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Bella Lu Yifei ... (+13)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jack Lai Yuan Khai
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Ken Lee
  • Philip Wong
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Ringo Tang Chi Yu
  • Stevanus Juanda
  • Tham Mun Hon

Regional Morning Notes - Thursday, August 08, 2024

GREATER CHINA Economics Trade: Slowing global manufacturing dampens export growth. Results Fuyao Glass Industry Group (3606 HK/BUY/HK$42.15/Target: HK$61.00): 2Q24: Core earnings up 66% yoy, beating estimates. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$61.00. INDONESIA Results Astra International (ASII IJ/SELL/Rp4,630/Target: Rp3,900): 2Q24: Soft performance in most major divisions; in line with expectations. Bank Neo Commerce (BBYB IJ/BUY/Rp234/Target: Rp375): 2Q24: Net loss of Rp20b; expec...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+17)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jacquelyn Yow Hui Li
  • Johnny Yum
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Kate Luang
  • Ken Lee
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Leow Huey Chuen
  • Limartha Adhiputra
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Singapore Research Team
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, May 03, 2024

GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: May Conviction Call Adding CR Beer, Crystal, Geely, Haier, Kuaishou, Ningbo Tuopu, Pinduoduo, Shenzhou, and Tencent to our BUY list, closing out SELL calls. Small-Mid Cap Monthly Reiterate BUY on Crystal International. Sector Automobile Weekly: EV sales pick up; take...

TFG THAIFOODS GROUP
02313 SHENZHOU INTERNATIONAL GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
300014 EVE ENERGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
LH LAND & HOUSES PUBLIC CO. LTD.
ORI ORIGIN PROPERTY
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
00992 LENOVO GROUP LIMITED
00291 CHINA RESOURCES BEER (HOLDINGS) CO. LTD.
002142 BANK OF NINGBO CO. LTD. CLASS A
CPF CHAROEN POKPHAND FOODS PUBLIC CO. LTD.
AKRA PT AKR CORPORINDO TBK
AALI ASTRA AGRO LESTARI
6963 V.S. INDUSTRY
544 CSE GLOBAL LTD.
D05 DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD
600660 FUYAO GLASS INDUSTRY GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
V03 VENTURE CORPORATION LIMITED
QH QUALITY HOUSES
ERW ERAWAN GROUP
U96 SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD.
B8O YANGZIJIANG SHIPBUILDING (HOLDINGS) LTD.
SXC SUNNY OPTICAL TECHNOLOGY (GROUP) CO. LTD.
JSMR PT JASA MARGA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
01299 AIA GROUP LIMITED
N2IU MAPLETREE COMMERCIAL TRUST
TU THAI UNION GROUP PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
GFPT GFPT
SPALI SUPALAI PCL
C52 COMFORTDELGRO CORPORATION LIMITED
BMRI PT BANK MANDIRI (PERSERO) TBK
Z74 SINGAPORE TELECOMMUNICATIONS LIMITED
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
M3I MINTH GROUP LIMITED
AP4 RIVERSTONE HOLDINGS
BSDE PT BUMI SERPONG DAMAI TBK
300124 SHENZHEN INOVANCE TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD CLASS A
002340 GEM CO. LTD. CLASS A
5Z0 ZHONGSHENG GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
ACES PT ACE HARDWARE INDONESIA TBK
Q5T FAR EAST HOSPITALITY TRUST
AP AP THAILAND
01316 NEXTEER AUTOMOTIVE GROUP LIMITED
TLKM PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
002709 GUANGZHOU TINCI MATERIALS TECHNOLOGY CO LTD CLASS A
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
601689 NINGBO TUOPU GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
01585 YADEA GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
2333 GREAT WALL MOTOR CO. LTD. CLASS H
1211 BYD COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
G13 GENTING SINGAPORE LIMITED
02238 GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
PDD PINDUODUO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
SIDO INDUSTRI JAMU DAN FARMASI SI
SCGB SUNWAY CONSTRUCTION GROUP BH
MYEG MY EG SERVICES BHD
WPRTS WESTPORTS HOLDINGS BHD
MSGB MAH SING GROUP BHD
PMAH PRESS METAL ALUMINIUM HOLDIN
333 MIDEA GROUP
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
TGIF 1933 INDUSTRIES
PSH PRUKSA HOLDING PCL
RGB RGB INTERNATIONAL BHD
338 WEICHAI POWER
709 GIORDANO INTERNATIONAL LTD
1772 GANFENG LITHIUM CO. LTD. CLASS H
869 PLAYMATES TOYS LIMITED
FRKN FRENCKEN GROUP LTD
300750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
603305 NINGBO XUSHENG AUTO TECHNOLOGY (A)
MPM MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
3692 HANSOH PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP
01024 KUAISHOU TECHNOLOGY CLASS B
06690 HAIER SMART HOME CO. LTD. CLASS H
002920 HUIZHOU DESAY SV AUTOMOTIVE CO LTD
BBTN BANK TABUNGAN NEGARA PERSERO TBK PT
CMRY PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
123F 123FAHRSCHULE SE
NCKL PT TRIMEGAH BANGUN PERSADA TBK (HARITA NICKEL)
2232 CRYSTAL INTERNATIONAL GROUP LTD
Z29 029 GROUP SE
02015 LI AUTO INC
09868 XPENG INC
BTG BETAGRO PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
GENTMK GENTING BERHAD
Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+12)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ceilica Su Rui
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Ken Lee
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Limartha Adhiputra
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Tham Mun Hon
  • Wei Xiang Ku

Regional Morning Notes - Monday, March 18, 2024

GREATER CHINA Economics Money Supply: Weaker appetite for credit could limit impact of policy easing. Sector Aviation: Airlines’ Feb 24 operating data beat our expectations on stronger-than-expected holiday effect. Near-term risk-reward appears more balanced. Upgrade to MARKET WEIGHT. Results Contemporary Amperex Technology (300750 CH/BUY/Rmb180.85 /Target: Rmb250.00): 4Q23: Earnings beat on margins. Maintain BUY. Fuyao Glass Industry Group (3606 HK/BUY/HK$41.40/Target: HK$50.00): 4Q23: Net prof...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+12)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Ken Lee
  • Ming San Soong
  • Paula Ruth
  • Philip Wong
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Regional Morning Notes - Wednesday, October 18, 2023

GREATER CHINA Sector Aviation: Airlines Sep 23 operating data: pax load performance below expectations; overcapacity issue remains. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Gaming: Marketing feedback: Be selective; eyes on cost management amid intensified competition. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Initiate Coverage Ningbo Tuopu Group Co (601689 CH/BUY/Rmb66.49/Target: Rmb105.00): Leading intelligent lightweight chassis solution provider in China. Initiate coverage with BUY. Target price: Rmb105.00. Results Fuyao Glass I...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+2)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ken Lee

China Automobile Weekly: Weekly: China’s PEV Sales Growth Accelerates ...

China’s PEV retail sales growth accelerated to 40% yoy in the third week of September, driven by seasonality and stimulus measures. CPCA estimates Sep 23 PEV sales at 750,000 units (+22.7% yoy/+7.4% mom), in line with expectations. The top EV companies in China jointly saw 7% mom and 17% wow growth in insurance registrations. BYD’s insurance registrations grew 19.8% mom/20.7% wow to 64,700 units during 18-24 Sep 23, hitting a record high. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Top picks: BYD, CATL and Li Auto.

Ken Lee
  • Ken Lee

China Automobile Weekly: Weekly: EV Sales Up 33% yoy But Down 3% mom I...

CPCA estimates China’s July passenger EV sales at 647,000 units (+33% yoy/-3% mom). We estimate China’s 2023 passenger EV sales at 8.5m units (+30% yoy) on stimuli, rising market share and strong exports. As expected, XPeng’s stock price fell by 19% from its recent peak with the resignation of its autonomous driving head. Li Auto’s stock price spiked 14% on expected strong 2Q23 results. Lithium carbonate prices fell 6% this week, easing cost pressure. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Top picks: BYD, CATL a...

Ken Lee
  • Ken Lee

China Automobile Weekly: Passenger EV sales up 59% yoy/21% wow over 17...

Daily average passenger EV retail sales spiked by 59% yoy and 21% wow and remained flat mom in the third week of Jul 23, implying a market share of 40.1%, and in line with expectations. However CPCA expects passenger EV retail sales to grow 27.5% yoy but fall 6.8% mom in Jul 23, implying a 35.8% market share. We keep our estimates on China’s EV sales growth at 30%, based on stimuli, increasing market share and strong exports. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Top picks: BYD, CATL and Li Auto.

Ken Lee
  • Ken Lee

China Automobile Weekly: Passenger EV sales up 53% wow in the second w...

The second week of July saw a 53% wow spike in daily average passenger EV sales, but weekly sales still turned out to be 5% below those in the same period last month. Given the disappointing EV sales during 1-16 Jul 23, the state is reportedly mulling new stimuli to spur EV sales. We keep our estimate on 2023 China EV sales growth at 30%. Lithium carbonate prices fell to below Rmb300,000/tonne again, easing EV cost pressure. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT on China’s auto sector. Top BUYs: BYD, CATL and Li...

Ken Lee
  • Ken Lee

Fuyao Glass Industry Group (3606 HK): Aluminium trim business adds to ...

FYG’s businesses are growing on all fronts. CRU of its auto glass plant recovered from 75% in 1Q23 to 80% in 2Q23, with inventory drawn down. For 2023, FYG guides for mid single-digit growth in auto glass sales volume. For its aluminium trim business, FYG targets to quintuple revenue from Rmb1.18b in 2022 to Rmb6.00b in the next few years. Based on that, we raise 2023-25 EPS by 6%/9%/11% to Rmb1.92/Rmb2.28/Rmb2.80 respectively. Maintain BUY. Raise target price to HK$42.00.

Kasemsun Koonnara ... (+6)
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Ken Lee
  • Limartha Adhiputra
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik

Regional Morning Notes - Monday, July 10, 2023

GREATER CHINA Update Fuyao Glass Industry Group (3606 HK/BUY/HK$31.05/Target: HK$42.00): Aluminium trim business adds to earnings momentum. Maintain BUY. Raise target price to HK$42.00. INDONESIA Sector Cement: Cement ASP to remain stable with potentially stronger demand in 2H23. MALAYSIA Update Eco World Development (ECW MK/BUY/RM0.85/Target:RM1.02): Looking to expand landbank. My EG Services (MYEG MK/BUY/RM0.715/Target: RM1.18): Immigration concession is extended by government with terms to ...

Ken Lee ... (+2)
  • Ken Lee
  • Terence Chiu

Greater China Daily: Monday, July 10, 2023

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Update Fuyao Glass Industry Group (3606 HK/BUY/HK$31.05/Target: HK$42.00) Aluminium trim business adds to earnings momentum. Maintain BUY. Raise target price to HK$42.00. HSI AND HS TECH INDEX OUTLOOK

Ken Lee
  • Ken Lee

China Automobile Weekly: EV sales expected to grow 15.5% mom in June, ...

CPCA estimates China’s June retail sales of PVs and passenger EVs at 1.83m units (- 5.9% yoy/+5.2% mom) and 670,000 units (+26% yoy/+15.5% mom) respectively, beating estimates, with the 618 promotions and local stimulus boosting sales in the second half of June. We keep our growth estimates for China’s PV sales and EV sales at 1%/30% respectively, based on the new round of stimuli. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT on China’s auto sector, with a preference for the EV segment. Top BUYs: BYD, CATL and Li Auto.

Ken Lee
  • Ken Lee

Automobile - Weekly: PV Sales Down 25% mom During 1-11 June, Missing E...

China’s PV retail sales dropped 10% yoy and 25% mom to 425,000 units during 1-11 Jun 23, missing estimates, due to high-base effect and wage cuts. Passenger EV retail sales grew 18% yoy and dipped 4% mom to 160,000 units, below estimates but still better than the overall PV market. Nio cut product prices by Rmb30,000 or c. 10% across the board for cancelling its free battery swap services. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT on China’s auto sector, with preference for the EV segment. Top BUYs: BYD, CATL and Li...

Ken Lee
  • Ken Lee

China Automobile Weekly: May ICE-car sales beat estimates on price cut...

China’s May PV retail sales grew 30% yoy and 8% mom to 1.759m units, above estimates, driven by price cuts. China’s May passenger EV retail sales grew 54% yoy and 6% mom to 557,000 units, below estimates. Wholesale shipment of passenger EVs outstripped retail sales, driven by exports. We raise our forecast on China’s 2023 auto sales growth from -3% to +3%. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT on China’s auto sector, with a preference for the EV segment. Top BUYs: BYD, CATL and Li Auto.

Ken Lee
  • Ken Lee

China Automobile Weekly: Weekly: China Becomes World’s Biggest Car Exp...

China took over Japan’s position as the world’s largest car exporter in 1Q23 with vehicle export volume spiking 75% yoy to 1.49m units in 4M23, driven by EVs. Exports are emerging as the new growth driver of China’s EV industry. As for the China market, passenger EV retail sales in the first two weeks of May doubled yoy and grew 17% mom, in line with expectations. China is mulling stimulus for promoting EV sales in rural areas. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT with preference for the EV segment. Top BUYs: B...

Ken Lee
  • Ken Lee

China Automobile Weekly: Weekly: Auto Retail Sales Value Up 25.1% yoy ...

CPCA expects China’s retail sales of PV and passenger EV to drop 1.3%/8.4% mom in Apr 23, given the sharp mom drop in the last week of Apr 23. China’s auto sales were still curbed by the wait-and-see attitude amid a price war, but this is abating with car prices stabilising and more new models being launched. During the Golden Week of the Labour Day holiday, auto retail sales value grew 25.1% yoy, beating expectations. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Top BUYs: BYD and CATL. Top SELL: Ganfeng Lithium.

Ken Lee
  • Ken Lee

Fuyao Glass Industry Group (3606 HK): 1Q23: Earnings up 5% yoy and 7% ...

FYG’s 1Q23 net profit came in as expected at Rmb915m (+5% yoy/+7% qoq), with margin recovery offsetting qoq sales decline. Looking ahead, we maintain 2023-25 net profit forecasts at Rmb4,733m/Rmb5,434m/Rmb6,571m, based on 4% sales volume CAGR, over 10% p.a. in ASP hike and steady gross margin. The decline in aluminium prices and stabilisation of natural gas prices will bolster FYG’s margins. Maintain BUY. Target price: HK$40.00.

Ariel Poh Yun Li ... (+10)
  • Ariel Poh Yun Li
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Ken Lee
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Sabrina Soh
  • Sunny Chen
  • Terence Chiu
  • Tham Mun Hon
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Greater China Daily: Tuesday, May 2, 2023

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics PMI Points to weak employment outlook. Sector Aviation Airlines: 1Q23 narrowing losses broadly in line with expectations. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Results Baoshan Iron & Steel (600019 CH/BUY/Rmb6.44/Target: Rmb7.10) 2022/1Q23: In line; speeding up M&A. China Construction Bank (939 HK/BUY/HK$5.25/Target: HK$6.06) 1Q23: Results in line; NIM to stabilise in next few quarters. China Merchants Bank (3968 HK/BUY/HK$37.65/Target: HK$58.00) 1Q23: Results in line; cautiously op...

Ken Lee
  • Ken Lee

China Automobile Weekly: 2023 Shanghai Auto Show – The prelude to the ...

The 2023 Shanghai Auto Show seems to be a prelude to the endgame of fossil fuel cars, as the spotlight shifts to EVs with two-thirds of the 150 newly-unveiled models being EVs, and ICE cars being sidelined. Many of the advanced features of the new EV models are enabled by key parts and components from tier-1 suppliers like CATL, Desay SV and FYG. BYD offers the most proprietary technologies with its new products. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Top BUYs: BYD and CATL. Top SELL: Ganfeng Lithium.

Ken Lee
  • Ken Lee

China Automobile Weekly - Weekly: PV Retail Sales Up 8% mom In 1-9 Apr...

China’s PV retail sales rebounded by 14% mom in Mar 23 and 8% in 1-9 Apr 23, in line with estimates, driven by price cuts and local stimulus. Wholesale shipments grew at a faster pace of 23% mom in Mar 23, leading to a pile-up of inventories in the channel. As such, wholesale shipment plummeted by 23% mom in 1-9 Apr 23 due to destocking. Compared with ICE cars, EV sales are growing faster with more resilient supply-demand balance. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Top BUYs: BYD and CATL. Top SELL: Ganfeng L...

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