reports
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: GEV CP; APR PW; CCC PW; NRP NA; KTY PW
HEADLINES: • GEVORKYAN: 2Q24 EBITDA down 12% yoy on one-off costs NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: 2Q24 slightly ahead of expectations NEUTRAL • CCC: change of Modivo CEO NEUTRAL • NEPI Rockcastle: potential acquisition of Magnolia Park • Kety: 3Q24E preview – stable EBITDA (+4% yoy) expected (due on 19 September)
- Egor Fedorov
- Maureen Schuller
CEE bank bonds/Outperforming with a good case for more
The lower supply pressure and turning interest rate cycle have helped CEE bank bonds outperform this year, particularly in the unsecured segment. The relative value metrics of CEE bank bonds remain enticing though versus European comparables, from a bank fundamental and instrument rating angle. We expect to see a further outperformance of CEE names.
- Egor Fedorov
- Maureen Schuller
CEE bank bonds/Outperforming with a good case for more
The lower supply pressure and turning interest rate cycle have helped CEE bank bonds outperform this year, particularly in the unsecured segment. The relative value metrics of CEE bank bonds remain enticing though versus European comparables, from a bank fundamental and instrument rating angle. We expect to see a further outperformance of CEE names.
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: only Czech PX index in positive te...
EME Equity Market – August 2024 A red month for the EME indices, with only the Czech PX index in positive territory. The MSCI EM Europe index declined by 4.7% in EUR terms and 2.6% in USD terms in August. The Czech PX index was the only index to report a positive figure, adding 0.5% mom in EUR terms. The rest of the indices were in the red: the Turkish ISE30 index was down 11.5% mom in EUR terms, followed by Greece (-3.2% mom), Romania (-2.6% mom) and Hungary (-1.2% mom; all in EUR terms). The P...
EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
BOCH BANK OF COMMERCE HOLDINGS
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
LOGO LOGO YAZILIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
TKNSA TEKNOSA IC VE DIS TICARET AS
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
ETEL TELECOM EGYPT
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
PBK PATRIA BANK SA
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
RICHT RICHTER
19XX NEPI ROCKCASTLE PLC
M MED LIFE
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
NLBR NLB GROUP
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
KSPI KASPI KZ
PCF PCF GROUP SA
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
CTPNV CTP NV
ONE ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
GPP GRUPA PRACUJ DA
BCG BALTIC CLASSIFIEDS GROUP PLC
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
2381 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
9526 JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
ELPE HELLENIQ ENERGY
SHO SHOPER SA
4071 ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
7203 ELM CO
AQ AQUILA PART PROD COM
TRESTATES TRADE ESTATES REIC SA
AIRA AIR ASTANA JSC
NOVAL NOVAL PROPERTY
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: MGROS TI; NRP NA; TLV RO; TKNSA TI; AKCNS TI; TL Macro; NL...
HEADLINES: • Migros: solid operating results in 2Q24 POSITIVE • NEPI Rockcastle: 1H24 – robust NOI growth and strong tenant sales POSITIVE • Banca Transilvania: 2Q24 bottom-line beat on higher trading income and lower provisions booked POSITIVE • Teknosa: weak set of results in 2Q24 NEGATIVE • Akcansa: 2Q24 conference call takeaways • Türkiye macro: CBT reaffirms prolonged pause • NLB Group: threshold for Addiko acquisition not met, plan shelved NEGATIVE • Bank Pekao and Commerzbank: notify Nati...
- Research Team
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: WIZZ LN; PEO PW; CCC PW; LOGO TI; CEZ CP; CTPNV NA; MTELEK...
HEADLINES: • Trade Estates: Greek retail parks – a dividend growth story (HOLD - initiation of coverage) • Wizz Air: thrust issues (stays BUY) • Bank Pekao: posts bottom line slightly below expectations, NPL ratio down to below 5%, solid 19%+ ROE intact NEUTRAL • CCC: 12% EBITDA beat in 2Q24, on opex control POSITIVE • Logo Yazilim: 2Q24 results – strong margin recovery, FY24E guidance reiterated POSITIVE • CEZ: 2Q earnings beat, EBITDA guidance up 2-3%, but net guidance unchanged NEUTRAL • CTP:...
CEZ CEZ AS
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
LOGO LOGO YAZILIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
PCF PCF GROUP SA
CTPNV CTP NV
SHO SHOPER SA
TRESTATES TRADE ESTATES REIC SA
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: TLV RO; FROTO TI; ING PW; SHO PW; PPC GA; RICHT HB; 11B PW...
HEADLINES: • Banca Transilvania: still some gas in the tank (stays BUY) • Ford Otosan: weak set of results in 2Q24 NEGATIVE • ING Bank: posts neutral set of 2Q24 results NEUTRAL • Shoper: preliminary 2Q24 adjusted EBITDA up by a strong 32% yoy, as expected NEUTRAL • Public Power Corporation: 2Q24 beats, on lower receivables provisioning and tax rate NEUTRAL • Richter: takeaways from the 2Q24 earnings call NEUTRAL • 11 bit studios: PAP interview with the CEO – key takeaways NEUTRAL • MOL: 2Q24E r...
- Marta Jezewska-Wasilewska
- Miguel Dias
Banca Transilvania: still some gas in the tank (stays BUY)
We maintain our BUY rating on Banca Transilvania (TLV), with an increased price target (PT) of RON 31.89/share, implying 16.4% upside. We have rolled forward our model, updated our underlying business assumptions, and integrated the recent OTP Romania acquisition into our forecasts, and we believe that the market might not be fully pricing in TLV’s potential yet. The stock might not appear particularly cheap at this juncture, trading at 1.5x P/BV, on our 2024E figures, but it also does not scre...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: ALR PW; EBS AV; TOASO TI; ETE GA; NLBR SV; KAP LI; WIZZ LN...
HEADLINES: • Alior Bank: posts strong 2Q24 and upgrades medium-term COR outlook POSITIVE • Alior Bank: management board nominations POSITIVE • Erste Banks: books solid 2Q24; guides for 2024E DPS at an attractive level; awaiting opening conclusions from the new CEO POSITIVE • Tofas: highly weak set of results in 2Q24 NEGATIVE • National Bank of Greece: 2Q24 highlights – positive 2H24E, with guidance upgrade • NLB Group: solid print in 2Q24, beating estimates, due to release of provisions POSITIVE...
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
NLBR NLB GROUP
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
HUGE HUUUGE
7203 ELM CO
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Greek ASE – best performer in July
EME Equity Market – July 2024 Greece the biggest winner, while Poland the clear loser in July. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 1.1% in EUR terms and 0.3% in USD terms in July. The Greek ASE Index posted the best performance for the month, advancing by 5.3% mom in EUR terms. There was a broadly similar performance in Hungary, Czechia and Romania (+ 2.9%, 2.7% and 2.1% mom in EUR terms, respectively). The Turkish ISE30 Index declined by 1.6% mom in EUR terms, but the clear loser was the Polis...
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
KRU KRUK S.A.
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
CEZ CEZ AS
KRKG KRKA D.D.
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
ALK ALKALOID AD SKOPJE
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
2310 SAHARA INTERNATIONAL PETROCHEMICAL COMPANY
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
SNP PETROM S.A.
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
RICHT RICHTER
19XX NEPI ROCKCASTLE PLC
M MED LIFE
NLBR NLB GROUP
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
KSPI KASPI KZ
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
GPP GRUPA PRACUJ DA
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
AROBS AROBS TRANSILVANIA SOFTWARE SA
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
9526 JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
SHO SHOPER SA
BOROUGE BOROUGE
7203 ELM CO
NOVAL NOVAL PROPERTY
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: RBI AV; EXAE GA; SAB1L LH; AKBNK TI; BDX PW; SOLUTION AB; ...
HEADLINES: • Raiffeisen Bank International: posts solid 2Q24 POSITIVE • Athens Exchange Group: good results delivery in 2Q24 POSITIVE • Siauliu Bankas: high opex drags net profit down in 2Q24, but some positives NEUTRAL • Akbank: 2Q24 highlights – interest rate risk plays out • Budimex: earnings call takeaways – 2024E outlook reiterated NEUTRAL • Solutions by STC: 2Q24 conference call takeaways POSITIVE • Borouge/OMV: sign agreement, along with ADNOC and Borealis, with Wanhua Chemical Group for ...
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
OMV OMV AG
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
NLBR NLB GROUP
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
BOROUGE BOROUGE
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: SPL PW; OPL PW; HU Macro; TL Macro; MGROS TI
HEADLINES: • Santander Bank Polska: posts solid 2Q24 results POSITIVE • Orange Polska: 2Q24 results – EBITDAaL up 4% yoy, 1% above the consensus; 2024E EBITDAaL guidance raised POSITIVE • Hungary macro: MNB cuts by 25bps, to 6.75% • Türkiye macro: CBT on firm hold • Migros: sells entire stake in Ramstore Kazakhstan LLC POSITIVE
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: CEZ CP; SIPCHEM AB; OMV AV; PEO PW; OTP HB; TEN PW; HUG PW
HEADLINES: • CEZ: State selects Korea’s KHNP for new nuclear NEUTRAL • Sipchem: 2Q24E results preview (due on 25 July) NEUTRAL • OMV: 2Q24E results preview (due on 31 July) NEUTRAL • Bank Pekao: 2Q24E preview (due on 8 August) • OTP Bank: 2Q24E preview (due on 9 August) • Ten Square Games: 2Q24E adjusted EBITDA down 14% qoq, but up 8% yoy (due on 26 August) • Huuuge Games: 2Q24E adjusted EBITDA down 12% qoq, on lower bookings (due on 5 September) • Short News (PPC)
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: PL IT; EME Macro/Strategy – HU; PEO PW; BOROUGE UH; KOMB C...
HEADLINES: • Polish IT: CVC and Filipiak family plan to announce tender for 34.81% stake in Comarch, at PLN 315.4/share POSITIVE • EME Macro/Strategy: Hungary – budget correction phase not over • Bank Pekao: lowers guidance on cost of credit holidays extension NEUTRAL • Borouge: 2Q24E results preview (due on 31 July) NEUTRAL • Komercni Banka: 2Q24E preview (due on 1 August) • Erste Bank: 2Q24E preview (due on 2 August) • CD Projekt: 2Q24E EBITDA up 57% yoy, but down 25% qoq (due on 28 August) • ...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: SHO PW; PZU PW; NLBR SV; ADNOCDRI UH; MIL PW; BFT PW
HEADLINES: • Shoper: shifting into a higher gear (upgraded to BUY) • PZU: AGM due to be reconvened on 18 July NEGATIVE • NLB Group: Addiko takeover offer increased to EUR 22.0/share NEUTRAL • ADNOC Drilling: Enersol JV to make new acquisition NEUTRAL • Bank Millennium: 2Q24E preview (due on 26 July, after the close) • Benefit Systems: 2Q24E adjusted EBITDA up 23% yoy, headlines affected by PLN 45m ESOP cost (due on 21 August)
- Research Team
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: Georgia macro; KRU PW; WIZZ LN; THYAO TI; PGSUS TI; PEO PW...
HEADLINES: Georgia macro: EU halts accession negotiations Kruk: 2Q24 trading update points to continuation of strong recoveries trends and high investments POSITIVE Wizz Air: Hungary may cancel special tax on airlines, but may introduce fines for delayed and cancelled flights NEUTRAL Turkish Airlines: flies 38% more ASK in 2Q24 vs. 2Q19 NEUTRAL Pegasus Airlines: 2Q24 ASK 53% above 2Q19 levels, international ASK 77% higher NEUTRAL Bank Pekao: finally has a new CEO POSITIVE Mo-BRUK: interview with...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: OTP HB; OMV AV; NLBR SV; EME Macro/Strategy Weekly; SPL PW...
HEADLINES: • OTP Bank: Hungarian government working on extra industry charges to aid budget deficit NEGATIVE • OMV: 2Q24 trading statement NEUTRAL • NLB Group: Alta Pay withdraws request to acquire qualifying holding in Addiko Bank POSITIVE • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (1-7 July) • Santander Bank Polska: 2Q24E preview (due on 24 July) • Alior Bank: 2Q24E preview (due on 2 August) • ING BSK: 2Q24E preview (due on 7 August)
- Jakub Caithaml
WOOD Flash – NEPI Rockcastle: sells Promenada Novi Sad in Serbia for E...
NEPI Rockcastle (NRP) is selling Promenada Novi Sad, the last building it owns in Serbia. The price for the shopping centre, which NEPI Rockcastle built in 2017-18 for EUR 121m, has been set at EUR 177m. On our estimates, the property will have generated a total IRR of around 13% since 2017, when NEPI Rockcastle started construction. Up until 2023, the shopping centre’s book value was ranging between EUR 120-130m. At the end of 2023, when NRP moved it to “held for sale”, it was revalued at EUR 1...
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