HEADLINES: • Wizz Air: knocked out, beat down, black and blue (stays BUY) • Graphisoft Park: 4Q24 results, and another strong year • MOL: 4Q24 results below expectations, posts a net loss NEGATIVE • NLB Group: bottom-line miss in 4Q24, but equity story remains intact NEUTRAL • Metlen Energy & Metals: 2024 EBITDA +7%, to EUR 1.1bn, as expected NEUTRAL • Akcansa: proposed dividend almost in line with our estimate NEUTRAL • Piraeus Financial Holdings: 4Q24E preview (due on 24 February) NEUTRAL • Gr...
HEADLINES: • Air Astana Group: market cap largely covered by net cash (upgraded to BUY) • Gentoo Media: 4Q24 financial results review, and key conference call takeaways NEUTRAL • Bank of Cyprus: 4Q24 results and 2025E guidance highlights • Akcansa: key takeaways from the 4Q24 conference call • Kruk: 4Q24E cash EBITDA and net profit guidance NEUTRAL • Arabian Drilling: announces strategic alliance with Shelf Drilling POSITIVE • Allegro: 4Q24E results preview – flat yoy EBITDA expected (due on 14 ...
HEADLINES: • Ford Otosan: weak set of results in 4Q24 NEGATIVE • Tupras: 4Q24 results below expectations, but dividend proposal generous NEUTRAL • CCC: key takeaways from the 4Q24 conference; PLN 1.4bn capital increase around the corner • Auto Partner: preliminary 4Q24 EBIT 27% above our forecast on better margins POSITIVE • Footshop: 4Q24 broadly in line; 2025E management guidance implies promising year ahead POSITIVE • Pegasus Airlines: a strong start to 2025, with January ASK up 19% POSITIVE ...
Yesterday (17 February), CCC hosted a conference for investors to briefly discuss its 4Q24 results, and present its long-term financial goals and the details of the buyout of the 23% minority stake in its e-commerce subsidiary, Modivo Group. While the company’s 2025E ambitions of PLN 12bn in consolidated sales and PLN 2.4bn in consolidated EBITDA are only 2% and 22% above our forecasts, respectively, the gap widens to a material 55-72% by 2030E. In our view, the key reasons for the increasing di...
HEADLINES: • Solutions by STC: strong 4Q24 results POSITIVE • Akcansa: 4Q24 financial results review NEGATIVE • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (10-16 February) • CCC: PLN 1.4bn settlement for minorities at Modivo; capital increase around the corner NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat: to use the proceeds from the Asseco stake sale to repay debt NEUTRAL • AmRest: 4Q24E preview – 7% EBITDA growth expected (due on 27 February) • Dino: 4Q24E preview – 10% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 27 February) •...
HEADLINES: • MOL: there’s gain in the mundane (stays BUY) • Tofas: very weak set of results in 4Q24 NEGATIVE • Orange Polska: 4Q24 – EBITDAaL up 7% yoy, 6% above the consensus; 2025E guidance in line with expectations POSITIVE • ADNOC Drilling: 4Q24 results beat expectations POSITIVE • TBC Bank: 4Q24 results and conference call • Isbank: 4Q24 results and 2025E guidance highlights NEUTRAL • Medicover: takeaways from the 4Q24 earnings call • 11 bit studios: delays release of The Alters NEGATIVE • ...
HEADLINES: • CCC: preliminary 4Q24 EBITDA beats our and the market's expectations by c.20% POSITIVE • ADNOC Distribution: 4Q24 results and dividend proposal NEUTRAL • Romania macro: update on the political and fiscal situation • Poland macro: PM Tusk signals shift of policy focus • Metlen Energy & Metals: Canadian Fairfax officially raises stake to 6.4%, as expected NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: January sales growth at 9% yoy NEUTRAL • Budimex: 4Q24E preview – strong gross margin, but headlines down, as...
HEADLINES: • Komercni Banka: surprises on the upside with 2024 delivery; guiding for 100% dividend payout ratio also for 2025E POSITIVE • ING BSK: solid 4Q24, but beat driven by low LLPs, while core revenues miss expectations; guiding for a solid DPS NEUTRAL • mBank: 2024 results; guiding for 2025E to be the last year with a material impact from the FX mortgage saga NEUTRAL • BRD-GSG: strong 4Q24 delivery beats expectations POSITIVE • Poland macro: NBP on hold • Bank Handlowy: makes another impa...
HEADLINES: • Raiffeisen Bank International: 2024 results; 2025E ROE (excluding Russia) guidance of c.10%; equity story still hostage to Russian exposure • OMV: 4Q24 results – CCS EBITDA beats expectations, dividend proposal of EUR 4.75/share POSITIVE • OMV Petrom: 4Q24 results; dividend proposal of RON 0.0444/share NEUTRAL • Borouge: 4Q24 results NEUTRAL • Asseco Poland: considering selling its treasury shares to strategic investor; part of the proceeds to be distributed as dividends POSITIVE • ...
EME Equity Market – January 2025 The markets entered 2025 on the right foot. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 7.7% in EUR terms and 8.4% in USD terms in January. The Polish WIG20 was the best performer (+12.7% mom), followed by the Hungarian BUX and Czech PX indices (+8.9% mom and +6.2% mom, in EUR terms, respectively). There was also a very solid performance from the Greek ASE Index (+5.4% mom in EUR terms), but more muted performances from the Romanian BET and Turkish ISE 30 indices (+1.6%...
HEADLINES: • Arcelik: 4Q24 results – a mixed bag NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (27 January-2 February) • Yapi Kredi: 4Q24 results and 2025E guidance highlights NEUTRAL • Polish TMT: Cyfrowy Polsat sells 10% stake in Asseco Poland for PLN 85/share POSITIVE • PZU: acting CEO Klesyk holds first capital markets conference • Richter: AbbVie’s 2025 Vraylar guidance USD 3.5bn, 8% below the consensus NEGATIVE • OMV: may acquire Nova Chemicals, with ADNOC (Borouge) POSITIVE • Piraeus Fin...
HEADLINES: • Šiaulių Bankas: wait and breathe (HOLD - transfer of coverage) • Global oil and gas: uh-oh, Canada – the oil markets and potential Canadian tariffs POSITIVE • Hungary macro: MNB intensifies hawkish tone • CCC: small acquisition in premium sneakers segment NEUTRAL • Allegro: changes of commission table for merchants POSITIVE • Pepco Group: another set of management changes NEUTRAL • Titan Cement: preliminary FY24 results NEUTRAL • Alpha Services and Holdings: acquires factoring finte...
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