GREATER CHINA Results Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK/BUY/HK$28.80/Target: HK$33.50) 3Q24: Beat across the board; expect sustained growth across all key segments. Maintain BUY and raise target price to HK$33.50. INDONESIA Update Indo Tambangraya Megah (ITMG IJ/SELL/Rp26,850/Target: Rp25,100) Expect profit to decline by 12% yoy in 2025, fuelled by lower ASP. MALAYSIA Results CelcomDigi (CDB MK/BUY/RM3.37/Target: RM4.50) 9M24: In line; stock offers 5% yiel...
STE’s 3Q24/9M24 revenue of S$2.78b/S$8.30b was in line with our expectations, forming 25%/74% of our 2024 full-year forecast. 3Q24 group revenue rose 14% yoy, driven by revenue growth in DPS (+31%, backed by strong demand) and CA (+7%). USS posted a 5% yoy revenue drop in 3Q24 as Satcom is still undergoing transformation. Orderbook remained strong at S$26.9b as of end-3Q24. Management is confident about ending 2024 with a strong performance. Maintain BUY. Target price: S$4.95.
After Powell’s Jackson Hole speech on 23 August, we see a turning point starting with a US Fed rate cut in Sep 24 and lower rates heading into 2025. In the Singapore market, REITs and the property sector should benefit, as should highly-geared companies and those looking to recycle capital. Our current forecasts have incorporated lower NIMs for banks which we believe are protected by their high dividend yields.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Property Developers: 1H24: A slight miss for CLI; worse-than-expected for CDL. Results AEM Holdings (AEM SP/SELL/S$1.46/Target:S$1.04): 1H24: Earnings and guidance way below estimates; reduce target price by 38%. First Resources (FR SP/BUY /S$1.39/Target: S$1.65): 1H24: Within expectations. Two positive points are: a) positive production growth vs contraction by most of peers, b) downstream turns profitable. Genting Singapore (GENS SP/BUY/S$0.82/Target: S$1.18): 2Q24: W...
GREATER CHINA Results Nexteer (1316 HK/SELL/HK$2.89/Target: HK$1.50) 1H24: Earnings miss estimates on revenue. Maintain SELL. Cut target price from HK$2.20 to HK$1.50. Tencent Holdings (700 HK/BUY/HK$373.80/Target: HK$490.00) 2Q24: Solid margin expansion; reaccelerated online games revenue growth. Update Foxconn Industrial Internet (601138 CH/BUY/Rmb21.38/Target: Rmb30.00) AI business continues to accelerate, GB200 scheduled to ship i...
1H24 headline net profit rose 19.9% yoy to S$337m. Core net profit of S$326m (+16.4% yoy) was in line with our expectation, at 49.7% of our full-year forecast. The misses in EBIT of CA and USS have been offset by the strength of DPS. We expect STE’s revenue and profit to hit new highs in 2024, and remain positive on its medium-term growth outlook underpinned by the record-high orderbook level of S$27.9b. Maintain BUY with an unchanged target price of S$4.95.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Update CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT SP/BUY/S$2.09/Target: S$2.29): Quality portfolio that commands well-deserved premium. Singapore Technologies Engineering (STE SP/BUY/S$4.38/Target: S$4.95): We expect core earnings to grow by a 10.8% CAGR in 2024-26, driven by stable/improving performance across its three key business segments. We recommend staying invested. TRADERS’ CORNER SIA Engineering Co (SIE SP): Trading BUY Broadway Industrial Group (BWAY SP): Trading ...
GREATER CHINA Economics Economic Activity 2Q24 growth below expectations. Strategy China And Hong Kong Property Sharper property price decline in 1H24 weighing on margins of Chinese developers; upcoming interest rate cut to support value of Hong Kong retail landlords. Update Kingmed Diagnostics (603882 CH/BUY/Rmb38.10/Target: Rmb35.00) 1H24 and 2024 results under pressu...
Despite STE’s recent share price strength, we recommend investors stay invested for its steady growth outlook, driven by expected stable/upbeat performances across its three business segments. We forecast STE’s core net profit growth at 10.8% CAGR in 2024-26. In light of the record-high orderbook that offers good visibility, we roll over our valuation to end-25. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of S$4.95.
Despite STE’s recent share price strength, we recommend investors stay invested for its steady growth outlook, driven by expected stable/upbeat performances across its three business segments. We forecast STE’s core net profit to achieve a 10.8% CAGR in 2024-26. In light of the record-high orderbook that offers good visibility, we roll over our valuation to end-25. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of S$4.95.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy Market Strategy: 2H24 strategy: Looking for turning points. Sector Banking: Donald Trump will likely be re-elected. BUY banks. TRADERS’ CORNER Singapore Tech Engineering (STE SP): Trading BUY Raffles Medical Group (RFMD SP): Trading BUY
GREATER CHINA Strategy Small-Mid Cap Monthly Reiterate BUY on Plover Bay Technologies. Sector Automobile Weekly: Sales of top 12 EV brands up 38% wow last week, in line. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL and Tuopu. Top SELL: XPeng. INDONESIA Update Sarana Menara Nusantara (TOWR IJ/BUY/Rp745/Target: Rp890) Number of towers to jump 10% on a...
Given our slightly more bullish earnings expectation of a 5.6% growth for 2024 (vs 2.4% six months ago), we have upgraded our 2024 year-end target for the STI to 3,380. The index’s current valuation remains inexpensive at 2024F PE and P/B of 10.5x and 1.1x respectively. Our top picks for 2H24 are CLI, GENS, KEP, MINT, OCBC, SCI, STE, VMS and YZJSGD, with CSE, FEHT, FRKN, MPM and VALUE rounding up the small/mid-caps sector.
Given our slightly more bullish earnings expectations of 5.6% growth for 2024 (vs 2.4% six months ago), we have upgraded our 2024 year-end target for the STI to 3,380 which implies 1.0% upside from current levels. The index’s current valuation remains inexpensive at 2024F PE and P/B of 10.5x and 1.1x respectively. Our top picks for 2H24 are CLI, GENS, KEP, MINT, OCBC, SCI, STE, VMS and YZJSGD, with CSE, FEHT, FRKN, MPM and VALUE rounding up the small/mid-caps sector.
GREATER CHINA Strategy China and Hong Kong Property: More patience needed for China’s destocking policy; Hong Kong retail landlords facing both challenges and opportunities. INDONESIA Sector Banking: 1Q24 results wrap-up: NIM revision due to higher CoF. MALAYSIA Results Carlsberg Brewery Malaysia (CAB MK/BUY/RM19.44/Target: RM25.10): 1Q24: Within expectations. While earnings were seasonally strong, Singapore was affected by the loss of Asahi. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of RM25.10....
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results RH Petrogas (RHP SP/BUY/S$0.164/Target: S$0.242): 1Q24: Better-than-expected results due to higher production and oil prices, helped by good cost control. Looking forward to two exploration wells in 2H24. SIA Engineering (SIE SP/BUY/S$2.33/Target: S$2.70): FY24: Core net profit in line; expect further earnings recovery in FY25. Maintain BUY. Singapore Technologies Engineering (STE SP/BUY/S$4.03/Target: S$4.50): 1Q24: Strong 1Q24 revenue performance bodes well for the fu...
STE’s 1Q24 revenue of S$2.70b is in line, accounting for 24.6% of our full-year projection. Group revenue rose 18% yoy, driven by strong revenue growth in CA (+32%, backed by strong demand) and DPS (+14%). USS posted yoy marginally lower revenue due to project timing. A strong orderbook of S$27.7b as of end-1Q24 provides good revenue visibility in the medium term. Maintain BUY on STE for its strong organic core earnings growth (2024-26 CAGR: 10.2%). Target price: S$4.50.
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