GREATER CHINA Strategy China And Hong Kong Property & Hong Kong Landlord Tariffs curtail US rate cuts, thereby hindering the recovery of Hong Kong property and tourism; Maintain OVERWEIGHT on China property. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperform In Mar 25 Remove BBNI, BBRI, ASII, JSMR and KLBF; add BBCA, ICBP, ERAA and BUKA. MALAYSIA Update Pekat Group (PEKAT MK/BUY/RM1.08/Target: RM1.45) Good earnings visibility over 2025...
The selloff driven by the US’ unprecedented and perplexing tariff plans has liberated many investors of profits this year. Given the fluidity of market conditions, we highlight a number of domestic-focused stocks such as CENT, CD, DFI, HLA, PANU, PROP, RFMD, SSG and SIE as well as Singapore-focused REITS such as CDLHT, FEHT, FCT, KREIT, LREIT and PREIT. In addition, the MAS’ equity market review should inject much needed liquidity in 2H25. We lower our STI target to 3,720 (previously 4,115).
GREATER CHINA Economics Money Supply: Liquidity growth edges lower. INDONESIA Update Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI IJ/BUY/Rp3,860/Target: Rp4,500): 15.0% net profit cut in 2025 on higher credit cost and lower loan growth. MALAYSIA Update Gas Malaysia (GMB MK/HOLD/RM4.23/Target: RM4.40): Expect a strong 4Q24 finish. Share price is close to our fair value; downgrade to HOLD. The stock offers a 6% dividend yield. SINGAPORE Results Civmec (CIVMEC SP/HOLD/S$0.895/Target:S$0.98): 1HFY25: Results belo...
THBEV released its 1QFY25 business update whereby overall revenue grew 2.4% yoy, driven by the beer and NAB segments. However, 1QFY25 EBITDA decreased slightly by 0.8% yoy, dragged by the spirits segment on lower sales volumes and rising costs. Both the beer and NAB segments posted robust results on strong growth in key markets and ongoing cost efficiencies. In our view, THVBEV is trading at an attractive -1.5SD to its mean PE. Maintain BUY with the same SOTP-based target price of S$0.56.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Civmec (CIVMEC SP/HOLD/S$0.895/Target:S$0.98) 1HFY25: Results below expectations; soft outlook in the near term but positive in the medium term. Parkway Life REIT (PREIT SP/BUY/S$3.87/Target: S$4.85) 2H24: Oasis of calm sheltered from threats of tariffs. SIA Engineering (SIE SP/BUY/S$2.35/Target: S$2.70) 3QFY25: Results in line; maintaining a moderate pace of earnings improvement despite supply chain challenges. Maintain BUY. Thai Beverage (THBEV SP/BUY/...
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PV sales up wow; NDRC indicates support for ICE-cars. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuyao Glass and Desay SV. IT Hardware Blackwell production ramp accelerating; brace for another year of robust growth. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Results Baidu Inc (9888 HK/HOLD/HK$83.85/Target: HK$90.00) ...
Driven by growth across most business segments, THBEV posted higher FY24 revenue (+2.2% yoy) but lower PATMI (-0.8% yoy), dragged by higher interest costs and income tax. Margins for the spirits segment fell from higher costs but are set to improve moving forward. The beer segment outperformed on better tourist arrivals and an improving economic climate. In our view, backed by a decent 5% yield, THVBEV is trading at an attractive -1.5SD to its mean PE. Maintain BUY. Target price: S$0.56.
After Powell’s Jackson Hole speech on 23 August, we see a turning point starting with a US Fed rate cut in Sep 24 and lower rates heading into 2025. In the Singapore market, REITs and the property sector should benefit, as should highly-geared companies and those looking to recycle capital. Our current forecasts have incorporated lower NIMs for banks which we believe are protected by their high dividend yields.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results CapitaLand Ascendas REIT (CLAR SP/BUY/S$2.65/Target: S$3.44): 1H24: Backfilling vacant space at Changi Business Park. Singapore Exchange (SGX SP/HOLD/S$9.82/Target: S$10.65): FY24: Strong results in line as FICC outperforms. Thai Beverage (THBEV SP/BUY/S$0.50/Target:S$0.56): 9MFY24: Stable performance as beer outperforms. TRADERS’ CORNER Thai Beverage (THBEV SP): Trading BUY Venture Corp (VMS SP): Trading BUY
GREATER CHINA Economics Inflation Worrying fall in core CPI inflation. INDONESIA Results Kalbe Farma (KLBF IJ/HOLD/Rp1,665/Target: Rp1,700) 2Q24: Core NPAT rose 20.3% yoy; above expectations. MALAYSIA Update Gas Malaysia (GMB MK/HOLD/RM3.57/Target: RM3.50) Higher demand capacity to offset lower NG prices in 2024; stock offers attractive dividend ...
THBEV reported higher 9MFY24 revenue (+0.5% yoy) and EBITDA (+2.2% yoy), driven by higher contributions from most business segments. For 3QFY24, the spirits segment underperformed as volumes fell from slower economic activity while the beer segment outperformed on the back of better tourist arrivals and a warmer climate. Both the NAB and food segments reported strong revenue growths. In our view, THVBEV is trading at an attractive -1.5SD to its mean PE. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of ...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Banking: 2Q24 results preview: Stable interest rates and resilient earnings. Update Thai Beverage (THBEV SP/BUY/S$0.50/Target:S$0.60): Cementing its top spot in Southeast Asia. TRADERS’ CORNER Parkway Life Real Estate Investment Trust (PREIT SP): Trading BUY City Developments (CIT SP): Trading BUY
GREATER CHINA Update Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK/BUY/HK$241.40/Target: HK$310.00) A head of steam or a flash in the pan? Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group (600887 CH/BUY/Rmb26.21/Target: Rmb30.60) Lower 2024 revenue expectation; expects active channel adjustments to lead to better liquid milk sales in 2H24. Meituan (3690 HK/BUY/HK$119.10/Target: HK$139.00) 2Q24 results preview: ISHT margin to stabili...
THBEV announced a share swap deal that would see the group streamline its businesses to become a pure-play regional F&B player. The proposed swap deal would increase THBEV’s stake in its associate F&N, and is expected to be earnings accretive and create operating and cost synergies with THBEV’s NAB segment. In our view, THVBEV is trading at an attractive -2.0SD to its mean PE and a decent 4.5% FY24 dividend yield. Maintain BUY with a higher SOTP-based target price of S$0.60.
GREATER CHINA Update Huize Holding Limited (HUIZ US/BUY/US$1.02/Target: US$2.00): Stepping into ASEAN market. INDONESIA Update Unilever Indonesia (UNVR IJ/HOLD/Rp2,990/Target: Rp3,200): Takeaways from public expose – Five strategic initiatives. MALAYSIA Results MyNews Holdings (MNHB MK/SELL/RM0.65/Target: RM0.52): 2QFY24: Results largely within expectations. But the recent steep run in its valuations has more than priced in MyNews’ recovery. Downgrade to SELL. Scientex (SCI MK/BUY/RM4.23/Targe...
THBEV aims to implement premiumisation strategies for both its spirits and beer portfolios to drive organic growth while supporting margins. Management also gave updates on the long-awaited BeerCo IPO which is currently still in progress. Vietnam’s impending excise tax hike is unlikely to impact THBEV. In our view, THVBEV is trading at an attractive -1.5SD to its mean PE and a decent 4.6% FY24 dividend yield. We maintain BUY but with a lower SOTP-based target price of S$0.57 (S$0.70 previously).
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector REITs 1Q24: PREIT (in line) and SASSR (in line). Results Bumitama Agri (BAL SP/BUY/S$0.685/Target: S$0.70) 1Q24: Results within expectation. ComfortDelGro Corporation (CD SP/HOLD/S$1.44/Target: S$1.56) 1Q24: Earnings below expectations; downgrade to HOLD. SEA (SE US/BUY /US$64.46/Target: US$78.39) 1Q24: All segments are doing well. Positive outlook for 202...
INDONESIA Update Indofood Sukses Makmur (INDF IJ/BUY/Rp6,175/Target: Rp9,600): Steady growth at attractive valuation. Maintain BUY. MALAYSIA Sector Gloves: Tariff hike announced by US authorities on China’s medical-grade gloves beginning 2026 is poised to revitalise investors’ sentiment. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Results Heineken Malaysia (HEIM MK/BUY/RM23.68/Target: RM29.20): 1Q24: Within expectations. Earnings saw a seasonal boom following the CNY celebrations. Maintain BUY with a higher target pr...
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