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Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

ODDO : Long majors vs short LCC : le choix de 2026

Sur 2026, nous estimons que la dynamique sera plus favorable aux majors européennes tant sur le RASK (croissance plus modérée des capacités et meilleure orientation du réseau long-courrier en particulier transatlantique), que sur le CASK hors carburant aidé par des effets de base positifs. Nous relevons notre opinion à Surperformance sur Air France-KLM et Lufthansa et dégradons Ryanair en Neutre et Wizz Air en Sous-performance.

Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

ODDO : Long legacy carriers vs short LCC: the choice for 2026

For 2026, we think that the trend will be more favourable to the European legacy carriers in terms of both RASK (more modest growth in capacity and a more positive trend on the long-haul network, particularly transatlantic) and CASK excluding fuel, aided by positive base effects. We have upgraded Air France-KLM and Lufthansa to Outperform, downgraded Ryanair to Neutral and Wizz Air to Underperform. A more favourable trend expected in 2026 for legacy carriers

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: LPP PW; PL Macro; BDX PW; EBS AV; SNG RO; RO Macro; HTO GA...

HEADLINES: • LPP: 4Q prelims in line with expectations NEUTRAL • Poland macro: NBP on hold • Budimex: bids rank highest in two PSE tenders NEUTRAL • Romgaz: 4Q25 operational results NEUTRAL • Romania macro: positive news • OTE: Greek telecoms regulator launches public consultations on 900MHz and 1,800MHz spectrum POSITIVE • Metlen Energy & Metals: sells 283MW UK solar portfolio to Schroders Greencoat POSITIVE • Aselsan: strategic JV agreement with CSG POSITIVE • Erste Bank: 4Q25E preview (due on...

Gabor Bukta
  • Gabor Bukta

Halfway out of the turbulence

Summary We leave our TP at 20.0 GBP and reiterate our Buy recommendation, reflecting the ongoing restructuring story. Following the fiscal Q3/26 conference call held on 29 January, we repeatedly concluded that the fruitful strategic overhaul is under way. The management is building back confidence, so that’s good news for value investors. The problem is that they have to manage high-capacity growth (+24% seats and +30% ASK) during fiscal Q2/27. Key question remains how the market will be able ...

Mihaly Gajda
  • Mihaly Gajda

Erste – reinitiation of coverage

We reinitiate the coverage of Erste Bank with a Neutral recommendation. Our 2026 year-end ex-dividend target price is EUR 107.0, which implies an upside potential of approximately 4.6%. For 2025, we forecast a dividend of EUR 0.76 per share, corresponding to a payout ratio of 10%. At current levels, the stock trades at 1.88× P/TBV, 13.7× 2025 P/E, and 11.5× 2026 P/E.

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: all indices in the green in Januar...

EME Equity Market – January 2026 All regions in the green in January, with the Turkish ISE the best performer. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 11.1% mom in EUR terms and 13.2% mom in USD terms in January. The Turkish ISE was the top performer (+20.8% mom), followed by the Hungarian BUX (+17.5% mom); the Romanian BET (+11.1% mom); the Greek ASE (+9.2% mom); the Polish WIG 20 (+5.9% mom); and the Czech PX (+2.4% mom; all in EUR terms).

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: WIZZ LN; CCC PW; ALE PW; INPST NA; BDX PW; SPL PW; SNP RO;...

HEADLINES: • Wizz Air: 3Q FY26 – broadly in line NEUTRAL • CCC: profit warning – 4Q25 EBITDA down 50-60% yoy, FY25E guidance missed by 15% NEGATIVE • Allegro/InPost: Allegro raises delivery fees by c.4%, effective as of 2 March NEUTRAL • Budimex: extension of strategic options review process for FBSerwis until April 2026 NEUTRAL • Santander Bank Polska: 4Q25E preview (due on 4 February) • OMV Petrom: 4Q25E results preview (due on 4 February) NEUTRAL • Titan: EUR 350m bond at 3.5% to fund M&A and...

Jakub Caithaml
  • Jakub Caithaml

WOOD Flash – Wizz Air: may grow capacity by c.20% in FY27E

In an interview with Bloomberg, Wizz Air’s CEO, Jozsef Varadi, has suggested that the airline may grow faster than the latest guidance implied, driven by the unparking of grounded aircraft and new aircraft deliveries. Bloomberg has reported that the CEO was suggesting that the airline may grow capacity by around 20% in FY26E yoy. We believe this is a misinterpretation of what the CEO meant, as it would require an unrealistic acceleration of capacity growth in the January-March period. We have re...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PL Macro; MUR PW; PCO PW; XTB PW; PZU PW; CTPNV NA; WIZZ L...

HEADLINES: • Poland macro: rates unchanged, and some positive news • Murapol: sells 767 and hands over 1,286 units in 4Q25 NEGATIVE • Pepco Group: 1Q26 revenues growth eases to 4% yoy; FY26E guidance maintained NEGATIVE • XTB S.A.: over 250k new clients in 4Q25 in sight NEUTRAL • PZU/Bank Pekao: merger uncertain even by end-4Q27E, according to the Minister of State Assets NEUTRAL • CTP: prices EUR 500m 4Y bond at 3.4%; leases space in Amsterdam to Crisp POSITIVE • Wizz Air: may grow capacity by ...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: KRU PW; SPL PW; EBS AV; CAR PW; DHS HB; CCOLA TI; EME Macr...

HEADLINES: • Kruk: 4Q25 trading update – miss on annual investments, but recoveries strong NEUTRAL • Santander Bank Polska/Erste Bank: shift of shareholdings finalised as of 9 January NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: December sales increased by 13.6% yoy NEUTRAL • Duna House: strong 4Q KPIs; Czexit; Italy stake raised to 95% POSITIVE • Coca-Cola Icecek: 4Q25 trading update and 2026E volume guidance NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (1-8 January)

 PRESS RELEASE

Digital subscription results of AS Ekspress Grupp for the fourth quart...

Digital subscription results of AS Ekspress Grupp for the fourth quarter of 2025 The total number of digital subscriptions of AS Ekspress Grupp increased by 7% in the Baltic States year-over-year (4th quarter: 5%) and totalled 255 964 at the end of December. The number of digital subscriptions of AS Delfi Meedia that publishes the news portal Delfi, newspapers Maaleht, Eesti Ekspress and several popular magazines increased by 9% year-over-year (4th quarter: 3%) and totalled 124 637.The number of digital subscriptions of AS Õhtuleht Kirjastus, 50% of which is owned by Ekspress Grupp, decrea...

 PRESS RELEASE

ASi Ekspress Grupp 2025. aasta 4. kvartali digitellimuste tulemused

ASi Ekspress Grupp 2025. aasta 4. kvartali digitellimuste tulemused ASi Ekspress Grupp digitaalsete tellimuste hulk kasvas võrreldes eelmise aasta sama perioodiga Balti riikides kokku 7% (IV kvartalis 5%) ja ulatus detsembri lõpus 255 964-ni. Eestis uudisteportaali Delfi, Maalehte, Eesti Ekspressi ja mitmeid populaarseid ajakirju kirjastava ASi Delfi Meedia digitellimuste hulk kasvas võrreldes eelmise aasta sama perioodiga 9% (IV kvartalis 3%), ulatudes 124 637-ni.50%-liselt Ekspress Grupile kuuluva ASi Õhtuleht Kirjastus digitellimuste hulk kahanes võrreldes eelmise aasta sama perioodiga ...

 PRESS RELEASE

Changes in the Management Board of AS Delfi Meedia

Changes in the Management Board of AS Delfi Meedia The Supervisory Board of AS Delfi Meedia, the subsidiary of AS Ekspress Grupp, decided to elect Karin Vene as a new member of the Management Board until January 6, 2029. Karin Vene will be responsible for managing the company’s new business areas. Starting from January 7, 2026, the Management Board of Delfi Meedia will be as follows: Erik Heinsaar (Chairman of the Board), Erle Laak-Sepp, Tarvo Ulejev, Urmo Soonvald, Piret Põldoja, Sander Maasik and Karin Vene. The CV of Karin Vene is enclosed to the stock exchange release. Delfi Meedia A...

 PRESS RELEASE

Muudatus ASi Delfi Meedia juhatuses

Muudatus ASi Delfi Meedia juhatuses ASi Ekspress Grupp tütarettevõtte AS Delfi Meedia nõukogu otsustas valida uueks juhatuse liikmeks Karin Vene tähtajaga 6. jaanuar 2029. Karin Vene hakkab vastutama ettevõtte uute ärivaldkondade juhtimise eest. Alates 7. jaanuarist 2026 tegutseb ASi Delfi Meedia juhatus järgmises koosseisus: Erik Heinsaar (juhatuse esimees), Erle Laak-Sepp, Tarvo Ulejev, Urmo Soonvald, Piret Põldoja, Sander Maasik ja Karin Vene.  Karin Vene CV on lisatud börsiteatele. Delfi Meedia AS on Eesti kõige kiirem, innovaatilisem ja laiema teemaderingiga meediaettevõte, mis omab...

 PRESS RELEASE

Financial reporting calendar for year 2026

Financial reporting calendar for year 2026 In 2026 AS Ekspress Grupp will publish its consolidated financial results and quarterly results of digital subscriptions according to the schedule below. DateEvent12th January 2026Results for digital subscriptions for the 4th quarter of 202520th February 20262025 12 months and 4th quarter unaudited interim report1st April 2026Audited Annual Report 202510th April 2026Results for digital subscriptions for the 1st quarter of 202630th April 20262026 3 months and 1st quarter unaudited interim report10th July 2026Results for digital subscriptions for the...

 PRESS RELEASE

Finantskalender 2026. aastal

Finantskalender 2026. aastal 2026. aastal avaldab AS Ekspress Grupp konsolideeritud majandustulemused ja kvartaalsed digitellimuste tulemused järgmiselt. KuupäevSündmus12. jaanuar 20262025. aasta IV kvartali digitellimuste tulemused20. veebruar 20262025. aasta 12 kuu ja IV kvartali auditeerimata vahearuanne01. aprill 2026Auditeeritud 2025. aasta majandusaasta aruanne10. aprill 20262026. aasta I kvartali digitellimuste tulemused30. aprill 20262026. aasta 3 kuu ja I kvartali auditeerimata vahearuanne10. juuli 20262026. aasta II kvartali digitellimuste tulemused31. juuli 20262026. aasta 6 kuu ...

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