GREATER CHINA Strategy China And Hong Kong Property: Preview of property policies from two sessions; improvement in sentiment for Hong Kong's primary market. Sector Internet: Potential implications from implementation of social security insurances. Update Plover Bay Technologies (1523 HK/BUY/HK$5.22/Target: HK$7.71): Takeaways from luncheon: On the way to becoming a connectivity hub. INDONESIA Update Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ/BUY/Rp390/Target: Rp480): Key brand might gradually mitigate regula...
FR reported FY24 core net profit of US$229m (+56% yoy) which met our expectations but exceeded the street’s, at 104%/113% of respective full-year forecasts. 4Q24 earnings rose 33% qoq, driven by higher ASPs, while production continued to grow on a yoy basis. Management anticipates continued nucleus FFB growth of 5% yoy in 2025. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of S$1.75.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy Alpha Picks: Adding RSTON, UMSH, SIE, CICT And Removing CVL, VMS, LREIT Our Alpha Picks portfolio underperformed the STI in Feb 25, falling 3.6% mom on a market cap-weighted basis. Adding RSTON, UMSH, SIE and CICT; removing CVL, VMS and LREIT. Sector REITs S-REITs monthly update (Feb 25). Results First Resources (FR SP/BUY/S$1.59/Target: S$1.75) FY24: Results in line with our expectations but exceeded the street’s, with full-year nucleus FFB growth of 6.4% ex...
During the UOB Kay Hian Palm Oil Seminar 2025 held yesterday, our speakers forecast palm oil production in Malaysia to remain stagnant in 2025 but expect Indonesia’s output to rise. Our speakers also flagged falling palm oil exports demand amid widened price premiums vs rival vegoils, and foresee inventories building up followed by price corrections later this year. Maintain OVERWEIGHT on Indonesia and Singapore planters, and MARKET WEIGHT on Malaysian planters. Top picks: Hap Seng Plantations a...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Regional Plantation: Guest speakers at our Palm Oil Seminar 2025 flag diverging palm production prospects between Malaysia and Indonesia, alongside downside risks to CPO prices. Results Aztech Global (AZTECH SP/HOLD/S$0.725/Target:S$0.650): 2024: Results slightly below expectations; outlook remains uncertain. PropNex (PROP SP/BUY/S$1.14/Target: S$1.30): 2024: Earnings missed due to timing of revenue recognition; strong 1H25 as a result. Maintain BUY. TRADERS’ CORNER Azte...
REGIONAL Sector Plantation Guest speakers at our Palm Oil Seminar 2025 flag diverging palm production prospects between Malaysia and Indonesia, alongside downside risks to CPO prices. GREATER CHINA Results Trip.com (9961 HK/BUY/HK$462.00/Target: HK$630.00) 4Q24: Earnings beat; continuous efforts in international expansion. INDONESIA Small/Mid Cap Highlights Bumi Resources Minerals (BRMS IJ...
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: PV sales dip wow while PEV market share increases. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL, Fuyao Glass and Desay SV. Results Alibaba Health Information Technology (241 HK/BUY/HK$4.04/Target: HK$5.00): 1HFY25: Results in line; expect strong earnings growth momentum in FY25-26. Geely Auto (175 HK/BUY/HK$13.90/Target: HK$23.00): 3Q24: Core earnings up 81% yoy and 29% qoq, beating estimates. Maintain BUY. Raise target price from HK$21.50 to HK$23.00. J...
FR reported 9M24 core net profit of US$152m (+28% yoy) which was in line with our expectations. 3Q24 core earnings rose 19% yoy to US$61m on improved margins while production continued to rise yoy relative to declines from its peers. Although output has likely peaked in 3Q24, we expect results to be sustained qoq on sequentially better selling prices and downstream processing margins. Maintain BUY. Target price: S$1.65.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results ComfortDelGro Corporation (CD SP/BUY/S$1.49/Target: S$1.83) 3Q24: Strong growth as the UK outperforms. Upgrade to BUY. First Resources (FR SP/BUY /S$1.57/Target: S$1.65) 9M24: Results within expectations; continues to outpace industry production. TRADERS' CORNER Hongkong Land Holdings (HKL SP): Trading BUY First Resources (FR SP): Trading BUY
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results ComfortDelGro Corporation (CD SP/BUY/S$1.49/Target: S$1.83) 3Q24: Strong growth as the UK outperforms. Upgrade to BUY. First Resources (FR SP/BUY /S$1.57/Target: S$1.65) 9M24: Results within expectations; continues to outpace industry production. TRADERS' CORNER Hongkong Land Holdings (HKL SP): Trading BUY First Resources (FR SP): Trading BUY
After Powell’s Jackson Hole speech on 23 August, we see a turning point starting with a US Fed rate cut in Sep 24 and lower rates heading into 2025. In the Singapore market, REITs and the property sector should benefit, as should highly-geared companies and those looking to recycle capital. Our current forecasts have incorporated lower NIMs for banks which we believe are protected by their high dividend yields.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Property Developers: 1H24: A slight miss for CLI; worse-than-expected for CDL. Results AEM Holdings (AEM SP/SELL/S$1.46/Target:S$1.04): 1H24: Earnings and guidance way below estimates; reduce target price by 38%. First Resources (FR SP/BUY /S$1.39/Target: S$1.65): 1H24: Within expectations. Two positive points are: a) positive production growth vs contraction by most of peers, b) downstream turns profitable. Genting Singapore (GENS SP/BUY/S$0.82/Target: S$1.18): 2Q24: W...
FR reported core net profit of US$90.6m, within expectations. Improvement was mainly driven by higher production, lower cost, better by-products prices and positive downstream contributions. FR is maintaining positive production growth guidance vs the industry’s native growth. Positive downstream margin is likely to sustain into 2H24. Thus, we expect better earnings in 2H24. FR declared an interim DPS of S$0.035 or yield of 2.5%. Maintain BUY. Target price: S$1.65.
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