AMS Osram has released its Q4/24 results, with revenues and the adjusted EBITDA margin coming in at the top end of guidance. While cash generation improved, it was still negative. Net leverage inched up sequentially. Liquidity weakened, but remained at a comfortable level. The outlook for Q1/25 is soft as expected, with continued weakness in end-markets. That said, management is guiding for a stronger H2, and anticipates that FY 2025 FCF will exceed EUR 100 mn.
In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: AMS Osram, Altice International, Iliad, Novelis, Softbank Group, Kantar, TUI, Flos B&B Italia (formerly International Design Group), Rolls-Royce, Klockner Pentaplast
In this publication, we review the past year and discuss our outlook for the next 12 months. We begin our discussion with the macro factors at play, including GDP forecasts, the geopolitical landscape and our expectations for cost inflation. We also trace the development of primary markets in the European HY space, and give our view on defaults in general as well as for our coverage universe. We then discuss sector trends and expectations, along with earnings development for companies under our ...
>Opinion Sous-performance réitérée, OC ajusté à 7 CHF (vs 12 CHF) - Le titre ams OSRAM est en baisse de ~10% depuis la publication T3 24 (07/11), après des objectifs 2027 ressortis ~7% en dessous des attentes au niveau de l’EBITDA, une visibilité limitée à CT (T1 25 attendu ‘faible’) et un FCF décevant (-35 M€ en excluant l’effet d’un prépaiement vs un consensus à -17 M€). Cela nous conduit à revoir en baisse nos prévisions de BPA 2026/27e de ~45/32% et notre OC à 7 C...
>Underperform rating maintained, target price adjusted to CHF 7 (vs CHF 12) - ams OSRAM’s share price has shed ~10% since the Q3 24 release (07/11), after the 2027 guidance came in ~7% short of expectations at the EBITDA level, with limited visibility in the short term (Q1 25 expected to be ‘weak’) and disappointing FCF (-€ 35m excluding the effect of a prepayment vs a consensus of -€ 17m). On this basis, we have downgraded our 2026-2027 EPS estimates by ~45/32% and c...
AMS Osram has released Q3/24 results that were in line with management's guidance. Despite a decline in y-o-y revenues, adjusted EBITDA and the adjusted EBITDA margin improved, boosted by one-off payments. Consequently, cash generation strengthened significantly. Both net debt and net leverage declined sequentially. Liquidity improved, and remains at a comfortable level. The near-term outlook is soft, given the weakness in the company's end-markets.
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