Macro headwinds and rising costs are continuing to put pressure on SEB’s profitability. Although the top line was supported by strong Markets-related income and resilient fees in Q1, the net interest margin continued to decline and the ROE fell sharply to 13.4% (down 4.2%-points YOY). Given our expectation of ROE remaining close to 13% in 2025-2026, we see limited upside from the premium price/book of 1.3x. We reiterate our HOLD but have raised our target price to SEK149 (143).
The divisional figures were broadly in line, and as usual, Q1 was a seasonal loss due to winter effects in NCC Industry (asphalt operations). EBIT was SEK-170m (14% below our estimate, 10% below Infront consensus). However, given the low season, the Q1 miss had a limited effect – a c1% hit to full-year EPS. We reiterate our BUY and highlight our view that ongoing sold and initiated property developments are likely to drive positive EPS momentum to 2028, but have cut our target price to SEK210 (2...
We expect a solid Q1 report, with likely c11% organic growth as well as good margin progress supporting the 2025 guidance. Based on its footprint, we see minimal effect in case of tariffs on pharmaceuticals, with the biggest risk coming from potential reciprocal ones from Europe. We reiterate our BUY and DKK190 target price.
A director at Volvo AB maiden bought 15,000 shares at 262.000SEK and the significance rating of the trade was 91/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clea...
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