PZU continues to execute well on its 2025-2027 strategic targets, with improving non-life profitability and expanding life and health business segments. Positive trends should drive the EPS growth of 5.7% CAGR, just below the AT&CEE average. The stock offers the highest DY in our sector coverage (8%+) and a superior ROE within the AT&CEE peer group. Our valuation analysis indicates 19% upside from current levels and triggers an upgrade of our rating to Outperform.
Ellinikon remains a self-financed development… – Phase 1 of the Ellinikon is progressing, albeit with some delays pushing completion into 2027e-28e. The scope of Phase 1 spans c400K sqm of residential space, retail, sports, education and business facilities, as well as the refurbished marina. With €1.3bn cash proceeds by H1’25, well above the €744m capex to date, and several projects advancing through strategic partnerships, we continue to view the Ellinikon as self-funded. …with important mile...
Ellinikon remains a self-financed development… – Phase 1 of the Ellinikon is progressing, albeit with some delays pushing completion into 2027e-28e. The scope of Phase 1 spans c400K sqm of residential space, retail, sports, education and business facilities, as well as the refurbished marina. With €1.3bn cash proceeds by H1’25, well above the €744m capex to date, and several projects advancing through strategic partnerships, we continue to view the Ellinikon as self-funded. …with important mile...
HEADLINES: • Orlen: makes an offer to buy Grupa Azoty Polyolefins NEGATIVE • VIGO Photonics: 3Q25 sales up 48.5% yoy to PLN 23.3m POSITIVE • Poland macro: August balance of payments data underscores weak exports • Budimex: PLN 2.6bn bid from Budimex's consortium scored highest in the PKP PLK tender POSITIVE • PZU: the new CEO gives one of his first interviews, discussing the potential PZU–Pekao merger NEUTRAL • Sphera Group: Hard Rock Cafe joining the company’s brand portfolio POSITIVE • CEZ: AN...
HEADLINES: • Kazatomprom: soft metal still rocks (stays BUY) • Elbit Systems: strong execution at a rich valuation (stays HOLD) • MONETA Money Bank: management recommends CZK 4/share extra dividend due before the year-end POSITIVE • Mo-BRUK: conditions have been met for the acquisition of Eco Point PSA shares POSITIVE • Inter Cars: September sales growth accelerates to 13% yoy POSITIVE • Rainbow Tours: winter season pre-sales 5.7% higher yoy NEUTRAL • GTC: repurchases EUR 195m of 2026 bonds • Er...
HEADLINES: • Tofas: shifting gear to growth (stays BUY) • Huuuge Games: preliminary 3Q25 revenue at USD 55.8m, down 5% yoy and 5% qoq NEUTRAL • Wizz Air: restarts flights to Abu Dhabi, tempers expectations on groundings NEGATIVE • 4iG: signs sale and purchase agreement regarding acquisition of N7 Holding subsidiaries NEUTRAL • Air Astana: CEO Peter Foster to retire at end-March 2026 • EME Strategy: FTSE reclassifies Greece as a Developed Market POSITIVE
HEADLINES: • Diagnostyka: risk of the gradual loss of key customer, Luxmed NEGATIVE • PZU / Bank Pekao: potential merger continuing • Ten Square Games: 3Q25 bookings up 4.5% qoq, better than Sensor Tower's estimates POSITIVE • Polish telecoms: mobile number portability in 3Q25 NEUTRAL • GTC: prices EUR 455m bond with an 8% yield POSITIVE • Piraeus Financial Holdings: prices EUR 600m AT1 bond POSITIVE • Czech Republic macro: elections – forced cooperation should keep the economy strong • EME Macr...
EME Equity Market – September 2025 Romanian BET led in September, while Türkiye and Hungary lagged. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 0.7% mom in EUR terms and 1.1% in USD terms. The Romanian BET was the top performer, adding 3.6% in EUR terms; followed by the Czech PX (+3.2% mom) and the Polish WIG20 (+1.1% mom) (all in EUR terms); while there was a muted performance from the Greek ASE (+0.6% mom in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 and the Hungarian BUX were the worst performing indices in September(...
HEADLINES: • Zabka Group: 2026-28E rollout targets raised to 1.3k stores p.a.; dividend policy announced POSITIVE • PCF Group: 2Q25 losses deeper qoq on lower revenue and material write-offs • Rainbow Tours: consolidated August sales +17.6% yoy, driven by Paralela 45 acquisition; stand-alone sales +7.9% yoy POSITIVE • Polish utilities: electricity sales tariffs for 4Q25 set at PLN 573/MWh POSITIVE • Ten Square Games: September Sensor Tower bookings estimates flat mom, improvement in core games N...
A director at Lamda Development S.A. sold 8,000 shares at 7.793EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 55/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years cl...
HEADLINES: • Pepco: lfl recovery continued in 4Q25, with Poland falling behind W. Europe; another EUR 50m buyback announced POSITIVE • Jumbo: 1H25 earnings slightly lower than expected - adj. EBITDA +7% yoy to EUR 165m NEGATIVE • Theon International: wins another sizeable OCCAR contract POSITIVE • Czech Republic macro: CNB on hold • Eurowag: TA Associates completes GBP 56m ABB • PZU: new acting CEO appointed, pending PFSA approval NEUTRAL • Banca Transilvania: proposes an extraordinary DPS of RO...
HEADLINES: • Mo-BRUK: growth acceleration priced in already (downgraded to HOLD) • GTC: moves to amend terms of the two outstanding Forint bonds • OTE/DIGI Communications: Telekom Romania sold to DIGI and Vodafone for EUR 70m POSITIVE • EMEA Airlines: flights cancelled in Europe over weekend due to cyberattack on airport software • Wizz Air: strike on 26 September may disrupt operations in Italy NEGATIVE • Huuuge Games: earnings call takeaways NEUTRAL • Titan: Fidelity Investments cuts ownership...
HEADLINES: • Romanian Oil & Gas: still beyond the horizon (OMV Petrom downgraded to HOLD, Romgaz stays HOLD) • EME Macro/Strategy: Türkiye – twin deficits ameliorate, challenges persist • Huuuge Games: 2Q25 in line with expectations, USD 120m share buyback announced POSITIVE • Noval Property: 1H25 – FFO seems en route to exceed FY guidance POSITIVE • Auto Partner: 2Q25 earnings call takeaways – to test new small warehouse in Germany NEUTRAL • Bank Handlowy: to pay extra dividend in October POSIT...
The malls and marinas results are in line with our estimates. The Ellinikon capex accelerated to EUR 100m in 2Q25 – good, but an even faster rate of deployment is still needed. A material revaluation gain was booked in 2Q25, driven by yield compression at the existing malls. Bottom line: nothing in the 2Q25 results comes close in importance to the huge land sale that Lamda agreed recently.
HEADLINES: • Allegro: 1Q25 results spot on our expectations; lower bound of FY25E guidance increased POSITIVE • Colt CZ Group: 2Q25 results – slightly below the consensus; no changes in FY25E guidance • Mavi: 2Q25 results miss expectations; 2025E guidance lowered NEGATIVE • Echo Investment: 2Q25 – sales could unlock net cash equivalent to one-third of market cap • Auto Partner: 2Q25 EBITDA broadly in line with our and the market's expectations NEUTRAL • Lamda Development: 2Q25 – yield compressio...
HEADLINES: • Noval Property: 1H25 – FFO en route to exceed our FY estimate POSITIVE • Aegean Airlines: 2Q25 in line; cash flow contracting; guidance encouraging NEUTRAL • Tauron: 2Q25 results fully in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: special dividend proposal POSITIVE • Shoper: acquires remaining 40% stake in Sempire for PLN 15m, as expected NEUTRAL • Solutions by STC: signs framework agreement with Saudi Aramco POSITIVE
HEADLINES: • Inter Cars: 2Q25 EBITDA misses our and the market's expectations by 4-5% NEGATIVE • Eurozone macro: so far, so good • Colt CZ Group SE: multiple military contracts POSITIVE • CEZ: Babis will not buy CEZ "at any price" NEUTRAL • Polish utilities: PGE, Enea and Tauron contract 5.9 GW of new capacity obligations for 2026 NEUTRAL • Romania macro: inflation soars in August • Türkiye macro: interest rates drop, but monetary stance remains tight • LPP: 2Q25E results preview – 13% yoy EBITD...
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