GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: July Conviction Calls Add CATL, KE Holdings, Longfor, Midea Group, Tencent and TME to our BUY list. Take profit on Prudential. Sector Online Games Upcoming new game releases to capitalise on the summer holiday season. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Good Performances In June Our new alpha picks are ANTM, BBCA, ERAA, ICBP, MYOR, MIKA...
Our Alpha Picks portfolio managed to beat a bullish market, surpassing the STI in Jun 25. On an equal-weighted basis, we beat the STI’s 1.8% gain by 1.7ppt. For 2Q25, our Alpha Picks portfolio performed even better, up 5.0% qoq on an equal-weighted basis and beating the STI by 5.2ppt. For Jul 25, we add UMSH and CLAR while removing STM and CENT.
GREATER CHINA Economics PMI Modest recovery with construction rebound. Sector Macau Gaming Jun 25 GGR beat consensus by 9%; GGR has regained momentum in recent months. INDONESIA Small/Mid Cap Highlights MAP Aktif Adiperkasa (MAPA IJ/NOT RATED/Rp700) Expanding active lifestyle retail business; 1Q25 NPAT up 21% yoy. MAL...
The number of privatisation offers remains elevated, at 15 companies ytd vs 18 in 2024. We did a screening of companies with high net cash as a % of market cap to identify potential privatisation targets and deep value stocks. Stocks we like under our coverage are China Sunsine (1.7x 2025F ex-cash PE, 5.3% yield) and Valuetronics (3.7x 2025F excash PE, 6.3% yield). Screening results we like to highlight: Avarga (75% net cash to market cap), Samudera Shipping (71%) and CH offshore (56%).
We summarise key takeaways from our latest monthly small/mid-cap webinar for retail investors for Jun 25, which focused on stock opportunities amid shifting macro conditions. With MAS’ upcoming S$5b deployment, we believe this is a timely moment for investors to revisit quality SGX-listed small/mid-cap names. In this note, we highlight three preferred names – Food Empire, Valuetronics and Frencken. Also, we have addressed investor concerns on US tariffs.
GREATER CHINA Strategy China Property & Hong Kong Property & Hong Kong Landlord Manageable pressure in mainland property market; improved tourism and retail sales momentum in Hong Kong. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Good Performances in May Good performances from most with the exception of GOTO and BUKA. MALAYSIA Results CIMB Group (CIMB MK/HOLD/RM6.93/Target: RM7.70) 1Q25: Earnings in line, underpinned by lower provisions. Mai...
Driven by renewed positive investor sentiment, our Alpha Picks portfolio surpassed the STI in May 25, surging by 7.0% mom on an equal-weighted basis and beating the STI by 5.4ppt. On a market cap-weighted basis, our portfolio outperformed as well, up 1.9% mom and beating the STI by 0.3ppt. For Jun 25, we add CD, CSSC, FRKN, FEH and IFAST while removing SCI, MPM, OTEK and SIE.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy Alpha Picks: Beat the STI in May 25 A robust 5.4ppt beat by our Alpha Picks portfolio vs the STI in May 25. Add CD, CSSC, FRKN, FEH, IFAST and remove SCI, MPM, OTEK and SIE. TRADERS' CORNER Seatrium (STM SP): Trading SELL First Resources (FR SP): Trading SELL
GREATER CHINA Strategy Small-Mid Cap Monthly: 2H25 outlook: Eyeing domestic plays and names with potential turnaround. Sector Automobile: Weekly: Is there an Evergrand in the China auto sector? Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: Geely and XPeng. Results CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (1093 HK/HOLD/HK$7.62/Target: HK$7.70): 1Q25: Results miss; expects enhanced pipelines to secure major BD deals. Li Auto Inc (2015 HK/BUY/HK$108.20/Target: HK$145.00): 1Q25: Earnings and forward guidance mi...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector REITs: S-REITs monthly update (May 25). Results Valuetronics (VALUE SP/BUY/S$0.685/Target: S$0.83): FY25: Record margins and dividend underpin healthy FY26; raise target price by 6%. TRADERS’ CORNER First Resources (FR SP): Trading BUY Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (YZJSGD SP): Trading SELL
VALUE’s FY25 performance met expectations, with revenue up 4% yoy and PATMI up 7% yoy. Gross margin rose to a record-high 17% on a stronger sales mix and new customer contributions. A higher final dividend lifted total FY25 dividend to 27 HK cents/share, matching the highest since FY18. VALUE is cautiously optimistic about its new customers despite trade uncertainties. Maintain BUY with a 6% higher target price of S$0.83. Valuation is attractive at 6.8% yield and 3x ex-cash PE for FY26.
Singapore’s market outlook has improved following the US backing down from its tariffs and the upcoming MAS liquidity support. The S$5b EQDP will boost non-index mid caps and in that vein, we like CENT, CSSC, CD, CSE, FEH, FRKN, HLA, OTEK, PROP, SSG, SIE and VALUE. In the meantime, the STI’s strong defensive nature and undervalued metrics support a revised 2025 target of 4,054. Our top large-cap picks are CLAS, CICT, FR, KEP, OCBC, SATS, SE, SCI, ST and YZJSGD.
INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperformance In Apr 25 Remove ICBP, EXCL, and MIKA; add BBTN and GOTO. MALAYSIA Sector Property Amid tariff overhang concerns, we favour companies with clear earnings visibility, solid exposure to affordable housing, and clear re-rating catalysts. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Update Axiata (AXIATA MK/BUY/RM2.09/Target: RM2.50) ...
Despite significant market volatility, our Alpha Picks portfolio outperformed in Apr 25, falling slightly by 0.8% mom on an equal-weighted basis and beating the STI by 2.7ppt. Furthermore, on a market cap-weighted basis, our portfolio dropped by 2.1% mom but still beat the STI by a respectable 1.4ppt. For May 25, we add SSG and CENT and remove CSSC, CSE and YZJSGD.
GREATER CHINA Sector Property Supportive policy remarks by Premier Li Qiang point to further upside; upcoming Politburo meeting to be an important policy window. Results Fuyao Glass Industry Group (3606 HK/BUY/HK$49.15/Target: HK$68.00) 1Q25: Earnings up 46% yoy, in line with estimates. Maintain BUY. Target price: HK$68.00. Han’s Laser (002008 CH/BUY/Rmb24.27/Target: Rmb32.20) 1Q25: Net pro...
Most tech manufacturing stocks are likely to be impacted to a different degree by the recent US trade tariffs. As a result, we recommend stocks that will be the least impacted and could potentially still deliver earnings growth for 2025. Our top picks are Frencken (which has manufacturing bases locally and strong orders from ASML), UMS (which is ramping up for its new customer) and Valuetronics (which will see contribution from new customers and its new GPU leasing business). Downgrade to MARKET...
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