Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: December Conviction Calls Market consolidation slowed in November as expectations of a 25bp Fed cut buoyed sentiment. The HSI and MSCI China fell 0.2% and 2.4% mom respectively amid weak data and limited catalysts. While the upcoming Economic Work Conference may offer a catalyst to end this phase, we remain cautious, preferring defensives and oversold names. We add BeOne Medicines, HKEX, NetEase and Plover Bay to BUY, take profit on AIA, and cut losses on Ja...
Greater China Economics | Money Supply M1 growth fell to 6.2% yoy in October, short of expectations, while M2 growth eased to 8.2% yoy. New bank loans dropped sharply to Rmb0.22t, and new TSF fell to Rmb0.81t, both below forecasts. Outstanding TSF and bank loan growth moderated to 8.5% (-0.2ppt mom) and 6.5% yoy (-0.1ppt mom) respectively, with the decline led by household loans. The numbers are not encouraging. Sector Update | Automobile China’s PV retail sales basically remained flat yoy in O...
Top Stories Company Results | Bumitama Agri (BAL SP/HOLD/S$1.48/Target: S$1.40) BAL reported 9M25 earnings of Rp1.87b, which met expectations at 70% of both our and Street estimates. 3Q25’s weaker sequential results were attributed to an inventory spike amid delayed shipments in Sep 25, with the related sales to subsequently be recognised in 4Q25. 9M25 production output remains on track to meet management’s FFB growth guidance of up to 5% for 2025, with peak crop cycle expected to be in 4Q25 for...
3Q25 earnings of S$56m (-8% yoy/-3% qoq) were in line with our expectations. 3Q25 revenue fell 9% yoy due to lower demand in the lifestyle consumer technology domain. VMS remains confident in its ability to turn volatility into opportunities and deliver long-term value to all stakeholders. Maintain BUY with a 22% higher target price of S$17.43.
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: November Conviction Calls HSI and MSCI China fell 3.5%/4.0% mom in October, dragged by renewed US-China trade tensions and lack of fresh policy signals from the 4th Plenum. We remain constructive in the medium term but expect further consolidation as uncertainties persist. The best performer among our picks was SELL-rated Li Auto (+21.4% mom). For November, we rotate into oversold names with near-term upside: add AIA, LINK REIT, NAURA, Pinduoduo, PICC P&C an...
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: October Conviction Calls The HSI and MSCI China gained 7.1%/8.2% mom in September on Fed easing and optimism over advancements in semiconductors and AI. We remain positive in the medium term but expect near-term consolidation after the recent strong gains. The best performer of the month was Alibaba (+53.0% mom). With some rotations expected in non-tech stocks, our October calls are: add Galaxy, Jacobson, Ping An, Trip.com and WuXi Bio to BUY; SELL Meituan. ...
Top Stories Strategy | Yield-ing to temptation: Yields over bonds With bond yields trending lower, dividend equities yielding 4% to 6% look compelling relative to the 10-year Singapore Government Bond, with sustainable payouts supported by strong cashflow, low gearing, and resilient balance sheets. Our top 10 non-bank, non-REIT picks include BRC, BAL, CSSC, CIVMEC, CD, DFI, GENS, VALUE, VMS, and WKS. We maintain our end-2025 STI target at 4,602, implying around 8% upside, underpinned by undem...
Greater China Initiation Coverage | Metasurface Technologies Holdings (8637 HK/BUY/HK1.48/Target: HK2.90) Metasurface is set to benefit from robust investment in the semi supply chain. As chip fabrication grows in complexity, more time is required to fabricate wafers and more wafer fabrication equipment is needed. Aerospace engineering is set to drive long-term growth as airline capacity continues to face shortages, forcing airlines to rely on their existing fleets and bo...
Attractive yield differentials. With Singapore government bond yields trending lower, the yield differential between fixed income and equities has narrowed in 2025, thus reinforcing the relative appeal of companies offering high, sustainable dividend payouts. Equity yields in the 4-6% range now offer a compelling pickup versus the 10-year Singapore Government Bond yield (1.8579% as at 4 Sep 25), while also providing potential for capital gains. In our view, this widening yield gap should support...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: September Conviction Calls: Add Anta, BYDE and CSCEC to our BUY list, Li Auto and OOIL to our SELL list. Take profit on Innovent, JD Logistics, Lenovo, Sino Biopharm, Tencent and TME. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Underperformance In August: Our new Alpha Picks are ASSA, ARCI, BBCA, BBNI, BRMS, MTEL, HRUM and NCKL. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Wake Me Up When September Ends: Our Aug 25 Alpha Picks underperformed marginally. Sep 25 picks: Alpha IVF, Hume ...
Singapore’s 1H25 results season was resilient, with 75% of companies meeting or beating expectations despite tariff uncertainty and strength of the Singapore dollar. Banks delivered stable earnings and attractive yields, underpinning the STI. Consumer names like DFI and SSG stood out, while REITs showed positive rental reversions. Capital recycling drove upgrades for CIT and VMS. We raise our end-25 STI target to 4,602, reflecting 8% upside and attractive valuations versus history and peers.
GREATER CHINA Results CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (1093 HK/BUY/HK$10.51/Target: HK$12.00) 1H25: Results miss; expects hoh sales recovery and two more BD deals in 2H25. Ganfeng Lithium (1772 HK/BUY/HK$30.80/Target: HK$40.00) 2Q25: Net loss in line; 3Q25 turnaround on the back of lithium carbonate price recovery. Maintain BUY, target price: HK$40.00. Li Ning (2331 HK/HOLD/HK$19.70/Target: HK$18.90) 1H25: Results beat but challenges remain in 2H25; fa...
Strategy Results Roundup 1H25 results roundup: A resilient earnings season with banks carrying the load, REITs upping rents. Raising STI target to 4,602. Sector REITs Jackson Symposium provides turnaround momentum. TRADERS' CORNER Singapore Telecommunications (ST SP): Trading BUY First Resourc...
GREATER CHINA Results BeOne Medicines (6160 HK/BUY/HK$182.70/Target: HK$240.00): 2Q25: Results beat; expects revenue and margins to expand further. Cathay Pacific Airways (293 HK/SELL/HK$10.85/Target: HK$10.23): 1H25: Results broadly in line. Cargo facing higher uncertainties in 2H25. Downgraded to SELL. Update AIA Group (1299 HK/BUY/HK$73.55/Target: HK$91.00): 1H25 results preview: Solid VONB and earnings growth. Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK/BUY/HK$54.00/Target: HK$69.20): 2Q25 results preview: Expect ...
VMS’ 2Q25 earnings of S$57m (-11% yoy/+2% qoq) are in line with our expectations, 1H25 earnings formed 50% of our full-year estimate. Revenue for 1H25 fell 8% yoy due to lower demand in the lifestyle consumer technology domain, where VMS improved the reliability for a customer’s key products. VMS remains confident in its ability to turn volatility into opportunities and deliver long-term value to all stakeholders. Upgrade to BUY with a 13% higher target price of S$14.35.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results CapitaLand Ascendas REIT (CLAR SP/BUY/S$2.71/Target: S$4.02) 1H25: Contributions from new acquisitions to flow through in 2H25. Venture Corporation (VMS SP/BUY/S$12.72/Target: S$14.35) 2Q25: Earnings in line with expectations; confident in delivering long-term value. Upgrade to BUY. Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (Holdings) (YZJSGD SP/BUY/S$2.63/Target: S$3.45) 1H25: A margin machine – delivering profits despite headwinds. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of S$3.45. TRAD...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: August Conviction Calls: Add JBM Healthcare and Lenovo to our BUY list. Take profit on CATL, Han’s Laser, KE Holdings and Longfor. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Underperformance In July: Our new Alpha Picks are ASSA, AKRA, ARCI, BBNI, KLBF, MTEL, and MYOR. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Some Opportunities Amid A “Summer Lull”: Our July 25 Alpha Picks outperformed. Aug 25 picks: Coraza, Eco World, Gamuda, Hume Cement, IJM, Inari, RHB and Zetrix. SINGAPORE ...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Tech Manufacturers Picking three tech winners of MAS’ EQDP; top BUYs: FRKN, UMS, VALUE. Update Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust (FLT SP/BUY/S$0.87/Target: S$1.15) 3QFY25: Double-digit reversion from Australia; rapid backfilling in Singapore. Frencken Group (FRKN SP/BUY/S$1.67/Target: S$2.08) Positive indicators for the semiconductor segment; raise target price by 49%. TRADERS' CORNER Delfi (DELFI SP): Trading BUY ...
Tech manufacturing stocks with good earnings growth visibility and positive catalysts should continue to see valuation re-rating as the valuation gap of 35-40% vs Malaysian peers remains wide. Our top picks are Frencken (target price: S$2.08) and UMS (target price: S$1.73) given their positive outlook of sequential earnings growth from their semiconductor customers. We also like VALUE for its attractive valuation and renewed growth profile from new customers. Maintain OVERWEIGHT on the sector.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: July Conviction Calls: Add CATL, KE Holdings, Longfor, Midea Group, Tencent and TME to our BUY list. Take profit on Prudential. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Good Performances In June: Our new Alpha Picks are ANTM, BBCA, ERAA, ICBP, MYOR, MIKA, AMRT and TLKM. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Positioning For Positive US Trade Deals: Our Jun 25 Alpha Picks outperform. Jul 25 picks: Coraza, Duopharma, Eco World, Gamuda, Hume Cement, IJM, Inari and MYEG. SINGAP...
Unfortunately, this report is not available for the investor type or country you selected.
Report is subscription only.
Thank you, your report is ready.
Thank you, your report is ready.