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Tijs Hollestelle
  • Tijs Hollestelle

Kendrion/First recovery signals/BUY

Kendrion booked higher than expected revenue in 4Q25, up c.8% YoY. For the first time in a long time, management stated that the European economy is showing signs of improvement. EBITDA was in line with expectations, underscoring the positive effects of the strategic repositioning as a pure play industrial. The impact of the significant disposal programme was also visible in the balance sheet - Kendrion's leverage ratio ended 2025 at 0.8x, a material improvement on the 2.7x about a year ago. Alt...

Martijn Den Drijver
  • Martijn Den Drijver
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ackermans & van Haaren: Results capping already strong subsidiary reporting. DPS beat. Fagron: Acquisition of Pharmavit Europe, active in nutraceutical raw materials. Fugro: Patience please. Kendrion: Sees signs of improvement in EU economy. Proximus: 2026 dividend halved, 2028-30 targets a bit better on lower capex. Proximus: 4Q25 in line EBITDA on weaker sales, FCF up; 2026 guidance below on EBITDA. Recticel: Strong FY25 results, CEO transition seen as a negative

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aedifica: Conference call highlights. Basic-Fit: Belgian VAT increase for culture, sports and takeaway meals postponed. BE Semiconductor Industries: 4Q25 Preview, incremental strength. Kendrion: Preview - Clean into 2026. Magnum Ice Cream Company: Acquisition of Kwality Wall's launched. Retail Estates: Re-letting progress highlights portfolio quality. Semi Equipment: AMAT readthrough strength. Universal Music Group: EU Commission approves UMG's Downtown acquisition, requires full Curve Ro...

Martijn Den Drijver
  • Martijn Den Drijver
Martijn Den Drijver
  • Martijn Den Drijver
Martijn Den Drijver
  • Martijn Den Drijver
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Adyen: CMD press release; strong growth for the years ahead. Heijmans: Nice bolt-on! Kendrion: Hitting a 15.5% EBITDA margin in 3Q25. Staffing Sector: French staffing: September trend weaker but October outlook slightly better despite tougher comps. TKH Group: Weak 3Q EBITA, keeps FY outlook

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Azelis: Appointment of Boris Cambon-Lalanne as group CFO. Belgian Telecoms: Price increase on most of the non-commercialised products and Scarlet trio. D'Ieteren: Belgian October car registrations down 7%, VW down 20%. Kendrion: Results preview; launching share buyback programme. Kinepolis: Acquires US movie theatre chain Emagine Entertainment for US$105m. Kinepolis: October box office in US/Canada and France attendance drop again. Ontex: Branded activity now fully divested. Philip...

David Vagman ... (+2)
  • David Vagman
  • CFA

Kinepolis/Low 3Q25 expectations, case hinges on M&A/BUY

After a poor summer 2025, a slightly better September, we cut our 2025F-2026F-2027F visitor estimates by 2%, our EBITDAL by 4%, our EPS by 6-7%, and our target price from €43 to €41. We are 8% below consensus EBITDAL 2025F, 5% below for 2026F and 15% below consensus EPS 2025F, 10% below 2026F. We are more prudent on the box office recovery, with attendance 2025F-2026F-2027F at 63.4%, 66.5% and 66.3% of pre-Covid levels, down from a post-Covid “peak” of 69.5% in 2023 (‘Barbie') and compared to 63...

Tijs Hollestelle
  • Tijs Hollestelle

Kendrion/Phoenix/BUY

Kendrion's transformation into a dedicated industrial company with a sound balance sheet is complete. In three major strategic steps Kendrion has removed its exposure to the struggling global automotive industry. This exposure has been a drag on the results and cash flow generating power of the company since 2018. We also believe investors applied a valuation discount to Kendrion to reflect this. The sale of the bulk of the automotive business (US and EU) to Solero Technologies in April 2024, th...

Martijn Den Drijver
  • Martijn Den Drijver
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