Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: December Conviction Calls Market consolidation slowed in November as expectations of a 25bp Fed cut buoyed sentiment. The HSI and MSCI China fell 0.2% and 2.4% mom respectively amid weak data and limited catalysts. While the upcoming Economic Work Conference may offer a catalyst to end this phase, we remain cautious, preferring defensives and oversold names. We add BeOne Medicines, HKEX, NetEase and Plover Bay to BUY, take profit on AIA, and cut losses on Ja...
Greater China Sector Update | Consumer We met investors in Thailand and Malaysia during our marketing trip from 24-28 Nov 25. Overall investor interest in the China consumer sector is improving. The most frequently discussed segments and names include Miniso, Shenzhou, Anta, consumer staples (including dairy, beer and baijiu), as well as some new consumption names such as Pop Mart (non-rated) and Laopu Gold (non-rated). Our preferred stocks include: Galaxy, Midea, Miniso, Shenzhou and Sands ...
Our Nov 25 Alpha Picks portfolio returned 2.2% mom, in line with the STI, while weighted portfolios outperformed. Gains were led by CSE, ASL and MPM. For Dec 25, we add KEP, UGAI and SATS, and remove FRKN, UMS and SIA. The refreshed portfolio remains positioned to benefit from ongoing EQDP-driven interest in small-/mid-cap names.
CSE delivered a strong top-line growth in 3Q25, led by a surge in electrification as major 2024 projects made progress. Communications and automation also saw steady underlying growth. While the orderbook eased on fewer low-margin municipal projects, we expect CSE to catch up on large-scale data centre project wins in the near term. Maintain BUY and target price of S$1.22.
Greater China Company Results | Miniso (MNSO US/BUY/US$19.57/Target: US$26.80) Miniso's 3Q25 revenue rose 28% yoy, reaching the high end of its guidance, while adjusted operating profit grew 15% yoy. Miniso brand’s SSSG improved sequentially in both domestic market and overseas markets. For 4Q25, SSS in both domestic and US markets are expected to reach low teens. Revenue is expected to grow 25-30% yoy, and adjusted operating profit should grow by double digits yoy, with the yoy decline in adjus...
Top Stories Company Update | CSE Global (CSE SP/BUY/S$0.945/Target: S$1.22) CSE delivered a strong top-line growth in 3Q25, led by a surge in electrification as major 2024 projects made progress. Communications and automation also saw steady underlying growth. While the orderbook eased on fewer low-margin municipal projects, we expect CSE to catch up on large-scale data centre project wins in the near term. Maintain BUY and target price of S$1.22. Market Spotlight • US stocks climbed on Friday,...
Top Stories Company Results | Riverstone Holdings (RSTON SP/BUY/S$0.81/Target: S$1.05) Riverstone’s 3Q25 results were in line, with earnings of RM52m (+15% qoq) as stronger cleanroom demand was driven by AI-related industries. Maintain BUY with a 7% higher target price of S$1.05. Current share price weakness presents a good buying opportunity, as the market may have overlooked the lumpy dividend payout in 4Q25. The stock is trading at a >7% yield for 2025. Company Results | SEA (SE US/BUY/...
Greater China Sector Update | China And Hong Kong Property On 10 November, the State Council vowed to expand C-REITs for POEs. However, demand stays weak: home sales from 1-10 November in 28 mainland cities fell 45% yoy, with prices trending down. In Hong Kong, the potential supply of private homes rose 1% qoq, yet property prices and rents showed improving fundamentals. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT; favour mainland developers with strong retail portfolios (CR Land, Longfor); in Hong Kong, favour SHKP...
CSE will be issuing around 63m warrants to Amazon which could then hold an 8% substantial stake in CSE. The vesting condition indicates major contract wins of US$1.5b over five years. This partnership is a major win for CSE, which could boost its DC-related revenue from about 10% to approximately 30% annually. Maintain BUY with a 44% higher target price of S$1.22.
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: November Conviction Calls HSI and MSCI China fell 3.5%/4.0% mom in October, dragged by renewed US-China trade tensions and lack of fresh policy signals from the 4th Plenum. We remain constructive in the medium term but expect further consolidation as uncertainties persist. The best performer among our picks was SELL-rated Li Auto (+21.4% mom). For November, we rotate into oversold names with near-term upside: add AIA, LINK REIT, NAURA, Pinduoduo, PICC P&C an...
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: November Conviction Calls HSI and MSCI China fell 3.5%/4.0% mom in October, dragged by renewed US-China trade tensions and lack of fresh policy signals from the 4th Plenum. We remain constructive in the medium term but expect further consolidation as uncertainties persist. The best performer among our picks was SELL-rated Li Auto (+21.4% mom). For November, we rotate into oversold names with near-term upside: add AIA, LINK REIT, NAURA, Pinduoduo, PICC P&...
Our Alpha Picks portfolio gained 8.5% mom in Oct 25, outperforming the STI’s 3.0%. Strength came from MPM, RSTON and CSE. For Nov 25, we add CIT and ASL as BUYs and introduce SIA as a short candidate. The portfolio remains poised for expected EQDP-driven flows into small-/mid-cap names in the next few months.
Top Stories Company Results | Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust (MPACT SP/BUY/S$1.46/Target: S$1.84) MPACT’s 2QFY26 DPU of 2.01 S cents (+1.5% yoy) is in line with our expectation. VivoCity generated positive rental reversion of 14.1% and growth in tenant sales of 4.8% yoy despite disruption from the ongoing AEI. NPI margin improved 0.7ppt yoy to 75.0% in 2QFY26 due to lower utility rates. Maintain BUY with a target price of S$1.84 due to growth from Singapore and an attractive FY27 DPU yield...
Greater China Company Results | Han’s Laser (002008 CH/BUY/HK$36.73/Target: HK$45.70) Han’s Laser’s 3Q25 revenue grew 35% yoy and 9% qoq to Rmb5.1b, while margins recovered sequentially by 4.7ppt qoq to 35.0%, beating estimates. This was mainly driven by the robust growth in its PCB equipment business which we estimate to have contributed to 62% of its bottom line in 3Q25. Going forward, we expect the PCB business, together with the Apple supply chain business, to continue to support Han’s L...
CSE’s electrification business stands to benefit from growing data centre demand as AI adoption increases, especially in the US. The outlook remains positive as CSE expects more major project wins by end-25, which could drive earnings growth. Maintain BUY and target price of S$0.85. CSE’s current valuation of 13x 2026F is undemanding given its exposure to the high-growth data centre space.
Top Stories Strategy | Small/Mid Caps Investors are seeking laggards poised to benefit from renewed liquidity under MAS’s EQDP, which has deployed its first S$1.1b to Avanda, Fullerton and JP Morgan. Fullerton’s new Value-Up Fund and SGX’s iEdge Next 50 Indices are expected to channel flows into quality small/mid-caps. Our top picks highlighted in our recent retail webinar are Riverstone, FEH and CSE. Market Spotlight • US stocks ended higher on Monday, recovering after Trump’s softening stanc...
Greater China Economics | Trade China’s trade rebounded strongly in September, with exports (8.3%, +3.9ppt) and imports (7.4%, +6.1ppt) beating expectations. This month marked the strongest monthly growth for imports in 2025, thanks to the trade surplus narrowing to US$90.4b. Demand from non-US markets held firm while domestic recovery gained traction. Imports for integrated circuits, agricultural products and key commodities improved. On the export front, hi-tech and mechanical & electrical...
Top Stories Strategy | Alpha Picks: Staying Ahead And Capturing EQDP Opportunities Our Alpha Picks portfolio rose 4.2% mom in Sep 25, outperforming the STI’s 0.7%. Gains were led by YZJ, VALUE, MPM and CSSC. For Oct 25, we add SCI, LREIT and RSTON, and take profit on BRC and YZJ. We remain well-positioned for upside in small-/mid-cap stocks. Market Spotlight • US stocks ended higher on Thursday. Despite mixed sector performances, the DJIA, S&P 500, and NASDAQ all advanced. • The FSSTI gained 7...
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile China’s EV sales surged 25% wow in the 39th week of 2025 but slowed to 10.5% yoy amid a high base and anti-involution efforts. Geely and XPeng outperformed, while BYD and Li Auto saw yoy sales declines. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector, with top BUYs on CATL and Geely; we downgrade Ganfeng Lithium from BUY to HOLD with an unchanged target price of HK$40.00, as the stock price has hit our target. Indonesia Economics | Indonesia’s Trade Balance Hits Mu...
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