In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
We shared our view of Charter’s results this morning. Subscriber and EBITDA results were better than expected. In this note following the earnings call and our follow-up conversations, we address the following key investor issues including 1) broadband subscriber trends; 2) price increases and broadband ARPU; 3) EBITDA growth; 4) amended MVNO agreement; and 5) Leverage.
Charter’s broadband losses were better than expected. Revenue missed but EBITDA beat estimates on lower costs. We expect the stock to trade up on these results, but where it winds up for the day will depend on commentary around 1Q subscriber trends and 2026 EBITDA guide. A reassurance that Charter will grow EBITDA in 2026 would be good for the stock.
With the CHTR/Cox deal moving towards approval and CMCSA out of running for WBD, we are again getting questions as to whether CMCSA could buy the combined CHTR/Cox entity. Further, as our New Street colleagues discussed yesterday, there has been a divergence in the stock price performances of Comcast and Charter driven by a potential ‘value unlock’ resulting from a potential split of Comcast cable from NBCU. It is beyond the scope of our expertise to analyze the financial details that could jus...
We are taking 3Q25 results and the most recent cNPS data and laying out our latest thinking and forecasts ahead of 4Q results. We expect 4Q results and attendant 2026 guidance to contain material information value for investors and we wanted to share our latest forecasts, data, and trends as a starting point as we navigate this impactful season.
We recently published our Future of Broadband report where we predicted Cable’s broadband market share will continue to fall for the foreseeable future. We got the question, 'what is cable market share looking like in the most mature fiber markets, is it asymptoting?'. The answer is no. In this report, we use data from our Opensignal partnership to show that Cable’s subscriber market share has continued to fall in markets where they compete against only one fiber provider over a multi-year perio...
As we suggested in our note following up on the oral argument relating to the California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC) approval of the VZ/FYBR transaction, the CPUC appeared sympathetic to VZ’s concerns. As a result, we thought all the issues could be resolved in a manner acceptable to VZ and that the CPUC could approve the deal as soon as today, the 15th. Based on a 169 page filing by the Administrative Law Judge late yesterday, it appears that assessment was correct and it is now likely...
Yesterday morning, we provided our pre-game analysis of the California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC) oral argument that was held late yesterday afternoon. We have not yet seen the transcript but in this note we make a couple of observations to assist investors following the transaction.
Today, at 1:00 PM PT, there will be an oral argument before the California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC) in which VZ will argue for various changes to the Proposed Decision (PD) related to VZ’s acquisition of FYBR. As discussed in last week’s note, there are many issues at stake but from an investor’s perspective the most critical appears to be about what deployment obligations the combined company will have if the merger closes. In this note, we list the changes VZ seeks to assist invest...
Recent filings at the California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC) confirm that there is still a gap between what VZ is willing to do to gain approval of its acquisition of FYBR and what the CPUC wants. In this note we update our thinking on the state of play and what happens next.
This week we published three notes that preview what we think will be critical to investors in telecom/media/tech policy environment. In the first, we evaluated what questions do we not know the answer to today but will in a year that will have a material impact on stocks and depend in part on policy. In the second, we looked at the biggest policy related investment stories of 2025 and how the lingering elements of those stories will play out. In this third one we evaluate nine predictions mad...
Moody's Ratings (Moody's) assigned Baa1 ratings to T-Mobile USA, Inc.'s (T-Mobile) proposed backed senior unsecured notes, which will be comprised of various maturities. T-Mobile intends to use the net proceeds from the proposed offering for general corporate purposes, which may include refinancing ...
This week we are publishing three notes that analyze what we think will be critical to investors in telecom/media/tech policy environment in the year ahead. In the first one, published yesterday we evaluated questions that we do not know the answer to today--but will in a year--that will have a material impact on stocks and depend in part on policy. In this second one, we look at the biggest policy related investment stories of 2025 and how the lingering elements of those stories will play out i...
Late Friday, President Trump released a new Presidential Memoranda on 6G and Spectrum. While what the Memoranda said is largely a restatement of what we have previously reported, we think the most important element for investors is what it didn’t say; specifically, that by omission it appears to protect the spectrum known as the Citizens Band Radio Services (CBRS) currently used by cable (and others) for wireless services. In this note we provide an analysis of the Memoranda.
In a recent analysis of an Administrative Law Judge issuing a Proposed Decision recommending California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC) approval of the VZ/FYBR deal, albeit with numerous conditions, we focused on the conditions related to the tension between VZ’s letter to the FCC changing its policies toward DEI and requirements under California law and regulation, as that has been the key discussion point in the process to date. We noted but did not focus on the build-out requirement in pa...
The VZ/FYBR deal has moved closer to closing with an Administrative Law Judge issuing a Proposed Decision recommending California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC) approval, albeit with numerous conditions. In this note we discuss that Proposed Decision and the steps forward from here.
Two Directors at T-Mobile US Inc sold 1,495 shares at between 0.000USD and 210.320USD. The significance rating of the trade was 54/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the l...
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