Energy Morning - 27 June 2025

Crude Quarterly Q2'25: In the absence of war, the oil market is well s...

Limited changes post Q1

Consolidated in line weak from JV's

Good Q1e sales, but recent slow-down

Slower 2025, but LT case intact

Running quarterly yield at >10%

2025e EBITDA guidance reiterated

Near-term outlook soft, but LT seems intact

Energy Morning - 5 May 2025

Energy Morning - 2 May 2025

Sparebanken Møre (Hold, TP: NOK95.00) - Higher margin pressure and cos...

With elevated margin pressure and higher costs YOY, Q1 ROE was 11.2%, despite modest loan losses. Given the composition of the lending growth, MORG increased its risk-weight assets, leading to a ~ 20bp lower CET1 ratio QOQ. That said, the bank guided for a net positive effect of ~1.5%-points from the pending implementation of Basel IV in Q2 and Q3, leaving an ample buffer to its 16.15% requirement (including P2G), boding well for solid distributions. We have lowered our 2026–2027e EPS by ~5% on ...

Carlsberg (Buy, TP: DKK1075.00) - Soft Q1, but with bright spots

We consider the Q1 results slightly on the soft side (with organic volume misses across the board), albeit less so adjusted for the loss of the San Miguel contract. Despite the general weakness, there were a couple of bright spots, including positive commentary on the premium beer market in China. We reiterate our BUY and DKK1,075 target price.

Energy Morning - 28 April 2025

Muted 2025 growth expectations

Following Q1 earnings calls by some of the oil service companies, 2025 outlooks appear more challenging than previously. Baker Hughes expects international upstream spending to decline by mid- to high-single digits, while Halliburton sees its international revenues flat to slightly down. Furthermore, Weatherford expects 2025 international revenue to decline by low double- to mid-double digits. Precision Drilling flagged additional rig suspensions by Saudi Aramco, and SLB highlighted a slow start...

ALK-Abello (Buy, TP: DKK190.00) - Expecting solid start to the year

We expect a solid Q1 report, with likely c11% organic growth as well as good margin progress supporting the 2025 guidance. Based on its footprint, we see minimal effect in case of tariffs on pharmaceuticals, with the biggest risk coming from potential reciprocal ones from Europe. We reiterate our BUY and DKK190 target price.

ENI capex cut but maintains shareholder returns

Driven by macro headwinds and uncertainty around trade tariffs, ENI was the first large oil company to introduce capex cuts for 2025, contributing to a more challenging business environment for oil services. Over the past five years, we estimate ENI to have been the oil major with strongest offshore spending growth, and it has been considered active and opportunistic while others have been more conservative. Hence, we see its reduction as a soft datapoint for oil services. ENI has optimised its ...

Carlsberg (Buy, TP: DKK1075.00) - Expect flat start to 2025e

We expect Carlsberg to report a slow start to the year, mainly related to the loss of the San Miguel contract and the timing of Easter. However, we believe this should not come as a surprise, and thus expect the 2025 guidance to be maintained. At a 12-month forward P/E of c14x, we still find the stock attractive, with further upside potential from better-than-expected execution of Britvic and any improvement in China. We reiterate our BUY and DKK1,075 target price.

Heineken N.V. - Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A), Partnerships & Alliances

Summary Marketline's Heineken N.V. Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A), Partnerships & Alliances and Investments report includes business description, detailed reports on mergers and acquisitions (M&A), divestments, capital raisings, venture capital investments, ownership and partnership transactions undertaken by Heineken N.V. - Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A), Partnerships & Alliances since January2007. Marketline's Company Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A), Partnerships & Alliances and Investments reports...

Mixed upside potential, despite market recovery expectations

Pent-up demand and falling interest rates remain the backbone for newbuild recovery expectations. However, as the recovery has not yet started, property developers screen as the most attractive long-term, but visibility remains mixed. Diversified construction companies are more attractive on near-term P/Es, although many seem to be fully valued on solid share-price performance over the past six months. We maintain a neutral sector view; NCC and Skanska are our top picks.