Analyst William Nestuk thinks Mitsubishi Electric offers an attractive four-fold theme: (1) high-margin data centre [DC] work, (2) defence (including for overseas), (3) restructuring and (4) share buybacks. We see FY27 OP at least doubling that of FY23, which at that time was a record level. Strong cash flow generation should produce another share buyback and higher dividends.
News that Fanuc (6954 JT) is integrating Nvidia’s (NVDA US) robotic tools into its own software solutions is a reminder that, for all the focus on where large language models like ChatGPT can take us, these solutions remain very much in the virtual realm. The next big breakthrough in AI would come when such models can deliver fully spatially aware, autonomous mobile products, be these self-drive cars or industrial robots, and to do so at a price and quality that is commercially viable. Analysts ...
After the generally poor FY25 HI results posted by Japan's auto assemblers, what will the H2 picture look like? In this report, Julie Boote discusses the key earnings drivers and the outlook for individual assemblers; she concludes that FY25 will not be good, after what was an unsatisfactory FY24.
While the FY25 Q3 results constituted a beat, they came in quite close to what the share price implied. However, the guidance for Q4 surprised on the upside. Pelham Smithers reviews the performance and outlook, with a readacross to beneficiaries in Japan and the numbers from China.
Sony’s FY25 Q2 OP at ¥429bil (+10% YoY) came in ahead of consensus at ¥390bil and our forecast of ¥410bil. The firm raised its full-year OP target, also ahead of consensus, and for good measure, has thrown in a ¥100bil share buyback; not exactly meaningful on ¥26tril market cap, but at least a gesture. Pelham Smithers reviews the performance but has concerns on how far Sony can further push out the envelope.
For almost three years the Nikkei 225 has been tracking its performance from the 2003~5 bull market, albeit at levels some 3.3x higher In this report, Pelham Smithers discusses the similarities and asks three key questions: (1) Can we continue to track 2005 through the rest of the year; (2) Whatever happens in Q4, should we fear or be hopeful for 2026? And (3) Who are the upcoming winners and losers.
Switch 2, Hello Kitty and Demon Slayer have underlined the success of Japan’s global pop culture influence. In this review, Pelham Smithers discusses whether 2025 will be the peak, or if there more to come. In light of the capital limitations faced by Japanese game developers evident at TGS2025, Pelham thinks further consolidation is likely and suggests three likely scenarios.
As the US is introducing new import tariffs, the auto sector is among the worst hit in corporate Japan. Japanese automakers are set to book major losses related to tariffs, leading to substantial FY25 earnings’ declines. Yet, after an initial negative stock market reaction, share prices have recovered close to or above pre-tariff levels. Analyst Julie Boote investigates.
Shin-Etsu’s FY25 Q1 will likely feature strength by semiconductor silicon but weaker conditions for PVC. Nevertheless, shareholder returns are improving and valuations remain undemanding. Analyst Joel Scheiman expects earnings will recover from FY26, modelling for 2-yr forward OP CAGR of 10%.
Mitsubishi Electric has several positives not well understood by the market in its Infrastructure and Semiconductors Divisions. William Nestuk covers these key points which also addresses tariffs, the firm’s exposure to defence and data centre capex.
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