Yesterday, the German government (via KfW) secured a 25.1% "blocking minority" in TenneT's German operations. The €3.3bn deal ends years of negotiations between Germany and the Netherlands. The deal is struck at the same equity value following the capital contribution (46%) from ABP, GIC and Norges Bank in 09/25 at a total equity value of 13.3bn. TenneT NL will hold the remaining 28.9%. We understand from the Handelsblatt that KfW will invest an additional €1.7bn before 2035. TenneT GE will no...
We upgrade our recommendation to Accumulate and raise our price target to €135.0 from €110.0 on multiple expansion over the next 6 to 12 months. We leave our EPS estimates for FY26-27 unchanged, but increase our price target to 22x FY27 EPS. Our previous target was based on 20x FY26 EPS, but we roll forward on a 10% higher multiple as the sentiment towards grid operators benefits from the “wall of money” into datacenters, while grid connection is the bottleneck. It can take years before the ROE ...
HAL has hit our price target for the second time since our Buy rating in Apr'25, marking a +30% rally. Following the Sept'25 company note, we have revised our model to reflect: the improved sentiment in the offshore energy sector supporting a higher valuation for core holding Boskalis, and (ii) selective adjustments to peer multiples for other private assets. This drives our target NAV per share to €225 (from €218 in Sept'25). We maintain a relatively wide 25% target discount (down from 30% in...
We hosted our 29th ODDO BHF Forum in Lyon on 8 and 9 January 2026. In total, 220 companies presented over the two days. In the following note, we provide some initial feedback from the companies on Day 2, in addition to Day 1 feedback (Link to Day 1 feedback). Key positive companies were Corbion, DEME, Elia Group, Knorr Bremse, Sulzer, Séché Environnement, Fraport, Vallourec and TUI. More cautious companies were Arkema, Fastned, INWIT, Manitou, Roche Bobois, Téléperformance, and Colonial SFL. T...
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