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Benyamin Mikael
  • Benyamin Mikael

Aneka Tambang (ANTM IJ) - Near-Term Headwinds, Long-Term Outlook Remai...

• ANTM’s 2H25 production is set to slow on supply constraints, with 2025 gold sales guided at about 43.8 tonnes (similar to 2024 level) and nickel ore at around 16m wmt. • We maintain BUY with a lower target price of Rp4,000 (from Rp4,600), as near-term headwinds are outweighed by gold proxy positioning, upside from persistently high gold prices, and a solid long-term outlook.

Benyamin Mikael ... (+3)
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Maskun Ramli
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Indonesia Daily - Tuesday, September 9, 2025

Strategy: Impact Of Cabinet Reshuffle There are changes in the formation of ministers, with the Minister of Finance being a notable replacement. Share prices for big banks go down while cigarette stocks are up. The 2026 budget outlook and fiscal stance are key catalysts. Company Update | Aneka Tambang (ANTM IJ/BUY/Rp3,610/Target: Rp4,000) ANTM’s 2H25 production is set to slow on supply constraints, with 2025 gold sales guided at about 43.8 tonnes (similar to 2024 level) and nickel ore at arou...

Benyamin Mikael ... (+14)
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Damon Shen
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Ming San Soong
  • Philip Wong
  • Sunny Chen
  • Tham Mun Hon
  • Willinoy Sitorus
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, September 09, 2025

Greater China Economics | Trade China’s export momentum softened in August as front-loaded US demand has faded, exposing the vulnerability of shipments to the US market. While the trade diversion supported flows to ASEAN and the EU, overall growth moderated. Imports also weakened amid subdued agricultural demand, despite firmer commodity-related inflows. Pro...

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+18)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Alden Gabriel Lam
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Ken Lee
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Singapore Research Team
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Monday, August 25, 2025

GREATER CHINA Results CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (1093 HK/BUY/HK$10.51/Target: HK$12.00) 1H25: Results miss; expects hoh sales recovery and two more BD deals in 2H25. Ganfeng Lithium (1772 HK/BUY/HK$30.80/Target: HK$40.00) 2Q25: Net loss in line; 3Q25 turnaround on the back of lithium carbonate price recovery. Maintain BUY, target price: HK$40.00. Li Ning (2331 HK/HOLD/HK$19.70/Target: HK$18.90) 1H25: Results beat but challenges remain in 2H25; fa...

FCT FRASERS CENTREPOINT TRUST
ANTM PT ANEKA TAMBANG TBK
01093 CSPC PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP LIMITED
BBRI PT BANK RAKYAT INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
V03 VENTURE CORPORATION LIMITED
02331 LI NING COMPANY LIMITED
U96 SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD.
B8O YANGZIJIANG SHIPBUILDING (HOLDINGS) LTD.
BUOU FRASERS LOGISTICS & COMMERCIAL TRUST
BMRI PT BANK MANDIRI (PERSERO) TBK
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
Z74 SINGAPORE TELECOMMUNICATIONS LIMITED
7153 KOSSAN RUBBER INDUSTRIES BHD.
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
BN4 KEPPEL CORPORATION LIMITED
PTTGC PTT GLOBAL CHEMICAL PUBLIC COMPANY LTD
Q5T FAR EAST HOSPITALITY TRUST
01316 NEXTEER AUTOMOTIVE GROUP LIMITED
D01 DAIRY FARM INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
G13 GENTING SINGAPORE LIMITED
CDREIT CDL HOSPITALITY TRUSTS
SUN SUNTECH SA
KREIT KEPPEL REIT
MLT MAPLETREE LOGISTICS TRUST
PREIT PARKWAYLIFE REAL ESTATE
MINT MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
1772 GANFENG LITHIUM CO. LTD. CLASS H
1093 CSPC PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP LTD
UHU UNITED HAMPSHIRE US REIT
GREATEC GREATECH TECHNOLOGY BHD
CRPU SASSEUR REIT (S CHIP)
CICT CAPITALAND INTEGRATED COMMERCIAL TRUST
LREIT SP LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
OXMU PRIME US REIT
HMN ASCOTT RESIDENCE TRUST
CLCT CAPITALAND CHINA TRUST
KORE KEPPEL PACIFIC OAK US REIT
SE US SEA LIMITED
9CI CAPITALAND INVESTMENT LTD
BBNI BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
BRIS BANK BRISYARIAH TBK
MXNU ELITE COMMERCIAL REIT MGNT PTE LTD
CLAR CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
DCRU DIGITAL CORE REIT MANAGEMENT PTE. LTD.
PEKAT PEKAT GROUP BHD
BRMS IJ BUMI RESOURCES MINERALS
ZETRIX MK ZETRIX AI (ZETRIX MK)
ARCI IJ ARCHI INDONESIA (ARCI IJ)
Alden Gabriel Lam ... (+3)
  • Alden Gabriel Lam
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Posmarito Pakpahan

Strategy - From Bars To ETFs: Gold’s Next Chapter

Indonesia plans to launch its first gold ETF in 4Q25, led by IDX and OJK, to channel culturally accepted gold investment into a regulated digital investment product. Strong retail appetite, as seen in BRIS and Pegadaian’s gold growth, underpins a potential AUM expansion. As one of the largest gold producers in the world, Indonesia can source bullion locally and integrate domestic miners, Pegadaian, BRIS, refiners (ANTM) and banks into an ecosystem, creating a virtuous circle across the value cha...

Alden Gabriel Lam ... (+4)
  • Alden Gabriel Lam
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Maskun Ramli
  • Posmarito Pakpahan

Indonesia Daily - Monday, August 25, 2025

Strategy: From Bars To ETFs: Gold’s Next Chapter: Indonesia’s upcoming gold ETF: Unlocking cultural demand and deepening capital market. TRADERS’ CORNER Medco Energi Internasional (MEDC IJ): Technical BUY Mitra Adiperkasa (MAPI IJ): Technical BUY

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, July 03, 2025

GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: July Conviction Calls Add CATL, KE Holdings, Longfor, Midea Group, Tencent and TME to our BUY list. Take profit on Prudential. Sector Online Games Upcoming new game releases to capitalise on the summer holiday season. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Good Performances In June Our new alpha picks are ANTM, BBCA, ERAA, ICBP, MYOR, MIKA...

BJC BERLI JUCKER PUBLIC CO. LTD.
AEONTS AEON THANA SINSAP (THAILAND) PCL
CK CH. KARNCHANG PCL
KTC KRUNGTHAI CARD PCL
A0M4P7 HAN'S LASER TECHNOLOGY INDUSTRY GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00291 CHINA RESOURCES BEER (HOLDINGS) CO. LTD.
ANTM PT ANEKA TAMBANG TBK
BN2 VALUETRONICS HOLDINGS
3K1 KINGSOFT CORP. LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
AMRT SUMBER ALFARIA TRIJAYA TBK PT
AIY IFAST
COM7 COM7
558 UMS HOLDINGS LIMITED
MYOR MAYORA INDAH
C52 COMFORTDELGRO CORPORATION LIMITED
KBANK KASIKORNBANK PUBLIC CO. LTD.
01177 SINO BIOPHARMACEUTICAL LIMITED
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
002472 ZHEJIANG SHUANGHUAN DRIVELINE (A)
ERAA ERAJAYA SWASEMBADA
TLKM PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
000333 MIDEA GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
TCAP THANACHART CAPITAL PCL
MIKA MITRA KELUARGA KARYASEHAT
SAWAD SRISAWAD CORPORATION PUBLIC COMPANY LTD
D01 DAIRY FARM INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
01810 XIAOMI CORP. CLASS B
VSI V.S. INDUSTRY BERHAD
MTC MUANGTHAI CAPITAL PCL
SSG SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD
ICBP INDOFOOD CBP SUKSES MAKMUR T
CPALL TB CP ALL
01801 INNOVENT BIOLOGICS INC.
PROP PROPNEX LTD
FEH FOOD EMPIRE HOLDINGS LTD
FRKN FRENCKEN GROUP LTD
CSSC CHINA SUNSINE CHEMICAL HOLDINGS LTD
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
09999 NETEASE INC
CICT CAPITALAND INTEGRATED COMMERCIAL TRUST
LREIT SP LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
02618 JD LOGISTICS INC
02423 KE HOLDINGS INC.
CLAR CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
SDG SD GUTHRIE BHD
STECON STECON GROUP PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
1698 HK TENCENT MUSIC ENTERTAINMENT GROUP
TIDLOR TIDLOR HOLDINGS PCL
3750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY (3750 HK)
Johnny Yum
  • Johnny Yum

Strategy - Alpha Picks: Good Performances In June

Our Jun 25 portfolio outperformed the JCI and LQ45 by +5.1%/+7.1% respectively, mainly driven by DKFT (+16% performance) and outperformances by other stocks such as ANTM, CMRY and AMRT. Several major events to watch out this month include upcoming IPOs (especially the sizeable Chandra Daya Investasi (CDIA) IPO worth about US$143m) and the outcome of the US-Indo reciprocal tariffs discussion on 9 July. Our new Alpha Picks are ANTM, BBCA, ERAA, ICBP, MYOR, MIKA, AMRT and TLKM.

Johnny Yum
  • Johnny Yum

Indonesia Daily - Thursday, July 3, 2025

Strategy: Alpha Picks: Good Performances In June: Our new Alpha Picks are ANTM, BBCA, ERAA, ICBP, MYOR, MIKA, AMRT and TLKM. TRADERS’ CORNER Sarana Menara Nusantara (TOWR IJ): Technical BUY Astra International (ASII IJ): Technical BUY

Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad ... (+11)
  • Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Colin Lee
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Johnny Yum
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Monday, June 23, 2025

GREATER CHINA Sector Insurance Weighing the risks and returns. Update Sunny Optical (2382 HK/BUY/HK$65.15/Target: HK$100.00) Takeaways from 2025 Investor Day. Maintain BUY. INDONESIA Strategy Challenging Macro Environment Adds To Case For Rate Cut Our top picks are BBCA, BBRI, ANTM, AMRT, ICBP, CMRY and ERAA. MALAYSIA Sector Automobile ...

Johnny Yum ... (+2)
  • Johnny Yum
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Strategy - Challenging Macro Environment Adds To Case For Rate Cut

The JCI rebounded to about 7,000 after bottoming out at 5,968 on 9 April, following a series of developments including corporate buyback announcements, the creation of Danantara, and market anticipation of a BI rate cut which materialised on 21 May (25bp cut). Catalysts to monitor in 2H25 include: a) further BI rate cut(s), b) a slowdown in SRBI reissuance which would free up banking liquidity, c) further government economic stimulus measures, and d) heavier government spending.

Johnny Yum ... (+3)
  • Johnny Yum
  • Maskun Ramli
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Indonesia Daily - Monday, June 23, 2025

Strategy: Challenging Macro Environment Adds To Case For Rate Cut: Our top picks are BBCA, BBRI, ANTM, AMRT, ICBP, CMRY and ERAA. TRADERS’ CORNER Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ): Technical BUY Map Aktif Adiperkasa (MAPA IJ): Technical BUY

Johnny Yum ... (+2)
  • Johnny Yum
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Strategy - Challenging Macro Environment, More Reason For A Rate Cut

The JCI rebounded to about 7,000 after bottoming out at 5,968 on 9 April, following a series of developments including corporate buyback announcements, the creation of Danantara, and market anticipation of a BI rate cut which materialised on 21 May (25bp cut). Catalysts to monitor in 2H25 are further rate BI cut(s), a slowdown in SRBI reissuance which would free up banking liquidity, further government economic stimulus measures, and heavier government spending. • In need of a rate cut and an in...

Willinoy Sitorus
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Strategy - Takeaways From Our Marketing Trip To Kuala Lumpur

We met with 12 investors in Kuala Lumpur, and the overall tone among Malaysian-based funds can be best described as cautious but engaged. Indonesia remains firmly on their radar, but several overhangs persist, particularly around the evolving political landscape, policy clarity, the free meal programme and weak purchasing power. 2H25 government spending and a further rate cut are catalysts, in our view. Our year-end target for the JCI is 7,500.

Benyamin Mikael ... (+9)
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Damon Shen
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jack Lai Yuan Khai
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Philip Wong
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, June 18, 2025

GREATER CHINA Sector Property Takeaways from channel check at The Southside. INDONESIA Strategy Higher Oil Prices Bode Well For Some Participants Beneficiaries of higher oil prices. Takeaways From Our Marketing Trip To Kuala Lumpur Cautious but engaged. MALAYSIA Sector Construction Sector resists tensions from global uncerta...

Benyamin Mikael ... (+3)
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Maskun Ramli
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Indonesia Daily - Wednesday, June 18, 2025

Strategy: Higher Oil Prices Bode Well For Some Market Participants: Beneficiaries of higher oil prices. Takeaways From Our Marketing Trip To Kuala Lumpur: Cautious but engaged. TRADERS’ CORNER Astra Agro Lestari (AALI IJ): Technical BUY Jasa Marga (JSMR IJ): Technical BUY

Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad ... (+10)
  • Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Damon Shen
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Lester Siew
  • Singapore Research Team
  • Tham Mun Hon

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, June 10, 2025

GREATER CHINA Economics Inflation: Upstream deflationary pressures intensify. Trade: May data weighed down by higher tariffs. Sector Property: Shenzhen taps HPF for down payments to stabilise the property market; land market sees divergence among cities. INDONESIA Update Aneka Tambang (ANTM IJ/BUY/Rp3,450/Target: Rp4,600): Capitalising on gold’s momentum despite environmental headwinds. MALAYSIA Sector Plantation: 1Q25 results largely met expectations. We expect 2Q25 earnings to be supported b...

Benyamin Mikael
  • Benyamin Mikael

Aneka Tambang (ANTM IJ) - Capitalising On Gold’s Momentum Despite Envi...

UOB Bank expects gold prices to reach US$3,700 by 2Q26 amid geopolitical risks and strong demand. Despite a temporary halt at ANTM’s PT Gag Nikel mine, our 2025 earnings forecast remains intact. We raise our target price to Rp4,600, based on 10.1x EV/EBITDA (+1SD vs three-year average, previously at average). We use a conservative gold price of US$3,200 (2025F) and US$3,400 (2026F). Expectations of persistently high gold prices above US$3,700 in 2Q26 provide greater upside visibility.

Benyamin Mikael ... (+2)
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Maskun Ramli

Indonesia Daily - Tuesday, June 10, 2025

Aneka Tambang (ANTM IJ/BUY/Rp3,450/Target: Rp4,600): Capitalising on gold’s momentum despite environmental headwinds. TRADERS’ CORNER Rukun Raharja (RAJA IJ): Technical BUY Allo Bank Indonesia (BBHI IJ): Technical BUY

Damon Shen ... (+6)
  • Damon Shen
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Johnny Yum
  • Keith Wee Teck Keong
  • Singapore Research Team

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, June 03, 2025

GREATER CHINA Strategy China Property & Hong Kong Property & Hong Kong Landlord Manageable pressure in mainland property market; improved tourism and retail sales momentum in Hong Kong. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Good Performances in May Good performances from most with the exception of GOTO and BUKA. MALAYSIA Results CIMB Group (CIMB MK/HOLD/RM6.93/Target: RM7.70) 1Q25: Earnings in line, underpinned by lower provisions. Mai...

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