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Arsit Pamaranont ... (+15)
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Johnny Yum
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Krit Tanarattananon
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Ringo Tang Chi Yu
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Singapore Research Team
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Thailand Research Team
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Regional Morning Notes - Tuesday, September 03, 2024

GREATER CHINA Results China Construction Bank (939 HK/BUY/HK$5.43/Target: HK$6.00): 2Q24: Earnings decline narrowed to 1.4% on strong trading income. China Merchants Bank. (3968 HK/BUY/HK$32.35/Target: HK$42.00): 1H24: Still waiting to thrive. China Tourism Group Duty Free (601888 CH/BUY/Rmb58.93/Target: Rmb83.40): 2Q24: Slight earnings miss; Hainan duty-free business under pressure; airport business recovery underway. Kingmed Diagnostics (603882 CH/BUY/Rmb25.66/Target: Rmb35.00): 1H24: Signific...

Arsit Pamaranont
  • Arsit Pamaranont

Bangchak Corporation (BCP TB) - 2Q24: Weak 2Q24; Expect Significant Im...

BCP reported a 2Q24 net profit of Bt1.8b (+298% yoy, -25% qoq), in line with our estimate. Excluding inventory and other items, core profit was Bt32m. We believe BCP’s earnings will remain strong in 2H24. We think that the 23% ytd decline in the share price offers an opportunity to buy on weakness. We expect a 6.0% dividend yield for 2024. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt45.00.

Arsit Pamaranont ... (+6)
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn

Thailand Daily - Friday, August 09, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Bangchak Corporation (BCP TB/BUY/Bt33.50/Target: Bt45.00) 2Q24: Weak 2Q24; expect significant improvement in 3Q24. Bangchak Sriracha (BSRC TB/BUY/Bt6.80/Target: Bt9.00) 2Q24: Weak results as expected. LPN Development (LPN TB/SELL/Bt2.98/Target: Bt2.40) 2Q24: Results below expectation; unexciting business outlook. Major Cineplex (MAJOR TB/BUY/Bt13.60/Target: Bt18.00) ...

Arsit Pamaranont ... (+13)
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Ken Lee
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Paula Ruth
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn

Regional Morning Notes - Friday, August 09, 2024

GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: PV sales rebound by 17% yoy on increased subsidies. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL and Desay SV. Top SELL: XPeng. Shipping and Ports: Freight rates peaked but forward decline is priced in. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT and upgraded CSH to BUY. Results Jonjee Hi-Tech Industrial & Commercial (600872 CH/BUY/Rmb19.80/Target: Rmb27.00): 2Q24: Results miss expectations; condiment business under pressure. Kweichow Moutai (600519 CH/BUY/Rmb1,430.69/Target: Rmb2,...

Arsit Pamaranont
  • Arsit Pamaranont

Bangchak Corporation (BCP TB) - Expect Weak Operating Numbers Due To 2...

We expect BCP to post 57% yoy and 86% qoq weaker core profit of Bt480m in 2Q24. Including inventory impact, BCP is likely to post a net profit of around Bt1.9b in 2Q24 (up 304% yoy but down 24% qoq). However, we believe earnings will return to normal in 2H24, backed by a strong utilisation rate after resuming operations at Phra Khanong and the peak season for the renewable business. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt45.00.

Arsit Pamaranont ... (+2)
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish

Thailand Daily: Wednesday, July 24, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results SCGP (SCGP TB/BUY/Bt28.50/Target: Bt41.00) 2Q24: Core profit within expectations. Update Bangchak Corporation (BCP TB/BUY/Bt41.25/Target: Bt45.00) 2Q24 preview: Expect weak operating numbers due to 27 days of scheduled maintenance. Bangchak Sriracha (BSRC TB/BUY/Bt8.70/Target: Bt10.00) 2Q24 preview: Earnings still in the black.

Arsit Pamaranont ... (+8)
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Paula Ruth
  • Sunny Chen

Regional Morning Notes - Wednesday, July 24, 2024

GREATER CHINA Initiate Coverage CSPC Innovation Pharmaceutical Co (300765 CH/BUY/Rmb24.40/Target: Rmb33.00): Transforming into a drug innovator with over 200% earnings CAGR in 2024-26. INDONESIA Update Dayamitra Telekomunikasi (MTEL IJ/BUY/Rp690/Target: Rp810): Expect 52% yoy growth in 2024 fibre optic revenue; exploring non-terrestrial network technology’s potential; maintain BUY. MALAYSIA Update Top Glove (TOPG MK/BUY/RM1.24/Target: RM1.45): Against a backdrop of favourable tailwinds, we hav...

Arsit Pamaranont ... (+11)
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Ceilica Su Rui
  • Damon Shen
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Keith Wee Teck Keong
  • Leow Huey Chuen
  • Paula Ruth
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Tham Mun Hon

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, June 11, 2024

GREATER CHINA Economics Trade May exports grew 7.6%; imports moderated. Sector Property Property prices further drop after 17 May 24 policy combo; effective implementation of policies crucial for market stabilisation. INDONESIA Sector Telecommunications Pos...

Bangchak Corporation Public Co Ltd: Key facts and statistics - 2023

A summary company profile, detailing Bangchak Corporation Public Co Ltd’s business operations and financial highlights.

Arsit Pamaranont
  • Arsit Pamaranont

Bangchak Corporation (BCP TB) - 1Q24: Results Beat Expectations; Attra...

BCP reported a 1Q24 net profit of Bt2.4b (-11% yoy) from a net loss of Bt1.0b in 4Q23. Stripping out inventory impact, BCP’s core profit will jump 17% yoy and 90% qoq to Bt3.5b, 22% ahead of our estimate. The 1Q24 results account for 27% of our full-year forecast. BCP is a laggard play among Thai refinery stocks with a strong earnings outlook in 2024 and a 5.1% dividend yield. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt52.00.

Arsit Pamaranont ... (+4)
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong

Thailand Daily - Friday, 10 May, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Bangchak Corporation (BCP TB/BUY/Bt41.25/Target: Bt52.00)                          1Q24: Results beat expectations; attractive long-term growth outlook. GFPT Plc. (GFPT TB/BUY/Bt12.60/Target: Bt14.40)                                                  1Q24: Strong yoy earnings growth. LPN Development (LPN TB/SELL/Bt3.48/Target: Bt2.40)              1Q24: Results beat expectations but remain below the desired level. Major Cineplex (MAJOR TB/BUY/Bt14.80/Target: Bt18.00)      ...

Arsit Pamaranont
  • Arsit Pamaranont

Bangchak Petroleum (BCP TB) - Expect Strong Earnings Turnaround

We expect BCP to post a net profit of around Bt2.4b in 1Q24 (a reverse from a huge net loss of Bt1.0b in 4Q23) and core profit of Bt2.8b (+109%qoq), accounting for 22% of our full-year forecast and 28% of Bloomberg consensus. In terms of share price performance, BCP is still a laggard in the Thai refinery sector with its share price dropping 1% ytd compared with BSRC (+6% ytd) and Thai Oil (TOP, +4% ytd). Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt52.00.

Arsit Pamaranont ... (+5)
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong

Thailand Daily - Tuesday, April 30, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Update Bangchak Petroleum (BCP TB/BUY/Bt42.50/Target: Bt52.00) 1Q24 Preview: Expect strong earnings turnaround. Bangchak Sriracha (BSRC TB/BUY/Bt9.05/Target: Bt15.00) 1Q24 results preview: In the black. CENTRAL PATTANA (CPN TB/BUY/Bt62.00/Target: Bt83.00) Expect earnings to increase 26% yoy and 3% qoq in 1Q24. Delta Electronics (DELTA TB/HOLD/Bt70.00/Target: Bt63.00) Earnings to improve after 1Q24; upgrade to HOLD. ...

Arsit Pamaranont ... (+23)
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Ceilica Su Rui
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Jacquelyn Yow Hui Li
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Ken Lee
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Leow Huey Chuen
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Nurul Nazira Binti Abdullah
  • Philip Wong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Stevanus Juanda
  • Sunny Chen
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, April 30, 2024

GREATER CHINA Results China Merchants Bank (3968 HK/BUY/HK$34.95/Target: HK$44.00) 1Q24: Earnings miss on muted fee income and higher cost-to-income ratio. China Resources Building Materials Tech (1313 HK/BUY/HK$1.34/Target: HK$1.83) 1Q24: Mixed bag of results; regaining cement market share. Foxconn Industrial Internet (601138 CH/BUY/Rmb24.52/Target: Rmb29.10) 1Q24: Margins miss likely due to product mix, AI business remains robust. Haier Smart Home (6690 HK/BUY/HK$27.10/Target: ...

Arsit Pamaranont
  • Arsit Pamaranont

Bangchak Corporation (BCP TB) - Resilient SAF Outlook Prompts Further ...

With a more positive guidance on SAF outlook from management, we see rising upside risk to consensus earnings estimates for 2025. We revise up our 2025 earnings forecast by 8%. Our 2025 earnings forecast is still above consensus forecasts by 49%. In terms of share price performance, BCP is still a laggard in the Thai refinery sector with its share price having dropped 1% ytd compared with BSRC (+11% ytd), Star Petroleum (SPRC, +1% ytd) and Thai Oil (TOP, +7% ytd). Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt5...

Arsit Pamaranont ... (+2)
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong

Thailand Daily - Friday, April 19, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Bangkok Bank (BBL TB/HOLD/Bt143.50/Target: Bt155.00) 1Q24: Results in line; unexpected rise in credit costs and NPL ratio. Update Bangchak Corporation (BCP TB/BUY/Bt43.75/Target: Bt52.00) Resilient SAF outlook prompts further earnings upgrade.

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+12)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Ken Lee
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Wei Xiang Ku

Regional Morning Notes - Friday, April 19, 2024

GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: PEV sales up 21% yoy/19% wow in the second week of April, in line. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Top SELLs: BYD, Li Auto and XPeng. Top BUYs: CATL and Desay SV. Results Han’s Laser (002008 CH/HOLD/Rmb18.95/Target: Rm17.10): 4Q23: Misses expectations on operating expenses. Margin pressure may continue through 2024. Update Xtep International Holdings (1368 HK/BUY/HK$4.46/Target: HK$7.00): Expect double-digit% yoy growth in retail sell-through for 2Q24 and 2024. IN...

Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad ... (+17)
  • Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Jun Sian Tan
  • Keith Wee Teck Keong
  • Ken Lee
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Ming San Soong
  • Paula Ruth
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen

Regional Morning Notes - Thursday, March 21, 2024

GREATER CHINA Results Geely Auto (175 HK/BUY/HK$8.83/Target: HK$11.00): 2023: Results beat on margins again; upgrade to BUY. Raise target price from HK$6.50 to HK$11.00. Innovent Biologics (1801 HK/BUY/HK$39.35/Target: HK$60.00): 2023: Results beat; well positioned for sustainable growth in 2024. Kuaishou (1024 HK/BUY/HK$52.25/Target: HK$85.00): 4Q23: Resilient earnings beat; strong ad monetisation momentum continues. Li Ning (2331 HK/HOLD/HK$21.45/Target: HK$19.60): 2023: Results miss; remain c...

Arsit Pamaranont
  • Arsit Pamaranont

Bangchak Corporation (BCP TB) - More Positive Catalysts Revealed Durin...

We are positive on BCP after our site visit to OKEA. We expect a strong earnings growth of 46% in 2024 while BCP’s share price has been a laggard to its peers. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt52.00.

Arsit Pamaranont
  • Arsit Pamaranont

Thailand Daily - Thursday, March 21, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Update Bangchak Corporation (BCP TB/BUY/Bt44.75/Target: Bt52.00) More positive catalysts revealed during OKEA site visit.

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