Q1 gross profit and EBIT beat our above-consensus estimates, largely on a higher gross margin offsetting a slightly softer-than-expected top line and more opex than we expected. Furthermore, adjusted for FX losses, underlying earnings were well above our estimate and consensus. In short, we see this setting Atea up to track in line with our above-consensus estimates for 2025–2027 (which we have edged up) as well as multiples expansion. We reiterate our BUY, and have raised our target price to NO...
While we have cut our estimates, we expect improving margins on recently launched frame agreements, continued hardware refresh cycles, and a potential shift in customer preferences for IT infrastructure deployment models to contribute to a return to double-digit EBIT growth, in line with or above its historical track record. Although there is clearly risk inherent in the ongoing trade war and recent competitive dynamics, Atea’s heavy exposure to the Nordic public sector should cushion it from su...
We have made only limited estimate revisions and are below consensus on EBIT for Q4 (tough comparables and a halted frame agreement in Denmark), while we are materially above consensus on 2024–2025e EBIT, as we expect an IT estate upgrade/refresh cycle from H2 2024 to benefit Atea. Furthermore, the stock continues to trade at an unwarranted discount to peers in our view, despite having appreciated towards the end of 2023. As such, we reiterate our BUY and NOK180 target price.
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