Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.40 per share: Another positive result at Mateguafa Attic – The M-6 vertical well has encountered 30 ft of net oil pay in the Carbonera C9 formation (previously named Guadalupe). This compares favourably with the results of the M-5 well that encountered ~ 26 feet of net oil pay in the same formation. This result provides a strong foundation for the first horizontal well at Mateguafa (M-HZ7), already spudded and expected to come onstream in Decemb...
Resource confirmation & scope: The UMREK-compliant disclosure confirms that Ermaden’s Alacahan project hosts a 14.9 Mt inferred resource grading 0.89 g/t Au, translating to 424 Koz contained gold. This is closely aligned with our May 2025 base-case assumption of a 15 Mt deposit grading 1.0 g/t Au (~480 Koz), a 12% delta in contained ounces. The grade is marginally lower but within the range expected for heap-leach–amenable oxide systems. Drilling coverage of 45 hectares—about 0.8% of the 5,804 h...
Moody's Ratings (Moody's) has today downgraded to A3.tr from A1.tr the national scale long-term corporate family rating (NSR) of Eregli Demir ve Celik Fabrikalari T.A.S. (Erdemir). The company's B2 global scale long-term corporate family rating, B2-PD probability of default rating, B2 senior unsecur...
Moody's Ratings (Moody's) has today downgraded to A3.tr from A1.tr the national scale long-term corporate family rating (NSR) of Eregli Demir ve Celik Fabrikalari T.A.S. (Erdemir). The company's B2 global scale long-term corporate family rating, B2-PD probability of default rating, B2 senior unsecur...
Conservative view on steel operations mainly due to weak FCF outlook, placing gold mining prospect into perspective, maintain Hold: We have updated our valuation (blended target 6.0x FY25E–FY26E EV/EBITDA (net debt adjusted)) and estimates for Erdemir, raising our 12M target price by 6% to TL30.1/share. This revision primarily reflects updated macro assumptions including FX and steel price forecasts. Our 12M TP implies a 26% upside potential yet remains below the 54% average upside across our no...
Moody's Ratings ("Moody's") has today affirmed Eregli Demir ve Celik Fabrikalari T.A.S.'s (Erdemir) long-term corporate family rating (CFR) of B3, probability of default rating (PDR) of B3-PD, and national scale long-term corporate family rating of A3.tr. We have also assigned a B3 instrument rating...
Moody's Ratings ("Moody's") has today affirmed Eregli Demir ve Celik Fabrikalari T.A.S.'s (Erdemir) long-term corporate family rating (CFR) of B3, probably of default rating (PDR) of B3-PD, and national scale long-term corporate family rating of A3.tr. We have also assigned a B3 instrument rating to...
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/AXL CN)C; target price of £0.65 per share: All eyes on the first horizontal well at Carrizales Norte – The 1Q24 production of 2,730 boe/d was close to our expectations. Arrow’s cash position of US$11.6 mm was also in line. The first water disposal well at RCE is being brought into production and the conversion of the CN-4 well is currently waiting regulatory approval. These two disposal wells are very importa...
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$1.00 per share: Important step to unlock Sicily – The Italian ministry has informed ADX that it will be granted the d 363C.R-.AX gas exploration permit in the Sicily Channel. In addition, the Regional Administrative Court of Rome has annulled the Plan for the Sustainable Energy Transition of Eligible Areas that prevented the oil redevelopment, appraisal and exploration activities on the licence. ...
Revising estimates, Maintain Hold: We have updated our estimates for Erdemir and increased our 12M TP by 2%, to TL53.6/share, mainly led by the update of our macro assumptions, implying a 27% upside potential (vs. 28% upside potential of our coverage). Thus, we reiterate our Hold rating for the shares (downgraded from Buy on January 2022, underperformed the BIST-100 by 64% since). Regarding near term outlook, we are constructive of improvement in Erdemir’s sales volume in FY24 (estimate of 13% y...
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