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Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Weekly news, topics & discussion

This week, we published a note on Aker BP highlighting our growing concerns of sharp cuts to consensus FCF, with capex assumptions beyond 2026 looking far too low to us – we are ~40% below consensus on 2027–2030e FCF. As well as BW Energy’s Q1 trading update revealing net production just below our estimate, it announced a sale & leaseback agreement, which we see as marginally accretive to our NAV. In other news, we believe the Tyra ramp-up will be in focus in BlueNord’s Q1 results, due next week

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen
ABGSC Seafood Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Seafood Research
  • Martin Kaland
  • Simon Brun

If it's too good to be true, it usually is

Salmon prices higher on another blow to '24e supply, but farmers struggling to reap the benefits due to weak biology. Valuation not demanding, but more mixed triggers short term.

ABGSC Seafood Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Seafood Research
  • Martin Kaland
  • Simon Brun

Slow start to an exciting year

We estimate Q1 EBIT of NOK 774m (-10% vs. FactSet consensus). '24e EBIT -5% as biological issues offset higher spot prices. Patience is a virtue: '24-25e PE 10x-9x – BUY, TP NOK 65 (59).

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Valuation update

In this note, we show updated valuation statistics for the E&P sector.

 PRESS RELEASE

Lerøy Seafood Group ASA: Key information relating to the cash dividend...

Lerøy Seafood Group ASA: Key information relating to the cash dividend to be paid by Lerøy Seafood Group ASA Dividend amount: NOK 2.5 per shareDeclared currency: NOKLast day including right: 28 May 2024Ex-date: 29 May 2024Record date: 30 May 2024Payment date: 5 June 2024Date of approval: 28 May 2024 This information is published in accordance with the requirements of the Oslo Børs Rule Book II section 4.2.4 (1) no. 3.  

 PRESS RELEASE

Lerøy Seafood Group ASA: Annual report for 2023

Lerøy Seafood Group ASA: Annual report for 2023 Please find attached Lerøy Seafood Group ASA's annual report for 2023. The annual report is also attached in a machine-readable format according to ESEF (European Single Electronic Format). As part of the group’s integrated reporting, an overview of priorities, measurements, and targets within environment, social and governance (“ESG”) is included. The Board of Directors has proposed a dividend payment of NOK 2.50 per share for distribution in 2024. Key dates are set out in a separate stock exchange announcement. ...

 PRESS RELEASE

Lerøy Seafood Group ASA: Årsrapport for 2023

Lerøy Seafood Group ASA: Årsrapport for 2023          Vedlagt følger årsrapport for Lerøy Seafood Group ASA for 2023. Som del av konsernets integrerte rapportering inneholder årsrapporten en oversikt over fokusområder, måleindikatorer og mål innen miljø, samfunnsmessig og finansiell bærekraft (ESG). Årsrapporten er også vedlagt i et maskinlesbart format i tråd med ESEF (European Single Electronic Format).  Styret har foreslått et utbytte til utbetaling i 2024 på NOK 2,50 per aksje. Det vises til egen børsmelding med relevante datoer. ...

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Weekly news, topics & discussion

This week, Equinor, Aker BP and Vår Energi released their Q1 results. In short: Equinor reported on the strong side, with a solid FCF beat fuelled by a working capital tailwind. Aker BP had a solid Q1 all around, while there was limited new news on Johan Sverdrup. For Vår Energi, with the results in line with our expectations, we believe investor focus remains on the Jotun FPSO sail-away.

Emil Jonsson
  • Emil Jonsson

Norion Bank (Buy, TP: SEK53.00) - Market still overstating risk

Q1 earnings were solid, with low credit losses the main positive. We still see a favourable growth outlook, with a 2023–2026e earnings CAGR of c9%, combined with 7–18% dividend yields. We continue to find the stock undervalued, at a 2025e P/E of c6x, adjusted for excess capital. We reiterate our BUY and have raised our target price to SEK53 (52) on 1–4% higher 2025–2026e EPS.

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Solid NCS production in March

The preliminary Norwegian Offshore Directorate (NOD) production figures for the NCS in March showed strong liquids production of 2,086kboed (~4% above forecast) and gas production of 365mcm/d (broadly in line). Overall production was up 2.7% MOM. On a company level, production was down MOM for most names in February; Aker BP and Equinor were hit by reduced production from Johan Sverdrup, while Vår Energi was hampered by downtime at Fenja.

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Weekly news, topics & discussion

This week, we published a Q1 preview on Equinor. We believe its share price upswing since its CMU is mainly attributable to strong performance by its peer group. The stock is trading at a 15% premium to peers, in line with its historical average. In other news, Vår Energi reported Q1 production in line with our estimates, with realised prices slightly above. We expect focus in the full Q1 report (due on 23 April) to be on Balder X and Johan Castberg. Also, according to news sources, Equinor’s ch...

 PRESS RELEASE

Ekstraordinær generalforsamling i Jyske Bank A/S den 18. april 2024

Ekstraordinær generalforsamling i Jyske Bank A/S den 18. april 2024 På bankens ekstraordinære generalforsamling d.d. blev forslagene ifølge dagsordenen endelig vedtaget. Forslagene om vedtægtsændringer fremsat af bestyrelsen under dagsordenens pkt. a.1 – a.4 (vedr. vederlagsstrukturen for repræsentantskabet, valg af bestyrelsesmedlemmer og håndtering af direktionens lønnings- og pensionsvilkår) samt forslaget under dagsordenens pkt. b vedrørende generalforsamlingens bemyndigelse til bestyrelsen til brug for vedtægternes registrering blev alle vedtaget. Erhvervsstyrelsen anmodes he...

 PRESS RELEASE

Extraordinary General Meeting of Jyske Bank A/S held on 18 April 2024

Extraordinary General Meeting of Jyske Bank A/S held on 18 April 2024 At the Extraordinary General Meeting of Jyske Bank held today, the motions set out in the agenda were finally adopted. The motions about amendments to the Articles of Association proposed by the Supervisory Board under items a.1 – a.4 of the agenda (concerning the remuneration structure for the Shareholders' Representatives, election of Supervisory Board members and handling of the salary and pension terms of the Executive Board) as well as the motion under item b of the agenda concerning the authorisation of the gen...

 PRESS RELEASE

Ledende medarbejderes og disses nærtståendes transaktioner

Ledende medarbejderes og disses nærtståendes transaktioner Indberetning nr. 5 / 2024 Indberetning og offentliggørelse om aktiebesiddelser hos Jyske Banks indberetningspligtige i henhold til EU-forordningen om markedsmisbrug. For yderligere detaljer henvises til de vedhæftede skemaer. Vedhæftede filer

 PRESS RELEASE

Transactions by persons discharging managerial responsibilities and pe...

Transactions by persons discharging managerial responsibilities and persons closely associated with them Disclosure 5 / 2024 Notification and public disclosure of transactions by persons discharging managerial responsibilities and persons closely associated with them in compliance with the EU Commission Market Abuse Regulation. Further details are included in the attachments. Attachments

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Valuation update

In this note, we show updated valuation statistics for the E&P sector.

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