reports
- Julie Boote
PSA Autos / New Mobility: Honda Motor's (7267 JT) Auto Business in Tro...
Honda’s Auto operations are under pressure, as extraordinary factors, as well as fundamental company-specific issues, are weighing on profits. Auto sales have fallen substantially over the last two years as Honda is struggling with its market positioning and product line-up. Analyst Julie Boote notes that business risks in both the Auto and the (currently successful) Motorcycle division suggest that a longer lasting recovery following the write-off year FY25 might not be on the cards.
- William Nestuk
- Pelham Smithers
PSA Consumer Electronics: The Memory Trap – Outlook for Sony in 2026
Thanks to higher memory prices, Sony has a tough couple of years ahead, which is a pity, because the firm’s achievements in FY25 should have set it on a path to solid earnings growth in both years. Problematically, Sony is now heavily exposed to decisions by others – notably Apple’s iPhone pricing – and the outlook could be considerably worse than Pelham Smithers outlines in this earnings preview for FY25 and beyond.
- Julie Boote
TSLA TESLA INC
000270 KIA MOTORS CORPORATION
7267 HONDA MOTOR CO. LTD.
7211 MITSUBISHI MOTORS CORPORATION
MARUTI MARUTI SUZUKI INDIA LIMITED
7201 NISSAN MOTOR CO. LTD.
6758 SONY CORPORATION
7269 SUZUKI MOTOR CORP.
7261 MAZDA MOTOR CORP.
7203 TOYOTA MOTOR CORP.
7270 SUBARU CORP
A0M32L CHONGQING CHANGAN AUTOMOBILE COMPANY LIMITED CLASS A
VOLV AB VOLVO
- Pelham Smithers
PSA Media & Entertainment: PS5 Outsells Switch 2 in Nov / Sony’s (6758...
This note contains two articles related to Sony: One highlighting how November sales of the 5-yr-old PS5 is outselling the Switch 2 and an update on Sony’s new game Marathon. It is due in next year but PSA’s gaming expert, Pelham Smithers, is not expecting much.
- William Nestuk
PSA Capital Goods / Electrical Equipment: Mitsubishi Electric (6503 JT...
Analyst William Nestuk thinks Mitsubishi Electric offers an attractive four-fold theme: (1) high-margin data centre [DC] work, (2) defence (including for overseas), (3) restructuring and (4) share buybacks. We see FY27 OP at least doubling that of FY23, which at that time was a record level. Strong cash flow generation should produce another share buyback and higher dividends.
- Pelham Smithers
- William Nestuk
PSA Technology: Is Robotics to be Part of the Current Semiconductor Bo...
News that Fanuc (6954 JT) is integrating Nvidia’s (NVDA US) robotic tools into its own software solutions is a reminder that, for all the focus on where large language models like ChatGPT can take us, these solutions remain very much in the virtual realm. The next big breakthrough in AI would come when such models can deliver fully spatially aware, autonomous mobile products, be these self-drive cars or industrial robots, and to do so at a price and quality that is commercially viable. Analysts ...
NVDA NVIDIA CORPORATION
GOOGL ALPHABET INC. CLASS A
6324 HARMONIC DRIVE SYSTEMS INC.
5803 FUJIKURA LTD
6954 FANUC CORPORATION
6702 FUJITSU LIMITED
6141 DMG MORI CO. LTD.
6701 NEC CORP.
6268 NABTESCO CORPORATION
6506 YASKAWA ELECTRIC CORPORATION
SIE SIEMENS AG
6324 JT HARMONIC DRIVE SYSTEMS
- Julie Boote
PSA Autos / New Mobility: Automakers - No Reprieve in FY25 H2
After the generally poor FY25 HI results posted by Japan's auto assemblers, what will the H2 picture look like? In this report, Julie Boote discusses the key earnings drivers and the outlook for individual assemblers; she concludes that FY25 will not be good, after what was an unsatisfactory FY24.
- Pelham Smithers
PSA Semiconductors: Readthrough from Nvidia’s Q3 Results
While the FY25 Q3 results constituted a beat, they came in quite close to what the share price implied. However, the guidance for Q4 surprised on the upside. Pelham Smithers reviews the performance and outlook, with a readacross to beneficiaries in Japan and the numbers from China.
4062 IBIDEN CO. LTD.
5706 MITSUI MINING AND SMELTING COMPANY LIMITED
6723 RENESAS ELECTRONICS CORPORATION
6758 SONY CORPORATION
6857 ADVANTEST CORP.
6857 JP ADVANEST
AAPL APPLE INC.
1532533D CAMBRICON TECHNOLOGIES CORP
688256 CAMBRICON TECHNOLOGIES CORP LTD
4062.T IBIDEN CO
AAPL US LTD.
285A JT APPLE INC
KIOXIA CORPORATION (285A JT)
- Pierre FerraguÊ
AMAT APPLIED MATERIALS INC.
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
6758 SONY CORPORATION
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
CSCO CISCO SYSTEMS INC.
AMD ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC.
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
9434 SOFTBANK
2357 TT ASUSTEK COMPUTER
981 SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFACTURING
LAZR LUMINAR TECHNOLOGIES INC (A)
GFS GLOBALFOUNDRIES INC
CRWV COREWEAVE INC
- Pelham Smithers
PSA Consumer Electronics: Sony (6758 JT) FY25 Q2 OP +10% YoY, Revises ...
Sony’s FY25 Q2 OP at ¥429bil (+10% YoY) came in ahead of consensus at ¥390bil and our forecast of ¥410bil. The firm raised its full-year OP target, also ahead of consensus, and for good measure, has thrown in a ¥100bil share buyback; not exactly meaningful on ¥26tril market cap, but at least a gesture. Pelham Smithers reviews the performance but has concerns on how far Sony can further push out the envelope.
- Pelham Smithers
- Pelham Smithers
NEH NETEASE INC. SPONSORED ADR
DIS WALT DISNEY COMPANY
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
9697 CAPCOM CO. LTD.
9468 KADOKAWA CORPORATION
7974 NINTENDO CO. LTD.
6758 SONY CORPORATION
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
MSFT MICROSOFT CORPORATION
6460 JP SEGA SAMMY
GRVY GRAVITY CO. LTD. ADS
78320 BANDAI NAMCO
7844 JT MARVELOUS INC
- William Nestuk
QCOM QUALCOMM INC
ORCL ORACLE CORPORATION
NVDA NVIDIA CORPORATION
6383 DAIFUKU CO. LTD.
6954 FANUC CORPORATION
6702 FUJITSU LIMITED
6504 FUJI ELECTRIC CO. LTD.
6503 MITSUBISHI ELECTRIC CORP.
6645 OMRON CORPORATION
6268 NABTESCO CORPORATION
6273 SMC CORPORATION
9984 SOFTBANK GROUP CORP.
6506 YASKAWA ELECTRIC CORPORATION
6324 JT HARMONIC DRIVE SYSTEMS
- Pelham Smithers
PSA Strategy: Japan Stock Market Quarterly for 2025 Q4
For almost three years the Nikkei 225 has been tracking its performance from the 2003~5 bull market, albeit at levels some 3.3x higher In this report, Pelham Smithers discusses the similarities and asks three key questions: (1) Can we continue to track 2005 through the rest of the year; (2) Whatever happens in Q4, should we fear or be hopeful for 2026? And (3) Who are the upcoming winners and losers.
4689 Z HOLDINGS CORPORATION
7751 CANON INC.
6952 CASIO COMPUTER CO. LTD.
4519 CHUGAI PHARMACEUTICAL CO. LTD.
7762 CITIZEN WATCH CO LTD.
4751 CYBERAGENT INC.
4755 RAKUTEN INC.
9433 KDDI CORPORATION
5803 FUJIKURA LTD
4902 KONICA MINOLTA INC.
6752 PANASONIC CORPORATION
7752 RICOH COMPANY LTD.
6869 SYSMEX CORPORATION
5423 TOKYO STEEL MANUFACTURING CO. LTD.
8729 SONY FINANCIAL HOLDINGS INC.
7267 HONDA MOTOR CO. LTD.
7202 ISUZU MOTORS LIMITED
9616 KYORITSU MAINTENANCE CO. LTD.
6981 MURATA MANUFACTURING CO. LTD.
6723 RENESAS ELECTRONICS CORPORATION
7974 NINTENDO CO. LTD.
6701 NEC CORP.
6594 NIDEC CORPORATION
7731 NIKON CORP.
2371 KAKAKU.COM INC.
6963 ROHM CO. LTD.
6753 SHARP CORPORATION
6762 TDK CORPORATION
4502 TAKEDA PHARMACEUTICAL CO. LTD.
6857 ADVANTEST CORP.
6976 TAIYO YUDEN CO. LTD.
4186 TOKYO OHKA KOGYO CO. LTD.
8035 TOKYO ELECTRON LTD.
7261 MAZDA MOTOR CORP.
3774 INTERNET INITIATIVE JAPAN
3697 SHIFT
6857 JP ADVANEST
6460 JP SEGA SAMMY
4385 MERCARI INC.
36350 KOEI TECMO
45870 PEPTIDREAM INC
3491 JT GA TECHNOLOGIES
3630 JT DENSAN SYSTEM CO LTD (3630 JT)
4194 VISIONAL
4483 JMDC
WOLF WOLFSPEED INC
TSE: 2980 SRE HOLDINGS CORP
AST VISIONAL INC
5032 JT ASTREE CIE ASSURANCE & REASSURANCE
5253 JT ANYCOLOR INC
9616 JT COVER CORPORATION (5253 JT)
8473 JT KYORITSU MAINTENANCE (9616 JT)
215A SBI HOLDINGS [STRATEGIC BUSINESS INNOVATOR GROUP] (8473 JT)
285A JT TIMEE INC
KIOXIA CORPORATION (285A JT)
- Pelham Smithers
PSA Media & Entertainment: Are We at Peak Japan Soft Power? Considerin...
Switch 2, Hello Kitty and Demon Slayer have underlined the success of Japan’s global pop culture influence. In this review, Pelham Smithers discusses whether 2025 will be the peak, or if there more to come. In light of the capital limitations faced by Japanese game developers evident at TGS2025, Pelham thinks further consolidation is likely and suggests three likely scenarios.
NEH NETEASE INC. SPONSORED ADR
NFLX NETFLIX INC.
9697 CAPCOM CO. LTD.
9684 SQUARE ENIX HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
9468 KADOKAWA CORPORATION
9766 KONAMI HOLDINGS CORP
7974 NINTENDO CO. LTD.
8136 SANRIO COMPANY LTD.
6758 SONY CORPORATION
9602 TOHO CO. LTD.
3765 GUNGHO ONLINE ENTERTAINMENT INC.
EA ELECTRONIC ARTS INC.
MSFT MICROSOFT CORPORATION
6460 JP SEGA SAMMY
GRVY GRAVITY CO. LTD. ADS
78320 BANDAI NAMCO
36350 KOEI TECMO
- Pelham Smithers
- Pelham Smithers
- Pelham Smithers
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