reports
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Short Shots: Technically Vulnerable Stocks
Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
USB U.S. BANCORP
CBD.N COMPANHIA BRASILEIRA DE DISTRIBUICAO GRUPO PAO DE ACUCAR PREF ADS
WU WESTERN UNION COMPANY
VIAV VIAVI SOLUTIONS INC
UFS DOMTAR CORPORATION
GEIA SL GREEN REALTY CORP.
SHOO STEVEN MADDEN LTD.
POST POST HOLDINGS INC.
PNW PINNACLE WEST CAPITAL CORPORATION
ORI OLD REPUBLIC INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION
NWBI NORTHWEST BANCSHARES INC.
LNT ALLIANT ENERGY CORP
KRC KILROY REALTY CORPORATION
IEP ICAHN ENTERPRISES L.P.
IBKR INTERACTIVE BROKERS GROUP INC. CLASS A
HURN HURON CONSULTING GROUP INC.
PU6D HSBC HOLDINGS (ADR)
HII HUNTINGTON INGALLS INDUSTRIES INC.
GWB GREAT WESTERN BANCORP INC.
ESRT EMPIRE STATE REALTY TRUST INC. CLASS A
EQR EQUITY RESIDENTIAL
E.N ENI S.P.A. ADS
COLB COLUMBIA BANKING SYSTEM INC.
K3PD CHINA MOBILE LTD.
BXP BOSTON PROPERTIES INC.
BMO. BANK OF MONTREAL
BKU BANKUNITED INC.
BAP. CREDICORP LTD.
NTUS NATUS MEDICAL INCORPORATED
AVA AVISTA CORPORATION
AL AIR LEASE CORPORATION CLASS A
ADP AUTOMATIC DATA PROCESSING INC.
BCE. BCE INC.
AWI ARMSTRONG WORLD INDUSTRIES INC.
WTS WATTS WATER TECHNOLOGIES INC. CLASS A
BRK.B BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC. CLASS B
AZPN ASPEN TECHNOLOGY INC.
CNA CNA FINANCIAL CORPORATION
KO COCA-COLA COMPANY
MWA MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS INC. CLASS A
NSA NATIONAL STORAGE AFFILIATES TRUST
POR PORTLAND GENERAL ELECTRIC COMPANY
PRA PROASSURANCE CORPORATION
VMI VALMONT INDUSTRIES INC.
XYL XYLEM INC.
K3ED CHINA TELECOM CORP. LTD.
TYIA JOHNSON CONTROLS INTERNATIONAL PLC
ICI ICANDY INTERACTIVE
STBA S&T BANCORP INC.
MATW MATTHEWS INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION CLASS A
SMPL SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO
CWK CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD PLC
KTB KONTOOR BRANDS
TT TRANE TECHNOLOGIES PLC
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Short Shots: Technically Vulnerable Stocks
Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
UBSN UBS GROUP AG
DPZ DOMINO'S PIZZA INC.
WIFI BOINGO WIRELESS INC.
TOT.N TOTAL SE
SU. SUNCOR ENERGY INC.
ROL ROLLINS INC.
PKXN POSCO
JACK JACK IN THE BOX INC.
PU6D HSBC HOLDINGS (ADR)
GVA GRANITE CONSTRUCTION INCORPORATED
FMS FRESENIUS MEDICAL CARE AG & CO. KGAA ADS
FIVE FIVE BELOW INC.
EXC EXELON CORPORATION
E.N ENI S.P.A. ADS
BAP. CREDICORP LTD.
ATI ALLEGHENY TECHNOLOGIES INCORPORATED
AEL AMERICAN EQUITY INVESTMENT LIFE HOLDING COMPANY
MX. METHANEX CORPORATION
MBUU MALIBU BOATS INC. CLASS A
RL RALPH LAUREN CORPORATION CLASS A
WMB WILLIAMS COMPANIES INC.
GRA W R GRACE & CO
TELL TELLURIAN INC.
- Allen Good
Morningstar | New Morningstar Analyst Report for Eni SpA
Recent years have been unkind to Eni shareholders. Oil-price declines and disruptions in key producing areas have taken a toll on an otherwise low-cost, high-return upstream business. Meanwhile, poor results from its downstream and gas and power business have further weighed on returns. We think the worst is behind it, with performance across all three of its key segments set to improve, lifting returns from recently depressed levels. Eni has differentiated itself from peers with an ability to c...
- Allen Good
New Morningstar Analyst Report for Eni SpA
Our fair value estimate and moat rating for Eni is unchanged after first-quarter results were largely in line with our expectations and management reiterated its previous full-year guidance items. We continue to appreciate the improvements management has driven across the portfolio, particularly in the upstream and gas and power segments, as demonstrated during the quarter. However, we view this improvement along with the expectation of continued progress is largely already reflected in the shar...
- Allen Good
Morningstar | Eni on Track for Full Year Targets After First Quarter; ...
Our fair value estimate and moat rating for Eni is unchanged after first-quarter results were largely in line with our expectations and management reiterated its previous full-year guidance items. We continue to appreciate the improvements management has driven across the portfolio, particularly in the upstream and gas and power segments, as demonstrated during the quarter. However, we view this improvement along with the expectation of continued progress is largely already reflected in the shar...
- Allen Good
Eni on Track for Full Year Targets After First Quarter; Fair Value Est...
Our fair value estimate and moat rating for Eni is unchanged after first-quarter results were largely in line with our expectations and management reiterated its previous full-year guidance items. We continue to appreciate the improvements management has driven across the portfolio, particularly in the upstream and gas and power segments, as demonstrated during the quarter. However, we view this improvement along with the expectation of continued progress is largely already reflected in the shar...
- Allen Good
Morningstar | E Updated Forecasts and Estimates from 23 Apr 2019
Eni reported adjusted net profits of EUR 1.46 billion in the fourth quarter and EUR 4.6 billion for the full year, increases of 55% and 93%, respectively, compared with the comparable 2017 periods. Net operating profit amounted to EUR 10 billion and organic free cash flow rose to EUR 6.5 billion. The latter allowed Eni to cover the EUR 3 billion dividend and reduce net debt from EUR 10.9 billion in 2017 to EUR 8.3 billion in 2018, reducing leverage from 23% to 16% over the same period, and incre...
- Allen Good
Morningstar | Eni's Strong Showing in 2018 Reflects Improved Operation...
Eni reported adjusted net profits of EUR 1.46 billion in the fourth quarter and EUR 4.6 billion for the full year, increases of 55% and 93%, respectively, compared with the comparable 2017 periods. Net operating profit amounted to EUR 10 billion and organic free cash flow rose to EUR 6.5 billion. The latter allowed Eni to cover the EUR 3 billion dividend and reduce net debt from EUR 10.9 billion in 2017 to EUR 8.3 billion in 2018, reducing leverage from 23% to 16% over the same period, and incre...
- Allen Good
Eni's Strong Showing in 2018 Reflects Improved Operations
Eni reported adjusted net profits of EUR 1.46 billion in the fourth quarter and EUR 4.6 billion for the full year, increases of 55% and 93%, respectively, compared with the comparable 2017 periods. Net operating profit amounted to EUR 10 billion and organic free cash flow rose to EUR 6.5 billion. The latter allowed Eni to cover the EUR 3 billion dividend and reduce net debt from EUR 10.9 billion in 2017 to EUR 8.3 billion in 2018, reducing leverage from 23% to 16% over the same period, and incre...
- Allen Good
Morningstar | Eni Reports Strong Third Quarter as Improvement Efforts ...
Eni continued its turnaround in the third quarter, growing earnings to EUR 1.4 billion from EUR 229 million the year before. The upstream segment contributed the bulk of the increase thanks to higher oil and gas prices as production growth stagnated during the quarter. A near 50% increase in realized prices offset flat production growth to increase earnings to EUR 1.4 billion from EUR 441 million a year ago. Although flat for the quarter, production has grown 3% year to date. Citing the negative...
- Allen Good
Eni Reports Strong Third Quarter as Improvement Efforts Take Hold
Eni continued its turnaround in the third quarter, growing earnings to EUR 1.4 billion from EUR 229 million the year before. The upstream segment contributed the bulk of the increase thanks to higher oil and gas prices as production growth stagnated during the quarter. A near 50% increase in realized prices offset flat production growth to increase earnings to EUR 1.4 billion from EUR 441 million a year ago. Although flat for the quarter, production has grown 3% year to date. Citing the negative...
- Allen Good
Morningstar | Integrated Oils' Free Cash Flow Set to Improve; Increasi...
Integrated oils are set to reverse years of little or no free cash flow despite significantly lower oil and gas prices as high levels of investment give way to growth and capital restraint. We expect increased free cash flow from both upstream and downstream segments. In upstream segments, improved cost structures and the addition of higher-margin production will increase cash margins, offsetting much of the impact of lower oil prices. Meanwhile, service cost deflation, standardization, and simp...
- Allen Good
Morningstar | Eni's worst looks to be behind it as earnings, returns, ...
Recent years have been unkind to Eni shareholders. In addition to a decline in oil prices, disruptions in key producing areas have taken a toll on an otherwise low-cost, high-return upstream business. Meanwhile, poor results from its downstream and gas and power business have further weighed on returns. We think the worst is behind it, with performance across all three of its key segments set to improve, lifting returns from recently depressed levels. Eni has differentiated itself from peers wit...
- Allen Good
Integrated Oils' Free Cash Flow Set to Improve; Increasing FVEs
Integrated oils are set to reverse years of little or no free cash flow despite significantly lower oil and gas prices as high levels of investment give way to growth and capital restraint. We expect increased free cash flow from both upstream and downstream segments. In upstream segments, improved cost structures and the addition of higher-margin production will increase cash margins, offsetting much of the impact of lower oil prices. Meanwhile, service cost deflation, standardization, and simp...
- Allen Good
Eni's worst looks to be behind it as earnings, returns, and cash flow ...
Eni’s second quarter looked much like first-quarter 2018. Higher oil prices, paired with strong production growth, lifted adjusted operating profits in exploration and production but caused margins in the refining and chemicals segment to weaken. In total, adjusted operating profits increased to EUR 2.6 billion from EUR 1 billion last year, while adjusted net profits climbed to EUR 767 million from EUR 463 million. Cash flow generation remained strong in the second quarter, with adjusted net c...
- Allen Good
Morningstar | Eni Reports Good 2Q 2018; Strong Exploration and Product...
Eni’s second quarter looked much like first-quarter 2018. Higher oil prices, paired with strong production growth, lifted adjusted operating profits in exploration and production but caused margins in the refining and chemicals segment to weaken. In total, adjusted operating profits increased to EUR 2.6 billion from EUR 1 billion last year, while adjusted net profits climbed to EUR 767 million from EUR 463 million. Cash flow generation remained strong in the second quarter, with adjusted net c...
- Allen Good
Eni Reports Good 2Q 2018; Strong Exploration and Production Drive Resu...
Eni’s second quarter looked much like first-quarter 2018. Higher oil prices, paired with strong production growth, lifted adjusted operating profits in exploration and production but caused margins in the refining and chemicals segment to weaken. In total, adjusted operating profits increased to EUR 2.6 billion from EUR 1 billion last year, while adjusted net profits climbed to EUR 767 million from EUR 463 million. Cash flow generation remained strong in the second quarter, with adjusted net c...
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy
The recent successful test of support at the 200-day moving average has paved the way for a meaningful bounce higher on the S&P 500. Given this bounce, we have become incrementally more bullish. In today's report we highlight the bullish implications of the recent move higher for the broad market as well as other big picture trends: • Bullish implications. Not only has the 200-day moving average and prior lows continued to hold for the S&P 500, but the index is also hitting a higher high rel...
OXY OCCIDENTAL PETROLEUM CORPORATION
APC ANADARKO PETROLEUM CORPORATION
VNOM VIPER ENERGY PARTNERS LP
STON. EQUINOR ASA
SSL SASOL LTD. ADS
PXD PIONEER NATURAL RESOURCES COMPANY
PBR.N PETROLEO BRASILEIRO S/A ADS
NBL NOBLE ENERGY INC.
MTDR MATADOR RESOURCES COMPANY
MRO MARATHON OIL CORPORATION
HES HESS CORPORATION
EOG EOG RESOURCES INC.
E.N ENI S.P.A. ADS
CRZO CARRIZO OIL & GAS INC.
CLR CONTINENTAL RESOURCES INC.
PDCE PDC ENERGY INC.
SRCI SRC ENERGY INC
WTI W&T OFFSHORE
LKODN INC.
WLL OIL COMPANY LUKOIL PJSC SPONSORED ADR
WHITING PETROLEUM CORPORATION
- Allen Good
- CFA
Eni Posts Good 1Q 2018; On-Target Production Growth Makes Up for Weak ...
We maintain our fair value estimate of EUR 14.50/$35.50 and our no-moat rating for Eni, as its first-quarter 2018 results set the firm up to meet our full-year expectations. Total adjusted net profit increased 31% to EUR 978 million versus EUR 744 million last year, thanks to its largest segment, exploration and production, more than offsetting weaker performance in its smaller refining, marketing, and chemicals segment. Total production grew 4% to 1,867 thousand barrels per day for the quarter ...
- Allen Good
- CFA
Eni's worst looks to be behind it.
Eni reported good fourth-quarter and full-year results as exploration and production reaped the benefits of higher oil and gas prices. Adjusted net profits doubled year over year for the quarter to EUR 975 million, while full-year results came in at a gain of EUR 2.4 billion versus a loss of EUR 340 million last year. Excluding net disposals, of which the firm has already generated EUR 3.8 billion of its EUR 6 billion target this year alone, Eni’s cash-neutrality has fallen to $57 per barrel B...
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