reports
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China and Hong Kong Property: Takeaways From Visit To Jinling Residenc...
Jinling Residence’s strong sell-out highlights resilient end-user demand despite weaker investment sentiment, while major cities’ October data showed yoy declines in both new and secondary home sales. We maintain MARKET WEIGHT. We upgrade Kerry Properties to BUY after the recent correction, with an unchanged target price of HK$22.80.
- Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
- Audrey Celia
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Chong Lee Len
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
- Kong Ho Meng
- Lester Siew
- Ming San Soong
- Thanawat Thangchadakorn
- Willinoy Sitorus
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, October 15, 2025
Greater China Sector Update | Property Jinling Residence’s strong sell-out highlights resilient end-user demand despite weaker investment sentiment, while major cities’ October data showed yoy declines in both new and secondary home sales. We maintain MARKET WEIGHT. We upgrade Kerry Properties to BUY after the recent correction, with an unchanged target price of HK$22.80. Company Update | Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$155.20/Target: HK$203.00) We expect solid 2QFY26 results, despite marg...
FR FIRST INDUSTRIAL REALTY TRUST INC.
00688 CHINA OVERSEAS LAND & INVESTMENT LIMITED
00683 KERRY PROPERTIES LIMITED
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
TISCO TISCO FINANCIAL GROUP
SCNR SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
JPFA JAPFA COMFEED INDONESIA
3816 MISC BHD
5347 TENAGA NASIONAL BHD
BN4 KEPPEL CORPORATION LIMITED
MLK MALAKOFF CORP BHD
KCE KCE ELECTRONICS PUBLIC CO. LTD.
GMB GAS MALAYSIA BHD
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
09618 JD.COM INC. CLASS A
00017 NEW WORLD DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
SVI SVI PCL
DELTA DELTA CORP
PEKAT PEKAT GROUP BHD
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China and Hong Kong Property: Update Of Key Data And Trends During 202...
Golden Week new-home sales varied, with sales in Tier 1 cities growing 18.1% yoy on average, while sales in Tier 2 and Tier 3 cities declined. In Hong Kong, second-hand transactions from 2024-25 projects, like SHKP's Cullinan Sky, achieved better capital gains, boosting investor sentiment. Tourism data was mixed: mainland tourist growth slowed, other regions’ visitors surged, and northbound travel stayed strong. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on China and Hong Kong property/landlord sectors.
00683 KERRY PROPERTIES LIMITED
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
00823 LINK REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
SCNR SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
00014 HYSAN DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
01997 WHARF REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT CO. LTD.
00017 NEW WORLD DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China Property: Channel Check On Shanghai’s Property Market.
Shanghai’s property market shows diverging trends: New home prices remain supported by a low-base effect from previous price caps and policy easing, but the secondary housing market stays weak, with falling prices, rising listings and improving rental yields. LGFVs lag in pace and quality, while project management companies stand out as beneficiaries. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector.
- Damon Shen
- Desmond Chong Chee Wai
- Jack Goh Tooan Orng
- Jack Lai Yuan Khai
- Jieqi Liu
- Jonathan Koh
- Malaysia Research Team
- Thanawat Thangchadakorn
- Willinoy Sitorus
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, September 23, 2025
Greater China Sector Update | Property Property investment has declined since Jul 25 due to weak demand, LGFV financing controls, slow destocking and urban-redevelopment, and limited new loans. Sep 25 data showed a rebound in Tier 1 city home sales, led by Shanghai. Central government capital is needed. However, the existing policy stance points to a low possibility of direct injection by the central government. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT, with CR Land as our top pick. Indonesia Strategy | T...
00688 CHINA OVERSEAS LAND & INVESTMENT LIMITED
BBL BANGKOK BANK PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
4197 SIME DARBY BHD.
TISCO TISCO FINANCIAL GROUP
SCNR SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
AMRT SUMBER ALFARIA TRIJAYA TBK PT
AJBU KEPPEL DC REIT
INKP PT INDAH KIAT PULP & PAPER TBK
TMB TMB BANK PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
KBANK KASIKORNBANK PUBLIC CO. LTD.
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
VSI V.S. INDUSTRY BERHAD
BAUTO BERMAZ AUTO BHD
KTB KONTOOR BRANDS
BBNI BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
SCB SCB X PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
CMRY PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
MDKA MERDEKA COPPER GOLD TBK PT
NCKL PT TRIMEGAH BANGUN PERSADA TBK (HARITA NICKEL)
MTEL IJ PT DAYAMITRA TELEKOMUNIKASI
HRUM HARUM ENERGY TBK PT
PECCA MK PECCA GROUP BHD
NTTDCR SP NTT DC REIT
ASSA IJ ADI SARANA ARMADA TBK PT (ASSA IJ)
ARCI IJ ARCHI INDONESIA (ARCI IJ)
BNASTRA BINASTRA (BNASTRA MK)
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China Property: NBS Data For Aug 25 Shows Continued Industry Weakness,...
The nationwide property data in Aug 25 remained weak. The decent rebound in property transactions in Shanghai/Shenzhen after the removal of HPRs is a positive development. Expect supportive monetary and fiscal policies to support homebuyers’ sentiment. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the China property sector, with CR Land as our top pick.
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China Property: 1H25 Results Wrap-Up; Will The Removal Of HPRs In Non-...
In 1H25, Chinese developers faced declining profitability but stable balance sheets. Supportive policies drive a positive outlook. On 5 September, Shenzhen eased HPRs in non-core areas after Beijing and Shanghai, though Beijing's August sales disappointed. Further market consolidation is expected. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT and CR Land as our top pick.
- Benyamin Mikael
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
- Jonathan Koh
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kasemsun Koonnara
- Ming San Soong
- Philip Wong
- Sunny Chen
- Tham Mun Hon
- Willinoy Sitorus
- Ziv Ang Sze Champ
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, September 09, 2025
Greater China Economics | Trade China’s export momentum softened in August as front-loaded US demand has faded, exposing the vulnerability of shipments to the US market. While the trade diversion supported flows to ASEAN and the EU, overall growth moderated. Imports also weakened amid subdued agricultural demand, despite firmer commodity-related inflows. Pro...
00688 CHINA OVERSEAS LAND & INVESTMENT LIMITED
ANTM PT ANEKA TAMBANG TBK
01093 CSPC PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP LIMITED
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
GGRM PT GUDANG GARAM TBK
BBRI PT BANK RAKYAT INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
6WX CHINA LONGYUAN POWER GROUP CORP. LTD. CLASS H
300015 AIER EYE HOSPITAL GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
SCNR SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
00241 ALIBABA HEALTH INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY LTD.
BMRI PT BANK MANDIRI (PERSERO) TBK
01177 SINO BIOPHARMACEUTICAL LIMITED
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
X2S SINOPHARM GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
2877 CHINA SHINEWAY PHARMACEUTICA
HCM HUTCHISON CHINA MEDITECH LIMITED
01801 INNOVENT BIOLOGICS INC.
1833 PING AN HEALTHCARE AND TECHNOLOGY COMPANY LIMITED
DBB DUOPHARMA BIOTECH BHD
300760 SHENZHEN MINDRAY BIO-MEDICAL ELECTRONICS CO. LTD. CLASS A
603882 GUANGZHOU KINGMED DIAGNOSTICS GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
1093 CSPC PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP LTD
603259 WUXI APPTEC CO. LTD. CLASS A
2269 WUXI BIOLOGICS (CAYMAN) INC.
OXMU PRIME US REIT
3692 HANSOH PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP
06160 BEIGENE LTD.
09888 BAIDU INC
BBNI WUXI APPTEC CO. LTD. CLASS H
300765 BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
300244 CSPC INNOVATION PHARMACEUTICAL CO L
DIAN DIAGNOSTICS GROUP CO
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
CR Land (1109 HK): 1H25: Results in line; positive 2H25 sales outlook ...
1H25 core net profit fell 6.9% yoy, largely in line with our expectation (-5%yoy), with a strong mall performance (+20.2% tenant sales) and recurring business contributing 60.2% to earnings. With policy supports and increased resources, management is positive about 2H25 sales. CR Land now targets regular REIT listings, which will be positive to earnings in the near term. We roll over to 2025F/26F PE and raise target price by 3.8% to HK$34.10. Maintain BUY.
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Colin Lee
- Damon Shen
- Ejann Hiew
- Gigi Cheuk
- Greater China Research Team
- Jieqi Liu
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
- Kate Luang
- Kenny Yong Hui Lim
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Stella Guo Yuting
- Sunny Chen
- Ziv Ang Sze Champ
Greater China Daily: Thursday, August 28, 2025
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Anhui Conch Cement (914 HK/BUY/HK$24.46/Target: HK$28.90) Anhui Conch Cement reported 1H25 earnings of Rmb4,367.9m (+31.3% yoy), representing 42.5% of our full-year estimates, slightly above expectations. Gross margin for self-produced products rose to 28.9% (+5.8ppt yoy). Cement ASP edged up 1.5% yoy, while unit production cost fell 7.1% yoy, mainly on a 13.8% drop in fuel and power costs. Cement and clinker sales volume was broadly stable at 126mt (-0.4% yoy), outperfo...
AS7 ANTA SPORTS PRODUCTS LTD.
00688 CHINA OVERSEAS LAND & INVESTMENT LIMITED
XGH ENN ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED
PRU PRUDENTIAL PLC
000858 WULIANGYE YIBIN CO. LTD. CLASS A
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
002472 ZHEJIANG SHUANGHUAN DRIVELINE (A)
0914 ANHUI CONCH CEMENT COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
2318 PING AN INSURANCE (GROUP) COMPANY OF CHINA LTD. CLASS H
2899 ZIJIN MINING GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
03690 MEITUAN CLASS B
2877 CHINA SHINEWAY PHARMACEUTICA
06098 COUNTRY GARDEN SERVICES HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
01801 INNOVENT BIOLOGICS INC.
01209 CHINA RESOURCES MIXC LIFESTYLE SERVICES (RED CHIP)
9660 HK HORIZON ROBOTICS INC (9660 HK)
- Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
- Arsit Pamaranont
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Chong Lee Len
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Colin Lee
- Damon Shen
- Ejann Hiew
- Gigi Cheuk
- Jack Goh Tooan Orng
- Jack Lai Yuan Khai
- Jieqi Liu
- Jo Yee Ng
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kate Luang
- Keith Wee Teck Keong
- Kenny Yong Hui Lim
- Ming San Soong
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Stella Guo Yuting
- Sunny Chen
- Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
- Willinoy Sitorus
- Ziv Ang Sze Champ
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, August 28, 2025
GREATER CHINA Results Anta Sports (2020 HK/BUY/HK$101.60/Target: HK$114.20) 1H25: Results in line; lowers Anta brand target slightly, but maintains group-level target. CR Land (1109 HK/BUY/HK$30.40/Target: HK$34.10) 1H25: Results in line; positive 2H25 sales outlook & regular REIT expansion vision. Horizon Robotics (9660 HK/BUY/HK$7.94/Target: HK$8.88) 1H25: Hardware shipments more than double; eyeing mass pro...
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
EGCO ELECTRICITY GENERATING PUBLIC CO. LTD.
PLANB PLAN B MEDIA
002472 ZHEJIANG SHUANGHUAN DRIVELINE (A)
2318 PING AN INSURANCE (GROUP) COMPANY OF CHINA LTD. CLASS H
2899 ZIJIN MINING GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
03690 MEITUAN CLASS B
IJM IJM CORP BHD
HLBK HONG LEONG BANK BERHAD
SWB SUNWAY BHD
01801 INNOVENT BIOLOGICS INC.
TDC TIME DOTCOM BHD
PGEO PERTAMINA GEOTHERMAL ENERGY
STM SEATRIUM LTD
9660 HK HORIZON ROBOTICS INC (9660 HK)
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China & Hong Kong Property Strategy: CR Land’s acquisition of Shanghai...
The 30 Jul Politburo meeting emphasised strict controls on hidden government debt and high-quality/prudent urban renewal. CR Land’s acquisition of two prime residential projects in Shanghai (Rmb24.5b) highlights opportunities for SOE developers as LGFVs divest assets under stricter oversight. While Tier 1 and 2 cities show further sales weakness, Hong Kong is progressing with destocking, with potential changes to ease capital transfers for mainland talents. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on both sectors...
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China & Hong Kong Property & Property Management Strategy: Mainland ma...
Mainland property sales continued to weaken in July, which may weigh on the recovery of land sales. Potential policy support in 2H25 could be a positive catalyst. The Hong Kong property market showed signs of stabilisation: CCL index has turned positive ytd, while inventory of primary private residential units decreased 3.8% qoq in 2Q25. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on both sectors, favouring CR Land in China for its resilient performance. We also highlight our other top pick, CR Mixc, for its attract...
00683 KERRY PROPERTIES LIMITED
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
SCNR SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
02669 CHINA OVERSEAS PROPERTY HOLDINGS LIMITED
06098 COUNTRY GARDEN SERVICES HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
6049 POLY PROPERTY SERVICES CO LTD
00017 NEW WORLD DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
01209 CHINA RESOURCES MIXC LIFESTYLE SERVICES (RED CHIP)
- Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
- Audrey Celia
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Benyamin Mikael
- Damon Shen
- Desmond Chong Chee Wai
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- Jack Lai Yuan Khai
- Jieqi Liu
- John Cheong Ming Chern
- Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
- Philip Wong
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
- Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
- Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
- Wei Xiang Ku
- Willinoy Sitorus
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, July 29, 2025
GREATER CHINA Strategy China & Hong Kong Property & Property Management Mainland market continues to weaken, while the Hong Kong residential market progresses with destocking; we highlight CR Land and CR Mixc as top picks. INDONESIA Initiate Coverage Archi Indonesia (ARCI IJ/BUY/Rp770/Target: Rp1,280) Well-timed turnaround with true potential waiting to be unlocked. Results Cisarua Mountain Dairy (CMRY IJ/BUY/Rp4,750/Target: Rp6,000) 1H25: ...
00683 KERRY PROPERTIES LIMITED
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
B8O YANGZIJIANG SHIPBUILDING (HOLDINGS) LTD.
SCNR SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
AIY IFAST
PLANB PLAN B MEDIA
PTTEP PTT EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION PLC
02669 CHINA OVERSEAS PROPERTY HOLDINGS LIMITED
ROTH BRITISH AMERICAN TOBACCO BHD
RFMD RAFFLES MEDICAL GROUP LTD
06098 COUNTRY GARDEN SERVICES HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
6049 POLY PROPERTY SERVICES CO LTD
MPM MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
OR PTT OIL AND RETAIL BUSINESS PUBLIC CO LIMITED
00017 NEW WORLD DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
01209 CHINA RESOURCES MIXC LIFESTYLE SERVICES (RED CHIP)
CMRY PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
STM SEATRIUM LTD
DELTA DELTA ELECTRONICS
0303 ALPHA IVF GROUP
ECOSHOP MK ECO-SHOP MARKETING BHD
ARCI IJ ARCHI INDONESIA (ARCI IJ)
OXB MK OXFORD INNOTECH BHD (OXB MK)
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China Property: Channel check on Guangzhou’s and Shenzhen’s primary re...
In Guangzhou and Shenzhen, relaxed construction standards have boosted new project efficiency ratios and sales, but increased pressure on older inventory, prompting Guangzhou to tighten rules again in May 25. For Longfor, we expect a 60-70% yoy fall in 1H25 core earnings due to lower DP segment GPM. We lower our earnings forecast and target price for Longfor while maintaining BUY for its resilient IP portfolio and deleveraging progress. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top pick: CR Land.
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China Property: Operational update and 1H25 earnings preview for CR La...
In 1H25, CR Land's revenue is expected to rise about 20% yoy with better-than-expected GPM, but core profit may drop around 5% yoy due to fewer one-off gains. COLI is projected to see a mild revenue growth, with a yoy decline in GPM, leading to an around 20% yoy drop in core profit. Although sales of both CR Land and COLI fell short of targets, 1H25 financials were better than the market had feared. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top pick: CR Land.
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China Property: Property sales and prices weakened further in June and...
Held on 14-15 July, the central urban work conference set a pragmatic tone on urbanisation without any mention of large-scale urban redevelopment. The updated framework set at the meeting will help lower policy uncertainty in the medium term, in our view. With the continuous weakening of property sales in June-July 25 and further declines in property prices in all city tiers, the mid-year Politburo meeting at the end of July 25 remains a key policy window. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT; top pick: CR La...
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Damon Shen
- Desmond Chong Chee Wai
- Ejann Hiew
- Jieqi Liu
- John Cheong Ming Chern
- Posmarito Pakpahan
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Stella Guo Yuting
- Sunny Chen
- Tham Mun Hon
- Thanawat Thangchadakorn
- Wei Xiang Ku
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, July 16, 2025
GREATER CHINA Economics Economic Activity Resilient 1H25 growth of 5.3% yoy belies rising downside pressure. Sector Healthcare Weekly: Gaining strength on robust earnings outlook and pipeline growth. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Property Property sales and prices weakened further in J...
AS7 ANTA SPORTS PRODUCTS LTD.
00688 CHINA OVERSEAS LAND & INVESTMENT LIMITED
01093 CSPC PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP LIMITED
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
TISCO TISCO FINANCIAL GROUP
300015 AIER EYE HOSPITAL GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
SCNR SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
00241 ALIBABA HEALTH INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY LTD.
558 UMS HOLDINGS LIMITED
7160 PENTAMASTER CORP. BHD
01177 SINO BIOPHARMACEUTICAL LIMITED
0097 VITROX
X2S SINOPHARM GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
INRI INARI AMERTRON BHD
VSI V.S. INDUSTRY BERHAD
3933 THE UNITED LABORATORIES INTE
2877 CHINA SHINEWAY PHARMACEUTICA
SKP SKP RESOURCES BHD
HCM HUTCHISON CHINA MEDITECH LIMITED
01801 INNOVENT BIOLOGICS INC.
1833 PING AN HEALTHCARE AND TECHNOLOGY COMPANY LIMITED
300760 SHENZHEN MINDRAY BIO-MEDICAL ELECTRONICS CO. LTD. CLASS A
603882 GUANGZHOU KINGMED DIAGNOSTICS GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
GREATEC GREATECH TECHNOLOGY BHD
SCGP SCG PACKAGING PCL
2269 WUXI BIOLOGICS (CAYMAN) INC.
3692 HANSOH PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP
06160 BEIGENE LTD.
BBTN BANK TABUNGAN NEGARA PERSERO TBK PT
CORAZA CORAZA INTEGRATED TECHNOLOGY BERHAD
300765 WUXI APPTEC CO. LTD. CLASS H
ITMAX CSPC INNOVATION PHARMACEUTICAL CO L
NATGATE ITMAX SYSTEM BHD
300244 NATIONGATE HOLDINGS BHD
NE DIAN DIAGNOSTICS GROUP CO
NORTHEAST GROUP BHD (NE MK)
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China Property: Channel check on Hangzhou’s primary residential market...
Hangzhou’s property market saw weaker June sales but a stable 1H25 performance, with a stronger performance in the upgrade segment. Core area projects saw high sell-through rates and strong demand for large units. The removal of pricing restrictions in Hangzhou has enabled developers to adopt more flexible pricing and strategies. We see a higher likelihood of policy support being announced during the July Politburo meeting. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top pick: CR Land.
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China and Hong Kong Property Strategy: Weakening sales in China has ra...
For China’s property sector, Jun 25 preliminary data pointed to weakening sales, while the land market saw a clearer divergence. Weakened fundamentals may raise hopes of policy support in the July Politburo meeting. In Hong Kong, with the rental index in May 25 only 2.4% lower than the peak in Aug 19, we see signs of a stabilisation of property prices. However, a rebound in HIBOR may test the strength of sales recovery. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT for both sectors with a preference for China property...
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