We have cut our near-term forecast to reflect heightened uncertainty and more cautious full-year guidance, but remain confident that the majority (79%) of the current market cap should be derisked by end-2027e, leaving an attractive stub value for the long-term business potential in the world-leading car carrier. We reiterate our BUY, but have cut our target price to NOK87 (91).
The markets reacted positively to the Q1 dividend, and we believe most of the current market cap will be distributed over our forecast period. This should offset the long-term structural risks to the sector, as its backlog should fend off any dramatic decline to cash flows. We find the risk/reward still attractive, with potential for re-rating on favourable news flow from a weighty sentiment. Hence, we reiterate our BUY and NOK90 target price.
We expect a solid Q1 report, with likely c11% organic growth as well as good margin progress supporting the 2025 guidance. Based on its footprint, we see minimal effect in case of tariffs on pharmaceuticals, with the biggest risk coming from potential reciprocal ones from Europe. We reiterate our BUY and DKK190 target price.
Challenging times for the car carriers is reflected in depressed equity valuations. We believe a considerable backlog to derisk the investment over time, and potential upside on any respite in peaking trade tensions, make for an attractive investment case. We reiterate our BUY, but have cut our target price to NOK91 (115).
The car carriers are seeing a string of bad news hitting an already fragile fundamental S&D outlook. However, we believe the sell-off has more than priced in the potential headwinds and we find the valuation attractive, with significant potential to the upside on possible trade deals and port-fee revisions. We have upgraded to BUY (HOLD), but cut our target price to NOK90 (104).
The US Trade Representative on 17 April published revised US port fees with significant changes to the initial proposal based on industry feedback. In its current form, the fees will primarily discourage use of Chinese-controlled maritime trade services to the US, and directly affect the use of Chinese-built vessels in US ports (with several considerable exemptions to avoid harm to US trade). The previous broader fees based on fleet composition and share of Chinese-built vessels has been scrappe...
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