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Tijs Hollestelle
  • Tijs Hollestelle

BAM/Shareholder friendly/BUY

We raise our target price from €5.10 to €5.90 and keep our BUY rating on BAM. In December the Dutch Public Prosecutions Office closed its investigation into BAM Intl. and dismissed all suspicions to potential fraud and corruption. This eliminates a major risk factor and removes our €0.38 per share valuation adjustment. We continue to use BAM's historical mid-cycle PER of 8.5x on our new €0.72 FY25F EPS estimate as a proxy for our target price. We continue to apply a lump sum €46m valuation adjus...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ackermans & van Haaren: Acquisition of boutique wealth manager Petram & Co. Alfen: Takes care of costs and debt, guidance misses. Arcadis: Solid backlog growth provides comfort. BAM: A friend of ours, 10% yield. CM.com: 2H24 results – FCF positive, capital restructuring. dsm-firmenich: Cash in, cash back. Flow Traders: Roller Coaster. KBC: Encouraging outlook to 2027, poor dividend. RELX: FY24 results – in line, £1.5bn buyback in 2025. Talabat: A beat at its maiden 4Q24 results...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ArcelorMittal: 4Q24 EBITDA beats by 8%, strong year-end CF, dividend +10%. Ayvens: Still in neutral. BAM: Preview - non-res UK and possible share buyback. IBA: Signs first P1 system order in the South Asian region with AIG in Hyderabad, India. Kinepolis: Reasonable start to 2025 for US/Canada and France box office, attendance. Lotus Bakeries: Another strong year for Biscoff. Ontex: Post Christmas Turkey

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ahold Delhaize: Preview 4Q24. Dutch construction: Returns to modest growth in 2025. Signify: Buyback compensates for weaker results

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AEGON: US WFG model in the spotlight again. BAM: Sells 50% of Invesis and tax fraud investigation finalised. Belgian Telecoms: Mobile Vikings targeting heavy data users with upgraded mobile-only offers. Universal Music Group: Acquires music services group Downtown Music for c.€737m. Events Calendar

Koninklijke BAM Group N.V.: 1 director

A director at Koninklijke BAM Group N.V. sold 74,204 shares at 4.200EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 73/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two yea...

Martijn Den Drijver
  • Martijn Den Drijver

Royal BAM Group : Moving towards structural >5% adj. EBITDA margins

>Q3 2024 underlying EBITDA margin actually showing progress - Yesterday’s Q3 results were, in fact, encouraging at the adj. EBITDA margin level. We realize that we wrote in our First Take that the results were disappointing but during the analyst call BAM management explained the impact of the delays with the Danish schools and the issues in BAM Construct UK. And these were more material than we had assumed, c. €15m is our guestimate. As these effects are transitory, ...

Tijs Hollestelle
  • Tijs Hollestelle

BAM/Keeping its eyes on the ball/BUY

BAM achieved €203m EBITDA in the first nine months of 2024 and reiterated its FY24 outlook, expecting an adjusted EBITDA margin between 4% and 5% in 2024. The 3Q24 trading update removed our concerns about the operating losses reported in the first half of this year in the UK Construction & Property division. Market conditions are challenging but we do not expect additional large loss provisions to hamper the group EBITDA result. Equally important, the relatively large cash outflows caused by lo...

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