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Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: MTLN GA; ENA PW; CCC PW; TOASO TI; SAR GA; GEKTERNA GA; VG...

HEADLINES: • Metlen Energy & Metals: 1H25 EBITDA -6% yoy, hit by one-offs NEUTRAL • Enea: full 2Q25 results in line with preliminaries NEUTRAL • CCC: CEO finds back-to-school sales strong, maintains FY25E guidance, considering buyback POSITIVE • Tofas: details of new LCV model (K9) announced POSITIVE • Sarantis: 1H25E preview – 14% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due out today, after the close) NEUTRAL • GEK Terna: 1H25E results preview (due out tomorrow) • VIGO Photonics: 2Q25E results preview – 76...

Jakub Krawczyk
  • Jakub Krawczyk

CCC : Multifaceted business positioned for dynamic growth

We like the combination of CCC’s established and highly profitable business, with the dynamic growth potential of its newer banners, as well as a leaner and more profit-oriented approach to e-commerce. The increase in floor space should drive the top line (2025-2027e CAGR of 16%), while the EBITDA margin should continue to 18-19% in 2026-27e. We remain 6% below consensus for FY 2025e EBITDA but think that the recent underperformance of the share offers an attractive entry point to one of Europe’...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: EAT PW; DIA PW; WPS LN; CEZ CP; GTC PW; BELA GA; ACP PW; E...

HEADLINES: • AmRest: 2Q25 below expectations, due to weak France NEGATIVE • Diagnostyka: 2Q25 results slightly above expectations, but down qoq NEUTRAL • Eurowag: 2Q25 results – beat on the top line, EBITDA a small miss NEUTRAL • CEZ: ANO’s campaign platform calling for 100% nationalisation NEUTRAL • GTC: 2Q25 – bond refinancing critical • Jumbo: sales growth momentum intact in August, +8% in 8M25; tightens grip on opex POSITIVE • Asseco Poland: key takeaways from the 2Q25 earnings call NEUTRAL ...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: GR Refiners; ACP PW; OPAP GA; TRESTATE GA; VRC PW; CBF PW;...

HEADLINES: • Greek Refiners: elevated margins, extended run (HELLENiQ Energy (HOLD) and Motor Oil Hellas (BUY) - transfer of coverage) • Asseco Poland: 2Q25 review – net profit up 33% yoy, 11% above the consensus; 2025 backlog up 9% yoy POSITIVE • OPAP: 2Q25 results – in line NEUTRAL • Trade Estates: 1H25 – FFO at EUR 10m, up 37% yoy POSITIVE • Vercom: key takeaways from the 2Q25 earnings call POSITIVE • cyber_Folks/Shoper: key takeaways from the 2Q25 earnings call NEUTRAL • Shoper: 2Q25 earning...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: INPST NA; GTC PW; AROBS RO; RO Macro; TL Macro; Greek Bank...

HEADLINES: • InPost: 2Q25 in line with expectations; FY25E EBITDA guidance broadly maintained; domestic market recovery in 3Q POSITIVE • GTC: 2Q25 – bond refinancing critical • AROBS Transilvania Software: 2Q25 – trending up, despite continuing headwind from automotive vertical • Romania macro: fiscal consolidation effort moves forward, but politics remain jittery • Türkiye macro: 2Q GDP momentum points to a stronger 2025E outlook • Greek banks: commit an additional donation of EUR 75m each to s...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Poland – worst performer in August

EME Equity Market – August 2025 Corrections in Poland and the broader MSCI EM Europe. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 2.3% mom in EUR terms and was flat (0.0%) in USD terms in August. The Hungarian BUX was the top performer, adding 2.2% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Romanian BET (+1.9% mom), the Czech PX (+1.7% mom) and the Greek ASE (+1.4% mom) (all in EUR terms); while there was a muted performance from the Turkish ISE 30 (+0.4% mom in EUR terms). The biggest loser was the Polish WIG ...

PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
KRU KRUK S.A.
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
ISCTR TURKIYE IS BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI CLASS C
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
DOC DO & CO AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
LOGO LOGO YAZILIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
RBW RAINBOW TOURS S.A.
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
GSPARK GRAPHISOFT PARK SE
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
DAT DATAWALK SA
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
RICHT RICHTER
19XX NEPI ROCKCASTLE PLC
M MED LIFE
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
NLBR NLB GROUP
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
KSPI KASPI KZ
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
CTPNV KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
GPP CTP NV
KLKIM GRUPA PRACUJ DA
GIG KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
2381 GAMING INNOVATION GROUP
7202 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
9526 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
ELPE JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
4071 HELLENIQ ENERGY
ACAG ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
7203 AUSTRIACARD HOLDINGS AG
OPTIMAr ELM CO
AQ OPTIMA BANK S.A.
THEON AQUILA PART PROD COM
AIRA THEON INTERNATIONAL PLC
GEV AIR ASTANA JSC
BOCHGR GEVORKYAN A.S.
ZAB BANK OF CYPRUS
ALPHA ZABKA GROUP
PE RO ALPHA BANK S.A.
PREMIER ENERGY
Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PE RO; PL Banks; DNP PW; BDX PW; KAP LI; MBR PW; CPS PW; T...

HEADLINES: • Premier Energy: focus on RES (HOLD - initiation of coverage) • Polish banks: FinMin may raise CIT rate for the banks, some offset may come from slight cut in the bank tax NEGATIVE • Dino: 1-5% EBITDA miss in 2Q25; FY25E lfl guidance cut to mid-single digits NEGATIVE • Budimex: final 2Q25 results fully confirm prelims NEUTRAL • Kazatomprom: 2Q25 results NEUTRAL • Mo-BRUK: earnings call takeaways – optimistic outlook for 2H25E POSITIVE • Cyfrowy Polsat: key takeaways from the 2Q25 ear...

Marta Jezewska-Wasilewska
  • Marta Jezewska-Wasilewska

WOOD Flash – Polish banks: FinMin may raise CIT rate for the banks, so...

We see this news as outright negative, which could halt the robust share price performance of the Polish banks, for some time at least. One aspect is the direct financial impact of the proposed tax regime change for the sector, and another is that such a change could reduce trust in the stability of the operating backdrop of banking (and other sectors, potentially) in Poland. This could result in international investors applying a higher market risk premium to the Polish market, going forward, i...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: GPW PW; KMGZ KZ; CPS PW; MBR PW; PKN PW; BGEO LN; GEV CP; ...

HEADLINES: • Warsaw Stock Exchange: bottom-line beat in 2Q25, due mostly to non-operating net revenues POSITIVE • KazMunayGas: 2Q25 results – EBITDA in line with our forecast NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat: 2Q25 results review – adjusted EBITDA down 2% yoy, in line with the consensus NEUTRAL • Mo-BRUK: 2Q25 EBITDA up 6% yoy, in line with our and the market's expectations NEUTRAL • Orlen: 2Q25 results – broadly in line NEUTRAL • Lion Finance Group: 2Q25 highlights – in line, but not strong enough to sh...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: CGEO LN; BIMAS TI; SOKM TI; KLKIM TI; AQ RO; SNG RO; RO Ma...

HEADLINES: • Georgia Capital: multi-sector story (BUY - transfer of coverage) • BIM: solid operating results overshadowed by bottom-line miss in 2Q25 NEUTRAL • Sok Marketler Ticaret: bottom line misses expectations in 2Q25 NEGATIVE • Kalekim: 2Q25 – strong set of results POSITIVE • Aquila Part Prod Com S.A.: 2Q25 – eyeing +6% EBITDA margin for 2H25E POSITIVE • Romgaz: 2Q25 results – better than our forecasts POSITIVE • Romania macro: GDP heading into a tough 2H • DIGI Communications: key takeawa...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: ACP PW; PKO PW; ESLT IT; MGROS TI; PGSUS TI; LOGO TI; IGN1...

HEADLINES: • Asseco Poland: unjustifiably expensive (downgraded to SELL) • PKO BP: very solid 2Q25; our ambitious forecasts seem achievable; market valuation appears to be pricing it in NEUTRAL • Elbit Systems: 2Q25 results – strong operating performance and a big contract win in Europe • Migros: 2Q25 results – bottom line misses expectations NEGATIVE • Pegasus Airlines: 2Q25 – weaker margins yoy, as expected • Logo Yazilim: 2Q25 results – in line; FY25E guidance reiterated NEUTRAL • Ignitis Gro...

Maria Mickiewicz ... (+3)
  • Maria Mickiewicz
  • Piotr Raciborski
  • CFA

Asseco Poland: unjustifiably expensive (downgraded to SELL)

We have downgraded Asseco Poland (ACP) to SELL (from Hold) and increased our price target (PT) to PLN 130.5 (from PLN 102.5), implying 32% downside potential. ACP’s stock price has rallied over 100% ytd, driven primarily by the sale of its treasury shares to Constellation Software, a strategic investor with an impressively strong M&A track record, which has drawn the attention of a new group of investors to Asseco Poland, we believe. However, we see very limited synergies (which, given no consol...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: BGEO LN; CCOLA TI; PEO PW; TXT PW; EME Macro/Strategy Week...

HEADLINES: • Lion Finance Group: lion takes a breather (downgraded to HOLD) • Coca-Cola Icecek: 2Q25 results – as expected NEUTRAL • Bank Pekao: changing remuneration conditions for c.2,700 employees NEUTRAL • Text: launches Text App service NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (4-10 August) • Murapol: 2Q25E preview – EBIT halved yoy, due to a low number of handovers (due on 24 September) • Rainbow Tours: 2Q25E preview – 19% net income drop expected, following margin normalisation (due...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: CDR PW; PZU PW; MOL HB; ELPE GA; NLBR SV; CCC PW; AKCNS TI...

HEADLINES: • CD Projekt: opening the next chapter (upgraded to BUY) • PZU: CEO Klesyk dismissed NEGATIVE • MOL: 2Q25 results hit by one-off charge NEUTRAL • HELLENiQ Energy: 2Q25 results NEUTRAL • NLB Group: material bottom-line beat in 2Q25, due mainly to provisions and impairments released POSITIVE • CCC: preliminary 2Q25 EBITDA beats expectations by 1-5%, on the top line POSITIVE • Akcansa: 2Q25 conference call takeaways NEUTRAL • Brisa: takeaways from the 2Q25 earnings call POSITIVE • Cimsa:...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: ALR PW; RICHT HB; ASELS TI; THYAO TI; ISCTR TI; CIMSA TI; ...

HEADLINES: • Alior Bank: solid 2Q25, with a beat vs. the market's expectations on stronger other income and lower LLPs POSITIVE • Richter: 2Q25 results broadly in line NEUTRAL • Aselsan: 2Q25 results – strong beat, driven by operating performance POSITIVE • Turkish Airlines: 2Q25 – EBIT above the consensus on better costs POSITIVE • Isbank: 2Q25 highlights – a mixed bag, but management sounds confident in sharp margin recovery in 2H25E • Cimsa: 2Q25 financial results review – strong revenue grow...

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