Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: December Conviction Calls Market consolidation slowed in November as expectations of a 25bp Fed cut buoyed sentiment. The HSI and MSCI China fell 0.2% and 2.4% mom respectively amid weak data and limited catalysts. While the upcoming Economic Work Conference may offer a catalyst to end this phase, we remain cautious, preferring defensives and oversold names. We add BeOne Medicines, HKEX, NetEase and Plover Bay to BUY, take profit on AIA, and cut losses on Ja...
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: November Conviction Calls HSI and MSCI China fell 3.5%/4.0% mom in October, dragged by renewed US-China trade tensions and lack of fresh policy signals from the 4th Plenum. We remain constructive in the medium term but expect further consolidation as uncertainties persist. The best performer among our picks was SELL-rated Li Auto (+21.4% mom). For November, we rotate into oversold names with near-term upside: add AIA, LINK REIT, NAURA, Pinduoduo, PICC P&C an...
Top Stories Company Results | Frasers Centrepoint Trust (FCT SP/BUY/S$2.45/Target: S$2.90) The exit of Cathay Cineplexes from Causeway Point and Century Square caused portfolio occupancy to dip 1.8ppt qoq to 98.1% in 4QFY25. FCT clocked positive rental reversion of 7.8% in FY25. Portfolio-wide occupancy cost remains healthy at 16.1%. FCT focuses on generating organic growth through AEIs for Hougang Mall, NEX and Northpoint City. Maintain BUY. Target price: S$2.90. Asian Gems Corporate Highligh...
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile The escalating China-US trade tensions have triggered a dual crisis in chips and rare earth, potentially disrupting the global auto supply chain like that seen in 2021-22. China's auto sector sees short-term gains from domestic prioritisation but long-term risks. Chinese auto part companies may see a revenue loss in 4Q25 if the issue is not resolved in a month. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL and Geely. Top SELLs: BYD and Li Auto. Sector Upda...
Short-term energy contracts are still at the top of investors’ minds but at least earnings visibility into 2026 is a lot clearer, in our view. Its new 600MW plant should boost margins while on the demand side in Singapore, medium- to longer-term growth is intact with energy demand coming from data centres and high-technology manufacturing. Maintain BUY with a S$7.90 target price.
Top Stories Strategy | Alpha Picks: Staying Ahead And Capturing EQDP Opportunities Our Alpha Picks portfolio rose 4.2% mom in Sep 25, outperforming the STI’s 0.7%. Gains were led by YZJ, VALUE, MPM and CSSC. For Oct 25, we add SCI, LREIT and RSTON, and take profit on BRC and YZJ. We remain well-positioned for upside in small-/mid-cap stocks. Market Spotlight • US stocks ended higher on Thursday. Despite mixed sector performances, the DJIA, S&P 500, and NASDAQ all advanced. • The FSSTI gained 7...
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile China’s EV sales surged 25% wow in the 39th week of 2025 but slowed to 10.5% yoy amid a high base and anti-involution efforts. Geely and XPeng outperformed, while BYD and Li Auto saw yoy sales declines. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector, with top BUYs on CATL and Geely; we downgrade Ganfeng Lithium from BUY to HOLD with an unchanged target price of HK$40.00, as the stock price has hit our target. Indonesia Economics | Indonesia’s Trade Balance Hits Mu...
Our Alpha Picks portfolio rose 4.2% mom in Sep 25, outperforming the STI’s 0.7%. Gains were led by YZJ, VALUE, MPM and CSSC. For Oct 25, we add SCI, LREIT and RSTON, and take profit on BRC and YZJ. We remain well-positioned for upside in small-/mid-cap stocks.
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: October Conviction Calls The HSI and MSCI China gained 7.1%/8.2% mom in September on Fed easing and optimism over advancements in semiconductors and AI. We remain positive in the medium term but expect near-term consolidation after the recent strong gains. The best performer of the month was Alibaba (+53.0% mom). With some rotations expected in non-tech stocks, our October calls are: add Galaxy, Jacobson, Ping An, Trip.com and WuXi Bio to BUY; SELL Meituan. ...
• Industry remains robust: Offshore rig day rates have risen ytd, supported by oil demand upgrades from the US EIA and higher greenfield capex. • The global pipeline for FPSO/non-FPSO awards appears strong with over US$38b worth of projects to be awarded in the next 12 months. • Top picks in the sector remain Seatrium and Marco Polo Marine.
Greater China Initiation Coverage | Metasurface Technologies Holdings (8637 HK/BUY/HK1.48/Target: HK2.90) Metasurface is set to benefit from robust investment in the semi supply chain. As chip fabrication grows in complexity, more time is required to fabricate wafers and more wafer fabrication equipment is needed. Aerospace engineering is set to drive long-term growth as airline capacity continues to face shortages, forcing airlines to rely on their existing fleets and bo...
Attractive yield differentials. With Singapore government bond yields trending lower, the yield differential between fixed income and equities has narrowed in 2025, thus reinforcing the relative appeal of companies offering high, sustainable dividend payouts. Equity yields in the 4-6% range now offer a compelling pickup versus the 10-year Singapore Government Bond yield (1.8579% as at 4 Sep 25), while also providing potential for capital gains. In our view, this widening yield gap should support...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: September Conviction Calls: Add Anta, BYDE and CSCEC to our BUY list, Li Auto and OOIL to our SELL list. Take profit on Innovent, JD Logistics, Lenovo, Sino Biopharm, Tencent and TME. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Underperformance In August: Our new Alpha Picks are ASSA, ARCI, BBCA, BBNI, BRMS, MTEL, HRUM and NCKL. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Wake Me Up When September Ends: Our Aug 25 Alpha Picks underperformed marginally. Sep 25 picks: Alpha IVF, Hume ...
Singapore’s 1H25 results season was resilient, with 75% of companies meeting or beating expectations despite tariff uncertainty and strength of the Singapore dollar. Banks delivered stable earnings and attractive yields, underpinning the STI. Consumer names like DFI and SSG stood out, while REITs showed positive rental reversions. Capital recycling drove upgrades for CIT and VMS. We raise our end-25 STI target to 4,602, reflecting 8% upside and attractive valuations versus history and peers.
GREATER CHINA Results CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (1093 HK/BUY/HK$10.51/Target: HK$12.00) 1H25: Results miss; expects hoh sales recovery and two more BD deals in 2H25. Ganfeng Lithium (1772 HK/BUY/HK$30.80/Target: HK$40.00) 2Q25: Net loss in line; 3Q25 turnaround on the back of lithium carbonate price recovery. Maintain BUY, target price: HK$40.00. Li Ning (2331 HK/HOLD/HK$19.70/Target: HK$18.90) 1H25: Results beat but challenges remain in 2H25; fa...
Strategy Results Roundup 1H25 results roundup: A resilient earnings season with banks carrying the load, REITs upping rents. Raising STI target to 4,602. Sector REITs Jackson Symposium provides turnaround momentum. TRADERS' CORNER Singapore Telecommunications (ST SP): Trading BUY First Resourc...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Banking: 2Q25 round-up: Delivers resilient earnings despite NIM compression. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Results Lendlease Global Commercial REIT (LREIT SP/BUY/S$0.575/Target: S$0.79): 2HFY25: Sharpening competitive advantage by focusing on Singapore. Riverstone Holdings (RSTON SP/HOLD/S$0.69/Target: S$0.71): 2Q25: Results miss on lower ASPs; cleanroom recovery expected in 2H25. Sembcorp Industries (SCI SP/BUY/S$6.72/Target: S$7.90): 1H25: Curtail the worry – focus on defensive ...
GREATER CHINA Economics Inflation Deflationary pressures persist despite core CPI resilience. INDONESIA Update Darma Henwa (DEWA IJ/BUY/Rp222/Target: Rp372) Sustaining the growth momentum. MALAYSIA Update Uzma (UZMA MK/BUY/RM0.41/Target: RM0.76) Aggressive orderbook growth driven by O&G. However, its five-year recurring income target will miss, due to del...
SCI’s 1H25 results were resilient with net profit of S$536m in line with forecasts. Strengths include higher dividends, renewables growth, Senoko’s earnings accretion from 2H25, and a robust balance sheet with long-dated, fixed-rate debt. China renewables curtailment risk is modest, while India and new projects boost profitability. Share price weakness is overdone in our view, offering an attractive entry for patient, yield-focused investors. Maintain BUY. Target price: S$7.90.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: August Conviction Calls: Add JBM Healthcare and Lenovo to our BUY list. Take profit on CATL, Han’s Laser, KE Holdings and Longfor. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Underperformance In July: Our new Alpha Picks are ASSA, AKRA, ARCI, BBNI, KLBF, MTEL, and MYOR. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Some Opportunities Amid A “Summer Lull”: Our July 25 Alpha Picks outperformed. Aug 25 picks: Coraza, Eco World, Gamuda, Hume Cement, IJM, Inari, RHB and Zetrix. SINGAPORE ...
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