reports
- Pelham Smithers
PSA Strategy: Japan Stock Market Quarterly for 2025 Q4
For almost three years the Nikkei 225 has been tracking its performance from the 2003~5 bull market, albeit at levels some 3.3x higher In this report, Pelham Smithers discusses the similarities and asks three key questions: (1) Can we continue to track 2005 through the rest of the year; (2) Whatever happens in Q4, should we fear or be hopeful for 2026? And (3) Who are the upcoming winners and losers.
4689 Z HOLDINGS CORPORATION
7751 CANON INC.
6952 CASIO COMPUTER CO. LTD.
4519 CHUGAI PHARMACEUTICAL CO. LTD.
7762 CITIZEN WATCH CO LTD.
4751 CYBERAGENT INC.
4755 RAKUTEN INC.
9433 KDDI CORPORATION
5803 FUJIKURA LTD
4902 KONICA MINOLTA INC.
6752 PANASONIC CORPORATION
7752 RICOH COMPANY LTD.
6869 SYSMEX CORPORATION
5423 TOKYO STEEL MANUFACTURING CO. LTD.
8729 SONY FINANCIAL HOLDINGS INC.
7267 HONDA MOTOR CO. LTD.
7202 ISUZU MOTORS LIMITED
9616 KYORITSU MAINTENANCE CO. LTD.
6981 MURATA MANUFACTURING CO. LTD.
6723 RENESAS ELECTRONICS CORPORATION
7974 NINTENDO CO. LTD.
6701 NEC CORP.
6594 NIDEC CORPORATION
7731 NIKON CORP.
2371 KAKAKU.COM INC.
6963 ROHM CO. LTD.
6753 SHARP CORPORATION
6762 TDK CORPORATION
4502 TAKEDA PHARMACEUTICAL CO. LTD.
6857 ADVANTEST CORP.
6976 TAIYO YUDEN CO. LTD.
4186 TOKYO OHKA KOGYO CO. LTD.
8035 TOKYO ELECTRON LTD.
7261 MAZDA MOTOR CORP.
3774 INTERNET INITIATIVE JAPAN
3697 SHIFT
6857 JP ADVANEST
6460 JP SEGA SAMMY
4385 MERCARI INC.
36350 KOEI TECMO
45870 PEPTIDREAM INC
3491 JT GA TECHNOLOGIES
3630 JT DENSAN SYSTEM CO LTD (3630 JT)
4194 VISIONAL
4483 JMDC
WOLF WOLFSPEED INC
TSE: 2980 SRE HOLDINGS CORP
AST VISIONAL INC
5032 JT ASTREE CIE ASSURANCE & REASSURANCE
5253 JT ANYCOLOR INC
9616 JT COVER CORPORATION (5253 JT)
8473 JT KYORITSU MAINTENANCE (9616 JT)
215A SBI HOLDINGS [STRATEGIC BUSINESS INNOVATOR GROUP] (8473 JT)
285A JT TIMEE INC
KIOXIA CORPORATION (285A JT)
- Pelham Smithers
PSA Media & Entertainment: Are We at Peak Japan Soft Power? Considerin...
Switch 2, Hello Kitty and Demon Slayer have underlined the success of Japan’s global pop culture influence. In this review, Pelham Smithers discusses whether 2025 will be the peak, or if there more to come. In light of the capital limitations faced by Japanese game developers evident at TGS2025, Pelham thinks further consolidation is likely and suggests three likely scenarios.
NEH NETEASE INC. SPONSORED ADR
NFLX NETFLIX INC.
9697 CAPCOM CO. LTD.
9684 SQUARE ENIX HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
9468 KADOKAWA CORPORATION
9766 KONAMI HOLDINGS CORP
7974 NINTENDO CO. LTD.
8136 SANRIO COMPANY LTD.
6758 SONY CORPORATION
9602 TOHO CO. LTD.
3765 GUNGHO ONLINE ENTERTAINMENT INC.
EA ELECTRONIC ARTS INC.
MSFT MICROSOFT CORPORATION
6460 JP SEGA SAMMY
GRVY GRAVITY CO. LTD. ADS
78320 BANDAI NAMCO
36350 KOEI TECMO
- Pelham Smithers
- Pelham Smithers
- Pelham Smithers
- Julie Boote
PSA Autos / New Mobility: Large US Import Tariff Hit Dismissed by Mark...
As the US is introducing new import tariffs, the auto sector is among the worst hit in corporate Japan. Japanese automakers are set to book major losses related to tariffs, leading to substantial FY25 earnings’ declines. Yet, after an initial negative stock market reaction, share prices have recovered close to or above pre-tariff levels. Analyst Julie Boote investigates.
- Joel Scheiman
PSA Chemicals: Shin-Etsu (4063 JT) FY25: Can the Positives Exceed the ...
Shin-Etsu’s FY25 Q1 will likely feature strength by semiconductor silicon but weaker conditions for PVC. Nevertheless, shareholder returns are improving and valuations remain undemanding. Analyst Joel Scheiman expects earnings will recover from FY26, modelling for 2-yr forward OP CAGR of 10%.
- William Nestuk
PSA Industrials / Electrical Equipment: Mitsubishi Electric (6503 JT) ...
Mitsubishi Electric has several positives not well understood by the market in its Infrastructure and Semiconductors Divisions. William Nestuk covers these key points which also addresses tariffs, the firm’s exposure to defence and data centre capex.
- Julie Boote
- Pelham Smithers
- Pelham Smithers
PSA Media & Entertainment: PSA's Rankings of Video Game Stocks After A...
This CY25 Q2 has been another tremendous quarter for the Japanese video game sector, driven by the release of the Switch 2. Analyst Pelham Smithers reviews the performance and offerings of the video game stocks PSA covers and delivers his updated rankings.
NVDA NVIDIA CORPORATION
9697 CAPCOM CO. LTD.
9684 SQUARE ENIX HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
9468 KADOKAWA CORPORATION
3932 AKATSUKI INC.
7974 NINTENDO CO. LTD.
6758 SONY CORPORATION
9602 TOHO CO. LTD.
3765 GUNGHO ONLINE ENTERTAINMENT INC.
3659 NEXON CO. LTD.
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
EA ELECTRONIC ARTS INC.
6460 JP SEGA SAMMY
21210 MIXI
EMBRAC B EMBRACER GROUP
78320 BANDAI NAMCO
36350 KOEI TECMO
WBD WARNER BROS. DISCOVERY INC.
215A TIMEE INC
- Julie Boote
PSA Autos / New Mobility: Toyota (7203 JT) Keeps Calm – but Should The...
Toyota Motor is facing another challenging year, as it continues to invest heavily in new technologies, is supporting its suppliers, while having to deal with the uncertainty over the impact of US import tariffs. Its FY25 guidance numbers do not yet fully reflect the potential costs related to these duties, risking an earnings downgrade later this year. Criticism over its handling of the Toyota Industries privatisation is mounting, with questions raised over corporate governance. Analyst Julie B...
7205 HINO MOTORS LTD.
7267 HONDA MOTOR CO. LTD.
9432 NIPPON TELEGRAPH AND TELEPHONE CORPORATION
7201 NISSAN MOTOR CO. LTD.
7269 SUZUKI MOTOR CORP.
7261 MAZDA MOTOR CORP.
6201 TOYOTA INDUSTRIES CORP.
7203 TOYOTA MOTOR CORP.
7270 SUBARU CORP
02238 GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
- Pelham Smithers
- Julie Boote
- Pelham Smithers
- Pelham Smithers
PSA Media & Entertainment: Video Game Third-Party Publishers’ FY24 Q4 ...
The US market has been good to Japanese game developers, so far, in 2025. Pelham Smithers updates us on what is performing well in the charts and what implications it has for the upcoming earnings season. Several companies have seen their shares rise April-to-date, so the FY25 outlook will be closely watched.
- Julie Boote
PSA Autos / New Mobility: Review of Auto Stocks in Light of Import Tar...
As US auto tariffs remain in place, investors need to assess whether auto-related government negotiations will be successful, and what automakers can do to mitigate the potential surge in costs. Analyst Julie Boote reviews potential outcomes.
- Pelham Smithers
- Pelham Smithers
- Pelham Smithers
PSA Strategy: Japan Stock Market Quarterly for 2025 Q2
In this quarterly strategy report, we look to evaluate where we are with regards the bull market conditions, and where those indicators might be headed, factoring in the downside risks, from Trump tariffs and the US economy, BoJ actions, Japanese earnings and valuations.
AMAT APPLIED MATERIALS INC.
6146 DISCO CORPORATION
5108 BRIDGESTONE CORPORATION
7751 CANON INC.
9697 CAPCOM CO. LTD.
4519 CHUGAI PHARMACEUTICAL CO. LTD.
4755 RAKUTEN INC.
9684 SQUARE ENIX HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
8473 SBI HOLDINGS INC.
6954 FANUC CORPORATION
4324 DENTSU GROUP INC.
6861 KEYENCE CORPORATION
6869 SYSMEX CORPORATION
8306 MITSUBISHI UFJ FINANCIAL GROUP INC.
6501 HITACHI LTD.
6305 HITACHI CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY CO. LTD.
7267 HONDA MOTOR CO. LTD.
6301 KOMATSU LTD.
6503 MITSUBISHI ELECTRIC CORP.
6723 RENESAS ELECTRONICS CORPORATION
7974 NINTENDO CO. LTD.
6594 NIDEC CORPORATION
7731 NIKON CORP.
8604 NOMURA HOLDINGS INC.
7733 OLYMPUS CORP.
4666 PARK24 CO. LTD.
2371 KAKAKU.COM INC.
9984 SOFTBANK GROUP CORP.
1803 SHIMIZU CORPORATION
4063 SHIN-ETSU CHEMICAL CO LTD
6758 SONY CORPORATION
7269 SUZUKI MOTOR CORP.
1801 TAISEI CORP
6857 ADVANTEST CORP.
4186 TOKYO OHKA KOGYO CO. LTD.
8035 TOKYO ELECTRON LTD.
7203 TOYOTA MOTOR CORP.
2413 M3 INC.
2160 GNI GROUP LTD.
3659 NEXON CO. LTD.
6098 RECRUIT HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
3769 GMO PAYMENT
6460 JP SEGA SAMMY
4385 MERCARI INC.
3993 PKSHA TECHNOLOGY INC.
9434 SOFTBANK CORP.
78320 BANDAI NAMCO
45870 PEPTIDREAM INC
3491 JT GA TECHNOLOGIES
3394 JT MONEY FOWARD
6532 JT BAYCURRENT CONSULTING (6532 JT)
4483 JMDC
4180 JP APPIER GROUP
TSE: 2980 SRE HOLDINGS CORP
4194 VISIONAL INC
6526 SOCIONEXT INC
5032 JT ANYCOLOR INC
5838 RAKUTEN BANK LTD.
5253 JT COVER CORPORATION (5253 JT)
9616 JT KYORITSU MAINTENANCE (9616 JT)
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