Company Update | Krungthai Bank (KTB TB/BUY/Bt27.25/Target: Bt32.00) We came away from the analyst meeting with a neutral view. KTB’s CFO is maintaining the 2025 financial targets and stated that the bank’s asset quality has improved and should be better looking forward. KTB guides that there should be no material effect on financials in 4Q25 according to the equity exposure. The bank will continue paying the interim dividend as normal practice but provided no further guidance on capital managem...
Top Stories Sector Update | Property We expect sector earnings to come in at Bt3.5b in 3Q25, down 35% yoy and 16% qoq. The sector is likely to show mixed performance, with most developers facing yoy earnings contractions but posting moderate qoq recoveries. AP is expected to be the outperformer among its peers, with profit rising qoq. Presales momentum has improved, although competition remains intense. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT, with AP as our top pick. Company Results | i-Tail Corporation (ITC...
Greater China Sector Update | Macau Gaming Macau’s Oct 25 GGR was MOP$24.1b, increasing 32% mom and 16% yoy, and recovering to 91% of 2019’s level (vs a recovery of 83% in Sep 25). Oct 25’s GGR number beat market consensus by 4%, and set another post-COVID-19 record. For 10M25, GGR climbed to MOP$205.4b, up 8% yoy, and recovered to 83% of 2019’s level. Maintain OVERWEIGHT; Galaxy remains our top pick. Company Results | China Merchants Bank (3968 HK/HOLD/HK$48.64/Target: HK$51.00) CMB rep...
Company Update | Krungthai Bank (KTB TB/BUY/Bt26.75/Target: Bt32.00) KTB announced the first interim dividend of Bt0.43 per share. The XD date for the interim dividend is 11 Nov 25. We assume KTB will continue paying a final dividend of Bt1.545. The resulting total dividend payment for 2025 would be Bt1.975 per share, which translates to a payout ratio of 55.8%. We expect it to be a catalyst for KTB's share price performance. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt32.00.
Top Stories Company Results | Siam Cement (SCC TB/BUY/Bt207.00/Target: Bt290.00) SCC reported a net loss of Bt669m in 3Q25, larger than both our and the consensus forecasts, mainly due to substantial inventory losses. The weak 3Q25 performance reflected seasonal factors and continued softness in olefins spreads. However, we expect earnings to return to a profit in 4Q25, supported by stronger performance from the cement and packaging businesses. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt290.00. Company U...
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile The escalating China-US trade tensions have triggered a dual crisis in chips and rare earth, potentially disrupting the global auto supply chain like that seen in 2021-22. China's auto sector sees short-term gains from domestic prioritisation but long-term risks. Chinese auto part companies may see a revenue loss in 4Q25 if the issue is not resolved in a month. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL and Geely. Top SELLs: BYD and Li Auto. Sector Upda...
Company Results | Krung Thai Bank (KTB TB/BUY/Bt25.75/Target: Bt32.00) KTB reported a 3Q25 net profit of Bt14.6b, up 32% yoy and 32% qoq. The results beat our estimate by 11% but are in line with consensus expectations. A mark-to-market gain on FVPL partly from the equity exposure in the large corporate boosted KTB’s earnings. Credit cost and NPL ratio decreased qoq in 3Q25. We are positive on KTB’s asset quality outlook. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of Bt32.00.
Top Stories Company Results | Bangkok Bank (BBL TB/HOLD/Bt155.50/Target: Bt170.00) BBL posted a 3Q25 net profit of Bt13.8b, +11% yoy and +17% qoq. The results beat our and consensus expectations by 40% and 27%, respectively. The loan portfolio contracted 3.2% in 9M25. Meanwhile, an investment gain boosted bottom line, beating expectations in 3Q25. We should see the NPL reduction pattern continuing in 4Q25, in line with the guidance. Maintain HOLD with a higher target price of Bt170.00. Compan...
Greater China Company Update | PICC P&C (2328 HK/BUY/HK$19.04/Target: HK$22.20) PICC P&C issued a positive profit alert, expecting its net profit to surge 40-60% in 9M25, attributed to a significant increase in underwriting profit and strong investment gains amid the stock market rally. We forecast continued CoR improvement in 4Q25, supported by the implementation of non-auto commission reforms effective from 1 Nov 25. We lift our 2025 earnings estimates by 8.9% to factor in the 3Q25 positiv...
We came away from yesterday’s analyst meeting with a positive view, as the CEO is maintaining 2025 financial targets and has expressed confidence that asset quality is under control. We expect KTB to recognise a market-to-market gain on THAI’s equity in FVPL in 3Q25. KTB is ready to commence the share buyback programme at any time; however, there is no timeline yet. Upgrade to BUY with a higher target price of Bt30.00, and add KTB to our top picks in the banking sector.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Bangchak Corporation (BCP TB/BUY/Bt34.00/Target: Bt45.00) 2Q25: Net loss as expected but a sharp rebound is likely in 2H25. Bangchak Sriracha (BSRC TB/BUY/Bt5.00/Target: Bt7.00) 2Q25: Huge inventory loss results in net loss in 2Q25. PTT Oil & Retail Business (OR TB/BUY/Bt12.90/Target: Bt20.00) 2Q25: Net profit in line with our forecast but 14% below consensus’. Upgrade to BUY. Tidlor Holdings (TIDLOR TB/HOLD/Bt18.30/Target: Bt20.00) 2...
GREATER CHINA Economics Trade: July’s data beats expectations, further near-term strength likely. Sector Automobile: Weekly: YOY PV sales growth remains negative for three straight weeks. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: CATL, Geely and Tuopu. Initiate Coverage Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co (002050 CH/BUY/Rmb27.37/Target: Rmb36.50): Innovative Thermal management leader driving sustainable growth. Initiate coverage with BUY. Target price: Rmb36.50 for A-share, HK$40.00 fo...
KTB reported a 2Q25 net profit of Bt11.1b (-1% yoy, -5% qoq). The results beat our and consensus expectations by 10% and 6% respectively. The bottom line beat our forecast, driven by an investment gain of Bt1.7b. Credit cost stabilised qoq. KTB’s asset quality was quite stable in 2Q25. We expect a share buyback programme to be implemented in 2025 as the PBV is under book with a PBV of 0.65x at the current price. Maintain HOLD with a target price of Bt24.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Kasikorn Bank (KBANK TB/BUY/Bt160.00/Target: Bt185.00) 2Q25: Results in line with market forecasts; provision expenses increased qoq. Kiatnakin Phatra Bank (KKP TB/HOLD/Bt48.00/Target: Bt50.00) 2Q25: Results beat expectations; provisions declined yoy and qoq. Krung Thai Bank (KTB TB/HOLD/Bt21.40/Target: Bt24.00) 2Q25: Results beat; investment gains boosted a strong bottom line. SCB X (SCB TB/HOLD/Bt121.00/Target: Bt134.00) 2Q25: Results beat; investment and trading incom...
GREATER CHINA Sector Healthcare Entering a new phase of accelerated growth. Upgrade to OVERWEIGHT. Internet 618 Festival – Evolving consumer trends and continued focus on value for money. Small/Mid Cap Highlights JBM Healthcare (2161 HK/BUY/HK$2.85/Target: HK$3.31) Takeaways from luncheon. INDONESIA Update Kalbe Farma (KL...
We came away from yesterday’s analyst meeting with a slightly positive view. Management is maintaining its 2025 financial targets. KTB conducted a scenario analysis on the potential impact of a 36% US tariff on Thailand, which will result in Thailand’s 2025 GDP growing by 0.7%. Management guided for a qoq reduction in credit costs. KTB maintains payout ratio at current level. We reckon KTB could carry out a share repurchase in 2025. Maintain HOLD with a higher target price of Bt24.00.
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: Government steps in to restore order. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: Geely and XPeng. MALAYSIA Sector Gaming Anticipate sector earnings to progressively grow throughout 2025-26 and offer solid dividend yields, but downgrade to MARKET WEIGHT given limited immediate cataly...
KTB reported 1Q25 net profit of Bt11.7b (flat yoy, +7% qoq). The results were in line with consensus expectation but above our forecast. Bottom line beat our forecast, driven by an investment gain of Bt1.7b. KTB’s asset quality was quite stable in 1Q25. However, we remain concerned and expect KTB to raise its provision expenses given the uncertainties surrounding the US tariffs. We have factored in the expected policy rate of 1.5%. Downgrade to HOLD with a lower target price of Bt22.50.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Krung Thai Bank (KTB TB/HOLD/Bt21.30/Target: Bt22.50) 1Q25: Results in line with consensus; bottom line beats our forecast due to investment gain. Downgrade to HOLD. Krungthai Card (KTC TB/BUY/Bt46.25/Target: Bt58.00) 1Q25: Results in line; credit costs decline qoq with a stabilised NPL ratio. TMBThanachart Bank (TTB TB/HOLD/Bt1.89/Target: Bt1.95) 1Q25: Results in line with consensus; reiterates selective lending po...
Unfortunately, this report is not available for the investor type or country you selected.
Report is subscription only.
Thank you, your report is ready.
Thank you, your report is ready.