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Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

ams OSRAM : La déception sur les cibles 2027 pose de nouveau des quest...

>Opinion Sous-performance réitérée, OC ajusté à 7 CHF (vs 12 CHF) - Le titre ams OSRAM est en baisse de ~10% depuis la publication T3 24 (07/11), après des objectifs 2027 ressortis ~7% en dessous des attentes au niveau de l’EBITDA, une visibilité limitée à CT (T1 25 attendu ‘faible’) et un FCF décevant (-35 M€ en excluant l’effet d’un prépaiement vs un consensus à -17 M€). Cela nous conduit à revoir en baisse nos prévisions de BPA 2026/27e de ~45/32% et notre OC à 7 C...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

ams OSRAM : Disappointment on 2027 guidance raises further questions a...

>Underperform rating maintained, target price adjusted to CHF 7 (vs CHF 12) - ams OSRAM’s share price has shed ~10% since the Q3 24 release (07/11), after the 2027 guidance came in ~7% short of expectations at the EBITDA level, with limited visibility in the short term (Q1 25 expected to be ‘weak’) and disappointing FCF (-€ 35m excluding the effect of a prepayment vs a consensus of -€ 17m). On this basis, we have downgraded our 2026-2027 EPS estimates by ~45/32% and c...

Ian Wong
  • Ian Wong

AMS Osram - Earnings Flash - Q3 FY 2024 Results - Lucror Analytics

AMS Osram has released Q3/24 results that were in line with management's guidance. Despite a decline in y-o-y revenues, adjusted EBITDA and the adjusted EBITDA margin improved, boosted by one-off payments. Consequently, cash generation strengthened significantly. Both net debt and net leverage declined sequentially. Liquidity improved, and remains at a comfortable level. The near-term outlook is soft, given the weakness in the company's end-markets.

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 11/08/2024

Altarea: Q3 still weak, but positive messages for year-end Maxeda: Moody’s has downgraded the corporate rating to Caa1/negative>...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 08/11/2024

Maxeda : Moody’s a dégradé le rating à Caa1/négatif Altarea : un T3 toujours faible mais des messages plus positifs pour la fin d’année>...

Ian Wong ... (+2)
  • Ian Wong
  • Josseline Jenssen

Lucror Analytics - Convertibles Brief

In today's Convertibles Brief publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: GOL, AMS Osram, Air France-KLM

Felix Fischer ... (+6)
  • Felix Fischer
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Ian Wong
  • Jayanth Kandalam
  • Peter Low
  • Tanvi Arora

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: AMS Osram, Sappi, Ahlstrom, Trivium, Verisure, Rolls-Royce, Air France-KLM, Bombardier, Constellium, Cirsa, Kem One, Arxada, Borr Drilling, Maxeda, NewDay, Flora Food Group (formerly Upfield), Banijay

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 11/07/2024

Banco BPM reports strong Q3 results and launches a takeover bid on Anima. Coty: cautious tone after Q1 results. Call and tender offer on certain bonds maturing in 2026.>...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 07/11/2024

Banco BPM publie de solides résultats T3 et lance une offre sur Anima Coty : un ton prudent après les résultats T1. Rachat de certaines obligations 2026.>...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

ams OSRAM : Solid Q3 2024 results but Q4 guidance well below expectati...

>Q3 2024 results above expectations on profitability - This morning, ams-OSRAM reported Q3 2024 results which were above expectations. Revenues were € 881m, in line with the consensus at € 880m (guidance € 830-930m). They were up 8% q-o-q and down 3% y-o-y. Adjusted gross margin was 29.7%, close to the consensus at 30%. Adjusted EBITDA was € 166m, i.e. an EBITDA margin of 18.8%, slightly above the consensus at € 164m and 18.6% (guidance at 17-20%). Adjusted EBIT was €...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

ams OSRAM : Solid Q3 2024 results but Q4 guidance well below expectati...

>Q3 2024 results above expectations on profitability - This morning, ams-OSRAM reported Q3 2024 results which were above expectations. Revenues were € 881m, in line with the consensus at € 880m (guidance € 830-930m). They were up 8% q-o-q and down 3% y-o-y. Adjusted gross margin was 29.7%, close to the consensus at 30%. Adjusted EBITDA was € 166m, i.e. an EBITDA margin of 18.8%, slightly above the consensus at € 164m and 18.6% (guidance at 17-20%). Adjusted EBIT was €...

Ian Wong ... (+2)
  • Ian Wong
  • Leonard Law

Lucror Analytics - Convertibles Brief

In today's Convertibles Brief publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Air France-KLM, AMS Osram, Wynn Macau

Haidje Rustau ... (+5)
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Ian Wong
  • Jayanth Kandalam
  • Peter Low
  • Si Yong Ng

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Air France-KLM, AMS Osram, Banijay, Ahlstrom, Sappi, Trivium, Verisure, TI Fluid Systems, Telecom Italia, Nexans, PureGym, Nokia, Ardagh Metal Beverage Packaging, Gestamp

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

ODDO : A fresh acceleration in semiconductor sales in August, mainly t...

>A fresh acceleration to worldwide semiconductor sales in August at +20.6% y-o-y (vs +18.7% in July) - Worldwide semiconductor sales in August 2024 were published by the WSTS (World Semiconductor Trade Statistics) with the usual one-month lag. On a three-month moving average, sales came to $ 53.1bn, ahead of our forecast of $ 52bn. This represents a sequential increase of 3.5% and +20.6% y-o-y, after +18.7% in July. At the regional level, sales from one year to the n...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

ODDO : Nouvelle accélération des ventes de semiconducteurs en août, pr...

>Nouvelle accélération de la croissance des ventes mondiales de semis en août à +20.6% yoy (vs +18.7% en juillet) - Les ventes mondiales de semiconducteurs d’août 2024 ont été publiées par WSTS (World Semiconductor Trade Statistics), avec (comme toujours) un mois de décalage. En données lissées (moyenne de 3 mois), elles ressortent à 53.1 Md$ au-dessus de notre prévision à 52 Md$. Il s’agit d’une hausse séquentielle de 3.5% et annuelle de 20.6% après 18.7% en juillet....

Emmanuel Matot
  • Emmanuel Matot

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 10/07/2024

Last week we held our fourth ODDO BHF Iberian Forum. The event was fully virtual and took place on October 1 and 2. With 62 Iberian issuers, close to 200 institutional investors and c. 800 meetings, this is one of the largest dedicated Iberian conferences held this year. This note brings together 49 feedback documents, with 5 target price revisions (o/w 3 downward revisions) and a rating downgrade on Pharma Mar. The main subjects of debate were i/ the trend in final demand in the con...

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