HEADLINES: • Pegasus Airlines: signs an agreement to acquire Czech Airlines for EUR 154m • Auto Partner: November sales growth decelerates to 2.6% yoy NEGATIVE • Budimex: PLN 1.1bn offer selected by PKP PLK POSITIVE • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (28 November-4 December) • Postcards from Prague • Dino • Enea • Warsaw Stock Exchange • CEZ • Banca Transilvania • BRD-GSG • Cimsa • Akcansa • Artea Bankas • Ignitis • NLB Group • Mavi: 3Q25E earnings preview (due out 10 December)
Most Turkish non-financial public debt issuers have published their 3Q/9M25 results (we expect Limak Group entities to report by end-December). Below, we have revised and updated our view on Turkish corporate bonds based on the published results and corporate commentary.
EME Equity Market – November 2025 Czech PX leads in November, Türkiye the only loser. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 1.5% mom in EUR terms and 2.1% mom in USD terms in November. The Czech PX was the top performer, adding 4.7% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Greek ASE and the Hungarian BUX (+4.4% and +3.7% mom, respectively, in EUR terms). The Romanian BET and Polish WIG 20 were also in the green (+1.3% and +1.0% mom in EUR terms). The only loser was the Turkish ISE 30 (-2.0% mom in EUR terms).
The macro backdrop entering 2026E remains broadly supportive for high-dividend strategies across Emerging Europe and the frontier markets, but the opportunity set has clearly narrowed. After a year of sharp repricing across the WOOD universe, the high dividend conditions of 2024-25 have largely disappeared, as a result of many sectors rerating materially. As a result, high-dividend exposure is no longer a broad regional trade: the most compelling opportunities are now concentrated. However, the ...
HEADLINES: • Colt CZ Group: 3Q25 results and earnings call takeaways NEUTRAL • Eurocash: 3Q25 – slightly above our low expectations, but below the consensus; strategy publication postponed to 9 December NEGATIVE • Mo-BRUK: 3Q25 conference call highlights POSITIVE • EME Strategy: FTSE GEIS November 2025 review results • Duna House: 3Q25 – strong summer, FY guidance upgraded POSITIVE • GEK Terna: 9M25 results in line; EBITDA jumps 66%, thanks to Attiki Odos • Athens Exchange Group: FTSE to reduce ...
HEADLINES: • ING BSK: eyes 19% ROE and is more open to higher dividend payouts in its strategy update POSITIVE • Warsaw Stock Exchange: strong 3Q25 delivery with a 7% beat to consensus POSITIVE • Murapol: 3Q25E close to our forecasts with weaker revenue, but stronger gross margin NEUTRAL • Orlen: swaps some Norwegian assets with DNO NEUTRAL • Athens Exchange Group: Euronext reportedly reaches the acquisition threshold NEUTRAL • Hidroelectrica: 3Q25 net profit of RON 0.73bn, 14% lower yoy; conse...
HEADLINES: • Aselsan: 3Q25 results – improved margins, strong NI beat and record backlog additions POSITIVE • Coca-Cola Icecek: 3Q25 results – recovery in operating performance begins POSITIVE • Logo Yazilim: 3Q25 results – in line, except for a small NI beat • Medicover: soft 3Q25 top line, but adjusted EBITDA beats on admin costs NEUTRAL • Enea: preliminary 3Q25 EBITDA 9% above our expectations, supported by strong Supply, Generation and Distribution NEUTRAL • Solutions by STC: 3Q25 conference...
HEADLINES: • Theon International: 3Q25 trading update – strong execution, guidance upgraded POSITIVE • Otokar: 3Q25 results – weak EBITDA, low quality bottom-line beat NEGATIVE • Tofas: 3Q25 results miss expectations NEGATIVE • Halyk Bank: controlling shareholder ALMEX announces intention to dispose of stake NEGATIVE • CIS+ macro: on the ground in Central Asia – reform stories enter the next phase • Brisa: guiding lower for FY25E revenues growth, but higher for EBITDA margin NEUTRAL • CEZ: natio...
HEADLINES: • Hidroelectrica: water should yield more (SELL - transfer of coverage) • MONETA Money Bank: posts solid 3Q25 results NEUTRAL • Orange Polska: 3Q25 results – EBITDAaL up 4% yoy, 2% above the consensus; 2025E guidance reiterated POSITIVE • Kety: full 3Q25 results fully in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Sarantis: 3Q trading update slightly below expectations; FY25E guidance maintained NEGATIVE • MOL: to become a holding company NEUTRAL • Warsaw Stock Exchange: CEO favours Poland ...
HEADLINES: • WAG Payment Solutions (Eurowag): progressing towards unification (stays BUY) • Hungary macro: MNB on hold; no surprises • Akcansa: 3Q25E financial results preview (date TBC) • Arcelik: 3Q25E earnings preview (due on 24 October) • Cimsa: 3Q25E financial results preview (due on 31 October) • Coca-Cola Icecek: 3Q25E earnings preview (due on 4 November) • InPost: 3Q25E preview – 18% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth expected (due on 7 November) NEUTRAL • Short News (PCF)
HEADLINES: • Kruk: solid 3Q25 trading update, but still at a standstill in Spain NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: 3Q25 trading statement POSITIVE • OMV: 3Q25 trading statement NEUTRAL • Bank Millennium: to book PLN 394m of FX mortgage saga provisions in 3Q25 NEUTRAL • Murapol: 734 apartments sold and 413 units handed over in 3Q25; 66% of our annual sales forecast met after 1-3Q25 NEGATIVE • Poland macro: NBP cuts again, on steady inflation • Romania macro: MPC on a prolonged pause • Theon International: si...
EME Equity Market – August 2025 Corrections in Poland and the broader MSCI EM Europe. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 2.3% mom in EUR terms and was flat (0.0%) in USD terms in August. The Hungarian BUX was the top performer, adding 2.2% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Romanian BET (+1.9% mom), the Czech PX (+1.7% mom) and the Greek ASE (+1.4% mom) (all in EUR terms); while there was a muted performance from the Turkish ISE 30 (+0.4% mom in EUR terms). The biggest loser was the Polish WIG ...
HEADLINES: • Warsaw Stock Exchange: bottom-line beat in 2Q25, due mostly to non-operating net revenues POSITIVE • KazMunayGas: 2Q25 results – EBITDA in line with our forecast NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat: 2Q25 results review – adjusted EBITDA down 2% yoy, in line with the consensus NEUTRAL • Mo-BRUK: 2Q25 EBITDA up 6% yoy, in line with our and the market's expectations NEUTRAL • Orlen: 2Q25 results – broadly in line NEUTRAL • Lion Finance Group: 2Q25 highlights – in line, but not strong enough to sh...
HEADLINES: • Lion Finance Group: lion takes a breather (downgraded to HOLD) • Coca-Cola Icecek: 2Q25 results – as expected NEUTRAL • Bank Pekao: changing remuneration conditions for c.2,700 employees NEUTRAL • Text: launches Text App service NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (4-10 August) • Murapol: 2Q25E preview – EBIT halved yoy, due to a low number of handovers (due on 24 September) • Rainbow Tours: 2Q25E preview – 19% net income drop expected, following margin normalisation (due...
HEADLINES: • Bank Pekao: strong 2Q25 delivery reaffirms our FY25E net profit forecast of c. PLN 7bn, still ahead of the market consensus NEUTRAL • Magyar Telekom: 2Q25 results review – EBITDA up 13% yoy, 3% above the consensus; 2025E guidance upgraded POSITIVE • Akcansa: weak 2Q25 financial results, with signs of recovery NEGATIVE • Teknosa: 2Q25 results – recovery in the operating performance overshadowed by losses on the bottom line NEUTRAL • Brisa: 2Q25 results in line, very much like 1Q25 NE...
HEADLINES: • Alior Bank: solid 2Q25, with a beat vs. the market's expectations on stronger other income and lower LLPs POSITIVE • Richter: 2Q25 results broadly in line NEUTRAL • Aselsan: 2Q25 results – strong beat, driven by operating performance POSITIVE • Turkish Airlines: 2Q25 – EBIT above the consensus on better costs POSITIVE • Isbank: 2Q25 highlights – a mixed bag, but management sounds confident in sharp margin recovery in 2H25E • Cimsa: 2Q25 financial results review – strong revenue grow...
HEADLINES: • Coca-Cola Icecek: recovery on the horizon (stays BUY) • OTP Bank: books solid 2Q25 NEUTRAL • Kaspi.kz: 2Q25 highlights – on track, with revised down guidance, could start buying back stock in 2026E • Elm: 2Q25 conference call takeaways – organic growth guidance upgraded POSITIVE • Theon International: to acquire KAPPA Optronics of Germany POSITIVE • Titan: to acquire 80% of leading concrete solutions provider in Southeastern Europe with Molins POSITIVE • Allegro: buyback price of PL...
We reiterate our BUY on Coca-Cola Icecek (CCI), with a new 12M price target (PT) of TRY 78. CCI’s operating performance has been under pressure since 3Q24, due to weak pricing terms and high base effects. After the weak 1Q25 results, due to the domestic operations, we anticipate milder pressure on the operating margins in 2Q25E. We foresee better operating results in 2H25E vs. 1H25, to be driven by the positive effects of the price increases in the domestic market starting in 2Q25, achieved over...
HEADLINES: • Medicover: 2Q25 results - a decent beat on operating leverage POSITIVE • Türkiye macro: CBT surprises with a bold cut • Krka: 2Q25 in line with prelims, guidance update in November NEUTRAL • Wizz Air: 1QF26 results - another miss, but focus on a planned shift to slower growth • Athens Exchange Group: 2Q25E preview (due on 28 July) • Artea Bankas: 2Q25E preview (due on 31 July) • BRD-GSG: 2Q25E preview (due on 31 July) • Coca-Cola Içecek – 2Q25E earnings preview (due on 11 August) • ...
EME Equity Market – June 2025 All EME indices in the green in June, with a rebound in Türkiye. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 3.2% mom in EUR terms and 6.9% in USD terms. The Turkish ISE 30 Index was the best performer in our region, recouping the losses from the previous month and adding +6.6% mom in EUR terms. The Hungarian BUX and the Polish WIG indices added 3.1% and 2.8% mom in EUR terms, respectively, followed closely by the Romanian BET and the Greek ASE, with both adding 2.0% mom i...
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