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Wihlborgs Fastigheter AB: 1 director

A director at Wihlborgs Fastigheter AB sold 17,000 shares at 107.000SEK and the significance rating of the trade was 61/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two yea...

Simen Mortensen
  • Simen Mortensen

Acquisitions and an equity issue

SBB acquired five properties in Denmark, KMC carried out a direct placement of NOK300m, Kungsleden announced a new rental contract and development project, Wihlborgs announced a new lease, while Skanska updated its climate target. The weighted average implied EBITDA yields on the stocks we cover are 3.30% for 2021e and 3.64% for 2022e.

Simen Mortensen
  • Simen Mortensen

CMD, an upgrade, and events

This week, we upgraded Fabege to BUY following its first office letting in Flemingsberg, and we shifted coverage from Klövern (delisted due to merger) to Corem, for which we have a HOLD. SBB hosted a CMD, while Atrium Ljungberg hired a new CFO. Next week, DNB Markets is set to host real estate events. The weighted-average implied EBITDA yields on the stocks we cover are 3.30 % for 2021e and 3.59 % for 2022e.

Simen Mortensen
  • Simen Mortensen

Two updates, and house price data

This week, we raised our target price on Castellum after it acquired more Entra shares and issued its hybrid bond. Wrapping up Q2 results season, Aros Bostad’s POC-based net income was in line with our estimate. Magnolia Bostad will be delisted on 17 September. Finally, next week we host several real estate investor events. The weighted-average implied EBITDA yields on the stocks we cover are 3.16% for 2021e and 3.43% for 2022e.

Simen Mortensen
  • Simen Mortensen

Last of Q2 reports, and transactions

KMC Properties and Hufvudstaden reported their Q2 results. Castellum bought an additional 11.75% of the shares in Entra after issuing a EUR1bn hybrid bond earlier this week. Atrium Ljungberg CFO Lindqvist is leaving with immediate effect, while Liia Nõu was appointed the new CEO of Pandox. The weighted-average implied EBITDA yields on the stocks we cover are 2.98% for 2021e and 3.28% for 2022e.

Simen Mortensen
  • Simen Mortensen

Q2 results and other news

Kojamo was the only real estate company in the sector to report Q2 results this week. Entra refinanced a bond, but conducted a bond buyback and new bond issue. SBB Norden’s CEO Ilija Batljan bought 1m shares in the company, and a date was set for its CMD. Corem initiated a compulsory acquisition of minority shares in Klövern. Fabege announced a new land allocation in Hammarby Sjöstad. The weighted-average implied EBITDA yields on the stocks we cover are 3.04% for 2021e and 3.13% for 2022e.

Simen Mortensen
  • Simen Mortensen

A busy summer

Castellum launched a bid for Kungsleden, while Citycon and Olav Thon reported Q2 results. This week, Norwegian Property also announced the date for its delisting, and Norwegian house prices appear to be stabilising. The weighted-average implied EBITDA yields on the stocks we cover are 2.96% for 2021e and 3.25% for 2022e.

Simen Mortensen
  • Simen Mortensen

Swedish housing prices, letting and other news

Wihlborgs announced a lease with the Human Rights Institute. NPRO continues to head towards a delisting. Swedish house price statistics for June were reported and Corem is moving towards a large-cap listing. The weighted-average implied EBITDA yields on the stocks we cover are 3.04 % for 2021e and 3.33 % for 2022e.

Simen Mortensen
  • Simen Mortensen

Q2 reporting season continues

The reporting season is well under way, with Wihlborgs, Entra, Castellum, Nyfosa, SBB and Pandox all releasing Q2 results. The weighted average implied EBITDA yields on the stocks we cover are 3.06 % for 2021e and 3.35 % for 2022e.

Niklas Wetterling
  • Niklas Wetterling

Wihlborgs (Hold, TP: SEK210.00) - Best net lettings in three years

Q2 PFPM was 5% below our forecast and Infront consensus, but we believe Wihlborgs’ strong net lettings (its best quarterly figure in the past three years) and management’s strong market outlook were positives, leading us to view the results as solid. We reiterate our HOLD and have raised our target price to SEK210 (195), given updated peer valuations. We see upside potential to consensus if the company can resume a growth path, which we believe hinges on M&A.

Simen Mortensen
  • Simen Mortensen

Q2 reporting season begins

This week Catena, Atrium Ljungberg, Kungsleden, Wallenstam, Fabege and NPRO announced Q2 results. Several transactions have also been in focus. The weighted average implied EBITDA yields on the stocks we cover are 3.13% for 2021e and 3.40% for 2022e.

Simen Mortensen
  • Simen Mortensen

Pre-announced figures, acquisitions and Q2 sector preview

This week Atrium Ljungberg pre-announced some Q2 figures, Castellum acquired two office buildings in Solna, we published our Q2 preview with Castellum, Nyfosa and Kungsleden as top picks, while Akelius is evaluating a large divestment that could prove one of the largest transactions this year. The weighted average implied EBITDA yields on the stocks we cover are 3.22 % for 2021e and 3.49 % for 2022e.

Simen Mortensen
  • Simen Mortensen

Risk appetite and decoupled NAVs

Following the Nordic real estate sector’s outperformance in Q2, we find sector valuations stretched, given the risk of rising inflation expectations potentially leading to higher long-term interest rates, with a potential negative impact on yields. However, we reiterate our neutral sector view, as transactions and the credit market are showing signs of strength and tenant demand has held up fairly well with limited impact on market rents overall. We see strong risk appetite in the market, and be...

Simen Mortensen
  • Simen Mortensen

Management changes; formalities and invitation; financing updates

This week saw a new CEO at Hufvudstaden and a new CFO at Citycon. Elsewhere, Balder formally acquired ABP and sent out seminar invites, while Corem surpassed 95% in Klovern, and Klovern applied for a delisting. Also this week, Balder and Citycon gave financing and rating updates, and Castellum invested SEK1bn in a project with the Port of Gothenburg. The weighted average implied EBITDA yields on the stocks we cover are 3.25% for 2021e and 3.52% for 2022e.

Simen Mortensen
  • Simen Mortensen

Transactions and other news

This week, SBB Norden sold its 14.9m shares in Entra (cNOK3,14bn) to Castellum, we downgraded Catena to HOLD, Swedish house prices showed a continued rally, SBB Norden and Solon Eiendom formalised deals, Kungsleden divested residential building rights, Amasten Fastigheter carried out an equity issue, and Entra invested in a new asset in Bergen. The weighted average implied EBITDA yields on the stocks we cover are 3.21% for 2021e and 3.48% for 2022e.

Simen Mortensen
  • Simen Mortensen

Equity raise, stock acquisitions and capital market activity

Nyfosa has raised SEK750m in equity and has possibly +cSEK2bn of investment capacity to enter the Finnish real estate market near-term (in line with its updated strategy in April). SBB continues to acquire stock in listed companies as it purchased Obos’ 20% stake in JM. Catena has issued its first green bond and we see potential for the company to continue to trim its funding costs. The weighted average implied EBITDA yields on the stocks we cover are 3.17 % for 2021e and 3.43 % for 2022e.

Simen Mortensen
  • Simen Mortensen

A newly founded company and residential price update

Newly founded Aurora Property has acquired shopping centres in Norway worth NOK3bn and entered into an LOI to acquire one additional centre for NOK1.8bn. A group of high-profile local investors in the company, including Petter Stordalen, is evaluating a public listing by year-end. In other news, Catena’s zoning plan in Malmö has gained legal force, and Norwegian residential price data for May is out. The weighted-average implied EBITDA yields on the stocks we cover are 3.25% for 2021e and 3.52% ...

Simen Mortensen
  • Simen Mortensen

End of Q1 and other news

KMC Properties rounded off Q1 reporting season for the Nordic real estate sector this week, and announced a new investment. In other news, JM hosted a CMD, and Citycon issued a new hybrid bond, with no fixed maturity. Klövern’s board as expected recommended shareholders accept Corem’s public offer. The weighted average implied EBITDA yields on the stocks we cover are 3.29% for 2021e and 3.57% for 2022e.

Simen Mortensen
  • Simen Mortensen

More Q1 results and transactions

Earnings season dominated the news this week, with SBB Norden, Hufvudstaden, Citycon and MaxFastigheter releasing Q1 results. Balder also announced a NOK9bn investment in Norway. The weighted average implied EBITDA yields on the stocks we cover are 3.39% for 2021e and 3.66% for 2022e.

Simen Mortensen
  • Simen Mortensen

Our view on last week’s Q1 results

Earnings season dominated the news this week, with Fabege, Whilborgs, Catena, Klövern, Norwegian Property and Pandox all releasing Q1 results. The weighted average implied EBITDA yields on the stocks we cover are 3.45 % for 2021e and 3.70 % for 2022e.

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