AMS Osram released its Q4 and FY 2025 numbers yesterday. The Q4 performance was soft but outperformed our and the street's expectations, and was well above the mid-point of guidance, thanks to a robust aftermarket business. Positively, pro-forma net leverage (company methodology) dropped to 2.5x. While 2026 is expected to be a transition year, credit stats should improve substantially from 2027 onwards. We believe the bonds offer broadly fair value.
In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Verisure, AMS Osram, International Personal Finance, Bombardier, TK Elevator, Rekeep, Ontex, TUI, Allwyn (formerly Sazka), Samvardhana Motherson, Adler Pelzer, Canpack, Iceland Foods
Sur 2026, nous estimons que la dynamique sera plus favorable aux majors européennes tant sur le RASK (croissance plus modérée des capacités et meilleure orientation du réseau long-courrier en particulier transatlantique), que sur le CASK hors carburant aidé par des effets de base positifs. Nous relevons notre opinion à Surperformance sur Air France-KLM et Lufthansa et dégradons Ryanair en Neutre et Wizz Air en Sous-performance.
For 2026, we think that the trend will be more favourable to the European legacy carriers in terms of both RASK (more modest growth in capacity and a more positive trend on the long-haul network, particularly transatlantic) and CASK excluding fuel, aided by positive base effects. We have upgraded Air France-KLM and Lufthansa to Outperform, downgraded Ryanair to Neutral and Wizz Air to Underperform. A more favourable trend expected in 2026 for legacy carriers
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