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ABGSC Chemicals Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Chemicals Research
  • Bengt Jonassen
  • Martin Melbye
Niclas Gehin
  • Niclas Gehin

Yara (Buy, TP: NOK425.00) - Volumes/costs aid Q1 EBITDA beat

Q1 EBITDA beat our estimate by 19% and consensus by 22%, with help from solid volumes, lower energy costs and a higher share of premium products sold, FX tailwinds and further cost reductions. Its FID on the blue ammonia projects is still set for H1 2026 and it continues to highlight the strategic rationale of the investment. Our estimates are largely unchanged (no change to 2026–2027e EPS), with higher earnings following the report broadly offset by slightly lower nitrate prices in recent weeks...

Johannes Grunselius
  • Johannes Grunselius

Stora Enso (Buy, TP: EUR12.00) - Reassuring Q1

After a series of negative earnings surprises, the Q1 results exceeded our expectations, mainly on progress in the key Consumer Packaging division. In addition, we found it reassuring that management reiterated that the forestry asset sale is ongoing, with completion expected before end-H1. We have made limited forecast changes, and reiterate our BUY and EUR12 target price.

ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research
  • Ali Shemmari
  • Henrik Bartnes
  • Martin Melbye
ABGSC Financials Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Financials Research
  • Jan Erik Gjerland
  • Magnus Andersson
  • Patrik Brattelius
ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research
  • Ali Shemmari
  • Martin Melbye
ABGSC Chemicals Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Chemicals Research
  • Bengt Jonassen
  • Martin Melbye
 PRESS RELEASE

Yara reports strong deliveries and margins

Yara reports strong deliveries and margins Yara reports first quarter 2025 EBITDA excluding special items1 of USD 638 million compared with USD 435 million in first quarter 2024. Net income was USD 295 million compared with USD 16 million a year earlier. First quarter 2025 highlights: EBITDA excl. special items1 up 47%, with strong deliveries and marginsCost reductions on track and continuous improvements through portfolio optimizationSupportive nitrogen upgrading margins in the medium termYara’s scale and global optimization provide flexibility in volatile times “We are pleased with rep...

 PRESS RELEASE

Yara rapporterer sterke leveranser og marginer

Yara rapporterer sterke leveranser og marginer EBITDA eksklusive spesielle poster1 for første kvartal 2025 var 638 millioner USD sammenlignet med 435 millioner USD i første kvartal 2024. Resultat etter skatt var 295 millioner USD sammenlignet med 16 millioner USD året før. Hovedpunkter fra kvartalet: EBITDA eksklusive spesielle poster1 økte med 47% drevet av sterke leveranser og marginerKostnadsreduksjoner i rute og kontinuerlige forbedringer gjennom porteføljeoptimaliseringGode markedsutsikter for nitrogen på mellomlang siktYaras skala og globale forretningsmodell gir fleksibilitet  – V...

ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Benjamin Wahlstedt
  • Fredrik Ivarsson
ABGSC Financials Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Financials Research
  • Fredrik Flørnes Støle
  • Jan Erik Gjerland
ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Benjamin Wahlstedt
  • Fredrik Ivarsson
 PRESS RELEASE

Reminder: Program for the publication of Yara International ASA first ...

Reminder: Program for the publication of Yara International ASA first quarter results 2025 Yara International ASA first quarter 2025 results will be published on Friday, 25 April 2025 at 08:00 CEST. You can follow the first-quarter results presentation online at 12:00 CEST. The presentation will be held in English. The report, presentation and webcast will be available at the above mentioned times at   There will also be a conference call at 13:00 CEST the same day with an opportunity to ask questions to Yara’s management. Please use the link to register for this session:   Registered c...

Alexander Aukner
  • Alexander Aukner

Time to revisit

The unfolding trade war has led us to cut our global 2025–2027e demand and trim our spot price estimates. The negative price effect is partly countered by reduced mortality boosting volumes and lowering costs, leading to net EPS cuts of 11–2%. Given the sector’s solid track record in adapting to past crises and recent share-price declines, we see a significantly improved risk/reward and have a positive stance on the sector. We have upgraded Mowi, Bakkafrost, and Grieg Seafood to BUY (HOLD).

ABGSC Chemicals Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Chemicals Research
  • Bengt Jonassen
  • Martin Melbye
Johannes Grunselius
  • Johannes Grunselius

Stora Enso (Buy, TP: EUR12.00) - Headwinds versus intrinsic values

Reflecting escalating general macro uncertainty leading to softer prices for most of Stora Enso’s industries and FX headwinds (weaker USD and stronger SEK), we have reduced our 2025–2026e adj. EBITDA by 6% per year. Despite this, we still find the valuation discount too high, especially since we believe Stora Enso’s explicit plan of selling 12% of its Swedish forestland could be a potential positive catalyst. We reiterate our BUY, but have reduced our target price to EUR12 (13).

ABGSC Consumer Goods Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Consumer Goods Research
  • Benjamin Wahlstedt
  • Fredrik Ivarsson
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