The MSCI EM index continues to develop positively from a price perspective and we expect higher prices ahead. RS for the MSCI EM index is consolidating when compared to the MSCI EAFE index, which we believe is largely due to consolidation in the U.S. dollar. Therefore, the direction of the dollar will be critical for EM equities. A breakout in the USD may begin to create problems for EM, whereas a failure to break above 97.70-98 resistance and a gradual weakening of the USD should be an environm...
Broadly speaking, RS for MSCI EM is currently exhibiting some mild deterioration vs. MSCI EAFE following four months of clear outperformance. Nonetheless, the MSCI EM index is bottoming and remains attractive from a price perspective. We believe this recent RS weakness could very well be part of a longer-term RS bottoming process - especially if the U.S. dollar (DXY) is unable to break above 98. Below we highlight attractive and actionable themes within EM: • EM Countries: China has assumed a...
Opportunity in EM countries Our cautious outlook and expectation for continued downward pressure on global equities remains intact. Broad global indexes (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-U.S., EAFE, and EM) are all trading within patterns of lower highs and lower lows, leading us to believe the most likely scenario is that this near-term bounce is likely nothing more than a countertrend rally before longer-term downtrends reassert themselves. • Opportunity in EM. Both a top-down and bottoms-up analysis po...
Ford Equity International Research Reports cover 60 countries with over 30,000 stocks traded on international exchanges. A proprietary quantitative system compares each company to its peers on proven measures of business value, growth characteristics, and investor behavior. Ford's three recommendation ratings buy, hold and sell, represent each stock’s return potential relative to its own country market.. The rating reports which are generated each week, include the fundamental details behind...
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