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Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 02/19/2026

Constellium: very strong Q4 2025 results with the momentum continuing into H1 2026|Eramet publishes weak results for 2025 but takes radical measures to rapidly improve its financial structure, notably with a plan to strengthen its equity capital by € 500m|AF-KLM: Unit costs under control enabling good profitability levels|

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 19/02/2026

Constellium: very strong Q4 2025 results with the momentum continuing into H1 2026|Eramet publie de faibles résultats 2025 mais prend des mesures radicales pour améliorer rapidement la structure financière, notamment avec un projet de renforcement des fonds propres de 500 m EUR|AF-KLM: Unit costs under control enabling good profitability levels|

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PEO PW; PKN PW; KRU PW; OPL PW; MBR PW; CDR PW; GEKTERNA G...

HEADLINES: • Bank Pekao: strong 4Q25 delivery bodes well for 2026E outlook POSITIVE • Orlen: 4Q25 results – strong underlying EBITDA POSITIVE • Kruk: buys material portfolio in Italy – very strong start to 2026E in terms of investments scale POSITIVE • Orange Polska: key takeaways from the 4Q25 earnings call NEUTRAL • Mo-BRUK: signs PLN 7.5m contract NEUTRAL • CD Projekt: 4Q25E preview – EBITDA to decline by 48% qoq (due on 19 March) • GEK Terna: EUR 1.1bn planned Vrochonera HPS project secures ...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: OPL PW; CDR PW; RICHT HB; RO Macro; SNP RO; SNG RO; ELPE G...

HEADLINES: • Orange Polska: 4Q25 results – EBITDAaL up 7% yoy, 2% above the consensus; strong 2026E guidance POSITIVE • CD Projekt: The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt – Complete Edition available on Xbox Game Pass on 19 February NEUTRAL • Richter: announces R&D collaboration for endometriosis drug candidate NEUTRAL • Romania macro: NBR extends the pause • OMV Petrom / Romgaz: Romania to postpone gas price liberalisation until 2027E NEGATIVE • Romgaz: 4Q25 preview (due on 27 February) NEUTRAL • HELLENiQ En...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: LPP PW; PL Macro; BDX PW; EBS AV; SNG RO; RO Macro; HTO GA...

HEADLINES: • LPP: 4Q prelims in line with expectations NEUTRAL • Poland macro: NBP on hold • Budimex: bids rank highest in two PSE tenders NEUTRAL • Romgaz: 4Q25 operational results NEUTRAL • Romania macro: positive news • OTE: Greek telecoms regulator launches public consultations on 900MHz and 1,800MHz spectrum POSITIVE • Metlen Energy & Metals: sells 283MW UK solar portfolio to Schroders Greencoat POSITIVE • Aselsan: strategic JV agreement with CSG POSITIVE • Erste Bank: 4Q25E preview (due on...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PL Banks; CBF PW; VRC PW; SHO PW; TEN PW; MUR PW; MONET CP...

HEADLINES: • Polish banks: still opportunities, if the growth continues (PKO BP, Bank Pekao, Santander BP, mBank, ING BSK, Bank Millennium, Alior Bank, Bank Handlowy) • cyber_Folks: 4Q25E results preview – 18% yoy organic adjusted EBITDA growth (due on 18 March) • Shoper: 4Q25E results preview – 11% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth (due on 18 March) • Vercom: 4Q25E results preview – 23% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth (due on 18 March) • Ten Square Games: 4Q25E preview – adjusted EBITDA -7% qoq on higher U...

Marta Jezewska-Wasilewska ... (+2)
  • Marta Jezewska-Wasilewska
  • Miguel Dias

Polish Banks: still opportunities, if the growth continues (PKO BP, Ba...

We keep our positive bias on the Polish banks, although the upside is melting away, with the continuous positive share price performance. The upside left for our median 12M PTs lands at 17%+, just enough to keep our marginally positive stance on the sector. The WIG Banks index has returned c.45%+ in the LTM, mostly a function of a multiples expansion, as the 2025E median EPS change was almost zero in the LTM and the 2026E EPS saw a median cut of 10% in the LTM, driven mostly by the change in the...

Research Team
  • Research Team
MOL MOL NYRT
CEZ CEZ AS ... (+16)

WOOD Daily: ARCLK TI; XTB PW; CCC PW; OPL PW; HUG PW; TEN PW; RBW PW; ...

HEADLINES: • Arcelik (BUY, PT TRY 207.5): 4Q25 results – in line operationally NEUTRAL • XTB S.A.: 4Q25 net profit materially ahead of expectations • CCC: acquisition of controlling stake in MKRI NEUTRAL • Orange Polska: fined PLN 34m by Poland's antitrust regulator NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: January 2026 Sensor Tower bookings estimate down 1% mom NEUTRAL • Ten Square Games: January 2026 Sensor Tower bookings estimate flat mom NEUTRAL • Rainbow Tours: 4Q25E preview – EBITDA marginally above zero in...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: all indices in the green in Januar...

EME Equity Market – January 2026 All regions in the green in January, with the Turkish ISE the best performer. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 11.1% mom in EUR terms and 13.2% mom in USD terms in January. The Turkish ISE was the top performer (+20.8% mom), followed by the Hungarian BUX (+17.5% mom); the Romanian BET (+11.1% mom); the Greek ASE (+9.2% mom); the Polish WIG 20 (+5.9% mom); and the Czech PX (+2.4% mom; all in EUR terms).

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: KZ Macro; PL Macro; EWG LN; TITC GA; ASELS TI; KRKG SV

HEADLINES: • Kazakhstan macro: untangling oil and policy tightening risks • Poland macro: retail sales rebound in December 2025 • Eurowag: 2025 trading update and FY26E guidance POSITIVE • Titan: to issue EUR 350m five-year senior unsecured notes NEUTRAL • Aselsan: new export wins in APAC and from NATO POSITIVE • Krka: preliminary 4Q25E results (due on 29 January)

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: OPAP GA; BFT PW; OPL PW; PEO PW; BHW PW; MONET CP; KOMB CP

HEADLINES: • OPAP: waiving of the 5% exit threshold paves the way for the Allwyn merger NEUTRAL • Benefit Systems: changes in the Supervisory Board NEUTRAL • Orange Polska: 4Q25E – 4% yoy EBITDAaL growth expected (due on 18 February) • Bank Pekao: 4Q25E preview (due on 19 February) • Bank Handlowy: 4Q25E preview (due on 17 March) • MONETA Money Bank: 4Q25E preview (due on 3 February) • Komercni Banka: 4Q25E preview (due on 6 February)

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: CEZ CP; PEO PW; JMT PL; RO Macro; EME Macro/Strategy Weekl...

HEADLINES: • CEZ: work on nationalising CEZ could start in the coming months NEUTRAL • Bank Pekao: to see c.PLN 110m of negative one-offs in 4Q25 NEUTRAL • Jeronimo Martins: 4Q25E results preview – 10% yoy EBITDA expansion expected (due on 19 March) NEUTRAL • Romania macro: SAFE loan approved • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (9-15 January)

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PL Macro; MUR PW; PCO PW; XTB PW; PZU PW; CTPNV NA; WIZZ L...

HEADLINES: • Poland macro: rates unchanged, and some positive news • Murapol: sells 767 and hands over 1,286 units in 4Q25 NEGATIVE • Pepco Group: 1Q26 revenues growth eases to 4% yoy; FY26E guidance maintained NEGATIVE • XTB S.A.: over 250k new clients in 4Q25 in sight NEUTRAL • PZU/Bank Pekao: merger uncertain even by end-4Q27E, according to the Minister of State Assets NEUTRAL • CTP: prices EUR 500m 4Y bond at 3.4%; leases space in Amsterdam to Crisp POSITIVE • Wizz Air: may grow capacity by ...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Czech PX in the lead in December

EME Equity Market – December 2025 Czech PX the best performer in December; no market in the red. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.4% mom in EUR terms and 4.6% mom in USD terms in December. The Czech PX was the top performer, adding 7.6% mom; followed by the Romanian BET (+7.1% mom); the Polish WIG 20 (+6.4% mom); the Greek ASE (+1.8% mom), the Turkish ISE 30 (+0.4% mom) and the Hungarian BUX (+0.2% mom; all in EUR terms).

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