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Martijn Den Drijver
  • Martijn Den Drijver

Kendrion : More self-help than assumed but recovery a bit pushed out

>Q3 results mixed to positive - The Q3 results were mixed to positive. Industrial did better than expected in terms of sales (growth in IB and flat in IAC) but the Residual automotive part was impacted by a negative development in Sound and Fuel controllers with good but not great growth in Automotive China. Positive was that the EBITDA margin came in materially higher than anticipated (12.1% vs 10.5%). In the analyst call CEO van Beurden indicated that some projects ...

Martijn Den Drijver
  • Martijn Den Drijver

Kendrion : A solid performance in Q3, apart from residual Auto

>Sales a miss (Auto related), Industrial sales a beat, EBITDA margins a beat - Kendrion Q3 sales missed our estimates (no css) by 4%, which is solely driven by the Residual automotive business as IAC and Industral Brakes performed well. Due to cost savings and higher sales levels, the adj. EBITDA came in at €8.8m or a beat of 12% with the adj. EBITDA margin coming in at 12.1% versus our expectation of 10.5%. Due to that better than expected performance, the net profit...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ahold Delhaize: A strong 3Q24, driven by Europe. CFE: 3Q24 preview - able to keep net profit outlook? CTP: Good results, guidance reiterated. DEME Group: 3Q24 preview - keeping the FY outlook. Exor: Ferrari hitting Chinese wall. IBA: Contract win for E-beam sterilisation solution in the Dominican Republic. Kendrion: 3Q24 preview - harsh end markets but easy comps. Proximus: 2025 price increases on the high side, more asset sales in the pipeline. Solvay: 3Q24 results beat by 4% bu...

Martijn Den Drijver
  • Martijn Den Drijver

Kendrion : Mixed to positive feelings about new strategic targets

>Capital Markets Day today - Kendrion is presenting its new strategy today following the announced divestment of most of its Automotive activities to Solero, a transaction that will raise €65m and is expected to close on October 10 of this year. As part of the new strategy, Kendrion has announced new financial targets including an adj. EBITDA margin of between 15% and 18% as of 2025 and a ROI of 23%-27% as of 2027. The dividend pay-out is raised from 30%-50% to 50% an...

Martijn Den Drijver
  • Martijn Den Drijver

Kendrion : Modest adjustments to 2024-2025 estimates, investment case ...

>Result of core Industrial activities not as disappointing as initially assumed - The Q2 results of Kendrion were not as disappointing as we initially reported. The Industrial unit actually performed better than we had anticipated with IB outperforming on sales and the Industrial unit as a whole outperforming on adj. EBITDA although the adj. EBITDA margin was still down yoy. Yes, the Residual business did not show the improvement in adj. EBITDA we had anticipated des...

Tijs Hollestelle
  • Tijs Hollestelle

Kendrion/Margin over volume please/BUY

Kendrion's continued business, in our view, reported solid 2Q24 results. The share price though declined and the stock currently trades c.5% below the share price level before the announcement to dispose the Auto business. This has been fundamentally the most important positive news since the take-over of Intorq back in 2019 but the stock keeps sliding downwards. Kendrion will host a CMD on 5 September. This offers management the opportunity to turn the tide and we expect focus on: (1) Margin po...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ASR: 1H small beat, KNAB add-on to Solvency 2 higher. Avantium: Down to the wire. Flow Traders: Pump up the volume. Greenyard: 1Q24/25 preview. Kendrion: Navigating difficult end markets. Montea: Solid results with no surprises, guidance reiterated. NEPI Rockcastle: Guidance raised, M&A opportunities on the radar. Tessenderlo: 1H24 Adj. EBITDA miss of 5%, lower FY guidance

Martijn Den Drijver
  • Martijn Den Drijver

Kendrion : Not the hoped for Q2, outlook cautious

>Weak Q2 in terms of margins and FCF - Kendrion’s Q2 results are disappointing relative to our estimates (no consensus). Sales were in line at €78m, up sequentially by 3% but down 7% yoy. Adjusted EBITDA came in at €8.2m or a miss of 16% versus our estimates with the adj. EBITDA margin coming in at 10.6% versus an expected 12.7%. Q1 2024 adj. EBITDA margin was 13.3%. We assume the miss on the adj. EBITDA is due to disappointing retained automotive revenues and a slowe...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Kendrion: Preview - focus on continued business. Recticel: Kingspan 1H24 trading update

Martijn Den Drijver
  • Martijn Den Drijver

Kendrion : A brake and actuator niche market leader

We initiate coverage on Kendrion with an Outperform and a TP of €17 per share. The divestment of most of the Automotive business means that Kendrion can focus on the Industrial activities where EBITDA margins are higher and there is less dependency on specific customers. We assume only a modest recovery in Industrial activity in Brakes, while we are more positive on IAC and the China Automotive business (based on contracts won). The operational leverage on growth plus the cost-sa...

Kendrion N.V.: 1 director

A director at Kendrion N.V. maiden bought 3,500 shares at 13.950EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 70/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years c...

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