Moody's Ratings ("Moody's") has today affirmed Eregli Demir ve Celik Fabrikalari T.A.S.'s (Erdemir) long-term corporate family rating (CFR) of B3, probability of default rating (PDR) of B3-PD, and national scale long-term corporate family rating of A3.tr. We have also assigned a B3 instrument rating...
Moody's Ratings ("Moody's") has today affirmed Eregli Demir ve Celik Fabrikalari T.A.S.'s (Erdemir) long-term corporate family rating (CFR) of B3, probably of default rating (PDR) of B3-PD, and national scale long-term corporate family rating of A3.tr. We have also assigned a B3 instrument rating to...
Revising estimates, Maintain Hold: We have updated our estimates for Erdemir and increased our 12M TP by 2%, to TL53.6/share, mainly led by the update of our macro assumptions, implying a 27% upside potential (vs. 28% upside potential of our coverage). Thus, we reiterate our Hold rating for the shares (downgraded from Buy on January 2022, underperformed the BIST-100 by 64% since). Regarding near term outlook, we are constructive of improvement in Erdemir’s sales volume in FY24 (estimate of 13% y...
Due to a change in analyst responsibilities, we are discontinuing our coverage of Anadolu Efes, Aygaz, Enerjisa Enerji, Erdemir, Tekfen Holding and Vestel Beyaz with immediate effect. We caution against using the forecasts, ratings and price target guidance issued previously on these stocks.
We have revised down our 12M TP for Erdemir by 8%, to TL40.0/share, mainly due to slightly lower EBITDA/tonne assumptions, implying 10% downside potential. Thus, we reiterate our Hold rating. We believe the following factors should prohibit a sustained outperformance in the near term 1) the recent strength in the share performance, particularly following the earthquakes, with a 7% outperformance over the past month and 13% YTD, increasing the share price performance gap vs. peers, 2) Potentially...
HEADLINES: • PKN Orlen: there can be only one (stays BUY) • Richter Gedeon: near-term headwinds and juggernaut Vraylar (stays HOLD) • Turkey macro: inflationary factors ahead of the elections • HansaMatrix: 4Q22 revenues at top of guidance range POSITIVE • CCC: change of CFO NEGATIVE • PKO BP: CHF mortgage saga profit warning for 4Q22E • LiveChat Software: secures new patent in the US POSITIVE • Magyar Telekom: to implement annual inflation-based fee adjustment as of 1 March 2023 POSITIVE • ...
HEADLINES: • Raiffeisen Bank International: potential event-driven BUY (stays BUY) • Pepco Group: lfl jumps to 13% in 1Q23 on low base and inflation; optimistic FY23E EBITDA guidance POSITIVE • OMV Petrom: 4Q22 trading statement - Petrom not subject to solidarity tax for 2022 POSITIVE • OMV: 4Q22 trading results • Jumbo: FY22 sales growth at 14% yoy • Solutions by STC: signs SPA to acquire 100% of Contact Center Company NEUTRAL • Erdemir: to launch coke battery No.4 at the end of 2023E as rep...
EME Equity Market – November 2022 Market performance – Turkey does it again, breezing past everyone else, once more, in November. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced 11.6% mom in EUR terms and 16.7% mom in USD. The ISE30 index, again, boasted the best performance among our coverage, adding 18.6% mom in EUR terms and 23.9% mom in local currency (lcl) terms. Positive performances were also recorded in the WIG (+14.0% EU /13.0% lcl mom), the BUX (+12.6% EUR/12.0% lcl mom), the BET (+8.4% EUR/8.6% lcl...
HEADLINES: • ADNOC Distribution: pumped for growth (BUY - initiation of coverage) • Bank of Cyprus: strong ROTE uplift on the cards already (stays BUY) • OPAP: 3Q22 review - solid set of results, driven by strong online presence • Public Power Corporation: 3Q keeps company on track to meet FY22E guidance NEUTRAL • Fourlis: 3Q22 review - decent quarter and gross margin recovery • Huuuge Games: adjusted 3Q22 EBITDA in line with the preliminary figure, supportive FY guidance NEUTRAL • Warsaw St...
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