus: CPaaS peer Twilio 4Q25 results better than expected. Talabat: 4Q25 results, doubling down on investments. Theon International: Preview – a busy year it was.
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Kristof Samoy
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Michiel Declercq
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Thomas Couvreur
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
- Guy Sips
- Mathijs Geerts Danau
- Michiel Declercq
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Thomas Couvreur
- Wim Hoste
- Guy Sips
Lotus Bakeries Three Continents, One Momentum: Lotus Turns Up the Heat
We updated our model after Lotus Bakeries delivered in FY25 a 10% revenue increase to a very nice € 1,355m (KBCSe 1,355m, CSS 1,346m), driven by continued strong volume growth in 2H25 for both Lotus Biscoff (57% of branded revenues, +13% y/y) and Lotus Natural Foods (25% of branded, +17% y/y). Lotus Bakeries highlighted that the partnerships with Mondelez advanced strongly, contributing positively to the 2025 revenue. By the end of 2025, Biscoff production expanded to three continents. We welco...
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Adyen: Preview 2H25. Aperam: In-line 4Q25, upbeat medium-term outlook balances short-term consensus risk. Ayvens: Fast Car (UCS normalisation). Barco: 4Q25 preview, mixed performance. Lotus Bakeries: Another beat on every line. Orange Belgium: 2H25 EBITDAal beat on lower sales, much better 2026 guidance. Philips: CMD & 4Q25 preview, execution is key. RELX: FY25 preview. Universal Music Group: Peer Warner Music 4% revenue and 11% OIBDA beat
- Guy Sips
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Wim Lewi
- Guy Sips
Lotus Bakeries FIRST LOOK : Three Continents, One Momentum: Lotus Turn...
In FY25, Lotus Bakeries delivered a 10% revenue increase to a very nice € 1.355m (KBCSe 1.355m, CSS 1.346m), driven by continued strong volume growth in 2H25 for both Lotus Biscoff (57% of branded revenues, +13% y/y) and Lotus Natural Foods (25% of branded, +17% y/y). Lotus Bakeries highlighted that the partnerships with Mondelez advanced strongly, contributing positively to the 2025 revenue By the end of 2025, Biscoff production expanded to three continents. We welcome that the new production...
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Flow Traders: Preview 4Q25 / Kinepolis: January reassures with US box office revenue up 14% YoY, France visitors up 15% YoY / Lotus Bakeries: Peer Mondelez 4Q25 results / MICC: Peer Mondelez 4Q25 results / RELX / Wolters Kluwer: Anthropic moves into Legal / Signify: Analyst lunch highlights / TomTom: 4Q25 results, bridging a gap / UCB: Evenity sales exceeded US$2.1bn in FY25 as per Amgen
- Ahmed Ben Salem
- Baptiste Lebacq
SU SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC SE
KNEBV KONE OYJ CLASS B
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
ABB ABB LTD.
RCO REMY COINTREAU SA
SAND SANDVIK AB
RXL REXEL SA
CEN GROUPE CRIT SA
SDG SYNERGIE SA
INF INFOTEL SA
HCO HIGHCO SA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
AUB AUBAY SA
NTG NETGEM SA
MRN MERSEN SA
MTU MANITOU BF SA
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
GOE GROUPE GORGE SA
KER KERING SA
ALO ALSTOM SA
SCHP SCHINDLER HOLDING AG PREF
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
HEIJM HEIJMANS N.V. CERT
INRN
DOKA INTERROLL HOLDING AG
DLG DORMAKABA HOLDING AG
EMMN DE'LONGHI S.P.A.
CCC EMMI AG
MOCORP CCC SA
MONC METSO OUTOTEC OYJ
ASSA B MONCLER SPA
BC ASSA ABLOY AB CLASS B
CFR BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
VLTSA COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
MAU VOLTALIA
SIE ETABLISSEMENTS MAUREL & PROM SA
VOS SIEMENS AG
CAF VOSSLOH AG
KBX CONSTRUCCIONES Y AUXILIAR DE FERROCARRILES S.A.
SRAIL KNORR-BREMSE AG
GRP STADLER RAIL AG
ZEL GREENCOAT RENEWABLES
ENR PHARMA MAR SA
AG1 SIEMENS ENERGY AG
EPI A AUTO1 GROUP
FORSE EPIROC AB
ZGN FORSEE POWER SA
ATCO A ERMENEGILDO ZEGNA NV
HAVAS ATLAS COPCO AB
HBX HAVAS N.V
HBX GROUP INTERNATIONAL PLC
- Ahmed Ben Salem
- Baptiste Lebacq
SU SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC SE
KNEBV KONE OYJ CLASS B
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
ABB ABB LTD.
RCO REMY COINTREAU SA
SAND SANDVIK AB
RXL REXEL SA
CEN GROUPE CRIT SA
SDG SYNERGIE SA
INF INFOTEL SA
HCO HIGHCO SA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
AUB AUBAY SA
NTG NETGEM SA
MRN MERSEN SA
MTU MANITOU BF SA
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
GOE GROUPE GORGE SA
KER KERING SA
ALO ALSTOM SA
SCHP SCHINDLER HOLDING AG PREF
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
HEIJM HEIJMANS N.V. CERT
INRN
DOKA INTERROLL HOLDING AG
DLG DORMAKABA HOLDING AG
EMMN DE'LONGHI S.P.A.
CCC EMMI AG
MOCORP CCC SA
MONC METSO OUTOTEC OYJ
ASSA B MONCLER SPA
BC ASSA ABLOY AB CLASS B
CFR BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
VLTSA COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
MAU VOLTALIA
SIE ETABLISSEMENTS MAUREL & PROM SA
VOS SIEMENS AG
CAF VOSSLOH AG
KBX CONSTRUCCIONES Y AUXILIAR DE FERROCARRILES S.A.
SRAIL KNORR-BREMSE AG
GRP STADLER RAIL AG
ZEL GREENCOAT RENEWABLES
ENR PHARMA MAR SA
AG1 SIEMENS ENERGY AG
EPI A AUTO1 GROUP
FORSE EPIROC AB
ZGN FORSEE POWER SA
ATCO A ERMENEGILDO ZEGNA NV
HAVAS ATLAS COPCO AB
HBX HAVAS N.V
HBX GROUP INTERNATIONAL PLC
- Martijn Den Drijver
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Aedifica and Cofinimmo: Exchange offer to start tomorrow / Alfen: Preview: new year, new chances / BAM Group: Nice add-on in the Dutch housing market / dsm-firmenich: Givaudan 2026 guidance read-across / Heijmans: Preview: 2025F was the cat's meow / Melexis: 4Q25 preview, towards a cyclical recovery / TomTom: Preview 4Q25, look beyond 2026 / Van Lanschot Kempen: Small UK Fiduciary mandate, second of the month though
- David Vagman
- CFA
- Dirk Verbiesen
- Francesca Ferragina
- Jason Kalamboussis
- Marc Hesselink
- CFA
- Marc Zwartsenburg
- CEFA
- Maxime Stranart
- Michiel Vereycken
- Quirijn Mulder
- Reg Watson
- CFA
- Thymen Rundberg
- Tijs Hollestelle
ING Benelux Favourites/Aedifica, Ageas, ASM International, Basic-Fit, ...
We refresh our ING Benelux Favourites list. We apply a fundamental bottom up approach in which we select stocks which provide the best upside within our Benelux coverage universe and these stocks need clear catalysts. Additions/deletions: We add the following names to the ING Benelux Favourites list: Ageas: Ageas has done multiple deals; its most recent purchase of the 25% stake BNP Paribas had in its Belgian ops, is an accretive deal and we believe makes the Belgian operations ready for a pot...
- David Vagman
- CFA
- Maxime Stranart
Lotus Bakeries/Unconstrained organic growth ahead/BUY
We reiterate our BUY rating on Lotus Bakeries and increase our target price from €10,300 to €11,100. Lotus Bakeries remains on the ING Benelux Favourites List. We expect Lotus Bakeries' unique organic volume growth story to accelerate over 2026-28F, thanks to the company's new factory in Thailand as well as a continued double-digit growth for its Natural Foods division. We model organic growth CAGR of 11.7% over 2026-28F, c.100bp above Visible Alpha consensus. We believe such a growth rate, comb...
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