Company Results | IRPC (IRPC TB/HOLD/Bt1.02/Target: Bt1.20) IRPC’s 3Q25 performance turnaround to a net profit of Bt340m stemmed from better GRM and inventory gains offset by petrochemical weakness. 9M25 loss narrowed yoy to Bt2.2b from a core loss of Bt3.2b. We expect core earnings to turn positive in 4Q25 but we foresee potential huge inventory losses to reflect weaker oil prices in 4Q25.
Top Stories Company Results | IRPC (IRPC TB/HOLD/Bt1.02/Target: Bt1.20) IRPC’s 3Q25 performance turnaround to a net profit of Bt340m stemmed from better GRM and inventory gains offset by petrochemical weakness. 9M25 loss narrowed yoy to Bt2.2b from a core loss of Bt3.2b. We expect core earnings to turn positive in 4Q25 but we foresee potential huge inventory losses to reflect weaker oil prices in 4Q25. Company Update | CH. Karnchang (CK TB/BUY/Bt14.40/Target: Bt20.20) We expect CK’s 3Q25 ear...
Greater China Company Results | COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (1919 HK/HOLD/HK$13.67/Target: HK$14.54) CSH’s 3Q25 net profit fell 55% yoy to Rmb9.5b but beat expectations on resilient freight rates and higher volumes. The recent rebound in freight indices and suspension of US-China port fees should support 4Q25 earnings. While oversupply risks remain in 2026, accelerated scrapping could ease pressure. Its strong net cash position (63% of market cap) should allow CSH to navigate the downcycle with ...
Company Update | IRPC (IRPC TB/HOLD/Bt1.09/Target: Bt1.20) While we expect 3Q25 to mark a turning point for IRPC with positive earnings and stronger GIM, we think its valuation limits near-term upside. Core recovery momentum and asset monetisation progress remain the key triggers heading into 2026. Downgrade to HOLD with a target price of Bt1.20.
Top Stories Company Results | Bangkok Bank (BBL TB/HOLD/Bt155.50/Target: Bt170.00) BBL posted a 3Q25 net profit of Bt13.8b, +11% yoy and +17% qoq. The results beat our and consensus expectations by 40% and 27%, respectively. The loan portfolio contracted 3.2% in 9M25. Meanwhile, an investment gain boosted bottom line, beating expectations in 3Q25. We should see the NPL reduction pattern continuing in 4Q25, in line with the guidance. Maintain HOLD with a higher target price of Bt170.00. Compan...
IRPC reported a net loss of Bt2.1b in 2Q25 due to a huge inventory loss of Bt2.5b and impairment loss of Bt157m. Excluding non-recurring items, IRPC posted a slim core loss of Bt113m. Both core and net losses were broadly in line with our and market expectations. We expect a better earnings outlook in 3Q25 while share price is trading at a historical low of 0.30x 2026F P/B. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt1.20.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB/BUY/Bt296.00/Target: Bt340.00) 2Q25: Results in line with our and consensus estimates. IRPC (IRPC TB/BUY/Bt1.02/Target: Bt1.20) 2Q25 Results: Losses were expected; better outlook in 3Q25. SVI (SVI TB/HOLD/Bt6.10/Target: Bt6.00) 2Q25: Earnings were weak and below our and market expectations Update CH Karnchang (...
We expect IRPC to post a core loss of Bt361m and a net loss of Bt2.2b in 2Q25. Despite expecting short-term losses, we maintain BUY on IRPC. The stock has underperformed peers (-27% ytd) and is trading at a historical low of just 0.3x P/B, well below its long-term average and peer group. We believe this is a compelling accumulation opportunity. Target price: Bt1.10.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Kasikorn Bank (KBANK TB/BUY/Bt160.00/Target: Bt185.00) 2Q25: Results in line with market forecasts; provision expenses increased qoq. Kiatnakin Phatra Bank (KKP TB/HOLD/Bt48.00/Target: Bt50.00) 2Q25: Results beat expectations; provisions declined yoy and qoq. Krung Thai Bank (KTB TB/HOLD/Bt21.40/Target: Bt24.00) 2Q25: Results beat; investment gains boosted a strong bottom line. SCB X (SCB TB/HOLD/Bt121.00/Target: Bt134.00) 2Q25: Results beat; investment and trading incom...
IRPC reported a net loss of Bt1.2b in 1Q25 mainly due to lower GIM in 1Q25 with a loss on investment of Bt933m from UCHA due to its business restructuring in 1Q25. Excluding non-recurring items, IRPC’s core loss was Bt1.7b. Both core and net losses were in line with market expectations. We believe IRPC’s share price has already priced in the bad news. IRPC is trading at a historical low of 0.30x 2025F P/B. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt1.10.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Construction 1Q25 results preview: CK and STECON set to rebound. Results IRPC (IRPC TB/BUY/Bt0.94/Target: Bt1.10) 1Q25: Net loss deepens on lower margins, but share price already reflects bad news. LPN Development (LPN TB/SELL/Bt2.06/Target: Bt1.50) 1Q25: Results slightly beat expectation, but recovery remains...
IRPC booked a huge net loss of Bt1.1b in 4Q24. Excluding extra-items, IRPC would have posted a core profit of Bt123m, turning around from a loss of Bt1.4b in 3Q34. IRPC’s 2024 core loss totalled Bt3.9b, compared with a loss of Bt2.8b in 2023. Both core and net profit were in line with our estimates. We believe IRPC’s share price has already priced in the bad news as it has consolidated by 13% ytd. IRPC is trading at a historical low of 0.30x 2025F P/B. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt1.25.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Property Disappointing 4Q24 results expected; outlook for 2025 remains uncertain. Results IRPC (IRPC TB/BUY/Bt1.03/Target: Bt1.25) 4Q24: Net profit still in the red, but share price reflects bad news. Update Amata Corporation (AMATA TB/BUY/Bt23.90/Target: Bt35.00) 4Q24 results preview: Expect skyrocketing earnings and record-high...
GREATER CHINA Sector Internet Growth potential and AI development trends following emergence of DeepSeek. Property Policy implementation and development remain the key focus and catalyst. INDONESIA Strategy Catching A Falling Knife Or Opportunity To Buy? We Say Buy Our picks are BBCA, BBTN, CMRY, ICBP, KLBF, CTRA, AMRT, PGEO, TL...
Following recent discussions with IRPC's management regarding the company’s 4Q24 results, we now expect IRPC to post a core loss of Bt350m and net loss of Bt994m in 4Q24. The core loss in 4Q24 would bring IRPC’s core loss to a record low of Bt4.0b for the 2024 earnings period. However, we believe its current share price already reflects the bad news. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt1.50.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Update IRPC (IRPC TB/BUY/Bt1.18/Target: Bt1.50) 4Q24 results preview: Expecting a net loss again. Land and Houses (LH TB/HOLD/Bt4.90/Target: Bt5.40) Challenging targets for 2025 amid headwinds. Star Petroleum Refining (SPRC TB/BUY/Bt5.65/Target: Bt9.00) 4Q24 results preview: Positive earnings guidance with cheap valuation. The Erawan Group (ERW TB/BUY/Bt3.28/Target: Bt4.60) 4Q24 results preview: Expect an outstanding quarter
GREATER CHINA Strategy China Property And China Property Management: Property market marginally cools down before CNY; 2024 earnings preview on COLI/CR Land/COPH. Update Shenzhou International Group Holdings (2313 HK/BUY/HK$57.65 /Target: HK$96.30): Faster-than-expected revenue growth in 2H24 with milder margin expansion. Sunny Optical (2382 HK/BUY/HK$69.85/Target: HK$85.00): Smartphone and automobile businesses to support growth in 2025. Maintain BUY. INDONESIA Update XL Axiata (EXCL IJ/BUY/Rp...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: December Conviction Calls Add Desay, Meituan, Mengniu, Tencent, and Trip.com to our BUY list. Take profit from CATL. Update CR Mixc Lifestyle (1209 HK/BUY/HK$29.20/Target: HK$32.15) Takeaways from reverse roadshow in Shenzhen. China Resources Land (1109 HK/BUY/HK$23.25/Target:HK$32.40) Takeaways from reverse roadshow in Shenzhen. Small/Mid Cap Highlights Regina Miracle (2199 HK/Not Rated/HK$2....
IRPC booked a huge net loss of Bt4.9b in 3Q24, in line with our and market expectations. Excluding a huge inventory loss of Bt5.0b, IRPC would have posted a core loss of Bt1.4b. 9M24 core loss totalled Bt3.2b. We expect IRPC’s core performance to have bottomed out in 3Q24 while share price has consolidated by 36% ytd, with current share price trading at a historical low of 0.36x 2024F P/B. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt1.70.
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