KTB reported 1Q25 net profit of Bt11.7b (flat yoy, +7% qoq). The results were in line with consensus expectation but above our forecast. Bottom line beat our forecast, driven by an investment gain of Bt1.7b. KTB’s asset quality was quite stable in 1Q25. However, we remain concerned and expect KTB to raise its provision expenses given the uncertainties surrounding the US tariffs. We have factored in the expected policy rate of 1.5%. Downgrade to HOLD with a lower target price of Bt22.50.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Krung Thai Bank (KTB TB/HOLD/Bt21.30/Target: Bt22.50) 1Q25: Results in line with consensus; bottom line beats our forecast due to investment gain. Downgrade to HOLD. Krungthai Card (KTC TB/BUY/Bt46.25/Target: Bt58.00) 1Q25: Results in line; credit costs decline qoq with a stabilised NPL ratio. TMBThanachart Bank (TTB TB/HOLD/Bt1.89/Target: Bt1.95) 1Q25: Results in line with consensus; reiterates selective lending po...
INDONESIA Small/Mid Cap Highlights Sariguna Primatirta (CLEO IJ/NOT RATED/Rp1,395) Strong growth track record in an industry with room for further expansion. MALAYSIA Update QL Resources (QLG MK/BUY/RM4.69/Target: RM4.80) Fairly insulated from trade tariff war but overall outlook does not excite. Maintain HOLD. WCT Holdings (WCTHG MK/SELL/RM0.635/Target: RM0.55) Minimal orderbook replenishments and inconsistent earnings deliv...
KTB reported 4Q24 net profit of Bt10.5b (+71% yoy, -6% qoq). The results were in line with our and consensus expectations. Non-II weakened qoq, attributed to a loss on financial instruments measured at FVPL. Meanwhile, a big drop in credit cost signalled a good asset quality trajectory. Overall asset quality is healthy. KTB will maintain a high coverage ratio to buffer against any economic uncertainties. Maintain BUY with a target price of Bt25.50.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Bangkok Bank (BBL TB/HOLD/Bt151.50/Target: Bt170.00) 4Q24: Results in line with expectations; a significant drop in NPL ratio qoq. Kasikorn Bank (KBANK TB/BUY/Bt160.00/Target: Bt190.00) 4Q24: Results exceed market expectations; maintain normalised credit cost. Krung Thai Bank (KTB TB/BUY/Bt21.80/Target: Bt25.50) 4Q24: Results in line; big drop in credit costs signalling good asset quality. SCB X (SCB TB/BUY/Bt121.50/Target: Bt140.00) 4Q24: Results beat expectation...
GREATER CHINA Sector IT Hardware Solid 2024 Shipment Data; recovery in 2025 remains intact. Maintain OVERWEIGHT . INDONESIA Small/Mid Caps Highlights Bukit Asam (PTBA IJ/NOT RATED/Rp2,690) Strong production outlook towards 2029. MALAYSIA Sector Banking Malaysian banks are likely to take a cautious and gradual approach to capital managemen...
GREATER CHINA Economics PMI A strong rebound for non-manufacturing PMI. Sector Macau Gaming Dec 24 GGR below expectations; expect 2025 GGR to recover to 82% of 2019’s level. INDONESIA Update Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat (MIKA IJ/BUY/Rp2,540/Target: Rp3,300) Expect a double-digit earnings growth in 2025 MALAYSIA Sector Heal...
GREATER CHINA Results Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK/BUY/HK$314.80/Target: HK$364.00) 3Q24: Risk-and-reward is more balanced. Upgrade to BUY. Han’s Laser (002008 CH/HOLD/Rmb24.42/Target: Rmb22.70) 3Q24: Net profit misses, but visibility of recovery improving. Downgrade to HOLD. New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDU US/BUY/US$62.15/Target: US$85.00) 1QFY25: In line; moderated growth outlook in 2QFY25 on low seasonality. Update Xtep International Holdings (...
KTB reported 3Q24 net profit of Bt11.1b (+8% yoy, -1% qoq). The results were in line with our and consensus expectations. Non-II grew strongly yoy and qoq to boost bottom line in 3Q24. Meanwhile, asset quality remains in a good condition. NPLs fell qoq with declining new NPL formation. KTB intends to maintain a high coverage ratio to buffer against any economic uncertainties and will focus on improving asset quality. We maintain BUY with a target price of Bt25.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Kasikorn Bank (KBANK TB/BUY/Bt151.50/Target: Bt190.00) 3Q24: Results in line; cleaning up of its balance sheet will end this year. Krung Thai Bank (KTB TB/BUY/Bt21.40/Target: Bt25.00) 3Q24: Results in line; asset quality remains healthy. SCB X (SCB TB/BUY/Bt110.00/Target: Bt134.00) 3Q24: Results beat expectation; credit costs down qoq.
GREATER CHINA Results Ping An Insurance Group (2318 HK/BUY/HK$49.05/Target: HK$69.00) 3Q24: Bountiful harvest after prolonged dry spell. ZTE Corporation (763 HK/HOLD/HK$21.05/Target: HK$19.00) 3Q24: Results miss, expect stringent cost controls before next capex cycle. Downgrade to HOLD. Zijin Mining (2899 HK/BUY/HK$17.40/Target: HK$21.90) 3Q24: In line; mining entities’ gross margin down 1.2ppt qoq on lower copper ASP. Update Jiumaojiu In...
GREATER CHINA Sector Hong Kong Property Results wrap-up for Hong Kong developers: Navigating the cycle. INDONESIA Update XL Axiata (EXCL IJ/BUY/Rp2,270/Target: Rp2,900) Fixed broadband ARPU might increase by 10% post-acquisition of ServeCo. MALAYSIA Sector Utilities A strong 2Q24 with companies coming in broadly within expe...
We came away from last Friday’s analyst meeting with a neutral view. Management is maintaining 2024 financial targets. KTB guided that there will be an incoming loan demand from the government in 2H24 due to an acceleration in budget disbursement. The bank has limited loan exposure in one large corporate. KTB is confident that it can achieve its credit cost target even after taking into account this loan. We maintain BUY with a higher target price of Bt21.50.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Update Banpu (BANPU TB/HOLD/Bt4.90/Target: Bt5.00) Expect 2Q24 net profit to drop qoq. BTS Group Holdings (BTS TB/HOLD/Bt4.06/Target: Bt4.47) Slightly negative on BTS’ transaction deal. Indorama Ventures (IVL TB/BUY/Bt19.30/Target: Bt22.50) 2Q24 results preview: Expect a huge loss, but earnings should bottom out in 2Q24. Upgrade to BUY. Krung Thai Bank (KTB TB/BUY/Bt17.80/Target: Bt21.50) Maintaining good asset quality a...
KTB reported 2Q24 net profit of Bt11.2b (+10% yoy, +1% qoq). The results were above our expectations by 7% and exceeded consensus estimates by 5%. The key to our positive surprise was a better-than-expected NII. NIM expansion was attributed to an increase in the proportion of retail segment loans and repayment from the corporate and government segments. The asset quality outlook is healthy. We maintain BUY with a target price of Bt20.50.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Kasikorn Bank (KBANK TB/BUY/Bt128.00/Target: Bt162.00) 2Q24: Results in line; healthy asset quality maintained. Kiatnakin Phatra Bank (KKP TB/HOLD/Bt41.00/Target: Bt45.00) 2Q24: Negative surprise results; revises financial targets for 2024. Krung Thai Bank (KTB TB/BUY/Bt17.10/Target: Bt20.50) 2Q24: Results exceed expectations; healthy asset quality. Krungthai Card (KTC TB/BUY/Bt39.50/Target: Bt48.00) ...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: July Conviction Call Adding ASMPT, Innovent, Poly Property Services, TAL Education and Trip.com to our BUY list; hedging with SELL call on BYD. Small/Mid Cap Highlights Crystal International (2232 HK/BUY/HK$3.95/Target: HK$4.76) 1Q24 preview: Expecting interim DPS to more than double. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperformance In Jun 24 And 2Q24 Our picks are BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, BSDE, TLKM, ACES, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO and JSM...
KTB reported 1Q24 net profit of Bt11.1b (+10% yoy, +81% qoq). The results are above our and consensus estimates by 7% and 6% respectively. The key positive surprise for 1Q24 earnings was a significant qoq drop in provision expenses. We are more positive on KTB’s asset quality as KTB intends to maintain a high coverage ratio for economic uncertainties, including closely focusing on and continuing to improve asset quality. Upgrade to BUY. Target price: Bt19.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Kiatnakin Phatra Bank (KKP TB/HOLD/Bt51.25/Target: Bt55.00) 1Q24: Surprising results; a significant qoq drop in provisioning. Krung Thai Bank (KTB TB/BUY/Bt16.00/Target: Bt19.00) 1Q24: Positive results surprise, more positive on asset quality outlook. Upgrade to BUY with a higher target price of Bt19.00. Krungthai Card (KTC TB/HOLD/Bt42.75/Target: Bt48.00) 1Q24: Results in line with consensus estimate. SCB X (SCB TB/BUY/Bt103.00/Target: Bt128.00) ...
OVERWEIGHT on Indonesia banks as they offer the highest earnings growth in 2024/25 and benefit from the recent rally in commodity prices. We like Singapore banks for their attractive dividend yields. Our top BUYs are DBS (Target: S$43.25), CIMB (Target: RM7.33), SCB X (Target: Bt130) and BMRI (Target: Rp7,900). We also like OCBC (Target: S$18.15), RHB (Target: RM6.18) and BBNI (Target: Rp6,300) as attractive yield plays.
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