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ABGSC Renewable Energy Research ... (+7)
  • ABGSC Renewable Energy Research
  • Adrian Gilani
  • Åsne Holsen
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Stian Wibstad
ABGSC Renewable Energy Research ... (+7)
  • ABGSC Renewable Energy Research
  • Adrian Gilani
  • Åsne Holsen
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Stian Wibstad

Renewable Weekly – 1 November 2024

This week, we summarise this week's most important newsflow on the companies under our coverage.

ABGSC Renewable Energy Research ... (+7)
  • ABGSC Renewable Energy Research
  • Adrian Gilani
  • Åsne Holsen
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Stian Wibstad

Renewable Weekly – 25 October 2024

This week, we summarise this week's most important newsflow on the companies under our coverage.

ABGSC Energy Research ... (+6)
  • ABGSC Energy Research
  • Åsne Holsen
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Stian Wibstad
ABGSC Energy Research ... (+6)
  • ABGSC Energy Research
  • Åsne Holsen
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Stian Wibstad
ABGSC Energy Research ... (+6)
  • ABGSC Energy Research
  • Åsne Holsen
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Stian Wibstad
ABGSC Renewable Energy Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Renewable Energy Research
  • Haakon Amundsen
ABGSC Renewable Energy Research ... (+7)
  • ABGSC Renewable Energy Research
  • Adrian Gilani
  • Åsne Holsen
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Stian Wibstad

Renewable Weekly – 17 October 2024

This week, we summarise our Q3 previews for the sector.

Martin Huseby Karlsen
  • Martin Huseby Karlsen

Nel (Sell, TP: NOK2.50) - Continues to underperform

Reported Q3 EBITDA of NOK-90m was far below consensus (NOK-61m) and our estimate (NOK-69m). The backlog keeps declining, and cash burn continues to exceed our expectations. Still, management remains hopeful, guiding for significantly improved EBITDA in Q4 and sees signs of a market recovery. Nel plans to increase focus on costs and expects 50% lower capex YOY. We had expected even lower 2025 capex, as capacity expansion projects in Norway and the US are completed, and we have thus increased our ...

Mahaut Arnaud ... (+3)
  • Mahaut Arnaud
  • Paul de Froment
  • Thomas Mordelle

Nel: Nothing new in Q3

This morning, Nel has reported Q3 2024 revenue at NOK366m (+10% QoQ, +21% YoY), 11.5% below cons. at NOK408m. Another sequential improvement is expected in Q4 (YTD at NOK974m, vs FY24 cons. at NOK1,513m). The quarter followed a pace fairly similar pace to Q2 2024, however with a positive mix effect

ABGSC Energy Research ... (+6)
  • ABGSC Energy Research
  • Åsne Holsen
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Stian Wibstad
ABGSC Renewable Energy Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Renewable Energy Research
  • Haakon Amundsen
Martin Huseby Karlsen
  • Martin Huseby Karlsen

Nel (Sell, TP: NOK3.00) - Headwinds remain strong

While management has remained optimistic, orders have been few and far between, and most recently a large capacity reservation agreement was cancelled. We see growing impairment risk, as payments from one of its largest clients still appear to be missing (c30% booked 2023 revenues). Focus ahead will be to minimise cost burn, while still searching for new orders to support utilisation of its recent capacity additions. We reiterate our SELL, with a reduced target price of NOK3 (3.5).

ABGSC Renewable Energy Research ... (+7)
  • ABGSC Renewable Energy Research
  • Adrian Gilani
  • Åsne Holsen
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Stian Wibstad

Renewable Weekly – 8 Oct 2024

This week, we highlight the Norwegian Water Resources and Energy Directorate updated LCOE estimates.

Mahaut Arnaud ... (+3)
  • Mahaut Arnaud
  • Paul de Froment
  • Thomas Mordelle

Nel: CRA cancellation from Hy Stor Energy

Yesterday, Nel announced the cancellation of its multi-year capacity reservation agreement (CRA) with Hy Stor Energy. Signed in April 2024, this agreement represented more than 1GW of alkaline electrolyser capacity combined over 2025/2027. The project was not accounted for in Nel's backlog as it wa

ABGSC Renewable Energy Research ... (+7)
  • ABGSC Renewable Energy Research
  • Adrian Gilani
  • Åsne Holsen
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Stian Wibstad
ABGSC Renewable Energy Research ... (+7)
  • ABGSC Renewable Energy Research
  • Adrian Gilani
  • Åsne Holsen
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Stian Wibstad

Renewable Weekly – 13 Sept 2024

On aggregate, the R&C stocks underperformed (equal weight) the MSCI Nordic by ~1% throughout the reporting season (10 July to today).

ABGSC Renewable Energy Research ... (+6)
  • ABGSC Renewable Energy Research
  • Adrian Gilani
  • Åsne Holsen
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen

Renewable Weekly – 4 Sep 2024

A soft week for renewables: of our basket of 38 stocks, returns were positive for 10 and negative for 28 on the week.

ABGSC Renewable Energy Research ... (+6)
  • ABGSC Renewable Energy Research
  • Adrian Gilani
  • Åsne Holsen
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen

Renewable Weekly – 30 August 2024

A soft week for renewables: of our basket of 38 stocks, returns were positive for 21 and negative for 17 on the week.

ABGSC Renewable Energy Research ... (+8)
  • ABGSC Renewable Energy Research
  • Adrian Gilani
  • Åsne Holsen
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Olof Cederholm
  • Stian Wibstad
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