reports
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China Property: New-home Sales Remain Weak In Jan 26; Top Pick: CR Lan...
CRIC data shows top 100 developers’ contracted sales fell 24.7% YoY in Jan 26, while new-home sales in 28 major cities declined 36% yoy. Second-hand transactions in three Tier 1 cities rose 1% yoy. Maintain an UNDERWEIGHT but deepening industry downturn leads to rising possibility of policy support, supporting selective exposure. CR Land remains our top pick, with P/B at 1SD below five-year mean, and PE and yield near five year average.
- Audrey Celia
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Damon Shen
- Gigi Cheuk
- Jieqi Liu
- Johnny Yum
- Jonathan Koh
- Joyce Chu
- Kate Luang
- Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
- Kong Ho Meng
- Krit Tanarattananon
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
- Suryaputra Wijaksana
- Thailand Research Team
- Willinoy Sitorus
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, February 03, 2026
Greater China Sector Update | China Property CRIC data show that the top 100 developers’ contracted sales fell 24.7% yoy in Jan 26, while new-home sales in 28 major cities declined 36% yoy. Second-hand transactions in three Tier 1 cities rose 1% yoy. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT but deepening industry downturn leads to rising possibility of policy support, supporting selective exposure. CR Land remains our top pick, with P/B at 1SD below the five-year mean, and PE and yield near the five-year average....
KTC KRUNGTHAI CARD PCL
00688 CHINA OVERSEAS LAND & INVESTMENT LIMITED
FCT FRASERS CENTREPOINT TRUST
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
BBRI PT BANK RAKYAT INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
SCNR SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
IVL INDORAMA VENTURES PUBLIC CO. LTD.
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SUN SUNTECH SA
KREIT KEPPEL REIT
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06088 WESTPORTS HOLDINGS BHD
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UHU RATCH GROUP PUBLIC CO. LTD.
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CICT SASSEUR REIT (S CHIP)
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CLCT ASCOTT RESIDENCE TRUST
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CMRY GOJEK TOKOPEDIA TBK PT
MXNU PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
CLAR ELITE COMMERCIAL REIT MGNT PTE LTD
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DIGITAL CORE REIT MANAGEMENT PTE. LTD.
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ken Lee
- Sunny Chen
Greater China Daily: Friday, 30 January 2026
Top Stories Sector Update | Automobile Chinese EVs are gaining share in the global auto market, due to China’s integrated supply chain dominance and favourable trade policies. Established incumbents like BYD are facing increasing competition from fellow Chinese auto OEMs and some western brands like VW. Lower-export OEMs (Geely, XPeng) hold greater upside than high-export leaders (BYD, GWM). China’s EV export hub status benefits suppliers as foreign OEMs leverage local production. Maintain MARKE...
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China Property: 2025 Results Preview; Second-Hand Home Transactions Sh...
In 2025, CR Land and COLI saw 15-20% yoy profit declines and Longfor’s core profit may turn from positive to negative due to weak DP margins. For 2026, the outlook remains constrained, though as it is the first year of the 15th Five-Year Plan, SOEs are expected to have clearer growth targets. In Jan 26, new-home sales in 28 major cities fell 40% yoy, while second-hand transactions in three Tier 1 cities declined 4% yoy. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT, but we see a rising possibility of policy support.
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China Property: Sales Remain Weak In Dec 25 While Property Investment ...
The NBS published industry data for Dec 25, which revealed weak industry fundamentals. Demand remains under pressure in Jan 26, with both new-home sales and secondary-home transactions continuing to post yoy declines even with the low base in Jan 25. We expect sales growth in 1Q26 to remain negative yoy, due to the high base since Feb 25 and weak demand. Policy uncertainty and weak policy implementation continue to be key concerns, and we remain UNDERWEIGHT on China’s property sector.
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China Resources Land (1109 HK): 2025 Preview: Expect Core Earnings To ...
We expect CR Land’s 2025 core net profit to decline 18.8% yoy due to lower property development margins and delayed REIT listing gains. Strong shopping mall momentum should support an 11% yoy retail rental growth, while net gearing is expected to decline hoh. We cut our 2025/26/27 earnings forecasts by 14.6%/11.4%/10.7% and lower our SOTP-based target price to HK$35.40. Maintain BUY.
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Damon Shen
- Ejann Hiew
- Greater China Research Team
- Jieqi Liu
- Ken Lee
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Stella Guo Yuting
- Sunny Chen
- Tham Mun Hon
Greater China Daily: Friday, January 16, 2026
Top Stories Economics | Money Supply December’s monetary data was mixed. M1 growth slowed further to 3.8% yoy, slightly below expectations, while M2 growth improved to 8.5% yoy on stronger time deposits growth. On a positive note, new bank loans rebounded to Rmb0.91t, mainly driven by corporate and government borrowing, and new TSF also beat forecasts. However, outstanding bank loan growth stayed at a year-low of 6.4% yoy and TSF growth eased to 8.3% yoy, underscoring still-fragile credit deman...
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China Property: Sales Remain Weak in Jan 26; Land Investments Still Co...
Demand remained under pressure in Jan 26, with both new-home sales and secondary-home transactions continuing to post sharp yoy declines. Land market activity weakened notably towards the end of 2025, while capital and demand were further concentrated in a small number of strong Tier 1-2 cities, underscoring persistent divergence across regions amid still-soft market sentiment. We remain UNDERWEIGHT on China’s property sector, and expect high policy volatility and weak policy implementation in 1...
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Damon Shen
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- Jack Goh Tooan Orng
- Jack Lai Yuan Khai
- Jieqi Liu
- Jo Yee Ng
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kenny Yong Hui Lim
- Lester Siew
- Ming San Soong
- Willinoy Sitorus
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, January 13, 2026
Greater China Sector Update | China Property Demand remained under pressure in Jan 26, with both new-home sales and secondary-home transactions continuing to post sharp yoy declines. Land market activity weakened notably toward the end of 2025, while capital and demand were further concentrated in a small number of strong Tier 1-2 cities, underscoring persistent divergence across regions amid still-soft market sentiment. We remain UNDERWEIGHT on China’s property sector, and expect high polic...
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
SCNR SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
JPFA JAPFA COMFEED INDONESIA
INKP PT INDAH KIAT PULP & PAPER TBK
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
TLKM PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
SOP SARAWAK OIL PALMS BERHAD
KIML KIM LOONG RESOURCES BHD
IJM IJM CORP BHD
IOI IOI CORP BHD
KLK KUALA LUMPUR KEPONG BHD
FUTU FUTU HOLDINGS ADS
SWB SUNWAY BHD
GENP GENTING PLANTATIONS BHD
HAPL HAP SENG PLANTATIONS HOLDINGS BHD
HEAL MEDIKALOKA HERMINA
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
SCGP SCG PACKAGING PCL
CMRY PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
MDKA MERDEKA COPPER GOLD TBK PT
SDG SD GUTHRIE BHD
DEWA IJ DARMA HENWA (DEWA IJ)
ASSA IJ ADI SARANA ARMADA TBK PT (ASSA IJ)
ARCI IJ ARCHI INDONESIA (ARCI IJ)
ASL SP ASL MARINE (ASL SP)
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China Property: Key Party Media Qiushi Emphasises Government’s Commitm...
Qiushi published an article on 1 Jan 26, emphasising the government's renewed commitment to stabilise the property market, suggesting a higher likelihood of stronger policy support in 1H26; however, implementation risks remain, in our view. Demand stayed weak in Dec 25, with new-home sales in 28 cities down 37% yoy and second-hand home prices in three Tier 1 cities down by 24% yoy. We maintain UNDERWEIGHT on China’s property sector and expect a continued consolidation toward SOEs. We keep CR Lan...
- Andrew Agita Buntoro
- Chong Lee Len
- Colin Lee
- Damon Shen
- Ejann Hiew
- Greater China Research Team
- Jieqi Liu
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
- Jonathan Koh
- Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
- Krit Tanarattananon
- Philip Wong
- Suryaputra Wijaksana
- Thailand Research Team
- Thanawat Thangchadakorn
- Willinoy Sitorus
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, January 06, 2026
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: January Conviction Calls Chinese equities remained in consolidation through December, with the HSI and MSCI China down 0.9% mom and 1.5% mom, respectively, despite last week’s window dressing narrowing losses. Policy signals from the Economic Work Conference broadly met expectations. Looking ahead, we are constructive on 1Q26, supported by a favourable global liquidity cycle and potential macro supportive measures in China. We retain most of our December...
KTC KRUNGTHAI CARD PCL
KKP KIATNAKIN BANK
00688 CHINA OVERSEAS LAND & INVESTMENT LIMITED
00823 LINK REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
BBL BANGKOK BANK PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
00388 HONG KONG EXCHANGES & CLEARING LTD.
SXC SUNNY OPTICAL TECHNOLOGY (GROUP) CO. LTD.
00285 BYD ELECTRONIC (INTERNATIONAL) CO. LTD.
TISCO TISCO FINANCIAL GROUP
SCNR SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
IVL INDORAMA VENTURES PUBLIC CO. LTD.
ADVANC ADVANCED INFO SERVICE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
TMB TMB BANK PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
KBANK KASIKORNBANK PUBLIC CO. LTD.
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PTTEP PTT EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION PLC
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000333 MIDEA GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
PDD PINDUODUO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
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KTB KONTOOR BRANDS
09999 NETEASE INC
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2269 WUXI BIOLOGICS (CAYMAN) INC.
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- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China Property: Latest Pre-CEWC Politburo Meeting Sidesteps Supports F...
At the latest pre-CEWC Politburo meeting, not a word about property policy and urbanisation was mentioned. This points to a much lower possibility of strong stimulus for the property industry in the near term. Demand stayed weak in Dec 25, with new-home sales in 28 cities down 55% yoy and second-hand home prices in most cities falling. We maintain UNDERWEIGHT on China’s property sector, with CR Land as our top pick for its consistent earnings outperformance.
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China Property: Major Mainland Cities See Deeper YOY Declines In New H...
Demand stayed weak in Nov 25, with new-home sales in 28 cities down 42% yoy and second-hand home prices in most cities falling. Land auctions in Shanghai and Hangzhou cooled, with most plots near reserve prices. We maintain UNDERWEIGHT on China property, with CR Land as our top pick for its consistent earnings outperformance.
- Audrey Celia
- Damon Shen
- Desmond Chong Chee Wai
- Ejann Hiew
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- Jieqi Liu
- Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
- Krit Tanarattananon
- Malaysia Research Team
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Stella Guo Yuting
- Suryaputra Wijaksana
- Thailand Research Team
- Vincent Khoo Boo Aik
- Willinoy Sitorus
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, December 02, 2025
Greater China Sector Update | China Property Demand stayed weak in Nov 25, with new-home sales in 28 cities down 42% yoy and second hand home prices in most cities falling. Land auctions in Shanghai and Hangzhou cooled, with most plots near reserve prices. We maintain UNDERWEIGHT on China property, with CR Land as our top pick for its consistent earnings outperformance. Sector Update | Macau Gaming Macau’s Nov 25 GGR reached MOP 21.1b, down 12% mom but up 14% yoy, and recovering to 92% o...
KTC KRUNGTHAI CARD PCL
00688 CHINA OVERSEAS LAND & INVESTMENT LIMITED
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
SCNR SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
IVL INDORAMA VENTURES PUBLIC CO. LTD.
JPFA JAPFA COMFEED INDONESIA
GFPT GFPT
ADVANC ADVANCED INFO SERVICE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
00027 GALAXY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED
5347 TENAGA NASIONAL BHD
MINT MINOR INTERNATIONAL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
599A SANDS CHINA LTD.
AOT AIRPORTS OF THAILAND PUBLIC CO. LTD.
KPJ KPJ HEALTHCARE BERHAD
PMAH PRESS METAL ALUMINIUM HOLDIN
HLBK HONG LEONG BANK BERHAD
PEP PPB GROUP BERHAD
BAUTO BERMAZ AUTO BHD
RATCH RATCH GROUP PUBLIC CO. LTD.
SWB SUNWAY BHD
1368 XTEP INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS
SCGP SCG PACKAGING PCL
OR PTT OIL AND RETAIL BUSINESS PUBLIC CO LIMITED
PEKAT PEKAT GROUP BHD
ECOSHOP MK ECO-SHOP MARKETING BHD
ASL SP ASL MARINE (ASL SP)
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China Property: Channel Check On Hohhot And Taiyuan’s Property Markets...
Our channel check showed that new home property prices in the core districts of Hohhot and Taiyuan showed signs of stabilisation, supported by population inflow, higher efficiency ratio of new products and sharper contraction in supply. With greater downward pressure on property prices in Tier 1 cities, the trend in lower tier cities points to continued divergence and complexity in China’s property market. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. CR Land remains our top pick.
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
CR Land (1109 HK): Takeaways From Hohhot And Taiyuan Visit: Set For Fa...
We joined CR Land’s reverse roadshow in Hohhot and Taiyuan. Mixc malls achieved 10-15% SSSG in tenant sales for 10M25, with luxury malls improving in 3Q25. CR Land targets faster commercial expansion in the 15th FYP, backed by 65m registered members and proven ability of outperforming the market. We trim earnings by 5% on slower property sales but raise target PE for recurring income. We lift target price by 10% to HK$37.51. Maintain BUY. CR Land remains our top pick.
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Colin Lee
- Damon Shen
- Ejann Hiew
- Gigi Cheuk
- Greater China Research Team
- Jieqi Liu
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
- Joyce Chu
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kate Luang
- Ken Lee
- Ming San Soong
- Sunny Chen
Greater China Daily: Friday, November 21, 2025
Top Stories Sector Update | Automobile The phasing out of subsidies has hammered auto sales. PV sales fell 14% yoy, and PEV sales edged up 1-2% yoy during 1-16 Nov 25. Subsidies are likely to continue into 2026 at reduced levels. We expect PV and EV sales to grow 4.9% and over 20%, driven by exports. Tighter regulatory oversight amid rising safety concerns should benefit OEMs such as Geely and Great Wall. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL and Geely. Top SELLs: BYD and Li Auto. Company Res...
- Audrey Celia
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Colin Lee
- Damon Shen
- Desmond Chong Chee Wai
- Ejann Hiew
- Gigi Cheuk
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- Jack Goh Tooan Orng
- Jieqi Liu
- John Cheong Ming Chern
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
- Joyce Chu
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kate Luang
- Ken Lee
- Ming San Soong
- Sunny Chen
- Wei Xiang Ku
- Willinoy Sitorus
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, November 21, 2025
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile The phasing out of subsidies has hammered auto sales. PV sales fell 14% yoy, and PEV sales edged up 1-2% yoy during 1-16 Nov 25. Subsidies are likely to continue into 2026 at reduced levels. We expect PV and EV sales to grow 4.9% and over 20%, driven by exports. Tighter regulatory oversight amid rising safety concerns should benefit OEMs such as Geely and Great Wall. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL and Geely. Top SELLs: BYD and Li Auto. Company Re...
00823 LINK REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
01093 CSPC PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP LIMITED
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
AMRT SUMBER ALFARIA TRIJAYA TBK PT
MINT MINOR INTERNATIONAL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
SCGB SUNWAY CONSTRUCTION GROUP BH
PMAH PRESS METAL ALUMINIUM HOLDIN
2633 JACOBSON PHARMA CORP LTD
CSSC CHINA SUNSINE CHEMICAL HOLDINGS LTD
09999 NETEASE INC
PTTOR PTT OIL AND RETAIL
02161 JBM (HEALTHCARE) LTD
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China And Hong Kong Property: China To Expand C-REITs For POEs; Major ...
On 10 November, the State Council vowed to expand C-REITs for POEs. However, demand stays weak: home sales from 1-10 November in 28 mainland cities fell 45% yoy, with prices trending down. In Hong Kong, the potential supply of private homes rose 1% qoq, yet property prices and rents showed improving fundamentals. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT; favour mainland developers with strong retail portfolios (CR Land, Longfor); in Hong Kong, favour SHKP and Kerry Properties.
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China Property: NBS Data For Sep 25 Shows Industry Weakness, Expect Pr...
Industry data showed further deterioration in Oct 25. The 0.4% yoy growth in property completion in Sep 25 is a positive development. Given the higher comparison base since Oct 24, we expect nationwide property sales to see deeper yoy declines in 4Q25. We maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the China property sector, with CR Land as our top pick.
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