GREATER CHINA Sector Dairy: Retail demand remains weak; expect raw milk supply and demand to reach a temporary balance in 3Q25. Downgrade to MARKET WEIGHT. Hong Kong Landlords: Improved liquidity supporting local spending and lowering finance costs of landlords; upgrade to MARKET WEIGHT; top pick: Wharf REIC. INDONESIA Update Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ/BUY/Rp4,140/Target: Rp5,200): NIM pressure likely to persist in 2Q25; expect NIM to stabilise in 2H25. MALAYSIA Sector Healthcare: Upgrade ...
THBEV faces stronger competition for its spirits business due to the upcoming regulatory changes but is expected to benefit from lower molasses costs. The domestic beer segment is set to post better margins and has maintained its market share leadership. However, Sabeco continues to face ongoing headwinds from stringent drink-driving laws and higher excise taxes. Management has reiterated that plans for the BeerCo IPO are still ongoing. Maintain HOLD with the same target price of S$0.45.
GREATER CHINA Economics Money Supply: Credit demand stays weak. Update Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK/BUY/HK$413.60/Target: HK$470.00): More listings, enhanced liquidity and high turnover to drive further upside. Reiterate BUY. INDONESIA Update Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ/BUY/Rp9,025/Target: Rp10,500): Steady growth with a focus on efficiency and risk discipline. MALAYSIA Update TIME dotCom (TDC MK/BUY/RM5.22/Target: RM6.00): TIME to deliver sustainable growth over peers on the back o...
In a bid to curb alcohol consumption, Vietnam recently announced that it would increase its special consumption tax on beer and other alcoholic beverages to 90% by 2031, affecting domestic beer products such as THBEV. With the beer sector already facing a challenging outlook, we reckon that THBEV is likely to fully pass on the higher excise tax to consumers, resulting in softer beer volumes. We maintain HOLD but with a lower SOTP-based target price of S$0.45 (S$0.51 previously).
GREATER CHINA Strategy China And Hong Kong Property: Channel check of Shanghai’s primary residential market; closer look at Hong Kong properties’ rental yields. MALAYSIA Results Westports Holdings (WPRTS MK/HOLD/RM4.53/Target: RM4.40): 1Q25: Results in line. WPRTS believes global acclimation towards tariff impact will rebalance trades; maintaining its 0-5% volume growth expectation. SINGAPORE Sector Banking: 1Q25 round-up: First-order direct impact assessed to be manageable. Upgrade to OVERWE...
For 1HFY25, THBEV reported higher overall revenue (+1.0% yoy) but saw EBITDA (-5.3% yoy) and PATMI (-3.2% yoy) fall due to higher raw material and operating costs. Driven by a higher sales volume in 2QFY25, the spirits segment posted higher revenue but saw EBITDA drop from increased A&P spending and raw material costs. The beer segment was dragged by a weak performance in Vietnam despite lower raw material costs. Downgrade to HOLD with a lower SOTP-based target price of S$0.51.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Banking 1Q25 round-up: First-order direct impact assessed to be manageable. Upgrade to OVERWEIGHT. Results Civmec (CVL SP/HOLD/S$0.815/Target:S$0.80) - 3QFY25: Results in line; outlook remains challenging as project delays extend. Marco Polo Marine (MPM SP/BUY/S$0.044/Target:S$0.066) - 1HFY25: Earnings in line; poised for growth in offshore wind sector. Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp (OCB...
GREATER CHINA Strategy China And Hong Kong Property & Hong Kong Landlord Tariffs curtail US rate cuts, thereby hindering the recovery of Hong Kong property and tourism; Maintain OVERWEIGHT on China property. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperform In Mar 25 Remove BBNI, BBRI, ASII, JSMR and KLBF; add BBCA, ICBP, ERAA and BUKA. MALAYSIA Update Pekat Group (PEKAT MK/BUY/RM1.08/Target: RM1.45) Good earnings visibility over 2025...
The selloff driven by the US’ unprecedented and perplexing tariff plans has liberated many investors of profits this year. Given the fluidity of market conditions, we highlight a number of domestic-focused stocks such as CENT, CD, DFI, HLA, PANU, PROP, RFMD, SSG and SIE as well as Singapore-focused REITS such as CDLHT, FEHT, FCT, KREIT, LREIT and PREIT. In addition, the MAS’ equity market review should inject much needed liquidity in 2H25. We lower our STI target to 3,720 (previously 4,115).
GREATER CHINA Economics Money Supply: Liquidity growth edges lower. INDONESIA Update Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI IJ/BUY/Rp3,860/Target: Rp4,500): 15.0% net profit cut in 2025 on higher credit cost and lower loan growth. MALAYSIA Update Gas Malaysia (GMB MK/HOLD/RM4.23/Target: RM4.40): Expect a strong 4Q24 finish. Share price is close to our fair value; downgrade to HOLD. The stock offers a 6% dividend yield. SINGAPORE Results Civmec (CIVMEC SP/HOLD/S$0.895/Target:S$0.98): 1HFY25: Results belo...
THBEV released its 1QFY25 business update whereby overall revenue grew 2.4% yoy, driven by the beer and NAB segments. However, 1QFY25 EBITDA decreased slightly by 0.8% yoy, dragged by the spirits segment on lower sales volumes and rising costs. Both the beer and NAB segments posted robust results on strong growth in key markets and ongoing cost efficiencies. In our view, THVBEV is trading at an attractive -1.5SD to its mean PE. Maintain BUY with the same SOTP-based target price of S$0.56.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Civmec (CIVMEC SP/HOLD/S$0.895/Target:S$0.98) 1HFY25: Results below expectations; soft outlook in the near term but positive in the medium term. Parkway Life REIT (PREIT SP/BUY/S$3.87/Target: S$4.85) 2H24: Oasis of calm sheltered from threats of tariffs. SIA Engineering (SIE SP/BUY/S$2.35/Target: S$2.70) 3QFY25: Results in line; maintaining a moderate pace of earnings improvement despite supply chain challenges. Maintain BUY. Thai Beverage (THBEV SP/BUY/...
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PV sales up wow; NDRC indicates support for ICE-cars. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuyao Glass and Desay SV. IT Hardware Blackwell production ramp accelerating; brace for another year of robust growth. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Results Baidu Inc (9888 HK/HOLD/HK$83.85/Target: HK$90.00) ...
Driven by growth across most business segments, THBEV posted higher FY24 revenue (+2.2% yoy) but lower PATMI (-0.8% yoy), dragged by higher interest costs and income tax. Margins for the spirits segment fell from higher costs but are set to improve moving forward. The beer segment outperformed on better tourist arrivals and an improving economic climate. In our view, backed by a decent 5% yield, THVBEV is trading at an attractive -1.5SD to its mean PE. Maintain BUY. Target price: S$0.56.
After Powell’s Jackson Hole speech on 23 August, we see a turning point starting with a US Fed rate cut in Sep 24 and lower rates heading into 2025. In the Singapore market, REITs and the property sector should benefit, as should highly-geared companies and those looking to recycle capital. Our current forecasts have incorporated lower NIMs for banks which we believe are protected by their high dividend yields.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results CapitaLand Ascendas REIT (CLAR SP/BUY/S$2.65/Target: S$3.44): 1H24: Backfilling vacant space at Changi Business Park. Singapore Exchange (SGX SP/HOLD/S$9.82/Target: S$10.65): FY24: Strong results in line as FICC outperforms. Thai Beverage (THBEV SP/BUY/S$0.50/Target:S$0.56): 9MFY24: Stable performance as beer outperforms. TRADERS’ CORNER Thai Beverage (THBEV SP): Trading BUY Venture Corp (VMS SP): Trading BUY
GREATER CHINA Economics Inflation Worrying fall in core CPI inflation. INDONESIA Results Kalbe Farma (KLBF IJ/HOLD/Rp1,665/Target: Rp1,700) 2Q24: Core NPAT rose 20.3% yoy; above expectations. MALAYSIA Update Gas Malaysia (GMB MK/HOLD/RM3.57/Target: RM3.50) Higher demand capacity to offset lower NG prices in 2024; stock offers attractive dividend ...
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