reports
- David Barden
Takeaways from our 2026 Global Connectivity Leaders Conference
We wrapped up the US version of our 2026 Global Connectivity Leaders Conference in partnership with BCG. Our London conference wrapped up on Tuesday. We will be hosting a joint takeaways call next week, Tuesday, 3/31. Here are our key quick takeaways from the US conference.
- Vikash Harlalka
CMCSA: Updating for Versant spin, new PT is $34
Having digested the revised trending schedules for the Versant spin, we are updating our Comcast model for the new disclosures, our conversations with management, and for comments at industry conferences. In this note, we compare the disclosures in the new trending schedule with prior reports. We also share our updated operating and financial estimates for 1Q and full year 2026. Finally, we have updated our valuation for the Versant spin and revised our Comcast price target to $34.
- David Barden
TMUS: Setting up for 1Q results
We are updating our model based on our recent conversations with management and comments at industry conferences. The only major change is that we’ve lowered postpaid account net adds for 1Q following Srini’s comments about seasonality at an industry conference (full year estimate is nearly unchanged). We got some updated color that has rebalanced our quarterly estimates for the year.
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
AMN AMN HEALTHCARE SERVICES INC.
TMUS T-MOBILE US INC.
VKTX VIKING THERAPEUTICS
PG PROCTER & GAMBLE COMPANY
MKTX MARKETAXESS HOLDINGS INC.
MCS MARCUS CORPORATION
KURA KURA ONCOLOGY INC.
HUN HUNTSMAN CORPORATION
FFIV F5 NETWORKS INC.
EMN EASTMAN CHEMICAL COMPANY
EDIT EDITAS MEDICINE INC.
CALM CAL-MAINE FOODS INC.
BCRX BIOCRYST PHARMACEUTICALS INC.
AWR AMERICAN STATES WATER COMPANY
FF FUTUREFUEL CORP.
JW.A JOHN WILEY & SONS INC. CLASS A
ENPH ENPHASE ENERGY INC.
PRAA PRA GROUP INC.
MLR MILLER INDUSTRIES INC.
PMTS CPI CARD GROUP
RCKT ROCKET PHARMACEUTICALS
KDP KEURIG DR PEPPER INC.
TW TRADEWEB MARKETS INC. CLASS A
NET CLOUDFLARE INC CLASS A
CZR CAESARS ENTERTAINMENT INC
DYN DYNE THERAPEUTICS
RELY REMITLY GLOBAL INC
VTEX VTEX
PFHC PROFRAC HLDG CORP
CAVA CAVA GROUP INC
AESI NEW ATLAS HOLDCO INC
KEI KOLIBRI GLOBAL ENERGY INC
RNAC CARTESIAN THERAPEUTICS INC
NEXN NEXXEN INTERNATIONAL LTD
STRZ STARZ ENTERTAINMENT CORP
ATOM 21SHARES COSMOS ETP
GRND TIGA ACQUISITION CORP
- David Barden
- Vikash Harlalka
Quick Hit: GFiber combines with Astound Broadband…who’s affected?
GFiber just announced it is combining with Astound Broadband. In this report we take a deep dive into the footprints of the two companies and analyze their overlap with the major Cable and Fiber operators. This new entity joins Brightspeed, Uniti, and Ziply in the pantheon of private fiber residential overbuilder/aggregators.
- David Barden
- Vikash Harlalka
Broadband cNPS comparisons by tech & operator - The latest data availa...
Scouring the data in this report, we’d point you to the appendix for a quick review. What stands out is that when a broadband customer interacts with a sales rep, presumably they are doing so with a problem or request that an automated or AI-driven IVR cannot address. Almost without fail, sales rep interactions are the Achilles heal of the market right now and likely a core reason, care scores suffer. The operator that can solve this puzzle, and it could be cable, has a window to shift their rel...
- David Barden
- Vikash Harlalka
Broadband Spring 2026 – A fine time for FWA
In this Broadband Spring report, we share a quick update on broadband industry trends from 4Q25 heading into 2026E. Industry net adds improved meaningfully in 4Q25 from a year ago but remained slightly below last year when we adjust for the loss of ACP. Net adds for the quarter were in line with the pre-pandemic norm but trailing twelve-month net adds remain below pre-pandemic levels. We take a deep-dive here into FWA’s continued strong momentum, by carrier, and how it fits into the overall broa...
- Vikash Harlalka
CHTR Quick Hit: Nick Jeffery joins as Chief Operating Officer
Charter just announced that Nick Jeffery, former Frontier CEO, will join the company as Chief Operating Officer (COO). We think this is a good move by Charter and it should help them improve their operations meaningfully. We provide quick thoughts in this short note.
- David Barden
- David Barden
Takeaways from Metro Connect 2026 Day One
Greetings from sunny, if chilly Fort Lauderdale where we are attending Metro Connect which one of our companies described as one of the two most important infrastructure conferences of the year. We are soooo lucky not to have gotten snowed in. If you are in the northeast, please stay warm! We just wrapped Day One where we had meetings and run-ins with many, primarily, small to mid-size private fiber operators. In this short note, we present our key takeaways from our conversations at the event.
- David Barden
TMUS: Model update post CMD
TMUS recently held their Capital Markets Day (CMD) in conjunction with 4Q results. We covered key highlights from the CMD in our note published last week. Long story short, TMUS met or exceeded most of our expectations with their guidance. In this note, we cover changes to our financial estimates and compare them with consensus and guidance. We also share our trend charts for key metrics to put the current quarter in context.
- David Barden
TMUS: Seems pretty much ok after all
Following weak relative performance on a host of concerns heading into its 4Q results and CMD, we believe the company successfully, but not totally, soothed the market. What were these concerns? Weak sub growth in the face of an ascendant Verizon, falling ARPU in an intensifying competitive climate, mediocre EBITDA growth as a result of both, and cautious capital returns as a result. By and large TMUS met or exceeded, in our view, on most of these issues. The one thing people did not like? The N...
- David Barden
T-Mobile 4Q25 Quick Take: Stay tuned
T-Mobile posted 4Q results and guidance this morning ahead of their capital markets day featuring new CEO Srini Gopalan. We are sitting in the cold lobby waiting for the doors to open crunching through the numbers. TMUS is no longer guiding to subscriber growth, but rather accounts. The guidance for 900k-1MM new accounts for 2026E x 2.5 postpaid phones per account at the end of 2025 implies 2.25-2.5MM postpaid phone nets which is a bit below where the Street was thinking. This being said, TMUS h...
- Blair Levin
What Policies Matter to Telco’s Success: Supply Side or Demand Side? ...
T CEO John Stankey recently said that “I’ve never seen federal policy this supportive of market-based investment in advanced networks.” That statement raises multiple interesting investor related questions about what does, and does not, support investment in advanced networks, including the relative importance of those policies that drive supply and those that drive demand, and how government is treating advanced networks versus networks that have lower cost structures but also involve lower pe...
- Vikash Harlalka
CHTR: Buy It Now
We believe that positive EBITDA growth and strong FCF per share growth this year mean that Charter’s stock is due for a positive revaluation. In this note, we review changes to our estimates, and comparisons with guidance and consensus. We have also updated our target valuation for Charter. Our revised price target is $328 (+47% from the close). Please see separate notes reviewing results and thoughts following the earnings call. Our broadband subscriber and total EBITDA estimates remain nearly ...
- Blair Levin
T Threats Limited in Senate FirstNet Hearing; House Hearing This Week
In a legislative battle pitting the interests of T v. VZ and TMUS, the Senate held a hearing last week on the reauthorization of the FirstNet Authority (FNA), with the House holding another one this coming Wednesday. In this note, we analyze the first hearing as well as a draft House bill with an eye toward whether the upcoming Congressional action is likely to change the current economics of public safety communications for T, VZ, and TMUS.
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vital Signs: Actionable charts
In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
PEP PEPSICO INC.
ATNI ATN INTERNATIONAL INC.
AMN AMN HEALTHCARE SERVICES INC.
VZ VERIZON COMMUNICATIONS INC.
TNET TRINET GROUP INC.
T AT&T INC.
SM SM ENERGY COMPANY
RHI ROBERT HALF INTERNATIONAL INC.
POST POST HOLDINGS INC.
NSP INSPERITY INC.
LAND GLADSTONE LAND CORP.
GIS GENERAL MILLS INC.
FLO FLOWERS FOODS INC.
EPC EDGEWELL PERSONAL CARE CO.
DECK DECKERS OUTDOOR CORPORATION
CVX CHEVRON CORPORATION
CPA COPA HOLDINGS S.A. CLASS A
COG CABOT OIL & GAS CORPORATION
CLX CLOROX COMPANY
CL COLGATE-PALMOLIVE COMPANY
CHTR CHARTER COMMUNICATIONS INC. CLASS A
CHD CHURCH & DWIGHT CO. INC.
CAG CONAGRA BRANDS INC.
BEN FRANKLIN RESOURCES INC.
ASC ARDMORE SHIPPING
TMP TELEMEDYCYNA POLSKA
ARC AUSTRALIAN RURAL CAPITAL
AAOI APPLIED OPTOELECTRONICS INC.
KELYA KELLY SERVICES INC. CLASS A
KFRC KFORCE INC.
LBRDA LIBERTY BROADBAND CORP. CLASS A
OPY OPPENHEIMER HOLDINGS INC. CLASS A
JBSS JOHN B. SANFILIPPO & SON INC.
CNX CNX RESOURCES CORPORATION
ASGN ASGN INC
AX AXOS FINANCIAL INC.
RRBI RED RIVER BANCSHARES
CARE CARTER BANKSHARES INC
GE GENERAL ELECTRIC CO.
AVBH AVIDBANK HLDGS INC
MPTI M TRON INDUSTRIES INC
PKST PEAKSTONE REALTY TRUST
TOYO TOYO CO LTD
AEBI AEBI SCHMIDT HOLDING AG
SNDK SANDISK CORP
PBCO PBCO FINANCIAL CORP COM
- Vikash Harlalka
CHTR: Not all doom & gloom after all
We shared our view of Charter’s results this morning. Subscriber and EBITDA results were better than expected. In this note following the earnings call and our follow-up conversations, we address the following key investor issues including 1) broadband subscriber trends; 2) price increases and broadband ARPU; 3) EBITDA growth; 4) amended MVNO agreement; and 5) Leverage.
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