Norwegian banks: Q3'25 outcome vs. expectations

Margins slip, costs step up

Q3 beat, but negative revisions expected

Norwegian banks: Higher rates, uncertain rules

CET1 headroom hurt by risk weights

Norwegian banks: Q2'25 outcome vs. expectations

Fundamentals priced in, yet attractive vs. peers

A non-NII and a loan loss beat

Norwegian banks Q2e: It's time for a breather

Limited revisions, HOLD maintained

Norwegian banks: Q1'25 outcome vs. expectations

Fundamentals well reflected in pricing

Sparebank 1 SMN (Buy, TP: NOK202.00) - Solid core revenue growth

Q1 PTP was NOK1,269m, 6% lower YOY, as stronger ‘real NII’ and fees were offset by soft trading and higher opex. On a QOQ basis, two fewer interest days, and somewhat softer growth, led to a ‘real NII’ decline. With a CET1 ratio of 18.1%, we see continued capital headroom, supportive of solid distributions. We have trimmed our 2026–2027e EPS by ~1% on the NII trend, but reiterate our BUY and NOK202 target price.

Weaker NII and cost to impact revisions

Adj. PTP -3% vs. ABGSCe, -2% vs. cons; Higher cost to impact revisions; Cons. '25e-27e EPS chg. down 2-4%, stock down 2-4% today

Norwegian banks Q1: priced for higher rates

Attractive yield but fundamentals well priced in

Sparebanken 1 SMN: 3 directors

Three Directors at Sparebanken 1 SMN bought 7,254 shares at between 181.260NOK and 182.310NOK. The significance rating of the trade was 68/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors ov...

Heder Bank to offer mortgages at 4.99%

Outlook for continued high rates

Although we continue to expect some margin headwind, the outlook for postponed rate cuts – leaving interest rates at continued high levels – should bode well for sector earnings, further supported by a strong profitability focus and modest loan losses. With the sector trading at an average 2026e P/E of c11.0x, and solid dividend potential, we find the valuation undemanding. We reiterate our positive sector view but highlight a larger share of HOLD recommendations than 12 months ago.

Norwegian banks: Q4'24 outcome vs. expectations