KTB reported a 2Q25 net profit of Bt11.1b (-1% yoy, -5% qoq). The results beat our and consensus expectations by 10% and 6% respectively. The bottom line beat our forecast, driven by an investment gain of Bt1.7b. Credit cost stabilised qoq. KTB’s asset quality was quite stable in 2Q25. We expect a share buyback programme to be implemented in 2025 as the PBV is under book with a PBV of 0.65x at the current price. Maintain HOLD with a target price of Bt24.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Kasikorn Bank (KBANK TB/BUY/Bt160.00/Target: Bt185.00) 2Q25: Results in line with market forecasts; provision expenses increased qoq. Kiatnakin Phatra Bank (KKP TB/HOLD/Bt48.00/Target: Bt50.00) 2Q25: Results beat expectations; provisions declined yoy and qoq. Krung Thai Bank (KTB TB/HOLD/Bt21.40/Target: Bt24.00) 2Q25: Results beat; investment gains boosted a strong bottom line. SCB X (SCB TB/HOLD/Bt121.00/Target: Bt134.00) 2Q25: Results beat; investment and trading incom...
GREATER CHINA Sector Healthcare Entering a new phase of accelerated growth. Upgrade to OVERWEIGHT. Internet 618 Festival – Evolving consumer trends and continued focus on value for money. Small/Mid Cap Highlights JBM Healthcare (2161 HK/BUY/HK$2.85/Target: HK$3.31) Takeaways from luncheon. INDONESIA Update Kalbe Farma (KL...
We came away from yesterday’s analyst meeting with a slightly positive view. Management is maintaining its 2025 financial targets. KTB conducted a scenario analysis on the potential impact of a 36% US tariff on Thailand, which will result in Thailand’s 2025 GDP growing by 0.7%. Management guided for a qoq reduction in credit costs. KTB maintains payout ratio at current level. We reckon KTB could carry out a share repurchase in 2025. Maintain HOLD with a higher target price of Bt24.00.
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: Government steps in to restore order. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: Geely and XPeng. MALAYSIA Sector Gaming Anticipate sector earnings to progressively grow throughout 2025-26 and offer solid dividend yields, but downgrade to MARKET WEIGHT given limited immediate cataly...
KTB reported 1Q25 net profit of Bt11.7b (flat yoy, +7% qoq). The results were in line with consensus expectation but above our forecast. Bottom line beat our forecast, driven by an investment gain of Bt1.7b. KTB’s asset quality was quite stable in 1Q25. However, we remain concerned and expect KTB to raise its provision expenses given the uncertainties surrounding the US tariffs. We have factored in the expected policy rate of 1.5%. Downgrade to HOLD with a lower target price of Bt22.50.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Krung Thai Bank (KTB TB/HOLD/Bt21.30/Target: Bt22.50) 1Q25: Results in line with consensus; bottom line beats our forecast due to investment gain. Downgrade to HOLD. Krungthai Card (KTC TB/BUY/Bt46.25/Target: Bt58.00) 1Q25: Results in line; credit costs decline qoq with a stabilised NPL ratio. TMBThanachart Bank (TTB TB/HOLD/Bt1.89/Target: Bt1.95) 1Q25: Results in line with consensus; reiterates selective lending po...
INDONESIA Small/Mid Cap Highlights Sariguna Primatirta (CLEO IJ/NOT RATED/Rp1,395) Strong growth track record in an industry with room for further expansion. MALAYSIA Update QL Resources (QLG MK/BUY/RM4.69/Target: RM4.80) Fairly insulated from trade tariff war but overall outlook does not excite. Maintain HOLD. WCT Holdings (WCTHG MK/SELL/RM0.635/Target: RM0.55) Minimal orderbook replenishments and inconsistent earnings deliv...
KTB reported 4Q24 net profit of Bt10.5b (+71% yoy, -6% qoq). The results were in line with our and consensus expectations. Non-II weakened qoq, attributed to a loss on financial instruments measured at FVPL. Meanwhile, a big drop in credit cost signalled a good asset quality trajectory. Overall asset quality is healthy. KTB will maintain a high coverage ratio to buffer against any economic uncertainties. Maintain BUY with a target price of Bt25.50.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Bangkok Bank (BBL TB/HOLD/Bt151.50/Target: Bt170.00) 4Q24: Results in line with expectations; a significant drop in NPL ratio qoq. Kasikorn Bank (KBANK TB/BUY/Bt160.00/Target: Bt190.00) 4Q24: Results exceed market expectations; maintain normalised credit cost. Krung Thai Bank (KTB TB/BUY/Bt21.80/Target: Bt25.50) 4Q24: Results in line; big drop in credit costs signalling good asset quality. SCB X (SCB TB/BUY/Bt121.50/Target: Bt140.00) 4Q24: Results beat expectation...
GREATER CHINA Sector IT Hardware Solid 2024 Shipment Data; recovery in 2025 remains intact. Maintain OVERWEIGHT . INDONESIA Small/Mid Caps Highlights Bukit Asam (PTBA IJ/NOT RATED/Rp2,690) Strong production outlook towards 2029. MALAYSIA Sector Banking Malaysian banks are likely to take a cautious and gradual approach to capital managemen...
GREATER CHINA Economics PMI A strong rebound for non-manufacturing PMI. Sector Macau Gaming Dec 24 GGR below expectations; expect 2025 GGR to recover to 82% of 2019’s level. INDONESIA Update Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat (MIKA IJ/BUY/Rp2,540/Target: Rp3,300) Expect a double-digit earnings growth in 2025 MALAYSIA Sector Heal...
GREATER CHINA Results Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK/BUY/HK$314.80/Target: HK$364.00) 3Q24: Risk-and-reward is more balanced. Upgrade to BUY. Han’s Laser (002008 CH/HOLD/Rmb24.42/Target: Rmb22.70) 3Q24: Net profit misses, but visibility of recovery improving. Downgrade to HOLD. New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDU US/BUY/US$62.15/Target: US$85.00) 1QFY25: In line; moderated growth outlook in 2QFY25 on low seasonality. Update Xtep International Holdings (...
KTB reported 3Q24 net profit of Bt11.1b (+8% yoy, -1% qoq). The results were in line with our and consensus expectations. Non-II grew strongly yoy and qoq to boost bottom line in 3Q24. Meanwhile, asset quality remains in a good condition. NPLs fell qoq with declining new NPL formation. KTB intends to maintain a high coverage ratio to buffer against any economic uncertainties and will focus on improving asset quality. We maintain BUY with a target price of Bt25.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Kasikorn Bank (KBANK TB/BUY/Bt151.50/Target: Bt190.00) 3Q24: Results in line; cleaning up of its balance sheet will end this year. Krung Thai Bank (KTB TB/BUY/Bt21.40/Target: Bt25.00) 3Q24: Results in line; asset quality remains healthy. SCB X (SCB TB/BUY/Bt110.00/Target: Bt134.00) 3Q24: Results beat expectation; credit costs down qoq.
GREATER CHINA Results Ping An Insurance Group (2318 HK/BUY/HK$49.05/Target: HK$69.00) 3Q24: Bountiful harvest after prolonged dry spell. ZTE Corporation (763 HK/HOLD/HK$21.05/Target: HK$19.00) 3Q24: Results miss, expect stringent cost controls before next capex cycle. Downgrade to HOLD. Zijin Mining (2899 HK/BUY/HK$17.40/Target: HK$21.90) 3Q24: In line; mining entities’ gross margin down 1.2ppt qoq on lower copper ASP. Update Jiumaojiu In...
GREATER CHINA Sector Hong Kong Property Results wrap-up for Hong Kong developers: Navigating the cycle. INDONESIA Update XL Axiata (EXCL IJ/BUY/Rp2,270/Target: Rp2,900) Fixed broadband ARPU might increase by 10% post-acquisition of ServeCo. MALAYSIA Sector Utilities A strong 2Q24 with companies coming in broadly within expe...
We came away from last Friday’s analyst meeting with a neutral view. Management is maintaining 2024 financial targets. KTB guided that there will be an incoming loan demand from the government in 2H24 due to an acceleration in budget disbursement. The bank has limited loan exposure in one large corporate. KTB is confident that it can achieve its credit cost target even after taking into account this loan. We maintain BUY with a higher target price of Bt21.50.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Update Banpu (BANPU TB/HOLD/Bt4.90/Target: Bt5.00) Expect 2Q24 net profit to drop qoq. BTS Group Holdings (BTS TB/HOLD/Bt4.06/Target: Bt4.47) Slightly negative on BTS’ transaction deal. Indorama Ventures (IVL TB/BUY/Bt19.30/Target: Bt22.50) 2Q24 results preview: Expect a huge loss, but earnings should bottom out in 2Q24. Upgrade to BUY. Krung Thai Bank (KTB TB/BUY/Bt17.80/Target: Bt21.50) Maintaining good asset quality a...
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