We have revisited our scenario for Aalberts in light of persistent political instability in France and the continued publication of uninspiring leading indicators. With the company's substantial exposure to both the French and German markets, and its reliance on automotive and machine-building as key end markets, we have revised our 2026 organic growth forecast downward to 1.6%. We expect consensus to follow in the coming months. Despite the (historically) cheap valuation, we downgrade the stock...
The fifth ODDO BHF Iberian Forum was held virtually, gathering 62 Iberian issuers and close to 200 institutional investors, making it one of the largest dedicated Iberian conferences of the year. The event generated 47 feedbacks, 6 target price revisions (including 4 downgrades), and a rating downgrade for Ence. The main topics of discussion were the impact of US tariffs and a weak USD on industrial companies, concerns about final demand in Europe and the US, and the sustainability of Spain’s ec...
Ahead of Aalberts 3Q25 trading update (due 23 October) we update our financial 2025-27F forecasts. Aalberts interim results arrived slightly below our estimates, and end market conditions in our view have not improved in 3Q25. We lower our FY25 adjusted EBITA margin estimate to 13.5%, now in line with Aalberts' recent outlook. Our FY26 forecasts now include the acquisition Grand Venture Technologies as we expect the take-over to finalise towards the end of this year (delisting date at or around ...
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