GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: April Conviction Calls: Add CR Beer, Desay, JBM Healthcare, JD Logistics, Minth, WuXi App Tech and Xiaomi Corp to our BUY list. Take profit on AIA, Hansoh Pharma, JD and Zijin Mining. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperform In Mar 25: Remove BBNI, BBRI, ASII, JSMR and KLBF; add BBCA, ICBP, ERAA and BUKA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Pockets of Opportunities: Our Mar 25 Alpha Picks outperform. Apr 25 picks: Alpha IVF, Duopharma, IJM, IOI Properties, TIME...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: March Conviction Calls: Add Geely, JD, SHKP and Zijin Mining to our BUY list. Take profit on CATL, Desay, JD Logistics, Mengniu, Plover Bay and Tencent. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Underperformance In Feb 25: Our picks are BBNI, BBRI, MIKA, EXCL, KLBF, JSMR and ASII. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Unprecedented Combo Of Disappointments: Our Feb 25 Alpha Picks sorely underperformed. Mar 25 picks: 99SpeedMart, Alpha IVF, KPJ Healthcare, MrDIY, MYEG, RHB Ba...
GREATER CHINA Sector Internet Growth potential and AI development trends following emergence of DeepSeek. Property Policy implementation and development remain the key focus and catalyst. INDONESIA Strategy Catching A Falling Knife Or Opportunity To Buy? We Say Buy Our picks are BBCA, BBTN, CMRY, ICBP, KLBF, CTRA, AMRT, PGEO, TL...
We think the current trajectory of the JCI presents a buying opportunity as: a) it is now trading at -2SD PE, similar to the levels seen during the pandemic, although the current situation may not be as severe; b) GDP is still expected to rise above 5%; and c) many programmes are driven by the government. We add defensive names with strong growth and attractive valuations to our recommendations. Our picks are BBCA, BBTN, CMRY, ICBP, KLBF, CTRA, AMRT, PGEO, TLKM and ISAT.
Strategy: Catching A Falling Knife Or Opportunity To Buy? We Say Buy: Our picks are BBCA, BBTN, CMRY, ICBP, KLBF, CTRA, AMRT, PGEO, TLKM and ISAT. We have a lower end-25 target of 7,500 for the JCI. TRADERS’ CORNER Unilever Indonesia (UNVR IJ): Technical BUY Merdeka Copper Gold (MDKA IJ): Technical BUY
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: February Conviction Calls: Add AIA, CR Land, Haier and Han’s Laser to our BUY list. Take profit on Crystal, Geely, Trip.com and Weimob. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Slight Underperformance In Jan 25: Our picks are ISAT, KLBF, BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, CTRA, JSMR, BBNI and ASII. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Spotlight On The Upcoming Results Winners: Our Alpha Picks outperformed in Jan 25. Feb 25 picks: Gamuda, GENM, Kossan, MrDIY, MYEG, Pekat, RGB, RHB Bank, VSI...
Donald Trump announced a 25% tariff on imports from Mexico and Canada. Imports of oil from Canada into the US are subject to a 10% tariff, in addition to an extra 10% tariff on imports from the US, Canada retaliated by imposing a 25% tariff on imports from the US, including beverages, cosmetics and paper products worth US$20b. Mexico and China are also expected to retaliate. The biggest risk is the potential underperformance of the JCI. Our top picks are ASII, BMRI, BBNI, BBTN, CMRY, KLBF, SIDO,...
Strategy: Trade War Begins: Our top picks are ASII, BMRI, BBNI, BBTN, CMRY, KLBF, SIDO, CTRA, ACES and GOTO. We have an end-25 target of 8,200 for the JCI. TRADERS’ CORNER Ciputra Development (CTRA IJ): Technical BUY Indo Tambangraya Megah (ITMG IJ): Technical BUY
Our portfolio slightly underperformed in Jan 25, delivering a 0% return vs the JCI’s 0.4% gain. The gainers were BBNI (9.7%), BMRI (5.7%), BBRI (3.4%), EXCL (0.9%) and CTRA (0.5%). The losers were CMRY (-9.1%), ISAT (-6.9%), JSMR (-2.3%) and ASII (-2.0%). February tends to be a strong month, delivering an average return of 1.04% with 70% probability. We remove CMRY from our portfolio as it has delivered a -12.7% return since its inclusion. Our picks are ISAT, KLBF, BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, CTRA, JSMR, ...
CTRA achieved a record-breaking Rp11t in marketing sales for 2024 (+8% yoy), while SMRA underperformed with Rp4.37t (-3.4% yoy), and BSDE is expected to meet its target. In 2025, total marketing sales are forecasted to grow 4.4% yoy. Two main catalysts in 2025 are additional rounds of interest rate cuts and VAT exemptions. The property sector is trading at an undemanding valuation of -1.5SD to the five-year mean discount to RNAV. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Top picks: BSDE and CTRA.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: January Conviction Calls: Add CATL, JD Logistics, Miniso and Plover Bay to our BUY list, and Weimob to our SELL list. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Our Selections Outperform In 2024: Our picks are ISAT, KLBF, BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, CTRA, JSMR, BBNI, CMRY and ASII. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Still Ample Domestic Catalysts: Our Alpha Picks outperformed in Dec 24. Jan 25 picks: Gamuda, GENM, MrDIY, MYEG, Pekat, RGB, RHB Bank, SP Setia, VSI and Yinson. SINGAP...
The JCI delivered a 3.7% decline in 2024, underperforming the MSASJ after two previous years of outperformance. IDXENER was the top performing sector in the JCI with a 31.9% return. IDXFIN dropped 6.2% in 2024 with big banks delivering negative returns. Gains of over 100% have been observed in MLPT, SRAJ, JSPT, PTRO, PANI, CLEO and BRMS. The worst performers are SMGR, UNVR, MDKA, GGRM, TOWR, TLKM and HMSP. For 2025, our top picks are ASII, BMRI, BBNI, BRIS, CMRY, KLBF, SMRA, ACES and GOTO.
Strategy: 2024 JCI Return Analysis: Our top picks are ASII, BMRI, BBNI, BRIS, CMRY, KLBF, SMRA, ACES and GOTO. We have an end-25 target of 8,200 for the JCI. TRADERS’ CORNER Telkom Indonesia (TLKM IJ): Technical BUY Trimegah Bangun Persada (NCKL IJ): Technical BUY
Due to the performance in 9M24, our portfolio outperformed in 2024. Our selections recorded a 2.2% return compared with the JCI’s decline 2.7% in 2024. In Dec 24, our selections fell 6.2% while the JCI dropped only 0.5%. We add ISAT and KLBF into our portfolio to add defensiveness and foresee uncertainty in the market. We also triggered our stop-loss and dropped BBTN and NCKL. Our picks are ISAT, KLBF, BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, CTRA, JSMR, BBNI, CMRY and ASII.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: January Conviction Calls Add CATL, JD Logistics, Miniso and Plover Bay to our BUY list, and Weimob to our SELL list. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Our Selections Outperform In 2024 Our picks are ISAT, KLBF, BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, CTRA, JSMR, BBNI, CMRY and ASII. MALAYSIA Update VS Industry (VSI MK/BUY/RM1.16/Target: RM1.50) Despite a 17% recovery in its share price since its low in m...
The key takeaways from our regional KL conference are: a) most investors agree that Prabowo’s programmes are positive for Indonesia; b) investors are concerned about the widening budget deficit; c) foreign investors are pleased that local fund managers are buying; d) there is interest in syariah banks, particularly BRIS; and e) investors are inquiring about ACES vs Mr DIY Indonesia. Our top picks are ASII, BMRI, BBNI, BBTN, BRIS, CMRY, KLBF, SMRA, ACES and GOTO.
Strategy: Key Takeaways From Regional Strategy Conference: Our top picks are ASII, BMRI, BBNI, BBTN, BRIS, CMRY, KLBF, SMRA, ACES and GOTO. We have an end-25 target of 8,200 for the JCI. TRADERS’ CORNER PP Persero (PTPP IJ): Technical BUY Bukalapak.com (BUKA IJ): Technical BUY
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