reports
- Ben Rickett
SES 3Q25: Worse then feared. Downgrade senior notes to Underweight
SES has reported weak Q3 results and weaker Q4 guidance, with Adj. EBITDA for the combined business (incl. Intelsat) declining at c.−20% YoY. We’ll have to wait until February for updated mid-term guidance, meanwhile the outstanding guidance looks increasingly farcical. Most concerning though is net debt, which came in +€0.4bn higher than we had expected and will likely see leverage at 5x (on an all-in basis) this year, or 4x including potential C-band proceeds. Not for the first time this year,...
- Emira Sagaama
- Hela Zarrouk
- Michael Foundoukidis
- Oliver Metzger
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
RNO RENAULT SA
DAI DAIMLER AG
FGA FIGEAC AERO SA
LXS LANXESS AG
KCO KLOECKNER & CO SE
JCQ JACQUET METALS SA
BAMNB KONINKLIJKE BAM GROEP NV
GN GN STORE NORD A/S
SOLB SOLVAY SA
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
GLB GLANBIA PLC
FIE FIELMANN AG
LNZ LENZING AG
DEZ DEUTZ AG
CFT COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE TRADITION
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
MELE MELEXIS NV
ROVI LABORATORIOS FARMACEUTICOS ROVI S.A.
VGP VGP NV
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
DIC DIC ASSET AG
WLN WORLDLINE SA
FNTN FREENET AG
GLPG GALAPAGOS NV
ATRY ATRYS HEALTH
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
S30 SOLUTIONS 30 SE
FSNT FASHIONETTE AG
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
ANTIN ANTIN INFRASTRUCTURE PARTNERS
HGEA HGEARS AG
CTPNV CTP NV
FI-N GEORG FISCHER AG
VT5 VT5 ACQUISITION COMPANY AG
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
AF AIR FRANCE - KLM
- Carole Braudeau
Credit Morning 11/06/2025
Coty: Q1 earnings down sharply as expected, slightly more optimistic guidance for Q2|NIH attempts risky return to primary market|Sappi: EBITDA plummets in Q4 and the situation is unlikely to improve in the short term|Worldline presents its transformation plan and plans a capital increase of € 500m|Air Baltic: a new liquidity injection seems unavoidable|
- Carole Braudeau
Morning Crédit 06/11/2025
Coty : Résultats T1 en net repli comme attendu, guidance légèrement plus optimiste pour le T2|NIH tente un retour risqué sur le marché primaire|Sappi : l’EBITDA s’effondre au T4 et la situation ne devrait pas s’arranger à court-terme|Worldline présente son plan de transformation et compte réaliser une augmentation de capital de 500 m EUR|Air Baltic: a new liquidity injection seems unavoidable|
- Jan Frederik Slijkerman
- Jeroen van den Broek
- Jesse Norcross
- Nadège Tillier
- Timothy Rahill
Coffee, Croissants & Credit/Snam, Veolia, Engie, CTP, Vonovia, SES, BT...
Utilities: Snam posted robust 9M25 financials, Veolia 9M25 results show continued strong growth, Engie weak 9M25 results – spread tightening limited. Telecom: SES reports weak 3Q25 earnings, BT reports soft 1H26 results, Swisscom 3Q25 results look mixed, Telecom Italia reports solid 3Q25 results, KPN guides for somewhat higher leverage. Real Estate: CTP 9M25 - robust operating trends, Vonovia 9M25 - guidance confirmed
- Emira Sagaama
- Hela Zarrouk
- Michael Foundoukidis
- Oliver Metzger
FGA FIGEAC AERO SA
LXS LANXESS AG
KCO KLOECKNER & CO SE
JCQ JACQUET METALS SA
BAMNB KONINKLIJKE BAM GROEP NV
GN GN STORE NORD A/S
SOLB SOLVAY SA
GLB GLANBIA PLC
FIE FIELMANN AG
LNZ LENZING AG
DEZ DEUTZ AG
CFT COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE TRADITION
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
MELE MELEXIS NV
ROVI LABORATORIOS FARMACEUTICOS ROVI S.A.
VGP VGP NV
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
DIC DIC ASSET AG
WLN WORLDLINE SA
FNTN FREENET AG
GLPG GALAPAGOS NV
ATRY ATRYS HEALTH
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
S30 SOLUTIONS 30 SE
FSNT FASHIONETTE AG
ANTIN ANTIN INFRASTRUCTURE PARTNERS
HGEA HGEARS AG
FI-N GEORG FISCHER AG
VT5 VT5 ACQUISITION COMPANY AG
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
AF AIR FRANCE - KLM
- Stephane Beyazian
- Stephane Beyazian
- Carole Braudeau
- Carole Braudeau
- Ben Rickett
SES (Neutral, €6.5, -7%) Latest thoughts on C-band ahead of results
Ahead of the SES Q3 results next week, we refresh our C-band valuation to reflect the ongoing FCC inquiry process. We think new industry proposals increase the likelihood and scale of C-band clearing, which drives a meaningful increase to our SES target price (+€1.5/ share). In this brief note we discuss the C-band clearing process and our expectations for the Q3 results.
- Jan Frederik Slijkerman
- Jeroen van den Broek
- Jesse Norcross
- Nadège Tillier
- Timothy Rahill
- Jan Frederik Slijkerman
Benelux TMT Credits: How's it going? Where's the value?
These are exciting times in the Benelux TMT markets. In this new Benelux Credit TMT report we discuss the most attractive corporate bonds in the Benelux and wider TMT space and provide insights into the key developments driving the Dutch broadband market. We also discuss recent developments of the names under our coverage: ASML, SES, KPN, Proximus, VodafoneZiggo, Telenet, Wolters Kluwer and RELX. The latter section comes from previously published Flash Notes and have been updated where needed.
- Stephane Beyazian
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
BT.A BT GROUP PLC
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
ORA ORANGE SA
TKA TELEKOM AUSTRIA AG
EN BOUYGUES SA
SCMN SWISSCOM AG
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
GAMA GAMMA COMMUNICATIONS
HAL HAL TRUST
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
ACKB ACKERMANS & VAN HAAREN NV
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
MOB MOBILEZONE HOLDING AG
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
FNTN FREENET AG
DHER DELIVERY HERO SE
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
TEF TELEFONICA SA
NFN NFON AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
SUNN SUNRISE
- Hela Zarrouk
- Oliver Metzger
O2D TELEFONICA DEUTSCHLAND HOLDING AG
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
BT.A BT GROUP PLC
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
ORA ORANGE SA
TKA TELEKOM AUSTRIA AG
PBB DEUTSCHE PFANDBRIEFBANK AG
EN BOUYGUES SA
SCMN SWISSCOM AG
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
GAMA GAMMA COMMUNICATIONS
ALLAN LANSON-BCC
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
FIE FIELMANN AG
VLK VAN LANSCHOT KEMPEN NV CERT. OF SHS
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
SIFG SIF HOLDING NV
MOB MOBILEZONE HOLDING AG
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
FNTN FREENET AG
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
TEF TELEFONICA SA
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
NFN NFON AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
MRX MISTER SPEX SE
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
SUNN SUNRISE
- Stephane Beyazian
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
BT.A BT GROUP PLC
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
ORA ORANGE SA
TKA TELEKOM AUSTRIA AG
EN BOUYGUES SA
SCMN SWISSCOM AG
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
GAMA GAMMA COMMUNICATIONS
HAL HAL TRUST
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
ACKB ACKERMANS & VAN HAAREN NV
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
MOB MOBILEZONE HOLDING AG
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
FNTN FREENET AG
DHER DELIVERY HERO SE
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
TEF TELEFONICA SA
NFN NFON AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
SUNN SUNRISE
- Hela Zarrouk
- Oliver Metzger
O2D TELEFONICA DEUTSCHLAND HOLDING AG
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
BT.A BT GROUP PLC
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
ORA ORANGE SA
TKA TELEKOM AUSTRIA AG
PBB DEUTSCHE PFANDBRIEFBANK AG
EN BOUYGUES SA
SCMN SWISSCOM AG
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
GAMA GAMMA COMMUNICATIONS
ALLAN LANSON-BCC
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
FIE FIELMANN AG
VLK VAN LANSCHOT KEMPEN NV CERT. OF SHS
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
SIFG SIF HOLDING NV
MOB MOBILEZONE HOLDING AG
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
FNTN FREENET AG
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
TEF TELEFONICA SA
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
NFN NFON AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
MRX MISTER SPEX SE
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
SUNN SUNRISE
- Konrad Zomer
- Stephane Beyazian
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
BT.A BT GROUP PLC
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
ORA ORANGE SA
TKA TELEKOM AUSTRIA AG
EN BOUYGUES SA
SCMN SWISSCOM AG
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
GAMA GAMMA COMMUNICATIONS
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
MOB MOBILEZONE HOLDING AG
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
FNTN FREENET AG
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
TEF TELEFONICA SA
NFN NFON AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
SUNN SUNRISE
- Konrad Zomer
- Stephane Beyazian
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
BT.A BT GROUP PLC
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
ORA ORANGE SA
TKA TELEKOM AUSTRIA AG
EN BOUYGUES SA
SCMN SWISSCOM AG
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
GAMA GAMMA COMMUNICATIONS
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
MOB MOBILEZONE HOLDING AG
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
FNTN FREENET AG
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
TEF TELEFONICA SA
NFN NFON AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
SUNN SUNRISE
- Jan Frederik Slijkerman
SES: has it got its mojo back?/Intelsat acquisition: second step in tr...
With the recent acquisition of Intelsat and the launch of two new satellites for its O3b mPOWER satellite constellation, SES[de] has taken big steps in its transformation. Upcoming action points are the construction of IRIS2 and potentially a form of LEO activity. We think the notes look attractive, although leverage will move up with its next financial report.
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