KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy The Impact Of Escalating Middle East Tensions A fluid situation with oil prices the key worry. Small/Mid Cap Highlights BRC Asia (BRC SP/BUY/S$1.94/Target: S$2.42) 1QFY24: Strong results as construction demand recovers. TRADERS’ CORNER Aztech Global (AZTECH SP): Trading BUY Isdn Holdings (ISDN SP): Trading BUY
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: PEV market share rebounds; price war heats up. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Top SELLs: XPeng. Top BUY: CATL, Tuopu and Desay SV. Results Budweiser APAC (1876 HK/BUY/HK$12.68/Target: HK$19.50): 2023: Results miss; mixed signals from the results. Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK/HOLD/HK$242.80/Target: HK$262.00): 4Q23: Passable results. Maintain HOLD. NetEase (9999 HK/BUY/HK$176.20/Target: HK$202.00): 4Q23: Earnings miss; upcoming blockbusters in 2024. New...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results AEM Holdings (AEM SP/HOLD/S$2.14/Target:S$1.94): 2023: Revenue meets forecast but 2024 guidance misses expectation; maintain HOLD. First Resources (FR SP/BUY /S$1.42/Target: S$1.65): 2023: 2H results below expectations as downstream losses are greater than expected due to negative margins for both refiner and biodiesel. Better outlook in 2024. Riverstone Holdings (RSTON SP/BUY/S$0.675/Target: S$0.88): 2023: Strong earnings beat, attractive 2024 yield of around 10%. Sin...
2023 headline/core net profit of S$586m/S$554m was in line with our expectations, at 98%/99% of our full-year forecasts. The slight weakness in CA margins in 2H23 has been offset by strengths in DPS and USS. We have raised our 2024-26 core net profit forecasts by 3.9-4.5% to reflect slightly higher revenue delivery and more favourable margin mix. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of S$4.50.
GREATER CHINA Economics Money Supply: A little less to cheer. Strategy Small-Mid Cap Biweekly: Riding on the wave of AI PC; Thunder Software Technology is a beneficiary. Sector Internet: 3Q23 results preview: Solid e-commerce ad growth to drive sector growth; potential positive surprise from online game grossing. Internet: Muted growth acceleration from 11.11 campaign. Update Xtep International Holdings (1368 HK/BUY/HK$6.43/Target: HK$9.50): Revenue guidance revised down yet sales target maintai...
STE’s 3Q23 revenue of S$2.43b (+8.8% yoy) was largely in line with our expectations, with 3Q23/9M23 revenue at 25%/76% of our full-year projections. One small incremental negative this quarter was management’s moderated profit guidance for the USS division due to the ongoing transformation of the Satcom business. Overall, STE’s growth outlook is largely intact, underpinned by its strong orderbook (close to record high). Maintain BUY and target price of S$4.20.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Banking: 3Q23 round-up: Building buffers to weather heightened geopolitical uncertainties. Results AEM Holdings (AEM SP/BUY/S$3.34/Target:S$3.63): 9M23: Revenue in line with forecast; recovery expected in late-24. CSE Global (CSE SP/BUY/S$0.435/Target: S$0.61): 3Q23: Results in line; growth backed by strong orderbook. First Resources (FR SP/BUY/S$1.43/Target: S$1.65): 3Q23: Results slightly below expectation on lower-than-expected sales volume. This was mainly due to sh...
GREATER CHINA Economics Money Supply: Slower credit growth puts reflation trade at risk. Results Li Ning (2331 HK/BUY/HK$43.35/Target: HK$54.20): 1H23: Results missed; a tough 2H23 ahead. INDONESIA Results Astra International (ASII IJ/BUY/Rp6,750/Target: Rp7,600): 2Q23: Strong results in auto & financial services drive 17% core NPAT growth. MALAYSIA Strategy State Elections: Our risk-on strategy is intact with the unity government maintaining a comfortable majority in its three states. Expect ...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector REITs: 3QFY23: FLT (in line); 2Q23: SASSR (in line). Results Bumitama Agri (BAL SP/BUY/S$0.560/Target: S$0.650): 1H23: Results beat our and consensus expectations, thanks to its higher-than-peers CPO ASP and higher CPO output. CapitaLand Investment (CLI SP/BUY/S$3.18/Target: S$4.25): 1H23: Still waiting on sustained recovery in China. First Resources (FR SP/HOLD/S$1.54/Target: S$1.65): 1H23: Above expectations. Expect better 2H23 on higher production and downstream impr...
1H23 headline net profit of S$281m was driven by the significantly improved core earnings (S$285m, +41% yoy), which formed 54% of our full-year forecast. The beat was due to exceptionally strong DPS margins in 1H23. Record-high orderbook of S$27.7b underpins STE’s medium-term revenue growth. Its fine execution so far and clearer guidance on target margins for respective businesses have also led to our better conviction on its earnings growth outlook. Maintain BUY. Target: S$4.20.
Our analysis of compensation in Singapore suggests that for 2022, companies were generally fair in remunerating their CEOs and board of directors. Compared with their net profit, YZJ, SingTel and SIA generated the most “value” out of their CEOs, while based on ROE, SGX, Starhub, ST Engineering, SIA and YZJ performed well. Based on their respective 2022 share price performance, pay for the CEOs of Seatrium, SCI and KEP appear to be well-justified.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results ComfortDelGro Corporation (CD SP/HOLD/S$1.18/Target: S$1.27): 1Q23: Flat results in line; no upcoming catalysts. CSE Global (CSE SP/BUY/S$0.340/Target: S$0.420): 1Q23: Revenue in line with expectations; attractive yield of about 8%. Singapore Technologies Engineering (STE SP/BUY/S$3.62/Target: S$4.00): 1Q23: Revenue broadly in line with record-high orderbook. United Hampshire US REIT (UHU SP/BUY/US$0.445/Target: US$0.710): 1Q23: Strip centres at the forefront of a ret...
STE’s 1Q23 revenue of S$2.29b (+12.5% yoy) was broadly in line with our expectations, at 23.7% of our full-year projection. The stronger-than-expected contribution by CA was partly offset by the slight misses in the USS and DPS segments, which are likely due to timing issues. Orderbook hit a record-high of S$25.4b as of end-1Q23, thanks to strong order wins at the DPS segment. Management expects STE’s project deliveries to be more back-end loaded in 2H23. Maintain BUY and target price of S$4.00.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Small-Mid Cap Biweekly: Positive on SOE reform; Qingdao Port International as an attractive play with low valuation. Sector Commodities: Weekly: Gold continues to shine amid market chaos. Small/Mid Cap Highlights Ocumension Therapeutics (1477 HK/NOT RATED/HK$8.06): A leading ophthalmic pharmaceutical platform company. INDONESIA Update Bukalapak.com (BUKA IJ/BUY/Rp212/Target: Rp420): Continuous improvement. MALAYSIA Update Tenaga Nasional (TNB MK/BUY/RM9.52/Target: RM10.4...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Banking: 4Q22 round-up: Scaling greater heights in dividend payout. Results ComfortDelGro Corporation (CD SP/HOLD/S$1.20/Target: S$1.29): 2022: Slight miss, riding into upcoming headwinds. Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp (OCBC SP/BUY/S$12.67/Target: S$18.25): 4Q22: Ushering in a new regime of certainty for higher payout. Singapore Technologies Engineering (STE SP/BUY/S$3.56/Target: S$4.00): 2022: Headline profit helped by one-offs; core profit misses on margin pressure. Vent...
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