GREATER CHINA Strategy China And Hong Kong Property & Hong Kong Landlord Tariffs curtail US rate cuts, thereby hindering the recovery of Hong Kong property and tourism; Maintain OVERWEIGHT on China property. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperform In Mar 25 Remove BBNI, BBRI, ASII, JSMR and KLBF; add BBCA, ICBP, ERAA and BUKA. MALAYSIA Update Pekat Group (PEKAT MK/BUY/RM1.08/Target: RM1.45) Good earnings visibility over 2025...
The selloff driven by the US’ unprecedented and perplexing tariff plans has liberated many investors of profits this year. Given the fluidity of market conditions, we highlight a number of domestic-focused stocks such as CENT, CD, DFI, HLA, PANU, PROP, RFMD, SSG and SIE as well as Singapore-focused REITS such as CDLHT, FEHT, FCT, KREIT, LREIT and PREIT. In addition, the MAS’ equity market review should inject much needed liquidity in 2H25. We lower our STI target to 3,720 (previously 4,115).
GREATER CHINA Results China Resources Beer (291 HK/BUY/HK$28.50/Target: HK$39.90): 2024: Results miss; a strong start and positive outlook for 2025. KE Holdings Inc (2423 HK/BUY/HK$67.20/Target: HK$80.00): 4Q24: Solid top-line beat; earnings miss; expecting stabilised outlook in 2025. WuXi AppTec (2359 HK/BUY/HK$72.35/Target: HK$90.00): 2024: Results satisfactory; targets continued operations for accelerated revenue growth of 10-15% yoy in 2025. Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK/BUY/HK$57.65/Target: HK$63.90...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Update Singapore Technologies Engineering (STE SP/BUY/S$6.38/Target: S$6.80): Upbeat growth outlook with aggressive 2029 growth targets. Maintain BUY. MONTHLY TECHNICAL - INDICES OUTLOOK FTSE Straits Times Index (STI IND): Price stays strong and bullish
During its 2025 Investor Day, STE unveiled aggressive growth targets ahead, aiming to achieve S$17b group revenue by 2029 (five-year CAGR: 8.6%) and potentially even faster net profit growth (up to 13.6% CAGR). Given STE’s strong track record, we have high hopes that STE will be able to deliver these growth targets. We raise our 2025-27 core earnings forecasts by 2-16% accordingly. Maintain BUY on STE, with a higher target price of S$6.80, based on 23.5x 2026F PE (1.5SD above mean).
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Bumitama Agri (BAL SP/BUY/S$0.81/Target: S$0.99): 4Q24: Results above expectations; records higher CPO ASP. CDL Hospitality Trusts (CDREIT SP/BUY/S$0.795/Target: S$1.00): 2H24: Hampered by weakness in Singapore and New Zealand. Hong Leong Asia (HLA SP/BUY/S$0.925/Target:S$1.11): 2024: Results in line, dividend doubles. Sembcorp Industries (SCI SP/BUY/S$6.03/Target: S$8.00): 2024: Strong results with medium-term growth intact. Maintain BUY. Singapore Technologies Engineeri...
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PV sales picked up wow while the wait-and-see sentiment continues. Upgrade Li Auto and XPeng from HOLD to BUY and raise target price to HK$156.00 and HK$110.00 respectively. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL, Fuyao and Desay. Results BeiGene (6160 HK/BUY/HK$161.60/Target: HK$220.00) 2024: Results beat; targets operating profit...
2024 core net profit of S$681m (+23% yoy) came in slightly above our expectations, at 102.3% of our full-year forecast, thanks to better-than-expected margins of CA and USS. Headline net profit rose 20% yoy to S$702m. STE declared a higher 4Q24 dividend of 5 S cents (+1 S cent yoy). We remain positive on STE’s growth outlook in the medium term, underpinned by its record-high level of orderbook of S$28.5b as at end-24. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of S$5.55.
While sounding a word of caution for medium-term government revenues, Prime Minister Wong delivered a budget that continued to defray the pain of inflation with an eye toward clean energy, climate change and helping lower-income households. No new equities market proposals were announced, which may disappoint investors in the short term. Our top picks are BAL, CD, KEP, OCBC, STE, STM, SCI, ST, VMS and YZJSGD.
For 1H25, we believe that a number of stocks within our universe should deliver strong returns in the near to medium term, backed by sustainable dividend yields despite our modest below-consensus 1.2% EPS growth forecast for our covered STI stocks in 2025. We forecast a 2025 year-end target of 4,115 for the STI, implying a 10% upside from current levels. Our top picks are BAL, CD, KEP, MINT, OCBC, SCI, ST, STE, VMS and YZJSGD. For the small/mid caps, we like CENT, CSE, MPM, SSG and VALUE.
Our modest below-consensus 1.2% EPS growth forecast for our covered STI stocks for 2025 belies the fact that there are a number of stocks within our universe that should deliver strong returns in the near to medium term, backed by sustainable dividend yields. We forecast a 2025 year-end target of 4,115 for the STI, implying 10% upside from current levels, with the index’s current valuation looking inexpensive at 2025F PE and P/B of 11.5x and 1.2x respectively.
GREATER CHINA Results Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK/BUY/HK$28.80/Target: HK$33.50) 3Q24: Beat across the board; expect sustained growth across all key segments. Maintain BUY and raise target price to HK$33.50. INDONESIA Update Indo Tambangraya Megah (ITMG IJ/SELL/Rp26,850/Target: Rp25,100) Expect profit to decline by 12% yoy in 2025, fuelled by lower ASP. MALAYSIA Results CelcomDigi (CDB MK/BUY/RM3.37/Target: RM4.50) 9M24: In line; stock offers 5% yiel...
STE’s 3Q24/9M24 revenue of S$2.78b/S$8.30b was in line with our expectations, forming 25%/74% of our 2024 full-year forecast. 3Q24 group revenue rose 14% yoy, driven by revenue growth in DPS (+31%, backed by strong demand) and CA (+7%). USS posted a 5% yoy revenue drop in 3Q24 as Satcom is still undergoing transformation. Orderbook remained strong at S$26.9b as of end-3Q24. Management is confident about ending 2024 with a strong performance. Maintain BUY. Target price: S$4.95.
After Powell’s Jackson Hole speech on 23 August, we see a turning point starting with a US Fed rate cut in Sep 24 and lower rates heading into 2025. In the Singapore market, REITs and the property sector should benefit, as should highly-geared companies and those looking to recycle capital. Our current forecasts have incorporated lower NIMs for banks which we believe are protected by their high dividend yields.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Property Developers: 1H24: A slight miss for CLI; worse-than-expected for CDL. Results AEM Holdings (AEM SP/SELL/S$1.46/Target:S$1.04): 1H24: Earnings and guidance way below estimates; reduce target price by 38%. First Resources (FR SP/BUY /S$1.39/Target: S$1.65): 1H24: Within expectations. Two positive points are: a) positive production growth vs contraction by most of peers, b) downstream turns profitable. Genting Singapore (GENS SP/BUY/S$0.82/Target: S$1.18): 2Q24: W...
GREATER CHINA Results Nexteer (1316 HK/SELL/HK$2.89/Target: HK$1.50) 1H24: Earnings miss estimates on revenue. Maintain SELL. Cut target price from HK$2.20 to HK$1.50. Tencent Holdings (700 HK/BUY/HK$373.80/Target: HK$490.00) 2Q24: Solid margin expansion; reaccelerated online games revenue growth. Update Foxconn Industrial Internet (601138 CH/BUY/Rmb21.38/Target: Rmb30.00) AI business continues to accelerate, GB200 scheduled to ship i...
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