Our target price increases to $200 from $185 on higher estimates. Investment Thesis: Sentiment on GOOGL continues to improve markedly, as the new dividend, solid topline results and strong margins more than compensated for higher capex.
What’s New: In this first take following tonight’s results, we touch on: 1. Search remains strong but begins lapping contribution from APAC-based retailers 2. The dividend finally arrives (plus another $70B share buyback authorization) 3. No surprise, Capex commentary implies 2024 full year figure well above consensus. 4. Cloud + YouTube = $100B run-rate at YE2024; our estimate is slightly higher 5. Continued progress on cost optimization
Ahead of results on Thursday PM, we review the KPIs going into the print (including an increase to our capex estimates, again), what to look and listen for in the earnings release and conference call, our top questions for management, and potential positive and negative catalysts for GOOGL.
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