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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aalberts: highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels 2024, Ackermans & Van Haaren: Highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels,Ackermans & Van Haaren: Strong operational performance of underlying companies and guidance fine-tuned upwards, AMG: Highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels, Aperam: Highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels, Arcadis: Highlights ING Benelux conference, Azelis: Highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels, Bekaert: Guidance cut and €200m buyback as sweetener, CFE: No new...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+7)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Martijn Den Drijver
  • Martijn Den Drijver

TKH GROUP NV : Not 100% de-risked yet, estimates and TP lowered again

>Lowering estimates modestly, 2024 EBITA guidance still at risk - We have updated our estimates after the Q3 2024 earnings release, which disappointed and caused the full year EBITA guidance to be lowered, as we had feared. We are lowering our 2024-2026 sales estimates by 2%-3% and our 2024-2026 EBITAe by 3%, reflecting a continued cautious stance on Smart Vision and several businesses in Smart Connectivity. For 2024, we are now forecasting an EBITAe of €203m, which i...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Agfa-Geveart: Material miss on Healthcare activities. ASML: Long-term guidance confirmed. CVC Capital Partners: Comfortably on track. DEME Group: Raises outlook, lowers capex guidance. Proximus: Pressure on CEO from another possible coalition party. SBM Offshore: Again delivering

Tijs Hollestelle
  • Tijs Hollestelle

TKH Group/We can only change our expectations/BUY

TKH published yet another disappointing set of results. 3Q24 EBITA was around 16% below our forecast and TKH lowered its FY24 EBITA guidance by roughly 5% taking the mid-point of the guidance. Our previous forecasts were rather optimistic as we anticipated significantly higher revenue in the Connectivity division from offshore cable production, covering the already increased fixed cost base. But TKH had to postpone the ramp up of the new offshore wind cable factory in 3Q due to start-up issues. ...

Jacob Mekhael ... (+2)
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Thibault Leneeuw
Martijn Den Drijver
  • Martijn Den Drijver

TKH GROUP NV : Weak Q3, 2024 EBITA guidance lowered

>Weak sales, EBITA and EBITA margins in Q3 - Continued setbacks in Smart Connectivity and Smart Vision are the key reason for a weak Q3 for TKH. Sales came in at €393m or a miss of 9% versus our estimates (no css) with organic growth coming in at -6.2% where we had anticipated positive growth of 1.2%. Due to the lower sales volumes and start-up costs in Smart Connectivity and despite good progress on the €15m cost savings program, EBITA came in at €42.1m or a miss of ...

Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman

Liberty Global operating companies/3Q24 Earnings: UPCB, TNETBB, ZIGGO ...

The 3Q24 earnings reports of the four high yield telecom companies that are (partially) owned by Liberty Global[a] were mixed. 3Q24 adj. EBITDA performance was strong at VodafoneZiggo and Telenet, slightly better at Sunrise, and weak at Virgin Media O2. We currently prefer Sunrise and Ziggo. Given similar credit profiles, we expect limited spread dispersion across the four companies. However, we expect that Liberty Global will look different one year from now, after (partial) network sales.

Martijn Den Drijver
  • Martijn Den Drijver

TKH GROUP NV : Preview Q3 + lowered 2024-2026 estimates and TP

>Cautiousness Vision + Manufacturing results in lower 2024-2026 estimates - We had not updated our forecast for TKH since the Q1 2024 trading update and H1 2024 results release: mea culpa. So although not ideal, we are using this preview to update our estimates. Given the disappointing H1 2024 results and 2024 guidance, we lower our estimates materially. We lower our 2024 to 2026 sales forecast by 3% to 8% and our EBITA estimates by 16% to 19%. For 2024, we now forec...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ahold Delhaize: A strong 3Q24, driven by Europe. CFE: 3Q24 preview - able to keep net profit outlook? CTP: Good results, guidance reiterated. DEME Group: 3Q24 preview - keeping the FY outlook. Exor: Ferrari hitting Chinese wall. IBA: Contract win for E-beam sterilisation solution in the Dominican Republic. Kendrion: 3Q24 preview - harsh end markets but easy comps. Proximus: 2025 price increases on the high side, more asset sales in the pipeline. Solvay: 3Q24 results beat by 4% bu...

Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Sharad Kumar S.P

Holdings Report - October 2024 KBCS Holdings Universe Returns -2.5% Du...

1M Performance - Absolute: During Oct'24 (1M period), the KBCS Holdings Universe posted a return of -2.5% which was mainly driven by single-asset holdings (-2.8%) while multi-asset holdings  posted a slightly less negative return of -2.3%. The 3 top performers during the period were Financière de Tubize (+6.7%), D'Ieteren Group (+4.5%), and Solvac (+2.8%) while the 3 worst performers were Sofina (-11.4%), Gimv (-9.8%), and Compagnie du Bois Sauvage (-6.3%). YTD Performance - Relative: On a YTD ...

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