For 1H25, we believe that a number of stocks within our universe should deliver strong returns in the near to medium term, backed by sustainable dividend yields despite our modest below-consensus 1.2% EPS growth forecast for our covered STI stocks in 2025. We forecast a 2025 year-end target of 4,115 for the STI, implying a 10% upside from current levels. Our top picks are BAL, CD, KEP, MINT, OCBC, SCI, ST, STE, VMS and YZJSGD. For the small/mid caps, we like CENT, CSE, MPM, SSG and VALUE.
Our modest below-consensus 1.2% EPS growth forecast for our covered STI stocks for 2025 belies the fact that there are a number of stocks within our universe that should deliver strong returns in the near to medium term, backed by sustainable dividend yields. We forecast a 2025 year-end target of 4,115 for the STI, implying 10% upside from current levels, with the index’s current valuation looking inexpensive at 2025F PE and P/B of 11.5x and 1.2x respectively.
GREATER CHINA Results Tencent Holdings (700 HK/BUY/HK$403.80/Target: HK$570.00): 3Q24: Solid earnings beat; mini shop and potential blockbuster as key catalysts. INDONESIA Results Aspirasi Hidup Indonesia (ACES IJ/BUY/Rp835/Target: Rp1,200): 3Q24: NPAT up 13.7% yoy; slightly above consensus expectations. MALAYSIA Results Malaysia Marine and Heavy Engineering Holdings (MMHE MK/BUY/RM0.44/Target: RM0.70): 1H24: Positively surprises on project cost claims. Marine segment still weakened by competi...
VALUE’s 1HFY25 net profit of HK$91m (+10% yoy) is in line. Revenue dipped 3% yoy, as new customer contributions largely offset weaker demand from existing customers. Gross margin expanded for the fourth consecutive half-year period, on the back of a more favourable sales mix, lower material costs and lower labour costs. VALUE continues to seek new projects with existing customers and new customer acquisitions. Maintain BUY with an unchanged target price of S$0.78.
GREATER CHINA Results Anta (2020 HK/BUY/HK$71.65/Target: HK$109.60) 1H24: Results beat. Fila's guidance slightly lowered; new brands performed well. China Overseas Property Holdings (2669 HK/BUY/HK$4.63/Target: HK$7.20) 1H24: Results meet expectations; higher dividend payout ratio. Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group Company (3692 HK/BUY/HK$18.22/Target: HK$27.00) 2Q24: Margins deteriorate; automation demand outlook remains sluggish. Shenzhen Inovance (300124 CH/BU...
Two-thirds of the tech manufacturing stocks under our coverage reported weaker-thanexpected 1H24 earnings, except for Frencken and Aztech, due to weak customer demand (AEM, Nanofilm, Venture) and slow ramp-up of new plant (UMS). Our top picks are Frencken and Venture given their positive outlook for sequential earnings growth, especially for Frencken which is seeing strong orders from ASML. We also have BUY calls on Valuetronics and Aztech, and SELL ratings on AEM, Nanofilm and UMS. Upgrade the ...
After Powell’s Jackson Hole speech on 23 August, we see a turning point starting with a US Fed rate cut in Sep 24 and lower rates heading into 2025. In the Singapore market, REITs and the property sector should benefit, as should highly-geared companies and those looking to recycle capital. Our current forecasts have incorporated lower NIMs for banks which we believe are protected by their high dividend yields.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy Market Strategy: 2H24 strategy: Looking for turning points. Sector Banking: Donald Trump will likely be re-elected. BUY banks. TRADERS’ CORNER Singapore Tech Engineering (STE SP): Trading BUY Raffles Medical Group (RFMD SP): Trading BUY
Given our slightly more bullish earnings expectation of a 5.6% growth for 2024 (vs 2.4% six months ago), we have upgraded our 2024 year-end target for the STI to 3,380. The index’s current valuation remains inexpensive at 2024F PE and P/B of 10.5x and 1.1x respectively. Our top picks for 2H24 are CLI, GENS, KEP, MINT, OCBC, SCI, STE, VMS and YZJSGD, with CSE, FEHT, FRKN, MPM and VALUE rounding up the small/mid-caps sector.
Given our slightly more bullish earnings expectations of 5.6% growth for 2024 (vs 2.4% six months ago), we have upgraded our 2024 year-end target for the STI to 3,380 which implies 1.0% upside from current levels. The index’s current valuation remains inexpensive at 2024F PE and P/B of 10.5x and 1.1x respectively. Our top picks for 2H24 are CLI, GENS, KEP, MINT, OCBC, SCI, STE, VMS and YZJSGD, with CSE, FEHT, FRKN, MPM and VALUE rounding up the small/mid-caps sector.
GREATER CHINA Results Bosideng (3998 HK/NOT RATED/HK$4.56): FY24: Earnings beat; healthy inventory; targets revenue to exceed Rmb30b by FY25/26. INDONESIA Strategy Investors Feedback To 2H24 Strategy: Our top picks are BBRI, BBNI, BMRI, BBTN, BSDE, CTRA, BUKA, CMRY, ACES and JSMR. We have an end-24 target of 7,800 for the JCI. MALAYSIA Results Sapura Energy (SAPE MK/HOLD/RM0.04/Target: RM0.06): 1QFY24: Core loss expected due to weak rig EBITDA, though this is temporary. SAPE made progress in c...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Valuetronics (VALUE SP/BUY/S$0.640/Target: S$0.78): FY24: Earnings within expectations; new customers to start the next chapter of growth. TRADERS’ CORNER Riverstone Holdings (RSTON SP): Trading BUY Medtecs International (MED SP): Trading BUY
While Middle East tensions have escalated in the past 72 hours, we believe that the situation remains fluid. Oil prices remain the key worry and could negatively impact Asian growth and thus Singapore’s open economy should it escalate past US$100/bbl. In our view, aviation stocks should be able to pass on any oil price related increases, while near-term sentiment for the upstream and offshore marine sector should remain positive. An overall risk-off sentiment will likely pervade the markets in t...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy The Impact Of Escalating Middle East Tensions A fluid situation with oil prices the key worry. Small/Mid Cap Highlights BRC Asia (BRC SP/BUY/S$1.94/Target: S$2.42) 1QFY24: Strong results as construction demand recovers. TRADERS’ CORNER Aztech Global (AZTECH SP): Trading BUY Isdn Holdings (ISDN SP): Trading BUY
Recent comments by US Fed officials raise the spectre of zero interest rate cuts should the US economy remain robust. We view Singapore corporates’ debt levels as manageable across the companies we cover, with free cash flow generation forecast to remain strong in 2024. Nevertheless, some companies’ profit margins could erode in 2024 should interest rate cuts be deferred into 2025, eg WIL, CDL, CLI, SCI and KEP. Companies with high cash piles (eg VALUE, GENS and YZJ) could benefit.
The Budget 2024 unveiled by Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Finance Lawrence Wong continued its strategy of helping Singaporeans contend with the rising costs of living, lending support for mid-career and lower income workers to upskill, investing in the country’s energy transition, and making slight changes to taxes for property developers. Importantly, Singapore has set aside S$1b to invest in new AI initiatives.
In Jan 24, our Alpha Picks portfolio beat the STI by 2.7ppt and 0.7ppt on an equal- and market-weighted basis respectively, as the STI slipped into negative territory. Stocks began the year on a subdued note with the external environment remaining uncertain. For Feb 24, we add Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (YZJ) as we see dividend upside and potential earnings upgrades from its upcoming results and remove Seatrium (STM) as uncertainty over the size of its 2023 write-offs may weigh in the short term.
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