Aalberts: 3Q24 preview - no signs of recovery expected. AB InBev: All to play for in the final quarter. Arcadis: A mixed bag. Ayvens: Struggling to get out of neutral. dsm-firmenich: Taking your vitamins is healthy. D'Ieteren: Belron equity at €23.5bn, EV €32.2bn in minority shareholder transaction. Euronext: 3Q24 and CMD Preview. Flow Traders: Bumper harvest. Heijmans: 3Q24 as expected, keeps FY outlook in place. Proximus: Key politician pushing for major governance shake up. ...
ING Benelux Conference London: Aalberts, Arcadis, Azelis, Barco, Basic-Fit, Brunel International, DEME Group, Euronext, Fagron, Heijmans, Kinepolis, Lotus Bakeries, Melexis, Ontex, Randstad, Recticel, SBM Offshore, TKH Group, Van Lanschot Kempen Other company stories - OCI: Divestment of Methanol to Methanex for US$2.05bn, Staffing: US August temp volumes marginally better trend; NFP jobs miss
>Conclusion: 1H24 results better, good net inflow in private banking continuing - In 1H24 the net profit was higher than we expected by better commission income and one-off/volatile items. The better commission income was mostly driven by private clients. In H1 the net inflow in private clients was again better than expected, they also expect a good net inflow in PC Belgium for 2H24. The net interest income was marginally less in 1H24, but the outlook 2H24 was margina...
VLK results came with a lot more disclosure and showed a strong continued momentum in inflows and fees. Belgium continues to thrive, while the lower margins in the Netherlands are more a reflection of the ROBECO integration and some unfavourable mix, but management is working on new products to enhance those margins. Capital CET1 Basel 4 was stable at c.18.5%, so investors should expect excess capital distributions to the 17.5% target at YE24. Costs will continue to be the focus, and the dip bel...
>Conclusion: Results better in 1H24, good net inflow in private banking - The 1H24 results were marginally better than expected as a result of a higher than expected commission income driven by private banking. Also the result from the non-strategic investments were better than expected. We remain positive on VLK.Net profit better in 1H24 - The net profit before minorities was € 75m vs our € 64m (consensus € 64m). This higher result was driven by a hi...
>Conclusion: Higher net profit targets, good inflows, makes up increase our TP - At the CMD VLK increased its financial targets, and we updated our VLK model based on this. With the update targets a) VLK will operate with about € 35m more capital, b) about € 55m excess capital will be returned by end 2024 (3.3% of market cap), and c) we estimate a net profit of € 158m by 2027. VLK has been winning market share with annually net inflow of about +6% the last few years, ...
>Conclusion: CMD profit target higher, capital return more/faster than expected - The VLK cash net profit target after coupons of implicitly > € 143m is mid-single digit higher than our estimates. The capital return policy is somewhat higher than we expected. And the return of excess capital will go faster than expected. We expect share to outperform today. We have an Outperform recommendation on the stock.More ambitious updated financial targets - Th...
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