>Q1 2024 trading update slightly below expectations - IHG has just released its Q1 2024 trading update with RevPAR up 2.6% y-o-y, slightly below expectations at +3.1% (ODDO BHF +3.2%e). This is driven by price, at +2.3% while the occupancy rate was broadly flat (+0.2pt). In detail, Q1 2024 RevPAR by region: 1/ Americas: -0.3% (ODDO BHF at +1.0%) was affected by an adverse calendar timing due to the Easter break (leading to lower demand in late March but followed by hi...
>Q1 2024 trading update slightly below expectations - IHG has just released its Q1 2024 trading update with RevPAR up 2.6% y-o-y, slightly below expectations at +3.1% (ODDO BHF +3.2%e). This is driven by price, at +2.3% while the occupancy rate was broadly flat (+0.2pt). In detail, Q1 2024 RevPAR by region: 1/ Americas: -0.3% (ODDO BHF at +1.0%) was affected by an adverse calendar timing due to the Easter break (leading to lower demand in late March but followed by hi...
>Q1 2024 slightly higher than expected, sequential acceleration in NUG - Accor reported Q1 2024 sales of € 1,236m (+8% on a reported basis), 2% higher than the consensus of € 1,216m (ODDO BHF estimate: € 1,197m). The Q1 performance was driven by all regions, especially the Middle East and Asia-Pacific, satisfactory price trends (+5.5%) and higher occupancy rates (+1.2 pt). By division, Management & Franchise (M&F) revenue reached € 294m (+10% yoy), buoyed by solid dem...
>T1 24 légèrement au-dessus des attentes, accélération séquentielle du NUG - Accor a publié un CA T1 2024 à 1 236 M€ (+8% en publié), 2% au-dessus des attentes à 1 216 M€ (ODDO BHF 1 197 M€). La performance au T1 a été soutenue par toutes les régions, en particulier le Moyen-Orient et l’Asie-Pacifique, un bon niveau de prix (+5.5%) et des taux d’occupation (TO) qui progressent (+1.2 pt). Par division, le CA Management & Franchise (M&F) atteint 294 M€ (+10% y-o-y), sou...
In the run-up to the 2024 Summer Olympic Games and Euro 2024 football tournament, we have identified six stocks to favour: JCDecaux, Accor, Sodexo, adidas, Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield and easyJet. While these two major sporting events are not expected to have a significant impact on the host economies in the medium term, the microeconomic and sectoral impacts should be more marked. The tourism, transport, beverages and consumer goods sectors are expected to be the main winners. Som...
En amont des Jeux Olympiques d’été et de l’Euro de football 2024, nous identifions 6 valeurs à privilégier : JCDecaux, Accor, Sodexo, adidas, Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield et easyJet. Alors que ces deux évènements sportifs majeurs ne devraient pas avoir d’impact significatif sur les économies hôtes à moyen terme, les impacts microéconomiques et sectoriels devraient être plus marqués. Les secteurs du tourisme, des transports, des boissons et des biens de consommation devraient être l...
EPS growth prospects are brighter in the US than in Europe, which is justified given the differential in the growth and inflation outlook between the two regions. However, the adjustment that has taken place on EPS in Europe is a positive factor: we are now "at the price" ahead of the cyclical recovery that is taking shape for the rest of 2024. Sector-wise, the ongoing upward revision of EPS in travel & leisure, banks and media is expected to continue apace and provide support for sec...
Les perspectives de croissance des BPA sont supérieures aux Etats-Unis qu’en Europe, ce qui est justifié étant donné le différentiel de perspectives de croissance et d’inflation entre les deux zones. L’ajustement qui a eu lieu sur les BPA en Europe est toutefois un facteur positif : nous sommes désormais « au prix » avant la reprise cyclique qui se dessine pour la suite de 2024. Sectoriellement, la révision à la hausse en cours des BPA sur le Travel & Leisure, les banques et les Media...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: MELIÁ, MERLIN, NATURGY. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 1T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Semana de retrocesos en Europa con la excepción de la periferia El viernes volvió a ser un día de aversión al riesgo por el riesgo geopolítico pero los miedos se fueron d...
>European hotels up 7.7% in March - In March, RevPAR growth came to +7.7% y-o-y for western Europe (according to STR figures), driven by both price increases (+6.2%) and a continued improvement in occupancy rates (OR up +0.9 pt). With the marked growth seen in January (+11.7%) and February (+9.3%), the cumulative change in Q1 works out at +8.9% (+1.7 pt for OR and +5.7% for ADR); for now, this is better than forecast and could, ultimately, render the estimates for lim...
NEWS SUMMARY: MELIÁ HOTELS, MERLIN PROPERTIES, NATURGY. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 1Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. A week of losses in Europe, except in the periphery Friday was another day of risk aversion due to the geopolitical risk, but fears began to subside throughout the session, although this was not enough to prevent the...
>L’hôtellerie européenne est en croissance de 7.7% en mars - En mars, la croissance des RevPAR ressort à +7.7% yoy pour l’Europe de l’Ouest (selon les chiffres STR), portée à la fois par des hausses de prix (+6.2%) et par une progression continue des taux d’occupation (TO à +0.9 pt). Avec la forte hausse enregistrée en janvier (+11.7%) et en février (+9.3%), la variation cumulée sur le T1 ressort à +8.9% (+1.7 pt sur les TO et +5.7% sur les prix), c’est un chiffre qui...
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