Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.70 per share: Gearing-up for acquisitions? – 1Q25 production was 4,085 boe/d with no horizontal wells drilled in the period. RCE is more mature than CN and while no drilling has taken place at RCE, the decline rate between 4Q24 and 1Q25 was only ~5%. 1Q25 Production was constrained by increased water production preventing the company increasing the speed of the pumps at some of its producing wells. The increased amount of produced water increase...
This week, Equinor reported Q1 results in line with expectations. However, we continue to see valuation downside due to Empire Wind risks and a likely sharp YOY drop in 2026e buybacks. OKEA also reported in-line Q1 results. In other news, Equinor announced it agreed to sell its 60% Peregrino stake at a solid price, although we believe the proceeds would have to support near-term shareholder returns to drive a positive share price reaction.
While implied guidance for H1 revenues is ~1–4% below our forecast and consensus, the underlying sequential performance is directionally in line with the broader set of peers to have reported to date. We find this growth and gross margin profile solid, given we are at the tail-end of the life of Nordic’s 10-year-old 55nm technology platform. Combined with the arguably unprecedented level of uncertainty for the company’s customers, we find it achieving a ~50% gross margin and accelerated Cellular...
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